27 Tickets To Team 138: Pre-Bowl Edition Comment Count

Brian

What is this? Folks who cover the USMNT drop lists like this projecting the 23 guys who end up on the next World Cup team. I have appropriated it. Regarding the number of tickets: 22 starters on offense and defense + 2 kickers + nickelback + FLEX TE  + SLOT.

PREVIOUSLY: 137 post-spring.

PACK YOUR BAGS

30200244000_595e1f87b4_z1. 3TECH Maurice Hurst, Sr.* [Last time: NR]

Hurst's burst takes him from off the board (which could be considered worst) to first. Absence more circumstance than talent; Hurst produced in bunches. Tracking towards high NFL draft pick as an explosive interior pass rusher. "Get in my belly" TFL celebration is a winner.

29158603220_82307bc4ec_z2. C Mason Cole, Sr. [Last time: 3]

Despite somewhat disappointing year at C a holy lock to be somewhere on the line. Could be anywhere; will be somewhere. Bet here is M will try to keep him at C for continuity and line calls, which he seems to be clearly the best option for. Goal for next year: get stronger, get more push, be more of a factor against 3-4 NTs, get drafted in the middle rounds.

30544914742_ed4537549d_z3. SDE Rashan Gary, So. [Last time: NR]

Omar comin', except his name is Rashan and he is not little. Like Hurst, stuck behind future pros in 2016. Still flashed freaky ability; year two should be a breakout year so enormous it shatters windows across the Midwest. #1 overall prospects are in fact guarantees, and Gary showed plenty to indicate he would not be an exception.

30030672164_3dddaa8327_z4. ILB Mike McCray, Sr* [Last time: 21]

Sole returning member of the front seven had some edge issues last year. Tackling in space was an Area For Improvement, as they say. Positives outweighed negatives, though, as McCray was an outstanding blitzer and reliably in the place he was supposed to be. Probably moves to MLB to help mitigate those edge problems.

25988526131_4a3dfe734f_z5. SLOT Grant Perry, Jr. [Last time: 16]

Route artisan figures to have role explode as he hits upperclass years and he becomes the primary safety blanket. Best game against OSU when Butt was doubled and tripled all game, and he came through with a productive day. Red-zone weapon will dust some guys, a la Dileo. Don't sleep on him as an outside guy, either. He might play both spots as Michigan decides he's one of their best two.

30350541320_53f3c6e05f_z6. OG Ben Bredeson, So. [Last time: NR]

Swing lineman regarded as Cole 2.0 had Cole's freshman season, a bit delayed. Barely lost LT job to Newsome; jetted past the entire roster to start once Newsome went down. Like Cole, Things could have gone better; they could have gone worse. Like Cole, position uncertain but place amongst the starters absolutely not. Like Cole. Like. Cole. LIKE COLE DO YOU GET IT.

UNLESS SOMETHING STRANGE HAPPENS

maxresdefault7. QB Wilton Speight, Jr* [Last time: NR]

On the cusp of a lock after a 63%, 8.1 YPA, 17-5 TD-INT sophomore year; sometimes-erratic play leaves a tiny crack for Brandon Peters. Emphasis on "tiny." Impressive pocket presence, plus—but not perfect—accuracy, and increasing command of the offense will be tough to compete with. If he improves like Harbaugh quarterbacks always do you're looking at an All Big Ten player. (And an ugly shirt.)

v38mru82pxomj6mxzrvx8. FS Tyree Kinnel, Jr. [Last time: NR]

Got more playing time last year than any other secondary backup, and played well. Defense did not miss a beat when he was in for extended periods. Used as a dimeback, mostly, for a four-safety look. Recruiting rep suggests he fits what Brown wants in his safeties—man coverage capable hitters. Old-ass-looking-man game strong. M needs to fill that role w/ Hill to the NFL.

30300197284_6b18c06a0b_z9. WDE Chase Winovich, Jr.* [Last time: 27]

Ebullient pass rusher produced five sacks despite playing time often measured in single-digit snaps. Did most of his damage with a serious edge rush and relentless approach. This had downsides. Tendency towards wild overpursuit needs to get tamped down; additional weight necessary; on track to be Jake Ryan as a WDE.

Baq2X62CYAIVIab10. NT Bryan Mone, Jr.* [Last time: NR]

Still trying to scale hype mountain; unclear how badly he was affected by injury last year. Big time third down stuff against OSU hints at promise, and there's very little behind him that isn't coming in this recruiting class. Could be third best player on line, could be third best lineman in conference. One thing's for sure: Bryan Mone has the meats.

Screen-Shot-2016-02-03-at-10.00.33-AM-340x28611. ILB Devin Bush, So. [Last time: NR]

Got meaningful playing time when starters were dinged, making a few plays along the way. Fast and short thumper well suited to the vertical attacking Brown wants from his linebackers. NFL player and coach's son should be ready to hit the ground running as a starter. Brings a much-needed infusion of dreads to the starting lineup. Has no idea how to draw a Wolverine.

nordin-810x45012. K Quinn Nordin, Fr.* [Last time: NR]

#1 kicker in the country, which means he'll either be an Aguayo or go 0/20 before returning to his home planet. 2/3(!!!) on field goals as a senior in HS. Data basically nonexistent outside of camps, where he killed it. Committed to Penn State w/ ridiculous video, which we 1000% approve of.

FAIRLY SAFE BET

e2d6405c-6fad-4d3f-b75e-c9ffd2e570a213. CB Jeremy Clark, Sr.* [Last time: NR]

Main uncertainty here is sixth-year eligibility. If eligible very strong bet to start, as 6'4" corners are a rare treasure. No shame in losing out to future NFLer Channing Stribling last year and was strong in the first three games with Lewis out. Better in run support than Stribling; thought most of the completions on him in 2015 were bad luck. Brings experience that the rest of the back four is largely devoid of.

CrxVLFyXEAQQBc914. OG Mike Onwenu, So. [Last time: NR]

You know Harbaugh is itching to roll out lines mostly comprised of 350-pound giants; Onwenu figures to be the first to come online. Played well in limited time a year ago, and has a long term future on O per his coach. Still kind of wonder if he's got the mobility to play as a pulling guard, but we'll see. Made of adamantium, or possibly degenerate neutrons. Likes grapes.

GaelBigHands15. FLEX Ian Bunting, Jr.*[Last time: NR]

Ol' Skillet Hands did not have the breakout season many anticipated thanks in part to injury; with Jake Butt taking up a lot of targets and the second half of most games spent running the ball with huge leads there was not much opportunity. Should be plenty next year as Butt heads to the NFL. Decent blocker; retains monster receiving upside. Must look out behind him.

CryqvadUkAA3Tz516. RB Chris Evans, So. [Last time: NR]

Quick-twitch athlete emerged into clear #2 behind Smith by season's end. Capable of nasty short-area jukes; doesn't break many tackles; home-run hitter. Receiving upside unexplored last year but will emerge as his career wears on. Will split snaps with Isaac, Higdon, and others in crowded backfield. Should be allowed to wear a helmet that has his hair on it.

6_417226617. WR Kekoa Crawford, So. [Last time: NR]

Emerged as clear #3 option on the outside thanks in large part to terrific blocking. Had one bad drop and one badass catch to go with some more routine events. Most X-shaped of the 2015 guys and slid in front of Hoke-era recruits immediately upon arrival. As a recruit, touted as a high polished player who could step in relatively quickly.

hudson18. SS Khaleke Hudson, So. [Last time: NR]

Existence of mean ol' Josh Metellus has Hudson's spot somewhat in doubt but if you thought this space would bet against Hudson, you have not been paying attention. Blocked two punts in 2016 and had about as much garbage time as Metellus. If Hudson gets beat out here look for him at SAM or nickel.

635901105703766325-SMG-20160203-sal-gb7-0219. TE Devin Asiasi, So. [Last time: NR]

This slot could easily read "pick a Kaiju." Both Asiasi and Wheatley will be a year stronger, abler, and meaner; one or both should break out into true stars. Asiasi gets the tentative nod here because he got a majority of Kaiju PT and did very well with it, repeatedly blowing LBs and DBs yards away from where they desired to be. Don't mess with his dad. For real.

image20. FB/H-back Khalid Hill, Sr.* [Last time: 25]

If I had a Panda / I'd hammer in the morning / I'd hammer in the evening / but only in the endzone. Impact Fullback Khalid Hill specialized in two-for-one edge blocks, one yard touchdown runs, wide open flare routes, spectacular catches, and self-nicknaming that was so amazing people just ran with it.

IN A BATTLE

30030155204_aeed8a5eef_z21. SAM Noah Furbush, Jr* [Last time: 26]

Peppers's backup last year, and well-liked by the coaches. But how does Furbush replace a safety? Because that's what Peppers is, a safety. Most Don Brown SAM top out at 215, and Furbush is much bigger than that. Wouldn't be surprised to see him move inside, or reprise his backup role behind a Hudson type.

i-want-to-believe22. WR Drake Harris, Jr.* [Last time: NR]

Anyone's guess who the second outside receiver is. Harris gets a tentative nod as he was repeatedly targeted downfield starting at about midseason. His only catch on those bombs was called back thanks to a fairly weak OPI call, but aside from that it was slick, and promising. People forget that he was an uber-hyped recruit with 2000 yards as a high school junior. Nice hamstring. Good hamstring.

635894839030253287-DFPawards-121315-SG3523. CB Lavert Hill, So. [Last time: NR]

Eases ahead of David Long here thanks to late-season playing time; that may be artifact of opportunity to redshirt Long after a midseason injury. Jourdan Lewis 2.0 is the rep, and he had a couple of PBUs that hinted at his ability. Will be seriously pressed by Long and Ambry Thomas. 27 Tickets needs a bow tie, even a sloppy one.

images24. NICKEL Brandon Watson [Last time: NR]

Watson got more PT than any other non-starting corner after the Clark injury, but he'll be pressed hard to keep that spot. Last year this was Peppers; this year it is a conventional third corner. This could be Metellus, as Brown added Kinnel when he needed an extra guy. This is a real classy section of 27 Tickets, you'll agree.

CvKekmXWIAAKkLp25. P Will Hart, Fr.*

He's a punter, and he's on the roster. So I guess he'll probably punt, unless someone else does. Nordin a possibility, as he is reputed to have a big leg. Picture at left actually of Jordan Glasgow, because I couldn't leave that out. It's Jordan Glasgow wearing a bear shirt. I mean. Cumong.

-014fef6b21b5d8cb26. OT Isaiah Wilson, Fr. [Last time: NR]

Unfortunate OL tradition to list a guy who's not even committed as a starter but the OT depth chart looks like tumbleweeds and Wilson is an immediate impact guy. Dude looks like a 30-year old All Pro. JBB is a possibility but after major struggles in pass pro knocked him out of the lineup I'm not feeling that.

CfEruT3W8AAvKWX27. OT Grant Newsome, Jr. [Last time: 19]

Devastating knee injury saw Newsome spend 38 days in the hospital afterwards. Long term prognosis much better than that would imply, but 2017 availability still very much in question. If fully healthy, starts at tackle. Worried chatter about his ability gave way to play that made you wonder what all the bother was about.

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TECHNICALLY NOT STARTERS BUT CLOSE ENOUGH

RB Drake Johnson—Michigan will apply for sixth year, but do they have the room?
RB Ty Isaac—spring hype petered out into decent play.
RB Karan Higdon—Impressed with his quick cuts and low pad level. Will continue to see snaps.

FB Henry Poggi—less dynamic Michigan fullback, and one who had some issues getting his hat on someone last year.

WR Eddie McDoom—MCDOOOOOOOOM

TE Tyrone Wheatley Jr.—developed his blocking late in the year, coin flip whether it was him or Asiasi.

C Patrick Kugler—most likely reconfiguration of line has Kugler drawing in at C and Cole going to a trouble spot.

CB David Long—going to be a very good player and should push to start. Coinflip w/ Hill.

PUSHING FROM BEHIND

QB Brandon Peters—first Harbaugh-selected QB on the roster comes with massive expectations.
QB John O'Korn—iffy Indiana outing was a win, at least.

RB Kareem Walker—academic redshirt out of the way and time to start displaying that talent.
RB Kingston Davis—some transfer chatter.

WR Nate Johnson—mean-ass slot receiver, if that's a thing. Golden Tate is ceiling.
WR Moe Ways—passed by Crawford and Harris. Getting late early.

TE Sean McKeon—did not redshirt for some reason grumble.

G David Dawson—Doesn't seem like it's happening.
T Juwann Bushell-Beatty—sixth OL after the Newsome injury so there's probably some chance, but played poorly.

ILB Elysee Mbem-Bosse—most likely ILB backup given roster.
SAM Josh Uche—Don Brown dude could be chaos generator.

SS Josh Metellus—spent second half of Rutgers game ending dudes.

WAITING THEIR TURN

QB Alex Malzone—not really in the race, it seems.

TE Nick Eubanks—Funchess 2.0
TE Zach Gentry—actually played WR for much of last year. Development will be fascinating.

C Jon Runyan Jr.—right bloodlines at least.
G Stephen Spanellis—road grader needs seasoning.
T Nolan Ulizio—some playing time he seemed iffy in.

SDE Lawrence Marshall—again disappeared when the season rolled around.
SDE Carlo Kemp—played for some damn reason
WDE Ron Johnson—hyped edge rusher could be Winovich's backup.
WDE Reuben Jones—worker popular with teammates.

NT Michael Dwumfour—ideally he's Hurst 2.0, but probably needs another year.

CB Keith Washington—did not find PT last year, will try again.

Comments

Gucci Mane

November 29th, 2016 at 3:57 PM ^

I can't move on to next year because of the refs literally figuratively fucking me on Saturday. Never let it die ! (Or at least untill the selection show).

SAMgO

November 29th, 2016 at 4:11 PM ^

Feel like DPJ will be a starter or close to it by the time Wisconsin and OSU roll around next year. As phenomenal of athletes as Crawford and McDoom are, DPJ even exceeds that and has a little bit of size and natural WR talent they haven't quite developed yet.

stephenrjking

November 29th, 2016 at 4:32 PM ^

If he comes to Michigan I feel like he'll push for a spot right away and will get significant snaps. Unless someone else (say, Gentry) develops this over the offseason, he has the potential to bring something to the table that Michigan hasn't had this year--a receiver who can reliably win 50-50 passes. 

Our top three receivers coming back right now are Perry, Crawford, and McDoom. But these are all smaller quick guys. Good assets, but nobody who is a target outside. I believe DPJ can be that target.

Moonlight Graham

November 29th, 2016 at 4:13 PM ^

Brian is more optimistic about Newsome and Clark than I would have expected. 

If Newsome is able to play again someday it may be better to not rush him, redshirt next year and be a kick-ass upperclass dude in '18 and '19 when we'll have one of the best OL's in the country. 

Ghost of Fritz…

November 29th, 2016 at 4:13 PM ^

answer the Zach Gentry issue?

6'7" and can run.  

Why isn't he further up the list of receivers?

I can see why he would not be an every down guy at WR (we have some super-duper young talent there) or at TE (not bult for the blocking part). 

But with his combination of size and running ability, shouldn't it be a no brainer to have several a package of 4 recevier set plays with Gentry on the field at various spots creating the most incredible match up nightmares for opposing D coordinators?

AZBlue

November 29th, 2016 at 4:28 PM ^

Probably because we haven't seen him much (if at all) as a WR. If he was ready I am sure this staff would have created a package to utilize him . This list will be revised post-Bowl and post-Spring so he has a chance to work his way into TH he list.

smwilliams

November 29th, 2016 at 4:17 PM ^

This post does not make me optimistic that next year will see Michigan in the CFP. We lose nearly all of our receiving production, 3/5 of an O-Line with some guys who've seen spot duty or freshmen behind them. 6 of 7 DL/LB starters are gone, and while the starting DL will be good, the depth is shaky behind them. We lose every member of the secondary and I'd feel okay about two of those spots if Clark comes back (Kinnel being the other). 

This team has a lot of ?s heading into next year. 

stephenrjking

November 29th, 2016 at 4:21 PM ^

This has been a known issue all year. There's a huuuuuge gap in talent quality left over from the end of the Hoke era, the consequence of which is basically two classes featuring Jabrill Peppers (who is leaving) and little else of reliable consequence. 

For that reason this was "the year." Questionable QB slot or not, Michigan had the talent and coaching to make a dent. This is partly why the loss Saturday is so devastating. There's no way the team doesn't take a step back next season, great coaching or otherwise.

Naked Bootlegger

November 29th, 2016 at 6:54 PM ^

I think the next "The Year" is 2 years from now.  Speight as senior QB.  Solid young offensive line prospects maturing (minus Cole, of course).   Plethora of RB options.  Solid young WR's maturing.   Solid young LB's and CB's maturing and RASHAN GARY AS A JUNIOR anchoring the line.   Have I mentioned solid young players maturing?

stephenrjking

November 29th, 2016 at 9:36 PM ^

I agree that two years from now is very promising.

I hope it's not "the year" because I hope by then we have such a solid pipeline of top five classes and quality coaching that we are prepared to compete for the playoff every year. So senior Speight (or sophomore Peters or something) leads an excellent offense, but the talent coming in behind is good enough that next season is also a "year" and the season after that as well.

I hope. Need to land those recruits.

Ziff72

November 29th, 2016 at 4:30 PM ^

A lot of questions but also a lot of very encouraging answers.   This is not the old "hope this 3 star works out or it's a walk on situation.

WR concerns I think are way overblown.   I've seen enough from the freshmen to sleep soundly and we have a lot of very exciting bullets in the chamber.

TE is being way undersold.  Wheatley and Asiasi could be a devastating duo next year.

Oline is a concern but it wasn't great this year and I think they have enough to cobble a decent line together.  No injuries and we're fine here.  I think Biran is sleeping on Owenu's potential.

RB-Stacked.  No worries

QB- 3rd yr in system Speight with experience will smooth over some of the holes that pop up.

Dline- I would suggest the starting line next  year could be better than this year.

LB- Meh.  Should be fine.

DB- HUGE possible issue, but I like filling those with elite talent like Hill and Long and seeing what happens.

2017......exciting and unpredictable...... not......oh shit we lost all our talented guys.

 

stephenrjking

November 29th, 2016 at 4:37 PM ^

I think WR concerns are a bit overblown because I think our WR corps was a bit overrated this year. 

Darboh was everything we could have hoped for. Chesson, in my opinion, took a step back. He frequently had trouble getting open. And Darboh, while a good pass-catcher and a guy who could make some fancy one-handed catches, wasn't good at adjusting to long passes in the air and left some catches on the field.

They weren't bad, but as a group they weren't great, either. Nobody was a "weapon," the kind of guy Speight could throw to that could use his talent to make a play out of nothing. 

The guys coming back have yet to show that ability, either, but that just means they aren't a clear upgrade. But running routes and catching passes within the function of the offense? I'm optimistic.

Ron Utah

November 29th, 2016 at 6:14 PM ^

Young, hungry, and Harbaugh.  That's how I would describe next year's roster.  There will be doubters aplenty given the youth of the team, but if we can beat Florida in the season-opener, we could definitely make the playoff.  In fact, even if we don't, we could make the playoff by winning out, which I believe is possible.

One thing is certain: for the first time in a decade, we have the athletes to compete with anyone in the country.  Between Harbaugh and Brown, my guess is this young roster out-performs and is another borderline playoff team.  I would predict 10-2, but if we beat Florida, we could easily be 11-1.

Why so optimistic?  Yes, we lose nearly all of our receiving production, but Darboh and Chesson are being replaced with superior athletes that are already superb blockers.  Yes, Jake Butt is probably the best Michigan receiving TE of all time, but Wheatley and Asiasi are far better blockers and will improve rapidly in the pass game, with Bunting filling in more TE slot catches.  Yes, we're losing 3/5 of an O-Line, but it's an O-Line that was poorly coached for years and has under-performed its talent level--look for that trend to flip next year as Harbaugh's guys start to mature.  Yes, the DL is not as deep, but it's still uber-talented and will be in year two of Brown's system.  They will find adequate or better back-ups.  The LBs?  Gedeon was very good, but Bush will be a monster and McCray will be a year better.  Peppers?  Sure, he is an amazing athlete, but Brown has ALWAYS had a great SAM and has plenty of athletes to choose from.  You get the point...

We have top-quality coaching, and we will have excellent QB play from day one for the first time since...Henne's last season?

Quite frankly, next year's squad reminds me a lot of the Ohio State squad the won the MNC.  Young, hungry, and coached by some of the best minds in the sport.  Oh, and we have MSU and OSU at home.  Our toughest road games are at Penn State and at Wisconsin, though I expect Maryland will be much tougher than most would guess.  That is still a VERY favorable schedule, even compared to this year.  IF Florida is good enough to beat us, I expect they'll win the SEC East, which makes it a quality loss.  I seriously doubt we lose more than one conference game next season.  Too much talent, too much Harbaugh.

ScruffyTheJanitor

November 29th, 2016 at 4:19 PM ^

But I'd swap McDoom and Crawford. I know it's mainly because of the chant, but I just remember McDoom looking a lot more polished than Crawford.

As a side note, this roster looks like an 9-3 team unless we can find some offensive tackles. That Florida game could be really rough.

I think Bredeson/Onwenu/Cole/Kugler/Dawson should mean a solid interior line, but good lawdy, we need some tackles.  Bredeson feels like the best RT option just because there is so much unknown here. I really wish JBB has performed better or that Newsome hadn't been injured. 

Defensivley, we should be... ok? I mean, we won't have the Death Line, but we should be good there. I actually think the Linebackers have potential, and I am tentively excited about Kinnel/Hudson. The performance here feels like it will depend upon the progress of the cornerbacks and some key depth pieces stepping up. 

UMinSF

November 29th, 2016 at 5:22 PM ^

Crawford threw some hellacious blocks. McDoom is pretty skinny. I think Crawford will get a lot of run.

Regarding the line, specifically LT, it will help to have Wheatley, Asiasi or even Hill to help out. Whoever wins the job is gonna need all the help we can provide.

On defense, our young talent at LB and secondary is exciting. I'm optimistic our back end could be pretty damn good by the time we reach the meat of our schedule. In years to come, it's gonna be lights out.

Florida's offense stinks - ranked #114. We may need only 10 points to beat them.

mgobaran

November 29th, 2016 at 4:18 PM ^

The old throw bodies at the OL and DL and hope somebody sticks game. Replacing the DBs and the WRs. And the RB. And the TE. And a LB. AND a Peppers. Hell, maybe the QB. 

So of course this is the year we win the National Championship, right? 

Ghost of Fritz…

November 29th, 2016 at 5:43 PM ^

think about it this way.

Cole and Bredeson are very solid pieces from which to build.  Based on what we have seen they are very likely to make NFL rosters when they are done.

Dawson and Kugler were hightly rated when they arrived.  No reason to believe they will fail to play at the level Braden achieved this year. 

And then what if Onwenu really is a future all-american at guard? 

And what if Isaiah Wilson comes (more likely than not apparently) and is also a future all-american at LT?

There is potential for the 2017 line to achieve better production than the 2016 line.

No saying it will work out that way.  But it is not crazy to think that it will either.