Today's "Will He Stay Or Go?" Tea Leaves

Submitted by EastCoast Esq. on January 31st, 2022 at 11:43 AM

Ian Rapoport just posted an interview segment where he mentioned 3 finalists for the Vikings HC job, none of which were named Jim Harbaugh. He mentioned Jim at the very end, but it doesn't seem like an offer from the Vikings is forthcoming at the very least.

If that's the case, and assuming that Miami doesn't offer (not a safe assumption IMO), it looks like Jim is coming back.

Of course, all of this could change on a dime, but for now the tea leaves seem to be pointing in the direction of a 2022 return.

Booted Blue in PA

January 31st, 2022 at 11:58 AM ^

that may be true.... however 75% of what 'insiders say' may also be complete bullshit.

insiders may be doing exactly what you just did, "To me, that suggests......" which is your opinion.  We're all entitled to our opinions, and we should recognize our opinions have little to nothing to do with what Jim Harbaugh is or isn't doing.  

JonnyHintz

January 31st, 2022 at 1:40 PM ^

IF a new guy comes in from outside the current staff......are they gone? 
 

That would be up to the new hire. I’d expect at least two (Weiss and Jay) to join Harbaugh at his hypothetical NFL job. But the rest of the staff would be up to the new coach to decide. Michigan has a very good, young staff. So I would guess that most of the remaining staff get brought back regardless. Guys like Clink and Elston are nationally lauded as great position coaches with a ton of recruiting upside. I think it would be silly for any new coach to push them out. 

JonnyHintz

January 31st, 2022 at 1:28 PM ^

Well to me, that suggests maybe there are some details in his new contract offer that maybe he’d like hashed out before he signs it. 
 

Just because he has a contract offer doesn’t mean it’s one he’s happy with signing, and would like some changes made to it before he does. 
 

Seems to me that’s equally as plausible as the endless NFL rumor mill. 

JonnyHintz

January 31st, 2022 at 2:54 PM ^

Except we don’t know that. Literally all we know is that Minnesota asked for, and received, permission from Warde to call Jim. That’s it. Period. Even with Minnesota receiving permission to call Jim, that doesn’t mean Jim reciprocated their interest. 

Everything else we’re hearing is speculation, conflicting rumors and unnamed “sources.” Whether you choose to believe them or not is completely up to you. But to pretend we “know” anything is just flat out wrong. 

My entire point is that we don’t know anything about this entire process. “NFL is on the table until he signs” is just as plausible as “he’s still negotiating the terms of his new offer.” 

 

TruBluMich

January 31st, 2022 at 12:00 PM ^

Unless I missed something, which is possible.  That was second-hand knowledge from a recruits father whose pastor asked Harbaugh the question.  I also don't have access to the original 24/7 article.  I might have missed the other parts of that conversation with the pastor and the context of the conversation.

Unfortunately, I'm becoming numb to one-line sound bites.  There are just far too many articles about things involving one line of a conversation/interview to entice clicks or subscriptions.

Now, of course, Harbaugh could dispel the rumors reasonably quickly with the hysteria that has followed.  But who knows, he may be in contract negotiations.

goblu330

January 31st, 2022 at 12:42 PM ^

Frankly... no.  College football coaches are college-football-coaching year around.  The fact that we are now on the last day in January and Harbaugh is turning up fairly legitimately as a candidate for basically every opening would indicate that his mind is on other things right now.  I don't think he is gone for sure, but if we are talking common sense I would certainly say the news of the last 72 hours are trending more toward him taking an NFL job.

JonnyHintz

January 31st, 2022 at 1:45 PM ^

Harbaugh IS college football coaching year round. He just got back from a nationwide recruiting trip with the rest of the staff. He was hosting recruits in Ann Arbor on Saturday, including handing out an offer to a 2024 TE. He’s been reaching out to DC candidates and just hired a DL coach. 
 

The “news” of the last 72 hours is a bunch of rumors and the Vikings getting permission from Warde to call Harbaugh. Nothing, even the rumors, implies Harbaugh isn’t doing his job at UofM. 

carolina blue

January 31st, 2022 at 1:48 PM ^

I agree with this. Think of how you do your own career.  
With me, I’m always looking out there to see if there’s a perfect opportunity at a company i might like to work for.  That doesn’t mean that I’m “looking to leave” per se. I might even take a phone, or even in-person, interview.  None of that means I want to leave or that I’m not happy where I am and even would love to stay. I like my current employer and the job. But if the right opportunity presents itself, I’m listening to it.  That’s all it means. 

ZooWolverine

January 31st, 2022 at 2:11 PM ^

I think this is absolutely correct, but unfortunately it's also very ambiguous. He may be testing his options and heavily favoring leaving, which would not surprise me. I think it's also perfectly reasonable to think that he's heavily leaning towards staying, but he owes it to himself to think about it. We may never really know what the balance is, whether he stays or leaves: he might want to stay, but feel like Michigan didn't make much effort to keep him, or he might be ready to go but not quite get a good enough opportunity.

Harbaugh unquestionably wanted to coach at Michigan, every indication is that he turned down significant NFL interest to coach here. But Michigan's response to the last few years, and the 2020 season in particular, may have soured that relationship enough to make it undesirable to continue. It could also be that he's planning to stay, but knows that this is the year when he'd be likely to get the best offers from the NFL (he had a great season, won coach of the year, plus he's 58 and may not seem as good of a hire in a few years), and he knows that if he were ever going to think about going back to the NFL, this would be the year to do it.

What I don't understand is the idea from some that he should leave if he's not 100% committed to staying. What other jobs do we expect a person to never think about a change? I teach, and I'm very committed to my students and my work, but every few years I think about a change, whether it's schools or careers. I haven't yet, I kind of doubt I ever will, but when I get frustrated with one thing or another, I give it some thought. Obviously head coach is a totally different beast and level of commitment, but I think one can be true to oneself, give a job change some serious thought, yet decide to return and do so with full energy and commitment.

MRunner73

January 31st, 2022 at 1:55 PM ^

After reading the dozens and dozens of comments from the folks on MGo Blog over the past 4 weeks, yours  is straight to the point and refreshing. My own two cents is worth that or less. I have said very little during this time except wake me up when it's over.

This month long ordeal, saga, drama and whatever else comes to mind is getting old. Only Jim can end all of this with one statement.

After such a successful football season, we'd all hope that there would be much less drama after the season ended but instead, we get all of this crap. Let's all hope this sh!t ends one way or another in the next few days.

If Jim stays, is he damaged goods? I tend to think so. If he goes to the NFL, what's next in terms of HC at Michigan? One scenario I don't want to think about-UNTIL such news comes down the pike.

azee2890

January 31st, 2022 at 11:48 AM ^

If the Vikes don't end up offering, does Ross stick to his word and hold himself from being the one who took JH out of Ann Arbor?

I feel like he goes to Miami if the Vikes offer (I think he'd rather go to Miami with Ross and Ross only offers if he knows JH is leaving anyways). 

I feel like he stays if the Vikes don't offer. I think if it comes down to Michigan or Miami, Ross will hold up his word. 

Perkis-Size Me

January 31st, 2022 at 12:29 PM ^

I have a feeling that Ross would only interview and pull the trigger on Harbaugh if Harbaugh approached him directly and said "this is what I want and the league is where I want to be." In that situation, no one could really blame Ross for moving forward with trying to hire Harbaugh. I certainly wouldn't. 

Otherwise, and without any direct insider knowledge into the situation, I'm thinking Ross wouldn't want to do anything to muddy up his name with Michigan. Not that he'd be a pariah or that they'd take his name off the business school, but his perception amongst many Michigan fans and alums would be at least slightly tainted. It would be an image issue, and one I'm sure he'd want to avoid if he could. 

 

Sopwith

January 31st, 2022 at 1:35 PM ^

if Harbaugh approached him directly and said "this is what I want and the league is where I want to be."

That essentially already happened a while ago, before the Raiders noise and well before the Vikings GM was hired. I say essentially because it was via a proxy but that doesn't change that it was JH reaching out to Ross. The answer was no.

Ross has buildings (and an entire professional school) named after him on campus. People like that aren't casual about tarnishing their reputation among the Michigan alumni. They really, really care what people think about them. Or certain people, anyway.

Don

January 31st, 2022 at 1:47 PM ^

If Stephen Ross decided that he really wanted Jim Harbaugh regardless of circumstance, I don't think he'd have any trouble disregarding what he said previously about not wanting to take him away from U-M. People like Ross don't become billionaires by being shrinking violets—they're smart people who will do and say anything to get what they want, and justify it later. And if he did sign Harbaugh, his largesse to the University—and the possibility of more in the future—would mute any serious criticism from bigwigs at U-M. Hell, I could easily envision Ross signing Harbaugh and simultaneously announcing another huge donation to Michigan, which would really tamp down any bitching and piss-moaning.

NRK

January 31st, 2022 at 5:02 PM ^

Ross can always play the "if he's going to leave anyway, then it might as well be for my team" card and nobody will really be able to refute that. So he didn't "take" Jim from Michigan, Jim was leaving Michigan anyway and he just said better Miami than Minnesota.

He still owns a billion+ worth organization that he wants to win and will figure it out if he thinks its in his best interest to get Harbaugh.

And then he just dumps more money on UM for another new coach and some upgrades.

blue in dc

January 31st, 2022 at 1:17 PM ^

The vast majority of what people talk about on a message board is about conjecture.   Whether it be:

1. Who is going to start - Cade or JJ

2. Will anyone new be signing with Michigan on Wednesday 

3. Who will be our new DC

or will Jim stay or go.

If there is some new requirement that all comments be fact driven, we would have lots less posts.

Heck, you seen to “feel” that we shouldn’t have so many posts based on “feelings” or what I would personally consider as “conjecture”.   
 

If a message board focused on Michigan sports isn’t the right place for a conversation about a topic that could have huge implications for the football team, what is it for?

Sideline

January 31st, 2022 at 11:50 AM ^

I think he’s more upset that the University won’t do more on the NIL front than he is about his salary cut. 
 

Say what you want about the man, but he does care about the university + winning. If the University won’t fix the competition aspect, he’s going to go somewhere where he can win. It’s that simple. 

Navy Wolverine

January 31st, 2022 at 12:21 PM ^

From what I've read, I think this is the key issue (transfer portal as well). Harbaugh would like to repeat the 2021 season a little more often than once per decade and the 'elites' within the university won't let him do what needs to be done because they think Michigan will become a football factory.

If he was that bent out of shape about his salary, why would he donate the incentive part of his incentive-laden contract to the athletic department employees?

BoCanHam15

January 31st, 2022 at 12:13 PM ^

Just to help you out.  This has been the case since he arrived, kind ma’am or sir.  Thus, the 1,000,000 plus entries like these are unfounded.  We already have a top 10 class signed or ready to sign so those posters who continually spew this out just cannot help themselves.  Oh Lord, Harbaugh’s hurting us, he’s so selfish.  No one has corroborated any of these, “rumors” and the University has been here and will continue to have a football team after everyone in here leaves this old green earth!  So stop with the they’re gonna negative recruit against US!!!!  That will never stop.