well that's just, like, your opinion, man
Across 110th St
- Member for
- 4 years 39 weeks
|1 year 31 weeks ago||Licensed Internet Troll||
Kawakami: the Wilbon of the West
|2 years 9 weeks ago||RRISA Naming:||
The Dave Brandon Conference Room of Leadership
Presented by Arby's
|2 years 15 weeks ago||So when does the kickstarter start?||
We're going to do a kickstarter for OL. right?
|3 years 32 weeks ago||Photo Caption:||
Haydars gonna hate...
|3 years 39 weeks ago||Variance?||
Great stuff as always. Many thanks. A short question that can hopefully be given a relatively short answer; how do you think about/account for variance? It seems like your model gives you point estimates for performace around various aspects of team and individual play - do you calculate variance around the estimates? If so, do they tighten as the season progresses?
|3 years 40 weeks ago||Thanks!||
Thanks to all 3 for the helpful responses. I've been reading these incorrectly for quite awhile...
|3 years 40 weeks ago||Model?||
Used to think I understood your model - the outputs anyway. You write:
"Michigan’s offense has clearly been better than Sparty’s but the model thinks that so far this year the Michigan State defense has been one of the best in the country."
But the listings have MSU rush defense as -2, 95th OA, 10th B1G, pass defense as +0, 59th OA, 6th B1G. Also, the MSU pass offense is +5, 12th OA, 1st B1G? What am I missing?