Najee or Jabrill?

Submitted by Henry Arulingverder on

The football gods grant you ONE wish: Jabrill returning for another year or #NH2AA?

Obviously "both" is the correct answer but you only get 1 (play along). Caveats about comparison being the thief of joy temporarily suspended. Who would make a bigger impact on next year's season?

I caved this week and watched Najee's highlights - he'd be a helluva pick up. That said, 5 Star RBs grow on trees every year. Jabrill is a once in a lifetime talent. Pep coming back would instantly raise our collective expectations for 2017-2018.

I'd be thrilled if either of these scenarios happened IRL, but for conversation's sake, I'm going with Peppers

ADKGoBlue

January 6th, 2017 at 1:53 AM ^

Probably Peppers because we already know how well his talents translate to the college game. We know he is a gamechanger at nearly any positon on the field. Najee would probably be great at running back, but we just don't know because he has never taken a snap in college. For that reason, I would take Jabrill back.

goblue16

January 6th, 2017 at 1:53 AM ^

Our offense should be fine next season. I actually think they may be better next season. Defense is a big problem though and Peppers adds needed speed and awareness. We don't need another running back



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FrankMurphy

January 6th, 2017 at 2:48 AM ^

I don't think defense will ever be a big problem while Don Brown is in charge. We lose a lot of starters, but all that means is that we'll have a top 10 defense instead of a top 3 defense. The success of the offense, on the other hand, hinges on the strength of the offensive line. And we'll be breaking in at least three new starters on what was already a below-average line. So I'm much less confident about the offense than the defense.

Having said that, yeah, I would take a known playmaker over an unproven talent any day of the week, even if it was only for one year

ArmenHammer

January 6th, 2017 at 2:49 AM ^

If we pick up Filiaga and an OG, then the offense will definitely be better regardless of Najee. I have faith in the d-line, but Tufele is needed for depth and for the future since Lawrence Marshall probably won't totally fill in for Hurst after this season. Corners are fine in Hill and Watson and maybe even Clark. Safeties are good in Kinnel and Hudson. I'm nervous about the linebackers, though, since so much of our schemes operated on spies and nullifying the perimeter (even if it took a while to work fully like it did in Colombus). McCray comes back, so that's good. But, there's little reason to have faith in Bush as slow and short as he is, and Metellus' performance in the Orange Bowl, although impressive in tackling, wasn't anywhere as threatening to FSU as Jabrill would have been. If you give all of these guys a year to develop, then some stars may arise given their potential, and Jabrill would only be there for one year. Even with Jabrill, for a shot at the national championship, we would need to be a top 10 offense and a top 10 defense if not the best like this past year, which seems like a long shot. Given that, I think Najee is the better choice to build for the future.

The Fan in Fargo

January 6th, 2017 at 7:27 AM ^

Was thinking the same thing. Devin Bush is faster than McCray and Gedeon from what I've witnessed and when he gets to where he's going, he makes noise. He's a little firecracker who'll knock you on your ass before you can even look up and run your play.

war-dawg69

January 6th, 2017 at 8:33 AM ^

I think most everyone is excited about Metullus, but Bush is a future stud at LB. He is one of the guys I most look forward to watching progress. I agree about D-line as far as depth goes, but think our O-line will be better as will are running game. Jabrill back would be huge for Michigan and I believe would have greater impact as only for one year. 

JTrain

January 6th, 2017 at 9:05 AM ^

Bush is slow now? When did that happen?
Was Chris Spielman fast? I don't remember him being a track star.

Not worried about linebacker. Worries about D line (depth, people playing out of position due to lack of depth), secondary, and probably most of all...our inability to run the ball (The ever lingering offense line problem that won't seem to go away). Hoping Drevno and Harbaugh can find some diamonds in the rough.



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Ronnie Kaye

January 6th, 2017 at 1:54 AM ^

Najee Harris. We haven't had a great back here in nine years. Haven't had an elite talent at the position since 1995.

TheCool

January 6th, 2017 at 11:31 AM ^

Dude there are so many 5*'s who panned out and played amazingly, but you and others can't get past the 2 or 3 who didn't at UM, who were coached and developed totally differently.

Darren McFadden, Joe McKnight, Jonathan Stewart, CJ Spiller, Demarco Murray, LeSean McCoy and more.

tf

January 6th, 2017 at 12:43 PM ^

Over the holidays, I actually became interested in figuring out how often composite 5*s pan out.  I chose to look at the classes of 2010-2013, starting with 2010 since that's the first year all four current recruiting sites (Rivals, Scout, ESPN, and 247) were extant and ending with 2013 since kids in that class have had a full four years in college.

The 247 composite 5* RBs from those classes are:

2012 Johnathan Gray RB 0.9973 Texas
2010 Michael Dyer RB 0.996 Auburn
2011 Isaiah Crowell RB 0.9958 Georgia
2011 Brandon Williams RB 0.9921 Oklahoma
2011 Malcolm Brown RB 0.9916 Texas
2013 Thomas Tyner RB 0.9899 Oregon
2013 Kelvin Taylor RB 0.9896 Florida
2013 Keith Ford RB 0.9873 Oklahoma
2012 TJ Yeldon RB 0.9867 Alabama
2013 Derrick Green RB 0.9867 Michigan
2011 Savon Huggins RB 0.9866 Rutgers
2012 Russell Shell RB 0.9845 Pitt
2010 Lache Seastrunk RB 0.9835 Oregon

Six of those guys (Savon Huggins, Russell Shell, Lache Seastrunk, Keith Ford, Brandon Williams, and Derrick Green) transferred and finished their careers at a school other than the one at which they started.  Two --Michael Dyer and Isaiah Crowell -- had their careers shortened by arrests.  None of them were ever an All American.  TJ Yeldon, Michael Dyer, and Lache Seastrunk each made first team All-Conference once.  Malcolm Brown once made second team All Conference.  Isaiah Crowell made All Conference at Alabama State after getting booted from the Georgia team after his arrest.

 

I suppose everyone has their own expectations for 5* players.  Personally, I was surprised by how few of those guys met my own personal expectations for 5* RBs.

Lee Everett

January 6th, 2017 at 2:13 AM ^

OP asks: which of two desirable events that aren't certain to happen would you prefer?

You ask:if one undesirable event was happening would you commit further to it to avoid another undesirable event that would be certain otherwise?

I audited a logic class once upon a time but I'm experiencing vague recollections of p and ~p and logical fallacies and all that.

Lee Everett

January 6th, 2017 at 2:19 AM ^

I think this is the pragmatic answer.

Three years of Najee could be more beneficial than one year of Jabrill.

However, I'd be happy with the example that Jabrill would be setting by completing his degree and not jumping to the NFL with unfinished business.  I remember how happy I was to hear that Taylor Lewan was returning despite receiving a first round draft grade, it'd be nice if that happened more often.  

I'd sacrifice three years of Najee if that (refusing to go winless against OSU, refusing to leave without your degree, refusing to go out on a sour note, etc.) became more of a norm.

schreibee

January 6th, 2017 at 2:17 AM ^

We're getting neither, that's the reality I'm living with & I won't entertain any other. On Christmas I assume I'm getting socks, anything else is a pleasant surprise...

TheBorg

January 6th, 2017 at 2:29 AM ^

We need his athleticism, leadership and experience for 2017 if we're to have a reasonable chance to win the B1G.  I agree and then some with the OP; essentially, RB's a dime a dozen, including Harris.  He doesn't have the breakawy speed of a Tyrone Wheatley/Harlan Huckleby, the ability to break tackles like Jamie Morris/Mike Hart, or the combination of the two like Tim Biakabatuka/Tony Boles. Of course, he may turn out to be a world beater but given the two choices, Peppers is the obvious one to go with given that he is at the all-world level.

ArmenHammer

January 6th, 2017 at 2:31 AM ^

Who would have a bigger impact on next season? Easy, Jabrill.

But, wait a minute. Are you asking would I rather have Najee or Jabrill for a year (meaning next year) or would I rather have Najee or Jabrill for the rest of their career? That's the big point, cuz there's almost no way in hell Jabrill would return for a 5th year, but Najee would stay until probably his junior year. Given that, Jabrill would help us next year in perhaps a relative down year for the team, but Najee would help progress the program for years to come. So, this comes down to whether or not Jabrill's contribution next year could put us in national championship contention. Without at least Najee, though, I don't see that happening. The only way we have a shot at the national championship is with both Jabrill AND Najee and a lot of luck with o-line recruiting and rapid development of all of them. So, in the long run, I would pick Najee if I had to choose, because otherwise we wouldn't have a shot at the national championship next year anyways. 

RobM_24

January 6th, 2017 at 2:38 AM ^

Jabrill, no question. Offensive line dictates the running game more than anything. The line we have next year will be the same regardless of who the RB is. Also, Jabrill impacts all 3 phases. Najee would be exciting bc of the potential, but he's not a known commodity like Pep.