Bubble Watch - Open Thread
I think the bolded teams are the ones Michigan is rooting for to get the best odds to make the NCAA Tournament.
Texas A&M 71, LSU 38 F SEC Semis
St. Joseph's 82, Dayton 79 F A-10 Semis
Connecticut 77, Temple 62 F AAC Semis
Kentucky 93, Georgia 80 F SEC Semis
Michigan St. 64, Maryland 61 F B1G Semis
VCU 76, Davidson 54 F A-10 Semis
Memphis 74, Tulane 54 F AAC Semis
Fresno St. 68, San Diego St. 63 F MWC Champ.
Steve Fisher and SDSU may have just cost Michigan a berth to the NCAA Tourmanent with a loss tonight. Going to be a long 24 hours.
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MSU-Maryland is a hideous slopfest. The two teams have combined to score about six points in the last 5-6 minutes.
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Slow-mo showed it was just barely on its way down. A goaltend, but too close to expect to get that right in real time.
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Ugly, ugly game. The last 10 minutes were horrific.
MSU seems to win an unbelievable percentage of these toss-up games in March.
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It's not that simple. The committee doesn't allot bids per conference. We are in competition with all the bubble teams, not just the ones from the B1G (and OSU really isn't on the bubble anymore).
Wins agaisnt top 30 teams dont matter ..Michigan....and Losses to teams over 100 dont matter...pretty much every other bubble team out there...In a logical world losses to teams over 100 should weigh Heavily against you...unless your a Jay Bilas or Joe Lunardi who hate Michigan....or others who have a axe to gring against Michigan..Oh yeah didnt the Big Ten WIN the Big/ACC challenge? YET the ACC is so superior? its all politics and Jay Bilas woulnt be biased or anything ...right?
SDSU on the ropes down 2 with under 2 minutes remaining in the MWC Championship Game.
Unreal.
to save his fucking life.
They just had like 5 possessions in a row that were all abominations.
Steve Fisher's SDSU squad may have just stolen our bid. Not great, Bob.
SDSU ranks much higher in the RPI and KenPom. Michigan ranks higher in Sagarin by a couple spots. Maybe this loss to Fresno State pushes their rankings down though.
Not sure how you can call it absurd though.
6 of their 9 losses are to teams in the tournament. 3 of them are to teams in the top 10 RPI. They have one bad loss and two borderline. C'mon man. Their resume has warts, but no need to exaggerate this part. They did lose a bunch of these games at home which I think is a knock against them.
I was just making the point that a lot of objective computer rankings look highly upon them.
March 12th, 2016 at 10:42 PM ^
I don't like their resume much. I have no idea if we get in before SDSU. I was responding to someone saying it was absurd that they might.
I think some people are mistaking some of my posts today. My take is that Michigan is in a really precarious position. But some people are posting on here like it is some clear cut, slam dunk case that Michigan gets in, and it's not. Our RPI and KenPom are not good compared to other bubble teams. Our Sagarin rating is a little better, but not that much better than other bubble teams. Those objective measures should give everyone pause, but some have brushed it off as no big deal.
March 12th, 2016 at 10:23 PM ^
Dude, you need to chill out. I was responding to the hot take that it is absurd that SDSU gets in before us. I am not saying or advocating that they should or will. But to dismiss them completely when some objective measurements look more favorably on them than Michigan should at least make you slow down and realize it may be closer than you believe.
March 13th, 2016 at 12:00 PM ^
By this logic, UM has 1 loss to a non-tourney team (SMU would be in if they were eligible). UM's worst loss (to OSU) is basically equivalent to SDSU's 2nd-best win (to Fresno, which then beat them 2 straight times).
The computers look highly upon them because they played a very tough OOC schedule, but as we've seen historically non-P5 teams with these types of numbers aren't shoo-ins by any stretch, especially ones that have a terrible loss (at home to SD) and exactly 1 top-50 win to their name.
March 13th, 2016 at 11:44 AM ^
March 13th, 2016 at 12:02 PM ^