Semi-OT: Ole Miss Offense, Speed in Space

Submitted by jcorqian on September 8th, 2021 at 10:40 AM

https://youtu.be/i5dE7dg4Bsc

I was watching highlights of the Ole Miss win vs. Louisville and it just struck me how effortless this offense looks. This is true speed in space it seems to me, as QB Matt Coral and Lane Kiffin's play design is able to put a defender in conflict on what seems like most offensive plays. Basically, they just force a defender to be wrong. The QB's stats are veyond gaudy. Remember that they had enough offense to almost beat Alabama last year.

I wonder why we can't just implement something like this? I feel like we have better athletes, and Cade seems like a pretty fast processor and good decision maker. I thought that this was what speed in space was going to look like. It looks beautiful and effortless to me

bronxblue

September 8th, 2021 at 11:41 AM ^

The only concern from a football standpoint (ignoring the odious off-the-field issues) is that his tenures tend to start hot and then fall apart a bit.  Like, even though he went 11-3 at FAU his last year there I remember reading places that people were unhappy with him and his constant need to look for a better job, and it had hurt recruiting a bit because he turned more to transfers to fill gaps.  Now that may work more in the new reality of college football, but a guy who always seems like he's looking for the next jump (and I assume the NFL is always on his mind) might not be a guy you want for long-term stability of your program.

UM85

September 8th, 2021 at 11:49 AM ^

Kiffin is a solid OC.  But as a head coach, reasons NOT to take Kiffin:

He got the Raiders job at 32. Kiffin went 5-15 in one-plus season and hasn’t gotten anywhere near the professional game since. Al Davis couldn't be rid of him fast enough. https://www.espn.com/nfl/news/story?id=3618813

Kiffin then landed with TN and directed them to a 7-6 mark in 2009. He also committed some minor recruiting violations. Then he bolted Rocky Top after one year to go to USC. Vols fans literally rioted after this. (I throw that in more as a comment about TN fans.) Pat Forde had this to say of Kiffin at this time: "Paris Hilton has paid more dues than Lane Kiffin. Kiffin comes across as a guy who was born on third base and acts as if he hit a triple."

After getting the top job at USC, how did things end with the Trojans? He was fired on the LAX tarmac following a failed midseason road trip.

He went to Alabama as OC.  Saban did not have compliments for him on his way out the door. Remember this:  https://thespun.com/college-football/we-now-know-what-caused-that-epic-nick-saban-lane-kiffin-sideline-blowup

So, no.

HateSparty

September 8th, 2021 at 11:57 AM ^

Pat Forde had this to say of Kiffin at this time: "Paris Hilton has paid more dues than Lane Kiffin. Kiffin comes across as a guy who was born on third base and acts as if he hit a triple."

 

Straight up steal of a great Pearl Jam song (are there any bad ones).  Well done, Pat.

theytookourjobs

September 8th, 2021 at 10:45 AM ^

Yeah, I too watched the game Monday night.  That offense was a thing of beauty.  Hey, at least M was getting to the line more quickly on offense last week.  We were never in danger of a delay of game penalty, and it looked to me like they were trying to get some pre-snap reads on the Defense.  Hopefully something they build on and use more as the season goes on!

GoBlueinOhio

September 8th, 2021 at 11:50 AM ^

I disagree with that statement. There are too many factors that went in that. I will just skim the top with what I think.

1. RR was left with a roster that was less than stellar. 

2. Fan base wasn't ready for a non Bo hire

3. UM Donors weren't on board with the hire.

4. He was improving each year, but it wasn't what we (UM) expected.

5. Hoke was completely over his head. 

6. Harbaugh... I will leave that one alone, I wish him all the best, but he's a deer staring into headlights.

I think he was a great hire, just needed to adapt to the D of the BTN. Looking ahead  our next coach will be the best available. (My vote is for Fickell) 

Magnus

September 8th, 2021 at 12:04 PM ^

So Rich Rodriguez, who got fired from Arizona and hasn't been able to hold another job for more than one year...was going to bring Michigan back to national prominence? The defense was bad and continued to be bad. That was not going to get fixed. You can score a bunch of points, but if you can't play defense, you're never going to rise to the top.

I agree with some of your points about the culture not being ready to change, but Rodriguez was never going to cut it at Michigan. If it wasn't his own personal culture, it was going to be the defense. If it wasn't the defense, it was going to be his recruiting. 

GoBlueinOhio

September 8th, 2021 at 12:13 PM ^

comparing RR now to then is different. I think after he was fired from Michigan he couldn't get the coordinators that he needed, also think there were some arrogance on his part as well. I 100% agree that he needed a D-coordinator. That was all he was missing. It's still better than the 1990's football that Harbaugh is putting out there.(Please let this year be different)

Magnus

September 8th, 2021 at 1:32 PM ^

I can't tell if this post is a troll post or not.

Prior to the COVID season, Jim Harbaugh was winning 9.4 games per season at Michigan. Rodriguez was winning 5.0 games per season for his three years.

You would rather win 5.0 games per year with an exciting, high-speed offense than win 9.4 games with a slower offense?

You and I are not kindred spirits. 

ahw1982

September 8th, 2021 at 1:33 PM ^

Not that I think Rich Rodriguez was a great hire, but I think there is an alternate dimension where he has more success than he had.

2011 with Rich Rod running the offense instead of Hoke/Borges + Jeff Casteel as DC instead of Greg Robinson (edit: Greg Robinson to 1st year Mattison transition) + 2011 recruiting class being stronger as a function of no coaching change

You could argue that this hypothetical 2011 team is able to flip either the MSU or Iowa game, and 11-1 Michigan is in the title game conversation instead of a third Alabama/LSU matchup (or heck, flip both games and 12-0 Michigan is a shoe-in).

That said, the wheels still probably come off for Rich Rod in the ensuing years.

Though, you do have to wonder if Rich Rod stays and flips some recruits like Braxton Miller, if OSU becomes dominant in this multiverse...

Msmittakins

September 8th, 2021 at 10:51 AM ^

I would have to imagine that Kiffin’s offense would be a much smoother transition from Gattis’s Offense, than a traditional pro style to Rich Rod’s run centric spread, where you basically ran off all the talent from the previous regime. That was probably Rich Rod’s biggest mistake. I just doubt that Michigan would hire a guy like Kiffen… which sucks lol 

Perkis-Size Me

September 8th, 2021 at 11:56 AM ^

That's why he got more than one year. Almost every coach out there gets a mulligan on their first season unless something truly catastrophic happens on or off the field that forces the AD's hand. RichRod was fired, in my opinion, based on the results of his second and third seasons. 

He recruited arguably the greatest playmaker Michigan has ever had in the history of its football team and still couldn't do better than 7-6 with him as his starting QB. He had a team mostly full of "his guys" and still could do next to nothing with them. 

He mostly gets a pass on 2008, but the on-field results of 2009-2010? That's all on RichRod. 

ahw1982

September 8th, 2021 at 6:01 PM ^

I agree.

But.

Knowing what we know about Hoke, I kinda wished Rich Rod coached in 2011.  Denard was amazing in 2011 under Hoke/Borges, he coulda won a Heisman under Rich Rod.

Yeah, our defense probably would've been shit under another year of Gerg and maybe we're worse than 11-2, but OTOH, maybe the universe where Rich Rod gets fired after 2011 is the universe where Urban Meyer wants to know what he could do with Denard when he returns to coaching in 2012...

mGrowOld

September 8th, 2021 at 10:48 AM ^

Major philosophical difference between Ole Miss & Michigan IMO.

Ole Miss views their offense's role to score points.  As many as possible and as quickly as they can.

Michigan views the offense's role to score enough points to win while protecting their defense by staying on the field as long as possible.

You're never going to have "speed in space" when the HC wants long, time-consuming drives as the rule, not the exception, when his offense is on the field.

 

TeslaRedVictorBlue

September 8th, 2021 at 11:27 AM ^

The issue is.. when Indiana (yes i know), OSU, or others put up points in a hurry, the plodding offense that gets 3-6 yards per play isnt enough to catch up or keep pace. We are so reliant on 3rd and 4 to be successful instead of going after bigger chunks etc.. and moving quickly down the field. I rarely see us on a short 2nd down going down field and attacking. Instead, we try to take the "sure thing" and run for 3 yards and a 1st down. Yay, but... not yay.

It might let the other team have more possessions, but if that's because you're scoring more, i dont see that as a bad thing. Then your defense can take more chances and not feel like EVERY time a team scores a TD, its doom and gloom because we can barely score.

 

teldar

September 8th, 2021 at 11:38 AM ^

Well.

If the offense held onto the ball longer the defense wouldn't have to go out and face high powered offenses every couple minutes. Just because a team has a fast offense doesn't mean they get the ball more often. The problem became Michigan's defense couldn't stop them more than Michigan's offense got stopped. 

And you're conflating speed or aggressiveness with efficiency. You can have a quick strike offense that sucks (Indiana a lot of years). You can also have a plodding offense that grinds teams into dust (Wisconsin)

So your argument leaves something to be desired.

TeslaRedVictorBlue

September 8th, 2021 at 11:58 AM ^

guess it depends on what we mean by "holding onto the ball longer".  From my perspective, holding it longer means, less big plays, taking longer to snap it, and more first downs per drive (hence more plays per drive).

Less big plays to me is a risk vs. reward. If you have the horses (clemson usually, bama, osu), you go at it every time. Nearly nobody can keep up.

Taking longer to snap it - we've seen that what happens is.. more time for the other team to set up and rest between plays, we get stupid false starts and delay of game penalties. So, assuming that taking longer to run a play simply just adds time, but in my opinion, its a negative.

Lastly, more first downs per drive. This sounds good in theory - lets take longer to score, and if we do that 4-5 times a game on long TD drives, we're unstoppable. But i see fault in this for a few reasons. 1, its HARD to get 10-20 yards per 3 plays. In other words, if you run short/medium plays constantly, the defense tightens a bit and finding space becomes tough without stretching the field. Also, you're reliant on converting 3rd downs. 3rd downs, for the most part, are binary. What i mean is... if you don't convert, high likelihood the possession is over. So by relying on that 3rd down conversion, whether it is 3rd and 1 or 3rd and 10 to extend drives and take time, i think your probability of a successful drive overall, decreases. Its hard converting 3rd downs. converting multiple in a drive is even harder.. especially, again, if you are focused on short/medium space for runs/passes.

Lastly, more plays on offense can yield more turnovers and more chaos. It could wear a defense down - true.. but the stated intent wasnt to grind teams into oblivion. The intent state was to take up more play clock time to reduce # of possessions for the opposing teams. 

Point of all of this is that to me - the time you might take up that keeps your defense off the field, might actually yield a more than proportionate lower point total for your own team. And, if your defense isnt that stellar to begin with, then you are now actually lessening the number of possessions YOU get to try and keep up with an opposing team that scores 25-30 points. And, if you are not as successful as you wish you were, your philosophy of shortening the game is now costing you the game.

TeslaRedVictorBlue

September 8th, 2021 at 1:08 PM ^

if you have a bad defense and good offense, then you could argue that increasing the # of possessions gives you a better chance to win. Your offense can improve far more by increasing the # of possessions than your defense might sink by an increase in # of possessions defended. You're right.. more doesnt equal better, but... longer possessions increases the likelihood of other non-good things. turnovers, penalties, etc.. and has a counter effect --- in my non-scientific, non data-driven, view.

blueheron

September 8th, 2021 at 1:53 PM ^

Man, I love how, in these discussions, some people assume that a run-oriented offense means that you'll have only 20-play, time-consuming drives that end in a goal-line plunge into the end zone, and that a pass-oriented offense means that you'll be punting before reaching midfield having consumed less than a a minute of the game clock.

OF COURSE long, time-consuming drives would be awesome. The problem is that you actually need to convert on third-and-long after you run the ball into a stacked box on first and second down.

KC Wolve

September 8th, 2021 at 11:31 AM ^

I don't disagree and I'm not bagging on Harbaugh at all, but i've never understood this. The #1 role of the team possessing the ball should be to get it across the other team's goal line. The more times you do it than the other team the better. Limiting this in any way is stupid. 

bronxblue

September 8th, 2021 at 11:44 AM ^

I swear people keep thinking UM is some grind-it-out outfit now under Gattis and not before.  Since Gattis arrived Michigan's average TOP for the game is about 29:30; under the Fisch/Drevno/Hamilton runs it was around 32:20.  They went from one of the slowest teams in the country to about average (like Alabama is around 29 minutes or so).  It's not light-speed but it absolutely isn't "protect the defense with long drives".  

Don

September 8th, 2021 at 11:54 AM ^

"Michigan views the offense's role to score enough points to win while protecting their defense by staying on the field as long as possible."

Harbaugh is simply continuing a long Michigan tradition:

"What we discussed at the half we are still in the game at 3-3 was going earlier to our two-minute offense [shotgun formation, more open plays]," he said. "But we wanted to protect our defense, so we decided to stay with the plan." —Lloyd Carr, after 2007 Rose Bowl against USC.