[Marc-Grégor Campredon]

Seth's 2024 Bracket Assist Tool Comment Count

Seth March 19th, 2024 at 9:20 AM

I hustled this time and got it done. It's here. Update (6PM): NIT teams now added.image

What is it? There's overboard, there's way overboard, and then there's the way I approach NCAA brackets, which is to create an entire team scouting tool with vast amounts of information at the push of a button. And team-matching colors too.

I've adapted this from the spreadsheet I use for basketball previews, since I've found the best way to understand how teams will match up is to know who's on the court, how they play, and what to watch out for.

The new feature this year is you can type shortcuts in the yellow box to bring up teams instead of having to spell them exactly right. "PU" brings up Purdue, "Zona" gets you Arizona, "UH" brings up Houston, etc. You can also search by Region and Seed; "East 1" brings up UConn and so forth. Also you can bring up teams by their scores against Michigan football in 2023, and other easter eggs. There's a tutorial, but it's pretty intuitive.

What about for people who don't have excel?

The Excel version is the only one with all the features. There's a much dumbed down Google Sheets version, and I've kept the Text Only version going as well. Each of those links lets you download your own copy.

Most of the data are from Kenpom and Torvik, with the injuries from a combination of lists, my favorite being covers.com, but they miss injuries to lower seeds and recent things. Kenpom is good at highlighting a player who missed a game. Distance factor was calculated by putting the schools' addresses into Google Maps Formulas by Digital Inspiration. The shot charts are data from Hoop-Math. The last piece then is playing around a ton on Synergy to understand what kinds of shots and plays each player makes. Knowing how much their shots are contested is a big deal, especially because teams lie with assists.

How are those lines calculated?

Kenpom, Torvik, and Ed Feng's The Power Rank all produce metrics that are some form of "How many points will they score/be scored upon by an average team?". I average those out, adjust them for the opponent's tempo, and spit them back out in points terms.

What other sites do you recommend?

The list from 2022 is still good, except I no longer have access to Hoop-Lens, since Jay Cipoletti doesn't respond to any new subscribers. If you have an account you'd be willing to share that would be most helpful.

Who are you taking?

I haven't made my bracket yet. But we can discuss in the comments.

Comments

beenplumb

March 19th, 2024 at 9:58 AM ^

Thanks Seth.

When I downloaded the sheet, the Choose a Team in cell B3 was not a list. I had to manually make it so.

For anyone else experiencing this issue, here's how to fix on your end:

1) Click into cell B3

2) On the Data tab of the ribbon, click Data Validation

3) In the dialogue window, select "List" from the "Allow:" drop down menu

4) For "Source", enter "='Team Sheets'!$A$2:$A$88"

Cheers!

Seth

March 19th, 2024 at 10:25 AM ^

Feature not a bug. It's not meant to be a list. It triggers a vlookup that matches what you typed to a team. So if you type in "27-20" you will get Alabama, etc. The other team search area is a list of you want one but I got rid of data validation for the main selection box on purpose so you could write "UConn" and get Connecticut, or UH to get Houston, UNC for North Carolina, etc. It makes navigation must faster imo, and I wanted that because I found when I used it I wanted to flip to another team quickly.

hailhail

March 19th, 2024 at 10:24 AM ^

Thank you seth. This has been my go to resource for my family's annual mm bracket pool. Helpful to differentiate a bracket from everyone else who just go with vegas + a few upsets.

4th phase

March 19th, 2024 at 10:44 AM ^

Not sure how difficult this would be to add, but maybe a button that flips the team and opponent boxes so you can quickly look at the matchup from both perspectives.

mGrowOld

March 19th, 2024 at 12:43 PM ^

Best thing about this tool isnt developing a bracket IMO.  The best thing is using it as a betting guide to spot the games where the line doesnt reflect the data.  

And then betting accordingly.  Bigger the gap, the bigger the bet.

Blau

March 19th, 2024 at 1:16 PM ^

As the resident MGoCSURam Alumni, who are you taking to come out of the pool of 8 First Four 10 & 16 seeds? Of course I’d like to see CSU beat UVA and make it firmly in the field of 64 but crazy shit happens on neutral courts in the tournament.

Also given Brian’s penchant for Niko Medved to be the desired choice for the new HC, is there a particular aspect of his in-game coaching ability you’re looking out for? If you need some fun, light reading, I believe I have quite the drunken post-game rant after the 2022 UM-CSU first round matchup in the comments of that front page post for those interested in visiting memory lane.

Go Rammies!