Simulation: UConn beats Michigan 95 percent of the time.
The computer geniuses at "WhatifSports" suggest UConn beats Michigan a staggering 95% of the time with an average score of 38-23.
We'll certainly turn heads with a big win.
Edit: You can read about it on theuconnblog.com.
August 26th, 2010 at 4:55 PM ^
How is that even possible?
August 26th, 2010 at 7:23 PM ^
garbage out.
August 26th, 2010 at 4:56 PM ^
Maybe in basketball.
August 26th, 2010 at 5:01 PM ^
That was the 5%.
August 26th, 2010 at 5:14 PM ^
No, I'm pretty sure we beat them 100% of the time last season.
August 26th, 2010 at 8:22 PM ^
That added to my day.
August 26th, 2010 at 4:58 PM ^
Is Simulation an OSU fan?
August 26th, 2010 at 5:01 PM ^
It's not even close. And this is on Heisman. Without Troy Woolfolk.
August 26th, 2010 at 4:59 PM ^
It's hard to see how anyone could simulate Michigan this year, with so many positions completely unknown, first among them QB....
August 26th, 2010 at 5:19 PM ^
It's like saying that a you have the simulation results for a random number generator.
August 26th, 2010 at 5:39 PM ^
Yes. Thank you.
August 26th, 2010 at 7:48 PM ^
Not that I disagree with you, but in light of your statements I'm curious about how you feel about the Mathlete's probabilistic analysis (which are semi-favorable for UM).
August 26th, 2010 at 10:58 PM ^
as I do all statsitical projections for football. A fun excersize, but ultimately not much more useful than one's gut, simply because A: Football is so much harder to gauge statistically than baseball, and B: The statistical analysis of football is years behind baseball ad still hasn't been tackled in earnest by many people.
I would be interested to see numbers on statistical projections of games vs well versed sports casters. I will bet neither is particularly better than the other.
August 26th, 2010 at 5:02 PM ^
Whatever it takes to make UCONN feel all warm and fuzzy inside.
August 26th, 2010 at 5:02 PM ^
http://www.whatifsports.com/beyondtheboxscore/default.asp?article=2010C…
WhatIfSports projects Michigan going 3-9. They only give us a 19% win chance against Purdue.
August 26th, 2010 at 5:06 PM ^
Mathlete needs to get them proper data, obviously they have flawed numbers.
August 26th, 2010 at 5:09 PM ^
WhatIfMyFootGoesInYourAss.com
August 26th, 2010 at 5:21 PM ^
is that they are predicting an average of 23 points a game compared to the 30 points from last season, even though offensively we have done nothing but improve at most positions. How we can drop 7 points on average with a more seasoned offense i am not sure. Granted, the 63 we hung on Delaware skews that average, but still.
August 26th, 2010 at 6:34 PM ^
They should be equally snacky-cake delicious.
August 26th, 2010 at 9:06 PM ^
Not to nitpick, but we played Delaware State. Delaware is more like App State in football prowess in lower divisions. Plus they stole our helmets, and there were not two sets of winged helmets on the field last year.
August 26th, 2010 at 9:56 PM ^
...and 23.9 points per game against the Big 10+Notre Dame in 2009.
August 26th, 2010 at 5:05 PM ^
F that site.
77-78 Canadiens beating the 01-02 Red Wings 4-0? Pshhh.
http://www.whatifsports.com/nhl/boxscore.asp?GameID=1221300&teamfee=-1
August 26th, 2010 at 5:12 PM ^
is impossible. Plain and simple. Sergei, Stevie, Shanahan, Larionov and Dats would put in ten or eleven goals on Dryden. I don't think so.
August 26th, 2010 at 6:45 PM ^
Hull, Robitaille, Lidstrom, and Hasek in net. The 01-02 Red Wings is one of the greatest hockey teams of all time.
August 26th, 2010 at 5:14 PM ^
Clearly, they just make shit up.
August 26th, 2010 at 5:17 PM ^
-2 in his career in the playoffs?
August 26th, 2010 at 5:24 PM ^
Seriously. In '02 Lids was +6 w/ 16 pts in the playoffs. what if sports needs to hire the mathlete if they want to have any credibility.
edit: and Chelios was +15! wowsa.
August 26th, 2010 at 5:27 PM ^
man oh man do I miss that team. I was little when they won it in 1997 but I can remember the 2002 championship like it was yesterday. 2008 was awesome too don't get me wrong but that 2001-2002 season for Detroit was the best championship I've seen in a long time. I miss that team.
August 26th, 2010 at 5:36 PM ^
'97 FTW. All of the first 3 were special. But '97 was the best one for me. The parade was the last day of my junior year of high school, final exams were already over. I was on probabtion for my English class that I had missed a bunch of times and had to be there on the final day to get credit. Skipped it anyways to go down the the parade w/ a buddy and two chicks. Got a NC for the class. Totally worth it.
'02 was pretty awesome too though. Stayed in A2 through that summer and watched most of the games at Skeeps. That was an awesome team and an awesome run. The goal by Lindstrom down 0-2 to Vancouver was what started it all.
August 26th, 2010 at 5:26 PM ^
his TOI in this "game" was over 40 minutes! I can understand how he got tired!
August 26th, 2010 at 5:24 PM ^
I can now assure you all, with utmost confidence, that this site is bull.
At 14:50 of the third period:
"Shot on goal by Jiri Fischer (wrap around)"
August 26th, 2010 at 5:58 PM ^
Well, Jiri Fischer was on that 01-02 cup winning team so whats wrong with that?
August 26th, 2010 at 6:12 PM ^
Wrap-around.
I'm not sure Fischer ever went below the hash marks in the offensive zone.
August 26th, 2010 at 7:23 PM ^
that Canadien team that year was loaded, and I mean loaded. Dryden, Lafleur, LeMaire, Robinson, Shutt. They lost 10 games out of 80 regular season games. Also, you're talking 2 different generations.
August 26th, 2010 at 8:55 PM ^
Full disclosure, I am NOT a Habs fan...nor a Wings fan, actually. This said, the 77/78 Habs team is borderline greatest of all time...
Jacques Lemaire, Ken Dryden, Steve Shutt, Larry Robinson, Yvon Cournoyer, Guy Lapointe, Serge Savard, Bob Gainey and Ken Dryden, Scotty Bowman (coach)...all in Hall of Fame
The O2 Wings with Hasek, Lidstrom, Yzerman, Chelios (not in his prime but still solid), Robitaille, Hull and Larionov (all certain Hall of Famers) and Scotty Bowman...that is a formidable team.
It's pretty difficult to compare eras but, realistically the 77/78 Habs team is in the conversation regarding greatest NHL team of all time. The 02 Wings, while particularly talented, are not in that conversation.
August 26th, 2010 at 11:54 PM ^
You're nuts!
I'd contest that the 01-02 Red Wings are not only in the conversation, but are the most talented team of all time.
Sure-thing/already inducted HOFers: Hasek, Lidstrom, Yzerman, Chelios, Robitaille, Hull, Larionov, Shanahan, Bowman
Likely HOFers: Fedorov, Datsyuk
Possible HOFers: Draper (several rings, one of the best defensive forwards/face-off men of all time), Holmstrom (several rings and master of his craft)
Only the 56-57 Canadiens even touch that (10 HOFers including the coach).
August 27th, 2010 at 10:23 AM ^
Wow, this is too like that whole Olympics thing when apparent hockey myopia takes over; particularly when you awaken the Wings fan. Anyway, I'll stand by my position that Habs team (pretty much every Habs team of the late 70's) is *in* the conversation regarding the greatest team of all time...but for you to contend that the 01/02 Wings are the most talented team of all time (jesus, burn Canada) is absolutely incomprehensible.
To put it in context, the 77/78 Habs were in the midst of a run of 4 straight cups, 5 in 7 years and 10 in 15 years and, incredibly, 15 in 24 years.
I don't like that Habs but that team dominated like nothing seen before or since. FWIW I would suggest strongly, however, that the 85/86 Oilers were the greatest team ever seen.
Now as for Draper and Holmstrom in the Hall of Fame? Come on now...it's for all time greats, remember? Fedorov is on the borderline and Datsyuk has a lot more work ahead. That Draper to HOF though, that was amusing.
August 26th, 2010 at 5:09 PM ^
I would love to see how this simulation was set up.
Sept 4th is the only thing that counts.
August 26th, 2010 at 5:10 PM ^
despite including the result in its equation, MSU beating CMU 9 out of 10 times, sometimes by as much as 30 pts.
August 26th, 2010 at 5:12 PM ^
That is quite possibly the worst site i've ever not been to. LOL 3-9 with losses against everyone except BG, Umass, and Indiana. ROTFL
August 26th, 2010 at 5:13 PM ^
their simulations really don't look favorable on UM
http://www.whatifsports.com/beyondtheboxscore/default.asp?article=2010C…
August 26th, 2010 at 5:46 PM ^
It was already mentioned.
August 26th, 2010 at 5:55 PM ^
Honestly why do you come to this site?
August 26th, 2010 at 6:08 PM ^
He usually makes posts that are fairly well-informed, but also has a tendency to fall into the NDNation-type drive-by's that you are seeing an instance of above.
I'm with you on not understanding why you'd want to spend so much time on a rival's blog. Then again, NDNation...
August 26th, 2010 at 8:58 PM ^
Sometimes I just roll my eyes when I see him fall into that ND nation pose. You are right, usually his material is reasonably informed.
ND, rebuilding since my childhood. Enough said.
August 26th, 2010 at 8:56 PM ^
just to ruin your day
guess I need to work on my posting speed, yeah get over yourselves
August 26th, 2010 at 5:14 PM ^
Almost as absurd as the 5% chance of beating UConn was an under 20% chance of beating Michigan State OR Purdue. What?!?
August 26th, 2010 at 5:15 PM ^
I want to neg you for making me read this. There goes my happiness today.