Jalen Mayfield *probably* won't be out there on Saturday [Paul Sherman]

Fee Fi Foe Film: Maryland Defense 2021 Comment Count

Alex.Drain November 19th, 2021 at 9:00 AM

Previously: Maryland Offense 

This is the bad stuff. Maryland's offense, as we covered, is solid. Pulled forward by a few talented players but held back by leaky pass protection and suspect coaching, capable of making brilliant plays and also getting thwacked by good teams. The defense is just the last part of that preceding sentence except with "good" deleted: "getting thwacked by teams". All the teams. Maryland is the worst P5 defense Michigan has seen this season, and by a sizable margin. They're 78th in the SP+ defensive rankings, which is worse than it seems when you remember there are only ~65 P5 teams. Maryland has allowed 17, 51, 66, 34, 35, 31, and 40 points in seven conference games this season. 

Why are the Terps so bad at defense? You've come to the right place to find out. 

 

The Film: We're riding the MSU train again because it's a decent comparable, a recent game, and I already have my fingers on the game film. Maryland surrendered 40 points to MSU, all of them being legitimate offensive points, so this was not a great effort whatsoever. Obviously Michigan State's OL is not as good as Michigan's but the similarities between the two teams are solid enough to make me tab the Spartans for this week's double dip. 

Personnel: Seth's chart. Click for big. 

We'll unpack this more in the next section, but Maryland runs some unusual formations, alternating between a 5-2-4 and a 4-2-5 look, among other personnel packages. We've chosen to display the diagram in 4-2-5 formation, but the 5-2-4 features heavily too. When they go to the five-man defensive front, they lean heavily on their defensive tackles, so there are 2.5 starters at that position. The two full starters are Ami Finau at NT and Mosiah Nasili-Kite at DT, both of whom got the ole cyan after being ejected from the East Lansing universe all day long. I actually thought the half-starter Greg Rose was the best of the three DTs and all three get a heavy workload. Darrell Jackson and Tommy Akingbesote rotate in on occasion and neither are better than the big three- which is a pretty grim statement. 

The defensive ends are a bit diversified, between the standard end and the JACK position. The standard end spot is held down by Sam Okuayinonu, who I think is the best piece on the defense. That's a pretty standard job, playing hunched over with a hand in the dirt and pass rushing or setting the edge. On the flip side, the JACK plays standing up and can drop into coverage on occasion. The starter at that position is Lawtez Rogers and most of those remaining snaps are siphoned up by Tyler Baylor. Farther down the depth chart you find talented freshman Demeioun Robinson. Maryland really misses proficient pass rusher Durrell Nchami, who was hit with the injury bug like so many Terps back in October. 

The linebacker position is rough. Though the scheme deletes one LB from the equation anyway, the two they have on the field do more than their fair share of damage. Ruben Hyppolite II and Ahmad McCullough are the "starters", but there's a significant amount of rotation at this position because they're all just a series of bandaids who repeatedly get ripped off by opposing offenses. Graeme Spraggins (great name BTW) was the third LB who played the most in the game I watched, but former walk-on Kobi Thomas has also played a good bit this season too. 

The secondary isn't nearly as abject as their front seven, but that's still not saying much. Tahreeb Still had a very up-and-down performance at corner in the game I saw, while Jakorian Bennett was second in the running for the Dangerman status in this article after doing alright against Jayden Reed. The nickel when Maryland goes to five DBs is most likely to be Lavonte Gater, but it could also be Kenny Bennett, or versatile CB/S piece Isaiah Hazel, or even Corey Cooley. The safety position is pretty locked in, with the ultra-talented but wild Nick Cross and the veteran Jordan Mosley getting the vast majority of the snaps at this position. They don't really have a big difference between deep and box safeties, with both Mosley and Cross spending time rolling down or playing deep centerfield in their Cover 1 scheme. 

[AFTER THE JUMP: Ouch]

Base set: Now we can get into the Fun With Formations section of the piece. As stated above, Maryland has two base looks, the 4-2-5 and the 5-2-4. Here's the former, which we had depicted graphically in Seth's chart: 

Here we can clearly see the defensive line distinctions that were mentioned in the "personnel" section. The defensive end has a hand in the dirt on the top of the DL, while the JACK (in this image, #4 Demeioun Robinson) is playing hunched over on two legs. There are two defensive tackles in the middle of the line and then two standard linebackers positioned at the 40-yard line. The three corners are lined up over the three MSU wide receivers. That Terp defender you see next to the slot corner slanted towards the QB at the 43-yard line is a safety! As part of Cover 1, they roll the box safety down, functioning like a LB. Meanwhile the deep safety is lined up all the way back in Grand Haven, nearly 15 yards behind the line of scrimmage, the deepest safety alignment Michigan has seen since Washington did a similar thing back in week two

The 5-2-4 doesn't look that different: 

All three down linemen in the middle of the line are defensive tackles, while the two ends are both JACKs! Sometimes one will be a standard DE, but the core of the 5-2-4 is putting three DTs on the field simultaneously. The LB alignment is the same, as is the safety alignment, which features the box safety lined up on the side of the field closest to the bottom of the screen, at roughly the 46-yard line, and the deep safety miles away like usual. The corners are shadowing their receivers. 

Man or zone coverage: Maryland runs a base Cover 1, which is mostly man coverage with the exception of the deep safety. Maryland ran Cover 1 on the vast majority of plays in this game, but they did feature more zone-centric looks on some occasions. Late in the first half they decided to drop into prevent defense for no apparent reason, and then every so often would flash Cover 3 (easy to disguise because the lone deep safety can still be used). But in totality, this is a man defense. 

Pressure: Maryland is a particularly blitzy team, rushing more than four guys on 57% of snaps in this game. Most of that is rushing five, which is part of their base defense given that they play with five at the line often. The most frequent "blitz" is to see Maryland send all five linemen as rushers, but sometimes you'll see the JACK drop and an LB rush. Or when it's a four-man front, you'll see the box safety rush. You might think that a team as blitzy as Maryland would be adept at generating pressure. You would be wrong, and that's one of the main flaws with the defense, which we'll get to later. 

Dangerman: When I filled out the spreadsheet for Seth to make the diagram, I designated this week's Dangerman by writing: "star", but with the quotation marks included. In other words, he's a "star" not a Star. This defense is horrendous and I was forced to pick someone (kicking and screaming), so DE Sam Okuayinonu is our Dangerman In Name Only. The 6th year DE was a JUCO product who has rounded into a respectable pass rusher that can also set the edge (on some occasions). He was the player who had the best performance in this one, and with a solid PFF grade to back it up, I rolled with Okuayinonu. 

Here was his best moment in the game: 

DE #97 to bottom of DL

Okuayinonu showed good burst off the snap, allowing him to penetrate into the backfield with some degree of regularity. However, pass rush for Maryland as a team was generally putrid, so most of my clips of him are in run defense. Here he is just one play earlier hammering the TE #11 into the backfield and forcing KWIII to bounce it outside:

DE #97 to the top of the DL 

 And here's one of him again beating the TE to penetrate into the backfield and helping out on a gang stop: 

Yeah, not exactly the flashiest highlights, but Okuayinonu is very far from an Arnold Ebiketie-level pass rushing threat when it comes to being a defensive end. Rather, he grabbed my eye by being the one guy who could get into the backfield with any degree of consistency, and one of just a few players to not be regularly paved off the field by the MSU OL. Remember, this is a grim situation! 

 

Overall 

Here's my introduction to the overview of the Maryland defense, personified by a message I sent to Seth in Slack yesterday: 

This defensive showing by Maryland was a steaming pile of garbage. They got next to no pressure on Payton Thorne, even though they routinely sent five rushers, they let MSU RBs run for 5 YPC (including 6.5 YPC for Jordon Simmons!), and let Thorne go 22/30 for 287 yards on 9.6 YPA for 4 TD and a lone INT that came on a half-ending (meaningless) Hail Mary. MSU put up 484 total yards on 7.4 yards per play, and scored 40 total points. 6 of MSU's first 10 possessions (not counting the abridged, time-constrained drive to end the first half) ended in touchdowns, and another was cut short prematurely by an MSU fumble. 

*gasps* 

THIS IS A DEFENSE THAT GAVE UP 35 POINTS AND 446 YARDS TO DONAVEN MCCULLEY-LED INDIANA 

It's a horrendous situation in College Park. 

The Terps' first flaw is that they have zero defensive tackles who can hold up against a half-decent offensive line. I cyan'd both starting DTs and I have plenty of clips to back that up. For instance: 

That's both starters, Ami Finau and Mosiah Nasili-Kite, getting shoved four yards backward to clear room for a seven yard gain. Plays like that were more plentiful than apples in an apple orchard. Here's another one: 

On that one, it's Finau getting thrown down to the ground by MSU's OL #71, although our Dangerman happens to make a pretty nice tackle to limit the damage. But whether or not the end made up for it, most plays saw the defensive tackles get ejected from the line like a DVD. And the reason I said "whether or not the end made up for it" is because the linebackers were almost never making up for it. The LBs are unquestionably the weakness of the defense because they can't do anything. They can't recognize a gap, they seek blocks rather than trying to tackle the ballcarrier, and they have only a rudimentary knowledge of how to cover a receiver. 

On this play we see many of the storylines with the defense. Okuayinonu penetrates but can't make the play, while Nasili-Kite is sealed off and then MLB Ruben Hyppolite II is totally lost and overruns the back, leading to a huge KW3 gain: 

DT #34 and MLB #11

This play highlights a frustrating tendency of the Maryland LBs to seek blocks, rather than trying to get off them or maneuver around blockers to find the guy with the ball: 

LB #19

The play is bouncing outside, yet WLB Ahmad McCullough is perfectly content to run straight into a blocker, something I saw on tape in countless plays in this game. It also doesn't help that the linebackers can't cover anyone at all, or recognize what's going on on the majority of plays. Our next clip came late in the first half when Maryland decided to drop into prevent defense, and was one of the rare times that the LBs were expected to cover a zone. They decide to drop 15 yards downfield and leave a huge swath of grass completely uncovered, and then can't recover properly to bring down KWIII: 

That play is probably the encapsulation of why Maryland doesn't run much zone. 

This one might be the most telling, because it didn't actually affect the play. After Nick Cross gets a free rush at Thorne, the MSU QB decides to check down to Simmons, which misses the screamingly wide open TE over the middle. Watch LB Graeme Spraggins (#21) on this play: 

He decides to start chasing Simmons, who is already covered (before Thorne has turned and indicated he's going that way), leaving the TE #11 with no one near him. The Terps got away with it because Thorne panicked, but it's that play that makes you realize that the linebackers have no earthly idea what they're doing on most downs. There's no real reason to point out who is better or worse among the linebackers. They are all bad, all poorly coached, and all liabilities in the run game and the passing game. There are likely going to be lots of easy yards for Erick All against the LBs if Michigan wants them. 

The secondary isn't as flamingly bad as the rest of the team, despite the fact that Maryland's pass defense numbers are a raging wild fire. I'd argue that there are two primary reasons for that: first, I'd go with that "the linebackers can't cover anybody" thing, and second, a total lack of pressure generated on the QB from the front seven. Watch this play: 

They're playing man coverage but none of their five rushers are even close to getting home, so on that play you have CB Tahreeb Still being asked to play man on Jayden Reed. Payton Thorne has enough time to knit a sweater in the pocket, and he's able to deliver a perfect ball to a receiver who only has a small step on Still. Cornerbacks have to have more help than that. Don Brown's man defenses at Michigan were predicated on having elite cover corners (which Maryland doesn't have) and also on pressuring the heck out of the opposing QB (which Maryland can't do to save their lives). That's a recipe for disaster. 

Though Still got victimized there by Reed, I didn't hate CB Jakorian Bennett's coverage, who got the Reed assignment most frequently. I liked his defense here on a crossing route vs. MSU's Keon Coleman: 

On the other hand, the nickels didn't impress me all that much. CB Lavonte Gater got burned on the flea flicker, which HOW CAN THE B1G KEEP LETTING MSU GET AWAY WITH THIS?:

The safeties play a big role in the box, but I didn't think that either Nick Cross or Jordan Mosley were particularly savvy tacklers, though they had a better understanding of what was going on in a given play than anyone in the LB room does. They feature as blitzers a decent amount, which we saw Cross do on an earlier play. Here he is blitzing again and pushing a blocker back into Thorne's lap, forcing a Thorne overthrow off his back foot, that then gets negated by a Bennett DPI call that I'm iffy on: 

It's worth noting that Cross and Mosley alternate between who is the box and who is the deep safety on a given play. The issues in the rushing game have some blame to be placed on the safeties. Mosley is too slow here to figure out what's going on when the play bounces outside (also Okuayinonu gets edged here, showing the limitations of this week's Dangerman label): 

S #18 lined up at the 7-yard line towards top of the screen

The safeties are not the defense's weakspot, but that also doesn't mean they're good. 

 

What does this mean for Michigan? 

Given how teams in Michigan's offensive sphere have fared against this Maryland defense, there should be no problem. As a general rule, we've learned that when Harbaugh & Co. don't respect an opponent, they try to just sit on them. We also know that Michigan is obsessive about getting key players to the Ohio State game healthy and not putting too much on tape for an opponent like Ohio State. Thus, I'd expect Michigan to run power over and over again and try to just pave Maryland into oblivion, mixing in play-action to Erick All over the middle. 

The Wolverines should be able to tear right through the Maryland defense with impunity and build a pretty big lead. It would not surprise me to see JJ McCarthy and Donovan Edwards play most of the second half if Michigan can go up three TDs at halftime. Whatever Michigan wants to do against the Terps on offense, they should be able to make it happen. 

Comments

NotADuck

November 19th, 2021 at 9:10 AM ^

Are there really two guys named Corey Cooley Jr who have the exact same measurements but play different positions and wear different numbers?  No, I did not read the article.  Sorry.  I just saw that in Seth's graphic and immediately thought that was strange.  Does one guy switch jerseys in the middle of the game?  lol

Edit:  Misspelled "Corey Coley Jr."

JHumich

November 19th, 2021 at 3:41 PM ^

We had a few nice routes and throws last week, but a bunch of off-timed and out-of-sync stuff too. 

Like Coach says, "You get better at football by playing football."

Can't play out of fear. Not advocating that we do anything too risky, but it would be good to get the passing game humming.

JMo

November 19th, 2021 at 10:01 AM ^

So, for everyone who keeps talking about Maryland as our "hopeful rest-up game", I'd like to welcome you to Michigan fandom. You must be new here.

In the history of forever, Michigan has gone into these "rest-up games" and they're always way too close for way too long. We don't usually lose them, but rarely do they go to plan.

Point two, Jim doesn't play the bench until very late, if at all. Even in blowout games, we've had situations like this year's Northwestern game... 33-7 blowout. By the end it was definitely salted away and NW could barely move the ball. Completely forgettable game right?  91 snaps on offense, guess how many snaps our entire starting OL got?  91.

Love the idea. Run out to a big lead. Put all the important guys on ice. But I'm just not sure that's the world we live in. 

 

I'm a simple man with simple expectations: Beat Maryland, try to stay healthy in the process.

GRBluefan

November 19th, 2021 at 11:50 AM ^

Exactly this!  Michigan generally didilyfucks around in these games instead of trying to blow someone out.  As a result, expect a lot of runs up the gut into 8 man boxes and some early hand wringing.  They will likely win, but I expect to have a clenched asshole all afternoon 

kehnonymous

November 19th, 2021 at 9:55 AM ^

Given the Cade McNamara hero's journey experience, perhaps we should be a little concerned that Maryland has not one, not two, not three, but FOUR cyaned guys!!!    ;)

Leroys Horde

November 19th, 2021 at 9:57 AM ^

This always bothers me - wasn't Haskins an unheralded 3 star recruit? Why does he have a star down?

 

Unless he stole it from one of the blitzers he chipped into oblivion, I would be ok with that explanation.

Across 110th St

November 19th, 2021 at 10:06 AM ^

Excellent read as always.  
 

key unanswered question from my perspective:

 

How is the amazing name Ruben Hyppolite pronounced?  I really hope it’s HIP-po-LEET-ee

 

double post for Hyppolite II

Hab

November 19th, 2021 at 10:13 AM ^

Star Cade. 

Make it a cyan or some other modified star if he doesn't fit the traditional mold.  I agree that he's not a true dangerman in the sense that he's going to threaten to pop a 60+ yard run when a play collapses like Corum, or the workhorse that will routinely turn a 2 yard loss into a 4 yard gain like Haskins, or consistently throw for 350 yards and multiple touchdowns against rivals--oh wait.  His dangerousness is not measured by single plays, although he is capable of it.  It's measured over the course of an entire game and even season.  He's the calm consistent force that moves things forward, never panicking, staid.  He keeps the offense on schedule and averts potential disaster caused by rash decisions, panic, selfishness, or moments of immaturity despite being only a first-year full season starter.  He's not the flamboyant captain.  He's the engineer in the boiler room breathing in coal dust and ingloriously keeping things from blowing up.  He is one of the very many reasons why this team is where it is at and while all of the teams goals are still on the table before it.   

LeCheezus

November 19th, 2021 at 10:31 AM ^

I was with you in your anti-cyan campaign, but I'm not with you on this one.  He's a good game manager, which isn't a bad thing - we won a national championship with a similar QB.  He does not consistently make great post snap reads, and if you listen to Devin Gardner on MMQB, he still consistently struggles with fundamentals like getting his feet set before the throw or getting them pointed in the right direction before the throw, moving up in clean pockets, etc.  He might be able to take the team on his back and win a game, but has yet to do so.

Reader71

November 19th, 2021 at 11:01 AM ^

He led game winning-drives in the fourth quarter of the Nebraska and Penn State games, so taking the team on his back hasn't been a problem. Came up short against MSU, but 100% success on game winning drives shouldn't be a requirement for a star.

He might have mechanical issues, but so did Phillip Rivers, who would almost certainly have a star. Also, Denard Robinson and Devin Garder, who I imagine did have stars.

The reason he is considered a game manager is the same reason he was cyan and will likely never get a star: he is a lower-ranked recruit than the reserve QB.

I am ambivalent about him having a star or not, and the whole idea of cyan and star and the like, but I don't think Devin Gardner's critique is dispositive. If people weren't allowed to critique stars, punditry would be quite boring.

LeCheezus

November 19th, 2021 at 11:10 AM ^

I'm very much team Cade, I think he is a solid QB but not a star (yet) and my opinion has nothing to do with his recruiting ranking (which was actually good, he was a composite 4 star just outside the top 250).  The game winning PSU drive was great, but it was also 5 straight Hassan Haskins runs with no threat of a QB keep followed by an RPS + 2 play where two DB's ran into each other and he threw a 5 yard pass.  A guy that the offense is clearly planning around by limiting his touches by running the ball as much as possible is not a star, I don't know how you can seriously debate that.

Hab

November 19th, 2021 at 11:18 AM ^

The running QB is a relatively recent concept, and one that just doesn't fit his general playstyle.  He's not the only QB in the division that doesn't run.  Indeed, one we'll be facing in two weeks, and is a Heisman candidate, said, "If my job was to run the ball, I’d be a running back or something. I throw the ball for a living."  You don't grade draft horses by their quarter-mile times.  (I'm not sure you grade any horse that way, but you get my point)

Reader71

November 19th, 2021 at 1:06 PM ^

I think he means the team running the ball, not the QB specifically.

But I still disagree with him, because he's trying to spin the fact that we have a very good run game into a negative against the quarterback. There is no indication that the team is "limiting his touches."

His attempts in the previous 6 games are 28, 38, 27, 44, 18, and 29. The 18 was against Indiana, in which there was little reason to throw. The 38 and 44 were against Nebraska and MSU, respectively. Strange that they're maximizing his throws in important games.

Again, I think the perception doesn't match the reality with Cade. A lot of it is due to the narrative on this blog, and a lot of that goes back to the fact that he is lower-rated by websites than the reserve QB. Sure, he's a four star -- but have we ever heard more about a four-star's alleged "ceiling?" I don't recall anything like it, and I think it persists because the five-star is on the bench, and doesn't it make sense that a five-star would have a higher ceiling?

Hab

November 19th, 2021 at 11:15 AM ^

Fair criticisms, and I don't expect widespread support, especially since I'm not the one that would have to justify the end decision.  I will also admit to a bias in favor of the guys who have their heads down and do the work without a lot of the glory.  I tend to want to try to get them the recognition their work has warranted.  I will point out his game-winning drive at PSU though.  

MGoStrength

November 19th, 2021 at 10:50 AM ^

The Wolverines should be able to tear right through the Maryland defense with impunity and build a pretty big lead.

This game on the road, sitting between PSU & OSU, against a team with a good offense and mobile QB, who will likely load the box, where UM will be super vanilla, has always worried me as a trap game.  I hope we get a good lead & let the backups play.  I worry about a difficult game that UM might need to dump some resources after a very slow start and bit of a let down in the first half.

plaidflannel

November 19th, 2021 at 11:09 AM ^

The week before The Game in 2018, 9-1 Ohio State beat 5-5 Maryland 52-51 in OT when Maryland barely missed a two-point conversion that would have won the game.

The next week, 10-1 Ohio State boat raced 10-1 Michigan 62-39.

The need to rest starters and avoid clunkers is greatly overrated on this blog.  Yes, I would like to blow them out, but all I care about in this game is getting the win and minimizing injuries.

The Homie J

November 19th, 2021 at 1:39 PM ^

Looking back at that Maryland game for Ohio State and then the result the next week, it seems pretty clear they likely did little or zero prep for Maryland and probably were full bore prepping for us.  One of those "we should beat them with our base stuff" kinda games except Maryland was ready and nearly stole one in the process.

Which is to say, I don't care if we play Maryland close but still win IF it's because we spent all week doing stuff for Ohio State.  Would love for Ohio State for once to be on the wrong side of the "where did that offense come from?" angle.

Hail2Victors

November 19th, 2021 at 12:35 PM ^

I'd like see the score at 35-0 by half before seeing the "youngsters" taking over.   Even if it is, I dont see JH calling off the doges until he burns through at least part of Q3.   Hopefully they also win the toss and can run the call in Q3.   Would be great to get a lot of snaps for McCarthy and Edwards.   Never know how much they'll need them for OSU.

Hail2Victors

November 19th, 2021 at 12:35 PM ^

I'd like see the score at 35-0 by half before seeing the "youngsters" taking over.   Even if it is, I dont see JH calling off the doges until he burns through at least part of Q3.   Hopefully they also win the toss and can run the call in Q3.   Would be great to get a lot of snaps for McCarthy and Edwards.   Never know how much they'll need them for OSU.