Lunardi's Most Recent Bracketology (3/12 @ 12:15 ET)

Submitted by bklein09 on

 

After another wild day of conference tournament action, what has the Bracketologist concocted in his laboratory? 

Did Notre Dame's overtime loss to Louisville knock the Fighting Irish off the 1-seed line? What effect did the Alabama-Georgia game have on the bubble? How about those three bubblicous teams in the ACC? How important was Penn State's second victory over Wisconsin? 

Check back with ESPN.com later for Lunardi's latest bracket. For now, here's a preview: 

TOP SEEDS 

East: Ohio State 
Southwest: Kansas 
Southeast: Notre Dame 
West: Pittsburgh 
*Next In Line: Duke 

CONFERENCE BREAKDOWN 

Big East (11) 
Big Ten (7) 
Big 12 (6) 
ACC (5) 
SEC (4) 
Pac-10 (4) 
Atlantic 10 (3) 
Mountain West (3) 
Colonial (2) 
West Coast (2) 

LAST BYES (avoid First Four games in Dayton) 

Richmond 
Illinois 
Saint Mary's 
Clemson 

LAST FOUR IN 

Virginia Tech 
Colorado 
USC 
Penn State 

FIRST FOUR OUT 

Alabama 
Boston College 
Georgia 
Memphis 

NEXT OUT 

UAB 
Missouri State 
 

WolvinLA2

March 12th, 2011 at 12:30 AM ^

ND and Pitt are one seeds despite losing.  UNLV as high as they are.  Colorado and USC in despite being barely on the bubble before today and losing. 

Not surprised:

We rule.

AAB

March 12th, 2011 at 12:31 AM ^

that of the teams on that list, the only ones still playing basketball games are Memphis, Bama, Va Tech, Penn State, Richmond and Clemson.  

Everyone worrying needs to relax.  

wlubd

March 12th, 2011 at 12:32 AM ^

For those who still have a shred of lingering doubt. Please proceed to get off the ledge. We're a lock. That he has the confidence to bump us and Sparty ahead of Illinois proves that.

Muttley

March 12th, 2011 at 12:36 AM ^

LAST BYES (avoid First Four games in Dayton) Richmond Illinois Saint Mary's Clemson LAST FOUR IN Virginia Tech Colorado USC Penn State FIRST FOUR OUT Alabama Boston College Georgia Memphis NEXT OUT UAB Missouri State

wlubd

March 12th, 2011 at 12:39 AM ^

And of the ones still playing...

Richmond has Temple tomorrow. Winner likely will win the A-10 autobid, a loss keeps them behind us.

Clemson and VaTech have UNC/Duke tomorrow respectively. Would be shocked if both win.

Penn State has Sparty-One of those teams will fall with a loss.

Bama has Kentucky-Good luck to them on that one. They barely took a Georgia team today that did everything possible to lose.

Memphis has UTEP for the CUSA. Win and they get the autobid. Lose and they're out.

wlubd

March 12th, 2011 at 1:08 AM ^

You're right, hard to tell because he keeps updating without publishing a new bracket.

Since last night, the Big Ten (PSU) and Pac-10 (USC) gained a bid while the ACC (BC) and SEC (Georgia) lost a bid.

Tater

March 12th, 2011 at 11:58 AM ^

On the negative side, Fisher was either complicit in the Ed Martin Fiasco, or he was an overwhelmed ostrich for whom burying his head in the sand didn't work.  On the positive side, he took a team that chronically underacheved under Bill Frieder and won the NCAA Tournament with them. 

The tiebreaker: the NCAA Championship banner that is still hanging at Crisler.  AFAIC, Fisher gets a free pass for his later transgressions for contributing to one of the most pleasant surprises in University of Michigan history.  I would go so far as to say that the NCAA Championship was even more of a shock than the football team's 24-12 win over TSIO in 1969. 

The 1969 game, while it was huge, was only one game.  Michigan wasn't seen as having much a of a chance, but they were seen as having a little one.  OTOH, the basketball tournament took six wins, and Michigan was an afterthought going in.  It's not like Michigan got an easy schedule, either.  They had to beat UNC in the sweet sixteen, and #1 Illinois had beaten them twice that season.  Illinois was a powerhouse team that year, and had recruited the Chicago area extremely well. 

When you beat the #1 team in the country in the Final Four after they had beaten you by 12 and 16 points, it has to count for something.  Sean Higgins' short baseline jumper is still indelibly etched into my head, 22 year later.  Also, while Michigan got a lot of great publicity for the 1969 win and it ushered in a new era of Michigan football, they didn't get a National Championship out of it. 

So, even with the ten years of BS caused by the Martin Fiasco, I'll give Fisher a pass for 1989.

 

Blue boy johnson

March 12th, 2011 at 12:25 PM ^

Michigan hoops in 1989 was a 3 seed in the tournament, they were not a great shock, unexpected but hardly shocking.

The team finished with a 30-7 record with 2 of the losses coming against the best team in the country that year, the Fighting Illini. 2 more losses came at the hands of the Indiana Hoosiers, an eventual #2 seed in that years tourney and a very good basketball team.

Also a team with 5 future NBA players, including 4 first rounders, wasn't sneaking up on many teams. I won quite a few NCAA pools that year by picking M to win it all. Mills, Vaught, Robinson, Rice, Higgins, were all very highly sought after McDonald's AA type recruits.

jmblue

March 12th, 2011 at 2:39 PM ^

I wouldn't go that far.  Fisher deserved to be fired.  I don't think, though, that he should be blamed for the collapse of the program after he left.

PurpleStuff

March 12th, 2011 at 1:17 AM ^

Have to think we'll pull a decent seed out when all is said and done.  There are a number of teams I can come up with off the top of my head outside of this bubble group listed whose resumes aren't as good as Michigan's right now (Marquette, Tennessee, MSU, etc.).  Factor in the opportunity to play the #1 team in the country along with all the teams we've played that are still padding their own resume (MSU, PSU, Clemson, Harvard, UTEP) and things could look really good come Sunday, especially considering all the nervous bubble watching we've all been doing the last few weeks.

Bosch

March 12th, 2011 at 7:41 AM ^

the 8/9 seed.  As much as it sounds ass backwards, I'd rather be a 10 or 11 seed because of the potential second round matchup.  I don't see us jumping up to a 7, unless we win the BTT.

aiglick

March 12th, 2011 at 1:22 AM ^

Sweet bliss to be essentially a lock for the Tourney. Speaking of which we probably want Washington to beat Oregon now so they don't steal a bid. The team is playing with house money against OSU tomorrow. That said, get her done team. In all seriousness I am just really happy for this team.

Muttley

March 12th, 2011 at 1:02 PM ^

Conferences/Bid thieves still alive:

A10 (semis): Dayton, St Joseph's SEC (semis): Alabama (considered "out" by Lunardi) WAC (final): Boise St