WolvinLA2

October 11th, 2011 at 7:08 PM ^

I get what you're saying, but that's nothing more than a moral victory since the game is at MSU. 

Let's say you and I get in a fight and Vegas lists you as a better fighter by 5 points.  However, a knife is worth 10 points, and I have one and you don't.  Now, you could get happy that Vegas has you as the better fighter straight up, but in reality that doesn't matter because in this fight, I have the knife, so now I'm favored.  If I use the knife to my advatage and win, nothing else matters.

If MSU "uses" their homefield advantage and wins by 1, it does us no good to say we would have won at home or on a neutral site.   

evenyoubrutus

October 11th, 2011 at 6:27 PM ^

You're right.  There was that one time when we, like the great big brothers that we are, let the little tikes get one last try in after the game was over to make them feel better about themselves.  Then they went around telling everyone they had won the game.  We let them have that one though, because that's what good big brothers do.  They let the little guy win one every once in a while.

BrickTop

October 11th, 2011 at 7:58 PM ^

Thats funny. I get that they haven't swapped yet, but at this rate I think it's safe to assume that they will at some point prior to kick-off. I mean it's only Teusday and it's now at 1.5 how much more money would really have to be laid on MI for the spread to move another 2 points?

BiSB

October 11th, 2011 at 5:28 PM ^

Michigan covered against Western Michigan*, Notre Dame, SDSU, Minnesota, and Northwestern, and came within a point of covering a BIG spread against Eastern.

*Yeah, the Western game didn't count in Vegas. But they were about to score to go up 17 ATS. So yeah.

wresler120

October 11th, 2011 at 5:44 PM ^

The fact that the line is dropping means all the money is coming in on Michigan. They are dropping the line to even it out and to get some money on Sparty. I will not be surprised if it's Even or Michigan -1 on Saturday. I just get nervous when all of the money is coming in on one team. Vegas is in it to make money and the casinos usually win.

WolvinLA2

October 11th, 2011 at 7:34 PM ^

Michigan gets a lot more joe public money than a lot of other schools, but that's really not a big enough chunk of the betting pool to swing the line too much.  Sports betting wouldn't be near as big as it is if it relied on people betting on their favorite team. 

sum1valiant

October 11th, 2011 at 7:40 PM ^

The casino doesn't make it's money on bets period, it makes it's money on the juice.  The line moving is, as you correctly stated, their way of getting as much action on the game as possible.  It really doesn't have as much to do with coercing bettors to play on one side or the other, as it does to increase overall action on the game, thus increasing their vig.  Ideally for them, the casino starts the game with equal bets on both sides and walks away with their cash without a care on the actual outcome of the game.