I got your pass rush right here [Patrick Barron]

Michigan 27, Iowa 14 Comment Count

Seth October 1st, 2022 at 4:46 PM

There was a moment of discomfort. Iowa had a 2nd & 4 deep in Michigan territory, with the score 20-7 and plenty of time left for another unrushed possession. Cornerback DJ Turner, for our money Michigan’s best defender, lay on the ground surrounded by trainers. Around the nation, text threads of Wolverine faithful began prognosticating:

Easy TD here.
Where’s our pass rush?????!
I can’t believe I’m sayin this Iowa wants it more.
21-20 book it.
Yep. Gonna lose this weird game.
I hate Kinnick

But a quick throw to meaty Iowa TE Sam LaPorta was slammed down for no gain.

except the kids

A slippery cutback by RB Leshon Williams was stuffed after 1.5 yards. Standing on their 8 yard line, Michigan awaited their fate on a 4th and 2, and for some reason their fans were convinced 14 points hung in the balance.

and the kids.

It did feel weird to be worrying just then. After three sleepy quarters it seemed like Michigan was going to walk out of Kinnick with a good ol’ fashioned slow-motion whomping. The offense accepted the opening kickoff and efficiently moved the ball down the field, the line taking care of the first 3-4 yards, and Blake Corum supplying another 3-7 when the next level arrived. McCarthy just missed his one deep shot—to a very wide open Roman Wilson—but provided the accurate outs and checkdowns that were required to game manage a win against the Game Managers. Corum had 29 carries for 133 yards, with Donovan Edwards chipping in 29 yards on 5 carries.

They weren’t breaking them big, but that’s tough to do when facing the #1 defense with All-Americans like MLB Jack Campbell hunting them down. Michigan scored on its first drive with a beautiful Ronnie Bell end-around on which TE Luke Schoonmaker reversed course on a cross to lead Bell to the endzone. Their third drive was promising, and featured a truly Hart-like pile-carry by Corum, but died on a poorly executed speed option that McCarthy pitched without forcing Campbell to commit to him. Another long drive, this one with a great McCarthy throw to Andrel Anthony in The Hole, also sputtered out with a field goal. In between, Iowa had a few of their patented rollouts, but otherwise their best offensive play of the first half was their receiver falling down to draw a holding penalty on Rod Moore. Iowa tried a fake kneel at the end of the 2nd quarter, but Michigan wrangled it down after six yards and took a 13-0 lead into halftime, with a 236 to 91 advantage in yardage.

[After THE JUMP: Fewer texts, subtle flavors of booing]

--------------------------

52397705193_a78a6c8b3b_o

Might have to draw this one up. [Barron]

Coming out of the half it looked like the Wolverines were ready to put it away. Iowa went three and out, and Corum, McCarthy, Schoonmaker, and Bell keyed a quick march down the field. McCarthy dodged a defensive end, rolled out, and found Donovan Edwards in the back of the endzone for what felt an insurmountable 20-0 lead.

They were the winning points, but as the 3rd quarter rolled along, the tenor of the text threads began to shift. DJ Turner stepped in front of a deep hook but dropped what could have been a pick-six and a 27-0 “that’s it.” On Michigan’s ensuing possession, JJ McCarthy tried to escape a sack in progress with a backwards pass. Donovan Edwards raced back and fell upon the ball at the Michigan 3, but the huge loss meant Iowa got the ball in good field position. Given new life, Iowa slipped a fullback into the flat for a chunk. After taking a personal foul, Iowa converted a 3rd and 22 when Mike Sainristil fell down in coverage. That went out at the 2 yard line and set up Iowa's first touchdown.

Michigan had a quick three-and-out and Iowa kept the momentum. Petras laid in a tip o’ the hat seam pass to LaPorta against good coverage by LB Junior Colson. Leshun Williams dodged Mazi Smith at the line of scrimmage for a big 3rd and 7 conversion, and LaPorta fought through an RJ Moten TFL attempt to set off the tempest of four-letter texting and set up the afore mentioned 4th and 2.

Here the tip of the cap goes to Hawkeye offensive coordinator Brian Ferentz, who drew up a quick outside pass short of the sticks. Ball, receiver, and a penalty flag for offensive pass interference all hit the ground. The texts stopped as Iowa fans commenced a booooo-but-not-for-yoouuuuuuu that communicated a nuanced frustration not targeted at the players.

The threads would not be silenced for long. A bog typical run-run-incomplete-punt sequence gave the ball back to the Hawkeyes, though thanks to punter Brad Robbins’s bouncing liner, that drive was moved back to the Iowa 42. It would get no further. Mike Morris started the crucial drive with an authoritative sack from outside RT Connor Colby on 1st down, and caused an errant throw by coming inside Colby on the next play. On 3rd and 19, Eyabi Okie beat Colby a third time, just barely getting his hand on Petras and yanking him down. Okie came through on a well-designed stunt on 4th and 24, and Michigan had the ball back with 2:30 remaining.

corum

The #1 defense in the country wasn’t enough to stop the #1 back in the country. [Barron]

Michigan’s offense found their footing again, and once again it was thanks to the steady feet of their offensive line and Blake Corum. Finally breaking out into space with Campbell, Corum shimmied a shoulder inside, Campbell bought it, and Michigan’s superstar ran it in to make it 27-7. Iowa pushed the ball downfield under soft coverage for a face-saving late touchdown, but used up most of the little clock remaining. Michigan fielded the ensuing pop kick and kneeled once more to become just the second top-5 team in six tries to leave Kinnick with a victory, and the first to do so by more than two points. DJ Turner returned to the game on Iowa’s penultimate drive, but via Michigan Radio, WR Roman Wilson was taken to the locker room and did not return.

A banged up Wolverine squad got back Edwards and LG Trevor Keegan for this one, but LB Nikhai Hill-Green was still absent, and true freshman Jimmy Rolder appeared in the rotation ahead of Kalel Mullings, with Michael Barrett going most of the way. They have another Big Ten road trip next week to Bloomington before their first ranked foe, Penn State, comes to town in two weeks. There will be some moments to analyze, but Michigan passed a (mostly one-sided) test as tough as last week’s, and since they were kind enough to play this one at noon Michigan fans now get to enjoy the rest of thus-far lovely Midwestern October Saturday. I can’t wait to see what my friends have been saying about Maryland-MSU.

Comments

victors2000

October 1st, 2022 at 6:54 PM ^

That was better than good enough; we played well! One does not simply walk into Kinnick and expect a win. Behind those black gates, the Hawkeyes are - were - 5-1 at home against top 5 teams. This isn't just about juju; you got to be good to beat those guys at their place, and to beat them 27-7 before allowing a meaningless last-second touchdown, that was about being more than good enough.

stephenrjking

October 1st, 2022 at 5:01 PM ^

Since the beginning of 2019, Iowa has surrendered more than 24 points three times.

Two of those times have occurred at the hands of Michigan.

We all saw the stats: Iowa's record against top 5 teams at Kinnick since 2008 has been astonishing. Even their lone loss required a miracle last-second TD by Penn State. And this Iowa team has something good going for it, a defense that continues to be elite.

And Michigan came in with all kinds of potential red flags. It's the team's first road game this year, and JJ McCarthy's first road start, and things looked shaky last week after opening the season against three of the ten worst teams in college football. 

Michigan's answer to all this: Carve through the Iowa defense like a lightsaber for the first six drives.

In its first six drives, Michigan did not gain less than 35 yards, only punted when a freak trip put Michigan off schedule, and the only real disappointment was that two of the trips resulted in FGs instead of TDs. They varied passes and runs on first down. They paved through the middle of Iowa's defensive front. They hit quick outs and found soft spots in zones. They executed great end arounds. They built a multi-score lead against an offense that struggles to move the football and is not at all explosive.

In short, Michigan did most everything you would want to see on the road in Kinnick.

Was I frustrated by the fourth quarter? Yeah, sure. Michigan had two chances to chew up yards and clock and did not do so, and the defense yielded a lot of easy yards to Iowa's bad offense. But at no point did Iowa get within one score of tying or taking the lead; Michigan was playing the score, and while it didn't *feel* good, the result was exactly what they intended: An easy multi-score win, beating the spread.

This was the mid-term exam. The offense gets a solid "B." Not elite, but quite good, with potential to get even better as the season goes on. The defense is kind of hit-and-miss, and I think we'll see some of this all year, bend-but-don't-break. If the offense can hit the next level, that kind of defense will be plenty in most of the games this team plays.

A very good win. Don't let the uncomfortable fourth quarter distract us from what all four, put together, produced. 

King Tot

October 1st, 2022 at 6:46 PM ^

I mean, it was Ruddock's first year in the system and 2015 @Utah, Oregon State, UNLV, BYU, and @ Maryland is likely a tougher schedule.

Also, he is simply referencing how Ruddock became deadly accurate on deep balls after the MSU game that season and JJ needs to progress in that area slightly.

TrueBlue2003

October 2nd, 2022 at 12:56 PM ^

ratings aren't opponent adjusted and passer ratings don't take into account non pass events like sacks, fumbles, bad option reads, etc.

it's a terribly dated metric.  as a single data point, QBR is much better as a metric. 

that said, JJ has clearly been better than early rudock. but he also has a lot of room for improvement.  so I think it's fair to talk about how much improvement he might make this year (without comparing him to a guy with a lower floor and lower ceiling).

Goggles Paisano

October 2nd, 2022 at 2:34 PM ^

JJ did what he was supposed to do to beat Iowa.  Just take what they give you and take care of the ball.  Those deep balls will be hit going forward.  I just want to see him pull it a little more and use that speed out on the edge.  With his athleticism he should be able to get down or get out of bounds to avoid any big hits.  

TrueBlue2003

October 2nd, 2022 at 1:01 PM ^

I think there's even more improvement to be made at LB than on the edges.  Just getting NHG back should be a big upgrade at the second spot.  Maybe Jimmy Rolder continues to earn more time as a guy that knows what he's doing (but quite an indictment on LB play that a true freshman is potentially getting it better than veteran guys).

Buy Bushwood

October 1st, 2022 at 5:52 PM ^

Not sure this Iowa defense is truly "elite".  They really haven't played anyone, and, frankly, they weren't highly successful stopping us through either mode.  They're a pretty good defense.  A Wisconsin-esque defense without the incredible blitzing linebackers.  But I'd rather face them than several other defenses out there.  

wildbackdunesman

October 1st, 2022 at 10:07 PM ^

That Purdue @ Illinois game seems to be the key game for deciding the West.

I wouldn't be surprised if Purdue wins the West.

Illinois already has a loss and hopefully they lose to Michigan. That is 2 losses, and they are likely to trip up at least once to either Purdue, Iowa, or Minnesota for a 3rd loss.

Buy Bushwood

October 1st, 2022 at 7:35 PM ^

Low standards if either of those units qualifies as "great".  To be great it would seem like you'd need to transcend conference norms, like the UM D in 97, or the PSU O in 94.  At the very least, to be "great", even just relative to your own conference, you'd need to be the #1 for that year.  Somehow I doubt that Maryland is going to finish with the #1 O or Iowa the #1 D in the conference this year.  What they do represent is the best units we've faced so far this year.  But PSU will have a better D and we know who will have a better O.  

Blake Forum

October 1st, 2022 at 6:37 PM ^

Thanks for the perspective. My issues in this game were mostly on the defensive side of the ball--I could practically hear Don Brown screaming that you don't need to concede *anything* to a terrible offense. I knew we wouldn't win every offensive series, since this is legitimately the best defense we play this year. And we still shoved their front around and beat their coverages many times. Definitely a win to feel pretty good about

True Blue Grit

October 1st, 2022 at 5:03 PM ^

A big win in a tough place to play.  The OL came to play and JJ acquitted himself well in his first road game as a starter.  My favorite series was when our D sacked or hit Iowa's QB on 4 consecutive plays!  Go Blue!  

PopeLando

October 1st, 2022 at 5:07 PM ^

I saw this referenced in one of the Snowflake threads, but Iowa has given up 27+ points only TWICE in the last 3.5 years. Both to us. That'll do, pig.

On defense...idk man, it felt like the worst offense in the country was able to move the ball on us in non-fluke ways. I'll wait for the UFR, but I expect the net defensive RPS score to be near zero on this one.

MGlobules

October 1st, 2022 at 8:10 PM ^

Iowa's was an offense that had underperformed hideously moving back toward marginal competency in this game. I think it's possible we got some pieces of their sequence for the opening drive when they finally did score, and then watched--from a game management posture--as they ran their four-minute drill to score at the end.

A garbage time score always leaves a bad taste, but just let that go and it's a really great win.

And hounding or dropping the quarterback on four successive plays? That was a thing of beauty. I'm not sure I've ever seen that before.  

Kilgore Trout

October 1st, 2022 at 8:49 PM ^

I agree that the UFR will be interesting, but Iowa only really sustained possession twice. The first long drive of the fourth quarter they moved a long way, but it took 6:56 of the 4th quarter. The slow bleed made a comeback pretty unlikely. Obviously Iowa helped by never breaking the huddle until there was under 20 on the play clock.

The other long drive was the garbage time drive which I think is pretty meaningless. All in all, I think the defense did fine. 

elm

October 2nd, 2022 at 6:46 AM ^

Also looking forward to the defensive UFR. Live it looked like Sainristil and Moore had bad games covering the slot and TEs but I don’t trust my eyes on that. There were a lot of uncharacteristic tackling problems, too, and I’m willing to trust my eyes on those whiffs, but that didn’t seem to be player specific but team-wide. OTOH, I’m looking forward to seeing all the DL grade out well (tackling metric possibly notwithstanding.) Even Upshaw was making plays.

MGlobules

October 2nd, 2022 at 12:50 PM ^

My take in the immediate aftermath was that the secondary struggled more than I'd have expected but that the D line performed considerably better than projected at the season's start. But I also think that the vagaries of PI calls and non-calls make it harder to project D secondary success than one might wish, especially in big games. The refs are first-class neurotics, if the truth be told. 

Obviously, PSU is our other big test, and you gotta play the games. But it made me wonder about how deep OSU goes after Smith-Njigba.  

Goggles Paisano

October 2nd, 2022 at 2:41 PM ^

Petras had the best game of his life.  Yes, it's a very low bar.  They moved the ball more than I expected, but at the end of the day, there was 8 seconds left when they scored their meaningless TD.  And the first TD was a 44 yd drive.  

I also want to note that Kaleb Williams (who would be 5th - 7th string at Michigan) flexed twice after two of his runs (both thru gaping holes that my grandma could have found), while being down two and three scores.  What a tool.  

turtleboy

October 1st, 2022 at 5:09 PM ^

Celebrating a rare win at Iowa, trying my best to pretend the prolonged uncomfortable moment didn't exist, and definitely won't happen again in November. Beat Indiana.

fatpete

October 1st, 2022 at 5:11 PM ^

I'm happy with this game. We shredded their Defense when we needed to. Although Iowa's offense is not good - our defense made great plays when we needed them most.

This is a good win in Iowa City.

Good Win and GO BLUE!

umfan83

October 1st, 2022 at 5:22 PM ^

This is a game that so many 3-4 loss Michigan teams I’ve seen in my life lose. It’s one of those games where you know Michigan is the better team but they inexplicably let the other team take the momentum and Michigan craps its pants under pressure. 
 

This Michigan team took the ball to face one of the best defenses in the country and then drove it down their throats for a TD that set the tone for the entire game.  Despite a few tense moments that in retrospect shouldn’t have been *that* tense, Michigan controlled the whole game and won easily. 
 

These are the types of games we’ve seen OSU win with ease for years after we spend the whole week talking ourselves into the potential for “Kinnick magic” only to be reminded that it only seems to apply to the other 13 Big Ten teams. Now Michigan is winning these games. Love it!

DennisFranklinDaMan

October 1st, 2022 at 5:22 PM ^

I would have liked to see our offense do a bit more, honestly. Again no big plays, and from what's supposed to be one of Michigan's best offenses in decades, I would have liked to see more. Agree that JJ did well in his first real road start, and at Kinnick, but ... one completed pass to Anthony, and none downfield to Wilson, Henning, or Johnson.

I'd like to see a bit more diversification.

So I'll give the offense a B or a B+, and -- given the level of the competition -- about the same to the defense.

But a win's a win, obviously. Win and advance!

stephenrjking

October 1st, 2022 at 5:29 PM ^

They came close to hitting Wilson.

The problem with the downfield looks to Wilson: He only gets open one way: by being faster than the other guy. It's pretty good. But he doesn't make additional separation with explosive route-running, and he's not a jump-ball guy. So he has less separation and doesn't win high-point passes, so the pass can only be complete if it hits him in the right place in stride. 

That's not bad. He's a very good player. But it's not dominant, either. The pass to him in the end zone that he could not bring in (and, in fact, had to swing his arms to ensure it would not be intercepted) is a good example of this. The safety knew exactly where he was going (he had run the same route on that incomplete pass to Schoonmaker on the previous play) and Wilson didn't make any sort of route fake to cause him to hesitate. And when the ball wasn't thrown quite so far into the corner, Wilson lacked the ability to pivot, rise, and high-point the ball for a catch. 

I'd really like a guy to emerge who can do those things. Andrel Anthony has one pass catch in his history that suggests he *can* do that, but we've only seen it once. 

Johnson hasn't shown the ability to do this, either. And Henning is mostly a guy that picks up short stuff--it's his running ability after the catch that really makes him dangerous. 

The short version: We have a very good crew of receivers, but we don't seem to have a dominant player that can beat defenses deep in multiple ways. I'm not sure if this is a personnel limitation, or if coaching has something to with this, but it is what it is. Given where our receiving corps appeared to be a couple of years ago, I'm thrilled with what we have. But we don't have a guy who wins jump balls. 

Bo Harbaugh

October 1st, 2022 at 5:39 PM ^

Meh, Stephen, usually like your takes, but Wilson is a lightning bolt and if a reciever gets that open downfield, JJ needs to hit him more often than not.  JJ has missed his last 5 "touch bombs" - looking for him to correct that as the downfield shots should be there with our O-line and running game.

JJ's lasers 20 yards down the field, like the one to Andrel Anthony are NFL elite and a joy to watch.

But Wilson is an absolute weapon not only individually, but also blowing the top off the defense to open other things up.

stephenrjking

October 1st, 2022 at 5:56 PM ^

Your argument is valid. I feel kinda bad picking on Roman like this, because he's very good, but as Michigan's best downfield threat, there are limits to what he does. The cuts in his routes just aren't deceptive or explosive, and he doesn't win high point passes. The play against Wisconsin mentioned in this thread is nice, but even there he basket-catches it rather than beating a defender that is closer to him. 

It's not that he doesn't get open, but he could get *more* open and catch a larger variety of passes with additional attributes in his toolbox. Those attributes aren't there yet. And, to be clear, they don't need to be for him to be effective, but it is noticeable that Michigan doesn't seem to have any receivers that they are comfortable using to challenge defensive backs in the same space. 

Now, can JJ still do a better job hitting those deep passes? Of course. We've seen him hit them. He has the arm. But he would be able to hit more of these passes more comfortably if he didn't have the pressure to hit the exact spot every time he threw it. Recall that the first deep ball he hit to Wilson against Hawaii was a touch underthrown. That wasn't a mistake, but a consequence of knowing he had the room and was able to back of a touch to make sure that he made the play. Good QBs do that. 

Since Anthony caught those two TDs against MSU, I've been waiting for him to be unleashed in more roles. Whether it was supposed to go there or not, the high-point TD he caught from JJ was nearly as impressive as the 90-yarder and is exactly the sort of thing I want to see more of. 

mackbru

October 1st, 2022 at 6:12 PM ^

It's totally fine at this point to conclude that we have plenty of good receivers but not necessarily any dominant ones. We've seen that. We don't have big, straight-line, future-NFL-star burners of the sort you see at OSU or Bama. I think our group was slightly overrated in the preseason because, again, we have so many good ones. But do they strike terror in opponents? Nah.