OT - England crashes out of their Group . . . the EU that is.

Submitted by M-Dog on

England, along with the rest of the UK, have voted to leave the EU.  Nobody thought they would do it, but they have.

Stock market's going for a ride boys.

Lot's of coverage on www.BBC.com

Interesting day to be an England fan at the Euros, no?

 

Njia

June 24th, 2016 at 7:28 AM ^

UK Prime Minister, David Cameron, promised a referendum if his party was re-elected in 2015. He had been a strong Remain advocate, and believed that the Leave voices were not representative of broader public sentiment. 

The day before the vote, polling data suggested that while the final tally would be knife-edge close, Remain would carry the day. Not a single poll I've seen suggested that there would be a 4-point margin of victory for Leave. 

Yesterday's weather in the UK may have played a factor. By most accounts, heavy rain and flooding kept some people at home, (though more than 71% of the voters cast their ballots yesterday - the most since the early 1970s). Speculation among political pundits in the UK is that the weather favored Leave, as Remain voters weren't as enthusiastic about their position.

PopeLando

June 24th, 2016 at 10:21 AM ^

Should have been more specific. Yes, there are politics everywhere in these threads - I don't have a problem with them because a) they aren't US politics, and b) they are more analysis than dogma. The guy I am objecting to has littered his posts this morning with little snide comments about Trump, trying to get a rise out of the board. In some places it seems to have worked. Either way, my issue is his *repeated* attempts to turn a Euro-economic discussion into a conversation on the US presidential race.

jakerblue

June 24th, 2016 at 7:47 AM ^

The bad weather was also mainly in London, which is where the biggest population and remain supporters are. It kind of broke along the lines you would think in the US. More educated urban areas voted to remain, more rural working class voted for the exit. The parallels to the trump phenomenon, are fascinating and scary.

jakerblue

June 24th, 2016 at 7:47 AM ^

The bad weather was also mainly in London, which is where the biggest population and remain supporters are. It kind of broke along the lines you would think in the US. More educated urban areas voted to remain, more rural working class voted for the exit. The parallels to the trump phenomenon, are fascinating and scary.

gopoohgo

June 24th, 2016 at 8:41 AM ^

When you are afraid to put something to a popular vote, and cannot provide a convincing argument in your favor...wouldn't that suggest you deserve to lose that vote?

Regardless of the merits (not very many IMHO) and drawbacks (a whole crapload), what cannot be questioned is the lack of democratic accountability in how the EU functions.  The EU parliament doesn't create the EU laws; they are created by either the EU judicial system, or by regulation.  Prior  votes against (France rejecting the EU constituion, Ireland rejecting the Treaty of Lisbon) were overridden via treaties.

If the EU doesn't wake up and drastically change how it operates, the next dominos will be the Dutch and then the French.

Matt Millens M…

June 24th, 2016 at 7:21 AM ^

I just woke up and saw this everywhere. So can someone give me the quick rundown of what's going on and how it effects Europe and the World? Also I keep seeing stock market stuff. Just checked mine. Mines just fine? Just sorta confused. Thanks MgoBloggers!



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gopoohgo

June 24th, 2016 at 8:23 AM ^

The EU's 2nd largest economy (and one of the two engines, along with Germany, that is providing any growth to the EU economy), voted to leave.

All trade, financial, and immigration ties to the European continent will have to be renegotiated.

London's role as the financial hub of Europen, and the largest derivatives trading location, is up in the air.

Anything European is tanking today....and anyone with major exposure to Europe (every other major economy) is going along for the ride.

US markets aren't open yet.  Futures (Dow) are down 500.  The red wave is coming to your brokerage, 401K.

NCWolverine

June 24th, 2016 at 7:23 AM ^

For every $2.83 they give to EU they get $1 back. Free markets is what they want. EU is a bureaucratic nightmare for the countries who produce bc they have to carry the countries who don't, i.e. Greece et al.

tlo2485

June 24th, 2016 at 7:46 AM ^

Hey, it works for the B1G!

FIFY: "For every $2.83 Michigan gives to the B1G they get $1 back. Free markets is what they want. B1G is a bureaucratic nightmare for the schools who produce bc they have to carry the schools who don't, i.e. Rutgers et al.'

Should we pressure Manuel and Shlissel for a referendum?!?

Njia

June 24th, 2016 at 8:26 AM ^

Unless you're retiring in the next year or two, your retirement savings should be just fine. In fact, if you're still in the accumulation phase, now would be a good time to load up since investment securities are on sale.

Regarding the "what's best" part of your statement, I think the sentiment that probably carried the day is that Leave voters saw an EU bureaucracy that was answerable to no one making decisions that had painful effects. Whether the decisions being made were right or wrong (in the main) is less important in the mind of the average Leave voter than the failure to adequately acknowledge the downside of those decisions, and take steps to lessen the negative consequences.

We see the same sentiment here in the U.S. in the form of the Occupy movement, Bernie Sanders' and Donald Trump's candidacies, and so on. I doubt that it's about any one issue, per se; whether we're talking about immigration, free trade, or any other. Rather, it's the perception of arrogance (and perhaps hubris) on the part of the so-called "elites" (or "1%"; take your pick).

ats

June 24th, 2016 at 10:13 AM ^

Eh?  UK has been a beneficiary of the EU membership wrt to jobs as well as a goat.  There is a big honking Nissan plant in the UK that was basically put in just to sell to the rest of the EU. 

Labor heavy jobs in general have been leaving the UK but they've also been leaving the EU. 

Njia

June 24th, 2016 at 5:10 PM ^

Not whether it was fact. I would be willing to bet that a very large fraction of the people who voted Leave last night were voting based on a personal ( and emotional) examination of their present circumstance and found it wanting. That they blamed the EU was only the product of having a convenient scape goat.

PeterKlima

June 24th, 2016 at 8:00 AM ^

Where does this stat come from? Where does the one dollar come from? This seems to hide the real issue. What England got was not supposed to be direct payments back from the EU. The benefits of membership are very real,but also hard to quantify. I guess people prefer quick simple stats to acknowledging that other things are more important. I wonder how looking at things solely in terms of ROI would work n in other complicated situations. What do I get from funding the police? What is the return on investment in my children? Wha does Michigan football give me in terms of dollars back?



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Bodogblog

June 24th, 2016 at 8:28 AM ^

You could calculate a ROI on police, though it would be fraught with assumptions. Investing in your children is a personal choice that has more to do with existential questions (why are we here? one simple answer is to continue the line) than ROI. Michigan football is not return generating, it's entertaiment. It's what you spend your returns on. Like hookers or ice cream cones, it doesn't give you money back or mitigate losses.

ramenboy

June 24th, 2016 at 7:26 AM ^

Just to clarify, England is not the UK per se. Rather, England, Scotland, Northern Ireland, and Wales are countries that make up the United Kingdom. Never realized this until I started working for a British bank.



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Mgodiscgolfer

June 24th, 2016 at 8:25 AM ^

who spend their day blaming President Obama for bad weather or anything that their unhappy about. When Bush was in office and we captured Saddam Hussein cars were blowing their horns driving up and down our street like the Lions had won the Super bowl. When Bin Laden was shot by the Seals you could hear a pin drop almost as if people around here just didn't care where he was or they didn't spend much time thinking about him. Simular to the reaction of the "liberal" media in this country.