[Marc-Gregor Campredon]

Michigan 59, Minnesota 57 Comment Count

Alex Cook January 22nd, 2019 at 9:05 PM

Michigan was able to eventually pull away from Minnesota for a while, but the Gophers erased a 13-point deficit and tied the game with less than a minute left — John Beilein drew up a play for Ignas Bradeikis at the end of regulation, but the freshman was blocked, and Charles Matthews came up with the rebound, took a dribble, and hit the game-winner: a tough, one-handed baseline floater just ahead of the shot clock and the final buzzer. The Wolverines played an ugly game (shooting 3-22 from three and scoring just 0.92 points per possession) but managed to prevent overtime and the prospect of a bad upset loss.

It was clear from the beginning that the Gophers were going to be a challenge. Minnesota had scored six points and it was almost three minutes into the game before Isaiah Livers opened the scoring for Michigan with a pair of free throws. Minnesota maintained that lead for most of the first half. The Wolverines were mired in a funk this weekend against Wisconsin, and that seeped into the start of this game: Michigan began the game shooting 3-19 from the field as Minnesota crawled out to a 19-10 lead. The Gophers took advantage of Michigan’s smallest lineup with some nice big-to-big passing early on, and freshman shooter Gabe Kalscheur knocked down a couple early threes.

Eli Brooks provided a nice spark with nine minutes left in the half. On back-to-back possessions, he found Jon Teske on a pick-and-roll for an easy alley-oop layup, then stopped Dupree McBrayer cold on a drive, leading directly to a fast break layup for Matthews. Richard Pitino called a quick timeout, but Michigan was awake — because of Teske. The Big Sleep scored on the next possession, following an Iggy miss; Matthews set him up for another pick-and-roll finish; then he hit a pick-and-pop three to tie the game at 23. It was a mostly horrible half for Michigan, but Teske shined — he scored 11 points and didn’t miss a shot. He finished with an efficient 15 and was Michigan's only unequivocally positive player on offense.

Beilein tried to steal some minutes with Brandon Johns at the five after Michigan tied it up late in the half, but Amir Coffey took advantage with some drives all the way to the rim. Minnesota regained the lead and carried it into the second half. Kalscheur got past Jordan Poole for a layup to put the score at 36-29; Iggy responded with a tough three over Jordan Murphy on the next possession. Iggy had a rough start, missing his first seven shots, but got going late in the first half with a couple buckets. He followed up the three with a nice defensive stop on Murphy and a coast-to-coast and-one layup. It was an inefficient game for him — his 18 points came on 23 shot equivalents — but Michigan needed Iggy’s production.

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[Campredon]

After the Gophers built that seven-point lead, the Wolverines played a dominant stretch of basketball, outscoring Minnesota 23-3 over a ten minute span. Zavier Simpson had a nice sequence — scoring on a tough running sky hook off glass, then taking the ball from Daniel Oturu and converting an easy layup. Iggy was fouled twice on three-point attempts during the run; Brooks roasted “Jelly Fam” Washington for a bucket; Livers got a transition dunk (after having missed one earlier in the game) following a Teske block at the rim. Michigan’s offense was finally up and running, but the defense was locked in too: Minnesota was leveraged into awful shots with Teske patrolling the paint.

Murphy dragged the Gophers back into the game. Michigan led 52-39 when the burly senior forward took it at Poole and tipped in his own miss to stop the run; he scored on two more possessions soon after, drawing a shooting foul on Iggy, then bullying him on a drive from the three-point line for a tough bucket. Michigan’s offense cooled off, but the Wolverines still led by ten following a shorted pick-and-roll jumper from Teske… and then Michigan didn’t score for the next five minutes. A missed Simpson layup which led to an excellent Dupree McBrayer outlet pass to Coffey for a layup and a McBrayer runner off glass over Teske trimmed the Michigan lead to 57-51 and prompted a Beilein timeout with under three minutes left.

The Gophers ran some action for a high-low pass to Murphy, who was fouled by Iggy and hit one free throw. 57-52. Matthews threw up a wild miss in traffic and Coffey got out in the open floor for a tough layup through a Teske contest. 57-54. Kalscheur got loose off a screen and knocked down a three with 31 seconds left. 57-57. Those three were the only three Gophers to finish in double figures, and the huge three from Kalscheur put Minnesota one stop away from sending what had looked like a near-certain defeat to overtime. They had gone on an 18-5 run over the last eight minutes of the half. Meanwhile, Michigan couldn’t buy a bucket — before Kalscheur’s three, Iggy barely missed a layup after getting a step on the defender.

For a moment, it looked like they had that stop. Beilein drew up a play for Iggy to receive the ball at the top of the key and make a play with Poole slipping a ball-screen and popping to the wing. Predictably, the freshman was aggressive — and he threw up a tough, well-contested shot. Eric Curry blocked that shot, and it fell to Matthews. A patient dribble caused Coffey to fly by, Murphy stepped up for a contest, and the high-arcing shot fell through the net shortly after the clock struck zero. A lengthy replay review to determine whether Matthews had beaten the shot clock as well as the game clock was evidently inconclusive, as the referees upheld the original call after a frame-by-frame review of the shot leaving Matthews’s hand.

Michigan had its worst overall offensive performance (0.82 points per possession) since that horrible loss to South Carolina in November 2016 against Wisconsin; they had their worst shooting performance (36.3% effective field goal percentage) since that South Carolina game tonight — but still escaped with a win over Minnesota. A substantial advantage in shot margin (14 equivalents) because of Michigan forcing turnovers and uncharacteristically crashing the glass provided just enough cushion to make up for the awful shooting. Matthews was the hero; Michigan avoided a bad loss (and avoided falling further behind Michigan State in the Big Ten standings). The next game is in Bloomington on Friday against an Indiana squad in free fall.

[Box score after the JUMP]

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Comments

Matte Kudasai

January 23rd, 2019 at 6:53 AM ^

3-22 from 3's on your home court, coming off your first loss and in reality haven't played good basketball since Purdue, almost 2 months ago.  

This is no longer a slump folks, this just isn't a very good basketball team.  Most of our team is either inconsistent or bordering on flat out lost with their game.

Indiana is easy money on Friday. We'll go in and shoot 30% and lose.  I hope to hell I'm wrong but nothing tells me otherwise.

I'm not writing this team off, but I think even Beilein is getting really frustrated with them.   

TrueBlue2003

January 23rd, 2019 at 2:00 PM ^

1) the conference is tough this year.  Those are all kenpom top 100 teams, and aside from Illinois, they're all top 75 teams (including Minnesota).

2) Michigan covered or beat the spread in the PSU, IU, Illinois and (home) Northwestern games.  Those spreads are based on the assumption that Michigan is a top 5 team and takes into account the quality of opponent. So Michigan exceeded those already lofty expectations.  Their Torvik game score in each of those contests was 95 or higher, which is very good. They had their BEST Adj offensive rating games against IU and (home) Northwestern at 138 and 133 respectively. Yes, they were better in those recent January games on offense than they were against UNC and Purdue (and Nova for good measure).

The narrative that Michigan hasn't played well since December is completely false.

But yeah, Michigan lost a coin flip game at Wisconsin, partially aided by bad reffing.

And then they had an awful shooting night on mostly good shots, and still beat a top 75 team.

There's nothing to be overly concerned about.

rbailerum1

January 23rd, 2019 at 9:58 AM ^

Though I agree that suggesting we aren’t a very good basketball team is ridiculous, his other point is not a bad one. We were on fire in November, and not playing great in December. Even Beilein has said this in interviews, so unless you think Beilein is wrong...

 

In January we lost to Wisconsin, a good but not great team, and came within a millisecond of going to OT against an average MN team. These are not good signs, and certainly are the signs of a great team. 

 

We’ve shown we we have the ability to be great, and we’ve even shown we can win when not everyone is playing great. But last night was the second game in a row where almost no one played great (Teske the lone player), and it’s now the second month in a row we’ve not been dominant against almost anyone. So there is legitimate reason to be concerned. We all hope it’s just a mid-season slump and come February and March we’ll be back to playing great.   

New Carr

January 23rd, 2019 at 7:19 AM ^

Hawt Take! : This team sucks!  Almost lost their 2nd game in a row, fergodsakes!  They must  not be as good as their lucky record.

Rational Observation: Team hits a mid season funk where they aren't shooting well or playing their best basketball of the season. Best to peak in March like most Beilein teams seem to do.

Jonesy

January 23rd, 2019 at 8:46 PM ^

We have indeed looked like shit on offense ever since Purdue, and not so hot on defense in a couple games too. The fact that we have managed to only lose one game at that time is both amazing and probably due to a really weak schedule since then and a testament to our defense. I'm hopeful while waiting for the Feb/March offensive turnaround as is tradition.

Indiana Blue

January 23rd, 2019 at 9:13 AM ^

I don't think its being tired ... I think its partially a lack of games.  We had 6 days off twice before the Wisconsin game.  Last night was the first game w/o an extended off time in 2-3 weeks.  I would expect the team to turn this all around soon.  However, going to Bloomington will be a tough one.

Go Blue!

TrueBlue2003

January 23rd, 2019 at 2:18 PM ^

Physically, no.  Only two guys on the team crack 80% of minutes and they barely do (Poole at 81.2% of minutes and Z at 81.7%). Despite the short bench, no one is being asked to play grueling minutes. They're well-conditioned 20 year-olds.  They are not tired.

Mentally, maybe. It's a long 30-plus-game season and it seems like Beilein teams often have a mid-season lull in which they kind of lose focus.  This is evident on Torvik's game score chart in which almost every season recently has a significant dip in performance mid-season.  That may be a real thing.

But they're not tired physically.

NotADuck

January 23rd, 2019 at 9:25 AM ^

"Michigan had its worst overall offensive performance (0.82 points per possession) since that horrible loss to South Carolina in 2016 against Wisconsin;..."

Yeah it would be pretty tough to run our offense against 2 teams at the same time.

rbailerum1

January 23rd, 2019 at 9:51 AM ^

I think the original sentence just reads funny. I was confused when I read it at first. I believe it’s suposed to read, “Agaisnt Wisconsin, Michigan had its worst performance since that horrible loss to South Carolina in 2016”.  He then goes on to say we had our worst shooting game against MN, making the overall point that our last two games have been awful. 

rc15

January 23rd, 2019 at 9:26 AM ^

Is Brazdeikis the guy this team goes to at the end of a game? Or just the (relative) hottest hand this game and it normally could be Poole or Matthews?

Unfortunate we had to put that on tape if Brazdeikis is the guy, but glad to get out of there with a win...

UMich2016

January 23rd, 2019 at 9:39 AM ^

ugly ugly.  iggy needs to be more of a team player on offense.  hes straight reckless 25% of the time he drives

He is an interesting experiment for Beilein.  Unselfish ball is the greatness of Beilein's M teams.  

He clearly has talent but needs to mold into more of a 5v5 offensive player, rather then 1v1

Reggie Dunlop

January 23rd, 2019 at 10:19 AM ^

Agree. Poole too. They seem to have a predetermined drive (or step-back 3-jack) in mind when they get the ball. When they start playing what's in front of them and start seeing the opportunities they're creating for the offense in general, they'll start moving the ball on time and this offense will explode. Then Matthews can chill out and do more of what he does best.

I think they were playing loose with clear heads early this season with no expectations and no pressure, and we saw what they were capable of. Then they were undefeated and number 2 and all of a sudden young guys started feeling pressure and lost what go them there in the first place.

They'll find it. Just gotta let them work it out in their own time.

MNWolverine2

January 23rd, 2019 at 10:17 AM ^

2 big issues I see:

We have thrived on the pick and roll with Simpson.  Both Wisconsin and Minnesota have dared Simpson to shoot or drive coming off the pick.  He does not shoot well on the move.  This alone bogs down the offense.

Go back and look at the ball movement we had on offense last year vs. this year.  This year you see a lot of passing and standing around.  Then it turns into a 1 on 1 move to the hoop.  It does NOT look like a John B. offense.

Is the season a lost cause....not even close!  Do I think we finish 3rd in the Big Ten...yes.  3 seed in the big dance and everybody will be writing us off per usual.  

Gob Wilson

January 23rd, 2019 at 11:09 AM ^

Is it possible that our kids are a bit tired? It seems like we peaked a few weeks ago. I wonder if it makes sense to play more of the 2nd & 3rd stringers and longer to rest them? 

gtwill

January 23rd, 2019 at 11:39 AM ^

We braved the elements to make the round trip for the game last night from Grand Rapids.  It was my 18yo daughter's first time for a basketball game at Crisler.  She brought her Sony A7 camera and a lens underneath the six-inch maximum permitted by the arena rules and got this photo of the Zky Hook (I couldn't figure out how to do this on a message board - probably because I don't have enough points - so I'll leave this here):

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