Festivus for the "Pass More Crowd"

Submitted by Michael Scarn on September 12th, 2021 at 3:35 PM

I have a lot of problems with you people!

Sitting in the Big House on Saturday for the first time since 2019 was a cathartic experience.  At least for me.  I was anxious to get in the stadium early, and it seemed like just about all in attendance had the same idea.  The game, crowd, and environment proceeded to over-deliver on expectations: Michigan never trailed, covered by 14 points, and choked the life out of Washington with a fair amount of ease. 

And yet, grumblings of "pass the ball" repeatedly rained around me in the stands all game.  Board posts reflected many of the same thoughts.  "Give McNamara experience," "develop the receivers" yada yada yada.

WHAT IS WRONG WITH YOU PEOPLE?

Michigan did not stubbornly running their head into the wall.   To the contrary, Washington, as expected, kept their deep safety in Kalamazoo for most of the game, and Michigan repeatedly had light boxes to run at by my amateur count from Section 4.  That same safety took an angle on Blake Corum like he was Ben Mason.  Regardless of defensive formation or scheme changes, Michigan over and over again did whatever they damn wanted on the ground.  The drive to start the third quarter sucked a whole lot of life out of everyone wearing purple and gold in the stadium (fans included).  Do none of you remember what it felt like to watch Wisconsin do that to Michigan?  22 run plays in a row, if memory serves.  Experiencing the receiving end of such ground bludgeoning makes you want to forget football exists. 

When your yards per carry exceed what would qualify as a strong yards per attempt metric, advocating to abandon the run is a demonstration that you do not understand basic  game theory.  Not to mention the fact that Washington's corners are very strong.  At least one will play on Sundays.  It is also not as if Michigan just refused to throw the ball downfield; the back shoulder to Johnson, the missed deep shot to Wilson, some downfield balls that were tipped, etc. 

Jim Harbaugh would love to have a prolific passing game, I am sure.  Josh Gattis too!  Their job is to win football games, pure and simple.  And to my eye, virtually every decision on Saturday from his staff reflected a coherent, savvy, and appropriately aggressive strategy to that end.  It felt like watching a far superior poker player slowly extract chips from a heads up opponent.  A few of my favorite calls:

  • The fake punt, obviously.  Timed and scouted incredibly well.  The best (and only) time to go for a fake punt is when most in the stadium would laugh at the notion pre-snap.  
  • Trusting Jake Moody from 52.
  • Pretty much every 4th down decision playing by the established math.
  • Robber adjustment late after Washington exploited the middle of the field repeatedly.
  • Cade is clearly allowed to pull the ball, even if he blew one read.

To show you I am not a total homer, on the flip side, a few coaching decisions bear questioning:

  • The two tight end "levels" boot on 2nd down inside the 10 that burned an opportunity to chip away towards the goal line and gave McNamara only half the field.
  • Playing Donovan Edwards on the drive that was the first chance to really ice the game.  
  • Subbing the front seven repeatedly into a hurry up from Washington.

That's about all I can disagree with - to my mind, other criticisms are unfounded. 

There remain much tougher tests ahead, to be sure.  Michigan will need to be more than one-dimensional to beat the better teams in the Big Ten.  But Saturday, one dimension was more than enough.  And it felt damn good.

Go Blue.

 

 

 

 

Comments

DennisFranklinDaMan

September 12th, 2021 at 4:33 PM ^

All of us "haters" are also "fans" who enjoyed the win. But some of us also also enjoy looking forward, prognosticating, and trying to evaluate how our team will match up against better teams down the road.

In other words, everyone's happy with the win. Of course. But some of us worry that the lack of a passing game represents a problem ... and are a bit confused that in a 21-point win we didn't try to get more in-game practice at it. Is the idea really to wait until we're down by 14 points in the second quarter against a good team, and then start hoping we can develop a passing game on the fly?

In any event, stop accusing those of us who are worried about the passing game of not enjoying the win. That's a straw-man. We're all happy Michigan dominated Washington, and in fact, we're all very happy to have such an effective running game. I, for one, worry that that alone won't be enough.

Newton Gimmick

September 12th, 2021 at 4:46 PM ^

Considering that Washington's greatest (only?) strength was their secondary, and they refused to stack the box and couldn't stop our running game -- check the Washington boards, they're embarrassed and perplexed they were run over by a one-dimensional, predictable offense -- it seems outright dumb to chuck it around just to "practice" or alleviate future hypothetical fears that Jim will use the exact same gameplan against a team very different from Washington.  

Oh and there were literal comments on this site that despite the win, people had even larger concerns moving forward about beating Wisconsin, Penn State, MSU etc.  (IDK I guess they thought we were going 15-0 until last night?).  So that's not really a straw-man, even if it doesn't characterize your particular view.

DennisFranklinDaMan

September 12th, 2021 at 10:07 PM ^

Sort of depends what kind of passes they were. More dump-offs to guys swinging out of the backfield, no. But some attempts downfield? Yes, 10 would have definitely been sufficient.

Look. People like me are concerned that Michigan's offense is one-dimensional, and that we're going to be exposed by teams better at stopping the run. We would have liked some evidence that we can pass effectively. We didn't get it.

That's ok. Nobody's panicking. We're all happy with the win. But it would be nice to have a little more reason for optimism about the passing game. Maybe the rest of you don't need it. Maybe we'll never need to pass effectively, or maybe Harbaugh's keeping it under wraps for some reason. Fair enough. I really hope one (or both) of those are true!

Soulfire21

September 13th, 2021 at 12:34 PM ^

I think 15 pass attempts in this game is sufficient given the success of the run, but a lot of passes were to (or behind) the LOS. We didn't run play-action. The strategy with the passing game, at least to me, made almost no sense.

33 of our 44 passing yards came on one play, meaning we were 0.78 yards per attempt on the other 14 passes. That is concerning regardless of the opponent.

I'm concerned that Gattis cannot develop a coherent passing strategy because we haven't seen it yet. Hopefully, that's just a product of a prolific rushing attack. A good run game alone will likely not be enough against the better teams on our schedule. We'll need at least a functional passing game, and right now the jury is still out on whether or not we have that.

I also know that if I was a touted receiver in the stands for this game I would not consider Michigan as a place I'd want to likely go. Good receivers aren't going to want to just block 50 times a game.

Michael Scarn

September 12th, 2021 at 8:09 PM ^

My point is - you can say, "hey, our passing game should be better."  But that is very different from saying "we are going to lose this game more if they keep running" and criticizing clearly effective play calls.  I do not think Michigan is a good enough team yet to get whatever types of offensive reps they want in games against half competent teams.

I also am fully aware I am arguing against somewhat of a strawman - the Seinfeld reference is supposed to convey this is a bit tongue-in-cheek.

BlueSky

September 12th, 2021 at 4:33 PM ^

And I think we should take Harbaugh at his word when asked about the pass game.  He said there needed to be better communication between the sidelines and players to get the players in the right play calls and alignments.  That could fall on both the coaches and players, and something to work on this week.

This is where they miss Bell as one of the big areas he improved on was understanding the whole offense.  He can still help the wide outs with that, and they’ll hopefully step up.

JMK

September 12th, 2021 at 4:38 PM ^

I mean, we couldn’t really complete a downfield pass. Sure, we won, but it would have been nice to have reliably completed a downfield pass, or at least looked competent doing so. (The one downfield completion to CoJo, which accounted for 75% of our passing yardage, was way under thrown and lucky.) Even the short passing game looked incompetent. We won this game, which is great, but if this doesn’t make you nervous for the future, then you are a much happier, more optimistic person generally than I am. 

Red is Blue

September 12th, 2021 at 5:44 PM ^

This seems to be a different, and imho, a much more valid concern than "we didn't throw enough."  That is, when we did throw we didn't look good.

As an aside, i always hate the "but for that one play" argument.  For example, take away Corum's big run and his average and total drop significantly.  But his big run was made possible, at least in part, by the other less successful runs.

username03

September 12th, 2021 at 5:58 PM ^

"Saving it for Later" is a movie that's been out for a while so many people have already seen it. It's unfortunate that people are trying to spoil it for you though.

LeCheezus

September 12th, 2021 at 7:58 PM ^

I’m convinced if Cade was 35-50 for 450 yards and 4 TD’s and we had 50 yards rushing but we lost the game, some people here would actually be happier.  “ Hey we actually had a modern offense!”  
 

Guys, the brain trust obviously thinks the best way to win right now is to keep it on the ground.  Winning a game with all rushing when the other team has a good D and knows you’re going to run is impressive.  I don’t get why it’s somehow worse than throwing the ball.  Now, if they stick to that plan when it isn’t working, feel free to complain all you want.

jdemille9

September 12th, 2021 at 9:52 PM ^

Now, if they stick to that plan when it isn’t working, feel free to complain all you want. 

I think that's what the problem is. A lot of us, myself included, look at the lack of passing attack through two games and assume (not entirely unfairly given the Harbaugh tenure) that when push comes to shove and we NEED to pass to win games that we will still pound the rock to no end. Or when we come up against a front-7 that can stop our running game we will still keep handing it off whether it works or not.

Now this may not be the case with this team, but I can't think of any time in the Harbaugh tenure where the coaches were super adaptable and adjust each game plan for each specific opponent. That said, I'm happy to be 2-0 but stick by my 8-4 record I had coming into the season.  

michengin87

September 12th, 2021 at 10:24 PM ^

That was OSU in a nutshell on Saturday.  Stroud passes for 484 yards with 3 TDs and 1 INT and they lose.  I'm not saying that we could have beaten Oregon with that approach, but I also think that Washington has a better secondary than Oregon and you play to your strengths and attack the opponent's weaknesses.

I think Sun Tzu said something like Avoid Strength and Attack Weakness, but what did he know.

rc90

September 12th, 2021 at 8:43 PM ^

Do none of you remember what it felt like to watch Wisconsin do that to Michigan? 

Yes, that was my exact thought as well. Washington is a P5 program and its defense apparently has some NFL talent. I hope Harbaugh doesn't think he can do that every week, but last night was fun.

Colt Burgess

September 12th, 2021 at 9:43 PM ^

I loved seeing the dominance up front. That was something that has been lacking, no doubt. And when something is working, you keep doing it until the opposition stops you. However, the few attempt at passing looked pretty bad. Protection was not good, and the receivers do not seem to be able to get separation. I don't really like what I've seen of Josh Gattis' passing attack. I don't believe our current receivers compare favorably with the ones who have been on the roster in the past. Cade McNamara is a good game manager, but he is not a first team QB on an elite team. For these reasons, and the fact that Ronnie Bell is out for the season, I am less than optimistic about the ability of the offense to move the chains and score against teams that are stout against the run. Unfortunately, this can only be addressed through recruiting, and recruits want to see a team that looks like it has a sophisticated approach to the passing game.  

MGoneBlue

September 12th, 2021 at 10:08 PM ^

Sometime in the first quarter, Cade threw at solid B+ ball at a receiver one-on-one with the CB, and had a step.  The CB effortlessly broke the pass up.  If that was a B- throw, it would've been intercepted.  Meanwhile, Michigan was getting whatever they wanted on the ground.  

Just win the game.

JMK

September 13th, 2021 at 4:11 AM ^

That was a D throw. Underthrown. Put it ahead of the receiver and it’s a nice gain. His one downfield completion was also underthrown, but in a lucky way. Cade was bad. If that’s why we didn’t try any downfield passes after that, then, well, I say we go full wishbone / 1989 Tony Rice offense. Michael Barrett for QB!

4th phase

September 12th, 2021 at 10:18 PM ^

I agree with you. I’ll repeat what I said in the game column: conventional wisdom is that you keep running till that safety creeps up then you throw over him. Well that safety never creeped up. And Washington didn’t get out of nickel. They kept playing with 3 down lineman. Never went super beef. So Michigan just took the yards the defense gave them. 
 

And once again, those swing passes in the 1st quarter were setting downs on fire because the DBs held those to no gain. So testing the edges didn’t work. I’m glad they went away from that. Because if a swing pass to uncovered Blake Corum gets -4 yards, then are we really confident in any WR getting enough separation consistently?

michengin87

September 12th, 2021 at 10:37 PM ^

There have been some very successful championship teams that largely have lived off the run.  I think our hated rival and even Bama have lived off the run primarily for most of the last 2 decades and really only passed when necessary.

Of course, no one wins a NC without at least a decent passing game and that is true now more than ever, but there's still a lot be said for toting the rock.

On the other side of the ball, I've been fairly impressed with our defensive work in 2 games.  It's obvious that we have some weaknesses at the corners and yet MacDonald, Clinkscale and Bellamy have done a pretty good job minimizing / disguising that so far.  Hopefully, they can continue to maximize the skills of the talent that they have.

OldSchoolWolverine

September 12th, 2021 at 10:52 PM ^

When your yards per carry exceed what would qualify as a strong yards per attempt metric, 

Best line of the post.... I confess, I was yelling at tv for what it seemed only inside runs.  The runs were correct, though doesn't change me wanting to see Cade throw deep.

BlueHills

September 12th, 2021 at 11:46 PM ^

I've got no axe to grind here. For whatever reason, the game plan worked well. On the other hand, it's legit to be concerned when the passes that are attempted appear kind of iffy. I give some credit to the opponent's defense. 

One item about the run game last night is perhaps overlooked: The defense got to rest. It's especially hard on a D-line to be out there all game - just ask the Washington players, or their coach who said they were worn down.

We saw how quickly Washington could score when they started to get hot late in the game. But they didn't have a lot of time or a lot of chances, and we got key stops, perhaps aided by the fact that the defense wasn't exhausted. Of course, by that late in the game Washington was pretty much out of time to pull the game out.

I'm good with a W. It'll be an interesting season.

Michigan Arrogance

September 13th, 2021 at 7:13 AM ^

All of this shit is waaaaay overblown. If you're worried about the passing game, don't worry about the number of passes thrown. Worry about effeciency and where they were attacking with the pass.

I didn't see a whole lot of PAP and that seems concerning b/c with the success of the running game, I'd assume that UW would have been fooled. Then again, coaches look for this specifically and if the safeties aren't rolling up to stop the run while M runs for 7 ypc, then they aren't going to get fooled  by a fake hand off.

I'd be worried about the screen/RB passing game or lack of quick slants and the poor accuracy from Cade on short passes. Effeciency is the issue, not the bulk numbers.

Re: recruiting impact. The simple truth is, we don't have the experienced playmakers at WR. They are young and not All B10 level players. To an 11th grader, that's a big flashing sign that says "PT avaialble." We didn't throw for shit in 1997 either. Yet somehow Drew Henson and David Terrell and Marquise Walker still came to A2. Different era, yes. But the flip side is, what RBs and OLs wouldn't want to play in the offense we saw Sat?

maizenbluenc

September 13th, 2021 at 3:56 PM ^

Biakabatuka game like stats: it was glorious - worrying this early in the season without other P5 data points sure - but glorious just the same.

 

The Wisconsin reference is a good point.

skatin@the_palace

September 13th, 2021 at 7:46 PM ^

I can’t get over the whole we should have passed more noise. The number of formations, personnel groupings, and plays run is going to have DCs swimming for a bit. To the educated eye, not one based purely in end of game stats, you can see the number of layers this offense has that teams have to respect. There was a twins gun pro formation w/ Honigford and Baldwin bunched tight to the formation on the far hash where Haskins ran for 6 or 7 yards. Cade made the right read and put us in 2nd and short. The overhand and the corner who had edge responsibilities because of the TE had to honor their routes which allowed a cutback lane for Haskins. The offense is working and setting up numerous ways to get guys the ball from different looks. 
 

You can coach Cade up on some reads, adjust some protection calls but honestly we’re not running into a legit NFL caliber DB, LET ALONE 2, until Penn State late in the season. The next big test is Wisconsin. Their best defensive player is Jack Sanborn, who will be playing on Sunday’s, but outside of that their secondary, though well coached, cannot run with the group even without Ronnie Bell. You put them in conflict and continue to run this powerful of a rushing attack and guys will be open. The concern about the passing game is a bit too soon IMO. On top of which, if Cade cannot make the throws, 5 Star JJ McCarthy is there with a hose of an arm.