Fee Fi Foe Film: Northwestern Defense 2018 Comment Count

Seth September 28th, 2018 at 9:59 AM

Previously: The Offense [photo: UM Bentley Library]

A lot about defense has changed since Northwestern DC/former Michigan tight end Mike Hankwitz got his coaching start as a grad assistant for Bo. Like, nobody runs a base 5-2 anymore. Nose guards can't be 175 pounds. Randy Bates no longer coaches the Northwestern secondary. Nebraska ain't so good at it (mea culpa).

But if you've watched enough Dr. Sap videos the Northwestern system starts does start to feel familiar. From the middle linebackers covering interior gaps. To the way a safety comes down almost to linebacker depth when he smells a tight end on his side. To the got-dang soft coverage by the cornerbacks that old guys used to complain about back when they couldn't complain that the latest Michigan head coach is no Bo Schembechler.

This being Northwestern, there are always some holes to fill; this time it's the safeties and hoo boy did Bates chose a bad time to end his 25-year career. It also means there's at least on capital-D Dude around; this time it's The Gaz, and hoo boy.

The film: We are still on Duke, even though I'm down to just official highlights now that some shadow company has re-emerged to strike football video from the internet. Duke runs its offense out of a base pistol with a fullback and uses a lot of zone read, inverted veer, and run-pass options. So they're not quite us, but neither is Purdue or Akron.

Personnel: My diagram (Official depth chart):

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PDF version, full-size version (or click on the image)

We'll get to The Gaz. The whole front seven is good and they're deep at defensive tackle. They're at their best though when NT Jordan Thompson is on the field—PFF had him on the Big Ten team of the week after this performance. He's a mean ball of hate with a Hulk-like body shape.

#99 second DT from the top

Last year he was an X-factor, sometimes playing high and out of control and sometimes wrecking all in his path. If this performance is indicative of a new consistency he's immediately in the conversation for best DTs in the conference.

I was surprised by the outside linebacker I liked—it wasn't SLB Nate Hall, who had 16.5 TFLs last year. It was true sophomore WLB Blake Gallagher, who had just 1 TFL last year as a seldom used backup. By their weights last season you might guess the 235-pound Hall would be the interior guy and Gallagher, who as 215 on the '17 roster, is a hybrid type; that was correct last year but Gallagher is up 20 pounds and playing in-yo-face WLB. Hall, who remains over 230, is lining up over slot receivers. That looks as awkward as it sounds:

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Hall was up and down, picked on in coverage by the slot receiver at times, good at hurtling himself into an attempt to run outside; he was +5/-5.5 in my unofficial UFR'ing. Gallagher meanwhile is about to become the three-year fave of a low-rung PFF employee who has to chart Northwestern games. I had nearly as many clips from Gallagher as the Gaz and scored him +7/-3, which is a thumpin' good outing for a linebacker.

#51 the guy…oh you'll see

The starters rarely come off the field except WDE Samdup Miller moves inside against spread teams with a rotation of EDGE types coming in for DT Fred Wyatt, who's also the backup nose. They leave The Gaz on the strong side, and Duke's offense learned quickly not to move the tight end away. The middle is manned by throwback MLB Paddy Fisher, who might be Pat Fitzgerald back in pads.

In the secondary CB Montre Hardage plays a lot tighter than I remember—that could be a competition thing. Opposite Hardage is a surprise starter, true freshman CB Greg Newsome, who's got a lot more suddenness about him and put two former starters on the bench. Safety is still a work in progress after Northwestern graduated a Thorpe candidate and an MGo-Favorite. The new FS J.R. Pace wasn't tested much but seems to play hesitant. As expected by everybody, SS Jared McGee, a 5th year senior pushing linebacker size, is not keeping up at safety; purple sippers are waiting for word that redshirt freshman SS Bryce Jackson is ready to handle a complicated position.

[Hit THE JUMP for the rest of the breakdown]

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Base Set: It's a 4-3 even, the same that Michigan State bases its defense out of. Even when they shifted to an under look they kept the wide splits between the DTs:

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This is a thing you see Match Quarters defenses do when they like their middle linebacker a lot. The uncovered center can be dangerous since there's nobody to chip him if he releases on a linebacker. If you trust your MIKE to beat that block consistently you can get away with this bubble, making up for it with more strength in the B and C gaps. MLB Paddy Fisher is just a sophomore but already quite adept at making this work. They stuck to the even formation with remarkable fidelity:

Shift/Formation 4-3 3-3-5 3-4 4-4 Nickel Total
Even 33 4   1 2 40
Over 8   2     10
Under 10 2 1     13
Total 51 6 3 1 2 63

On passing downs they do have a 3-3-5 they'll trot out and go Okie with man coverage and 3 to 6 blitzers.

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Man or zone coverage: They're a mix. Remember how I said earning a job in Hankwitz's secondary is hard? He coaches the safeties himself, and thus puts a lot on them. Like Bo, historically Hankwitz was a Cover 2 guy, especially at Northwestern where athletes are harder to come by than brains. Cover 2 these days means playing a lot of Quarters and I'm not sure of myself on the difference anymore. Anyway I tracked it hoping to find patterns, along with how the cornerbacks lined up.

Coverage Both CBs Off One CB Off Both CBs Tight Total
Man1 5 5 5 15
Cover 3 10 4   - 14
Cov2 4 1   - 5
Quarters 14 11 3 28
Total 33 21 8 62

Usually if there's one cornerback playing off it was the true freshman, Newsome. The tallies for each cornerback out of 63 snaps (the cameras missed one snap):

  • Hardage: 36 snaps in off coverage, 27 snaps in press
  • Newsome: 50 in off coverage, 9 in tight
  • Williams: 2 off, 2 tight

What usually got both guys in press coverage was a 3rd and long.

The more interesting thing was as much as they changed up coverages they didn't disguise them very well. On Man 1 or Cover 3 the free safety (or occasionally the strong safety) turned and high-tailed it to the middle third from a Cover 2 starting position. On Quarters they stepped down like MSU safeties. Duke exploited this a few times.

Pressure: GERG or GREG: I've got them at 4.43 rushers per snap in this game, which is about average. They're off Nebraska's pace but nowhere close to the two extremes we charted earlier this season:

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They'll zone blitz you though, and don't mind stunting the DTs.

Dangerman: You read MGoBlog so you know about The Gaz. Seeing Joe Gaziano lighting up a pair of ACC tackles however should make you stop questioning our preseason hot take that he's a 1st team DE in THIS Big Ten. Let's start, oh, with Duke's first play from scrimmage:

Here's the Gaz destroying a tight end, blowing up the puller, and making the tackle himself:

Here he is around the corner at five yards. Five! Seriously he's parallel with the edge of the 3rd and 3 graphic.

His speed rush is just incredible.

And I could clip 60 more plays when whatever was going on with him was making it impossible to deal with anything else going wrong. "Motor" is a gritty gritterstein word but the world of football has yet to come up with a better metaphor for a guy who goes after your quarterback the way my toddler battles her way back to my bed in a rainstorm.

I thought I put you to bed.

I don't know why you're surprised. Y'all have seen Chase Winovich.

OVERVIEW:

This defense is not a hard scout, but they're a tough out. Duke ran out to a two-touchdown lead in the 1st half with play-action touchdowns and then Northwestern's defense put the clamps on. It felt like the kind of games we've played against Michigan State under Mark Dantonio, and by the way Hankwitz thanks for giving that grad assistant a start in 1981. Or more happily, some of the games Michigan used to play in the '70s and '80s, when the opponent would come out with some modern frippery like passing the ball and everyone would panic about the safeties until the second half when the front seven put the screws on.

The first thing to beware of when trying to beat Hankwitz is don't walk into his traps. This was from the unclippable section of the game but it was as nasty as the thing Hoke and Mattison did to them in the Roy Roundtree silly catch game:

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The bubble that's usually between the DTs is now on the backside. The LBs are all leaning frontside. You look back—"Soooo much space between that DT and OLB." But you're smart, you're not going to run where Hankwitz wants you to. You've got this whole turn-of-the-century Single Wing play to the frontside planned. You snap it, and immediately the Gaz is in your backfield cutting off the edge. You cut back, the OLB has gone outside and the DT is just in his gap. Maybe it was open after all?" And that's where you meet both middle linebackers. You go zero yards.

So how did Duke score on these guys? They picked on the safeties.

You see a true freshman cornerback on the screen and think that must be his fault. This was all safety bust. They're running Cover 3 here and J.R. Pace (circled in red below) is in a middle third.

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Pace came down to bracket that tight end on the NWern 40 yard line. But Pace's first job is the receiver. Newsome has outside leverage—he is expecting help on anything inside, like, oh, a post route.

The other two touchdowns were play-action passes that got McGee to bite.

#41 who steps down then freaks out

This is man coverage but again the cornerback has outside leverage because he's supposed to have safety help inside. The safety got caught reading the play-action and comically realizes his mistake too late. And the thing is he didn't learn his lesson:

#41, guy nearest to the goal line near the top of the screen

This is a run-pass option that's reading the frontside safety, very similar to the RPO I was chastising Northwestern's offensive coordinator for trying to run against Cover 1 yesterday. This is a Quarters beater, and #41 does too good of a job demonstrating why it's effective against overaggressive safeties who step down at the first sign of run action. The brilliant part is the TEs route looks like he's about to block for a power read/inverted veer then cuts past the flat-footed safety to open endzone.

This won't be the last time this year Michigan will have to go on the road to face a Quarters defense with a nasty DL, a great MLB, and questionably athletic safeties who play lead-footed against the run. It's not quite Michigan State's defense. But I think it will be good practice for it.

Comments

Bambi

September 28th, 2018 at 11:10 AM ^

I'm interested to see what happens. Like Brian/Seth said, last week the staff left Runyan in 1 on 1s in pass pro but left TEs to chip and help JBB. I assume when Gaz is lined up over JBB in pass plays they'll continue chipping. Seth said they leave Gaz strong side though so when strong side is Runyan's side will they continue to chip or let Runyan go 1 on 1? I'd hope they chip or else I don't like that matchup. But if they chip, that prevents one of your safety beating TEs from running a route to try and beat the weak safeties.

Then on the ground we've seen JBB and Onwenu just destroy some guys. Does that continue vs Gaz? If it does maybe we have a way to success on the ground, if not this could be ND again.

I'm really intrigued to see how this all goes. It'll be an interesting/potentially frustrating matchup to watch.

SkyBlue

September 28th, 2018 at 11:50 AM ^

I didn't read the UFR this week but it seemed like Bredeson and Runyan have been doing some switching with Bredesen taking the end and Runyan going to the inside guy.   Maybe it was only one or two plays but that seemed to work.  And I don't know anything about blocking so that is probably the case.  

JonnyHintz

September 28th, 2018 at 10:52 AM ^

Eh. He’s a threat as a punt returner (he’s also liable to make a few bad decisions back there) but aside from his 3 TD 90 yard game against SMU, he has a total of 11 catches for 79 yards and a TD in the other three games. 

I can’t speak for what they consider a dangerman but, for me at least, I’d want to see a more consistent impact before I considered him a dangerman. A guy who averages 3.6 catches for 26.3 yards per game (outside of his one monster game) doesn’t really strike me as a dangerman at this point. 

Part of the lack of dangermen is the fact that Shea has only had to pass 15 times or so the last 3 games, the amount of time the backups have been in, and the pure volume of different options in the passing game. Nobody has really been able to stand out too much considering the amount of playmakers that are sharing the ball. 

Not a bad thing to have. 

Yost Ghost

September 28th, 2018 at 11:25 AM ^

Hard to fault DPJ when the play call favors the run game 2 out of 4 contests but the fact remains there's not enough data to rate overall performance. 

My question is what kind of stats does he have to have to become a Dangerman? I mean obviously Stanley Morgan numbers will work (yes please!) but can he be a Dangerman at something less than 61 receptions and 986 yards?

Bambi

September 28th, 2018 at 11:30 AM ^

I obviously can't answer that question, but SMU was his first career multi TD game, his second career game with a TD, and his first career game over 65 yards receiving and his 4th over 50. Obviously that's not all his fault, but to be a dangerman he probably needs to consistently be at least over 50 yards and have some SMU type games against non SMU type teams.

I don't think one 3 TD, under 100 yard receiving day against SMU qualifies for dangerman. Maybe not the 3 TDs, but he has to have games like that more frequently and against better teams.

Blue In NC

September 28th, 2018 at 11:27 AM ^

Agreed.  DPJ is potentially dangerous not not polished enough yet to qualify as a "dangerman" to me.  Our offense overall is a bunch of good, but not outstanding players with Shea and Karan being difference makers and the two tackles being iffy.  The next strongest position is probably TE, but since it's 2-3 guys, no one guy is really a dangerman.  I am fine with that but yes, I would like to see at least one of the WRs really break out for several games.  They have both shown flashes.

maizenblue92

September 28th, 2018 at 10:49 AM ^

Just a quick special teams note. NW is 115th in special teams S&P+, while Michigan is 7th. Their PK is 1/3 while the punter averages only 37.3 yards per punt. Could be a lot of hidden yardage in the punting game. 

LKLIII

September 28th, 2018 at 12:14 PM ^

Lots of hidden yardage in the punt game.  However, IIRC, I read somewhere that Northwestern is one of the least penalized teams in all of NCAA, where as Michigan is well above average.

So as far as hidden yardage goes, it's possible the advantage that Michigan has in the punt game will be canceled out by Michigan getting more flags.

 

 

LKLIII

September 28th, 2018 at 12:24 PM ^

Yeah, really playing this Northwestern team right now is an ideal time in our schedule:

  • It's the least intimidating away game possible, so it lets us ease back into the mode of playing "away" before we head to East Lansing.

 

  • Northwestern mimics MSU's defense, so it's a good ramp-up & pre-scouting opportunity.

 

  • Northwestern has a solid front 7 and a terrifying DE, but the rest of their team is pretty bad.  This allows the coaches to see exactly how much the OTs have improved (or not) since Notre Dame now that the opposing talent is legit.  But because the rest of the squad is so bad, also allows them test out different strategies to help scheme around or shore up that deficiency WITHOUT there being a huge risk of actually losing the game barring fluke plays and our defense having a rare & uncharacteristically bad outing. Basically, a low-risk chance to accurately road test our OT situation.

lhglrkwg

September 28th, 2018 at 11:51 AM ^

While I'm sure Northwestern's D is good and will be frustrating, I still think we'll have decent success moving the ball. Some teams crappier than us have been able to move it. Those safeties are asking for a few PA bombs over their heads

Considering Northwestern's offense is bad and will probably only get worse without Larkin, this smells like a 14-7 half, 31-7 final game or something like that. Their D will wear out eventually

Ron Utah

September 28th, 2018 at 12:17 PM ^

Northwestern has been good against the run (except vs. Purdue) but they are pretty terrible against the pass.  Purdue's day was obscured by three INTs, but Duke and Akron combined for a 177.51 passer rating and 5 TDs vs. 0 INTs at 9.2 YPA.  Akron averaged 9.9 YPA.

This game will be a good test for us in a lot of ways.  Can we protect Shea long enough for him to scorch their secondary?  Can our TEs take advantage of an aggressive front seven both in run blocking and in route running?  Can our running game do anything against a very good run defense?

That said, the outcome should not be in any doubt and this should be a three score (or more) win for Michigan.

jimlemire4

September 28th, 2018 at 12:29 PM ^

Mike and I grew up together and spent 4 years at Michigan back in the 60s. I really appreciate your treatment of Mike and his defense. I still root for him except of course when he is playing our wolverines. BTW, you can't find a nicer person and a true gentleman. Go Blue.