Perkis-Size Me

May 18th, 2021 at 1:24 PM ^

Every now and again they'll still get a clunker of a game that they probably should've won. Oregon could be that game. 

The only thing I know for sure is that when OSU comes to Ann Arbor, whoever their QB is will be playing like a Heisman finalist and will have a final stat line akin to 21/27 for 385 yards, three TDs, and one on the ground. It's as sure to happen as death and taxes. 

CFraser

May 18th, 2021 at 1:13 PM ^

Especially early west coast trips but this one will be home so advantage UM (even without actual crowds). But it’s more of a disadvantage when playing at noon (feels like 9AM) on the west coast for Eastish teams than playing at 8 for west coast teams (basically a 4 pm game). Either way, it’ll still be a tough test for sure.

mgoblue0970

May 18th, 2021 at 1:02 PM ^

Against Pac competition, from what I could find at a cursory glance the games KJ called are:

1/1/1992 Washington

1/1/1998 Washington State

1/1/2004 USC

Which surprised me.  I would have thought KJ called some OOC games against UCLA or Washington or something back in the day.  But I didn't come across that in my brief search.  

I'm supposed to be working (in a boring training class right now) right now so I didn't dig deeper.

Blue@LSU

May 18th, 2021 at 2:00 PM ^

This is what I found for the 2000s. Not a good record with Keith in the booth.

 

Record W/out Keith (2000-2005): 52-16

Record With Keith  (2000-2005): 1-5

Chi-square = 9.70, p < .01

Conclusion: Having Keith Jackson (RIP) in the booth is associated with a statistically significantly higher number of losses (and fewer wins) than what we would expect by chance alone.

 

2000     UCLA             L

2001     Washington    L

2003     OSU              W

2003     Oregon          L

2004     USC               L

2005     Texas             L

Blue@LSU

May 18th, 2021 at 3:39 PM ^

Found broadcast teams from 1994-1999. It looks like it’s a different story in the 1990s.

 

Record w/out Keith: 44-12

Record with Keith: 12-4

Chi-square:  .0918, p = .762

 

There is no statistically significant difference in the number of wins or losses when Keith is in the booth compared to when he is not in the booth.

 

1994 Colorado L

1994 PSU L

1994 Illinois L

1996 Illinois W

1996 Colorado W

1996 UCLA W

1996 PSU L

1996 OSU W

1997 Colorado W

1997 ND W

1997 PSU W

1997 Wisconsin W

1997 OSU W

1997 WSU W

1998 PSU W

1998 OSU L

Richard75

May 18th, 2021 at 3:41 PM ^

He called the crazy '89 trip to UCLA. Total trap game. U-M was favored and #5 but was banged up and coming off the Rocket Ismail game.

U-M trailed all game but blocked an extra point and got a late fumble. Had a chance to salvage a tie (no OT back then) on a 2-point conversion and failed...but got the onside kick and won on a FG.

LostPatrol14

May 18th, 2021 at 12:21 PM ^

Michigan played at Husky Stadium back on September 8th, 2001. They return to Washington on September 11th this season. I have a feeling they may do something in memory of the victims of September 11th.

Edit: I'm an idiot. It's a home game. First four games are home games, actually. If you all neg me, I will totally understand as this is much deserved.

lhglrkwg

May 18th, 2021 at 12:35 PM ^

Yeah, the popular storyline is Harbaugh sucks and can't win big games but that's almost entirely because of OSU. We've been quite good at home under Harbaugh and have clubbed very good Wisconsin, Notre Dame, and Penn State teams. I think Harbaugh's home record (prior to last season) was really good minus OSU

Sambojangles

May 18th, 2021 at 12:52 PM ^

Packed Big House is an important qualifier, since the Wisconsin game last year was a night game and did not go so well. 

But, point taken. 2019 Notre Dame, 2018 Wisconsin and 2018 Penn State have all been recent afternoon/evening games against good teams that have been comfortable wins.

Qmatic

May 18th, 2021 at 12:43 PM ^

Now Miami isn't going to beat Alabama, but they lost so many close games last year and have King back this year. I think they give a pretty good game for about 3 quarters to a Bama team with a new QB, RB, and top two WRs.

The Georgia-Clemson game is one that is massive for Kirby Smart. He cannot afford to lose this game (Clemson can).

FSU is still a bit away so I think ND wins easily.

Ole Miss wins no issue vs Louisville.

Perkis-Size Me

May 18th, 2021 at 1:38 PM ^

Kirby can lose that game and still be fine. Who he can't lose to is Florida. Otherwise his schedule next year is extremely manageable. No Alabama, LSU, or A&M on the schedule, and he catches Auburn in the middle of a coaching change.

What matters is winning the SEC. If he wins the SEC, he's in the playoff. I won't pretend he doesn't have pressure on, but I'm not really sure I understand the people who want him out. He's won the Rose, Sugar and Peach Bowl, he's won the SEC, puts kids into the NFL, and was one play away from a national championship in his second season. He's a very clear upgrade from his predecessor, and has had only one season (his first) where his team wasn't playing for at least an NY6 trophy. 

I'd kill for Michigan to have the success Smart has had at UGa. 

Perkis-Size Me

May 18th, 2021 at 1:30 PM ^

Alabama-Miami could be intriguing for a half or so, but Miami is not going to have anywhere near enough firepower to keep up. 

ND-FSU will probably be a snoozer, as FSU is still garbage until proven otherwise, and then I'm not sure about Louisville-Ole Miss, but that Georgia-Clemson game should be really fun to watch. If there was a time to catch Clemson, its in the first game of the season when Trevor Lawrence is no longer around. I'd still put my money on Clemson simply because Georgia does not have a balanced offense (they really never have), their #1 WR tore his ACL a few months ago and is almost definitely out for this game, and Clemson's presumptive QB, while no Trevor Lawrence, already has plenty of big game experience with having to play at ND last year and almost winning as a true freshman. They can definitely still win, I just wouldn't bet on it myself. 

MJ14

May 18th, 2021 at 7:41 PM ^

Don’t discount the fact that Miami has King returning and he is a player. Good QBs in the college game can make a huge difference. Plus ‘Bama has a load of new offensive guys starting for the first time this season. Not saying Miami will win but they could keep it close a lot longer. Also crazy to see Josh Jobe and Emil Ekiyor both listed as starters for ‘Bama. Michigan really could have used a guy like Jobe recently.