FWIW. Michigan doesn't seem inclined to get re-involved.
- Member for
- 5 years 25 weeks
- View recent blog entries
|5 weeks 4 days ago||Our left side is getting destroyed.||
You can tell that Ghana's game plan is to go after jones and Beasley, and it's working. I'm sure that Jurgen wants to sit back and play counterattack with the lead, but we are giving up so many chances that one of them is bound to go in. I don't think a defensive solution really exists, on the field or on the bench; I think we're just going to have to score at least one more, and actually possess the ball for more than two consecutive passes.
|5 weeks 4 days ago||Well, shit.||
|8 weeks 3 days ago||They choose to play in UEFA||
They could be in the Asian confederation if they wanted. Australia plays in Asia, and Israel plays in Europe, and neither are in those continents.
Edit: oops, supposed to post higher up the thread.
|17 weeks 13 hours ago||The rankings are in:||
Phil Fulmer thinks we're the fourth best team in this game.
|17 weeks 3 days ago||Taylor Lewan coaching running backs?||
At least they'd finally know how to pass protect.
|18 weeks 1 day ago||Welp.||
All of the welp.
|18 weeks 4 days ago||He was close, kind of.||
There have been 464 1-4 seeds in the 29 years since the tournament expanded. If 287 of them reached the round of 16, that's 61.9%. Also, the 4/9 should come with a +/- of 3 due to sample size.
|19 weeks 10 hours ago||Louisville has no chance at it.||
They are 4-5 against the rpi top 50, and one of those is against Southern Miss, who is on the wrong side of the bubble. They just haven't played anyone. Well, actually, they played North Carolina and Kentucky, but they lost those games. Michigan is 9-4 against the RPI top 50, and those 4 losses are to better teams than anyone Louisville played all year. If Louisville wins tomorrow, they can get a 3 seed. That's about it.
|19 weeks 18 hours ago||Habitable zone is a sensible term.||
It assumes life would require liquid water, and the habitable zone is simply the area around a star where liquid water would exist. It might be 180 degrees F, so uninhabitable by our standards, but it would be habitable by some life form. We are actually barely in the habitable zone for the Sun, as a lot of our water is actually frozen, but it works for us.
|19 weeks 1 day ago||Sort of.||
The St.John's/Providence winner had a pretty good shot at being on the right side of the bubble anyway (especially if it is Providence). The real bid-stealing could occur if Creighton loses as well.
|19 weeks 5 days ago||Don't think SDSU will be a 3 seed though.||
They'll definitely be out west if they are a 1-4 seed, because there aren't any other western teams to take that spot, but they might need to win their conference tournament just to lock up a 4 seed, and that's definitely not a sure thing.
|19 weeks 5 days ago||At the moment, maybe.||
Michigan and Wisconsin's profiles are so similar right now that it's hard to say which should be seeded higher. Thankfully the BTT should sort that out. I give it to Michigan right now based on the superior conference record against a harder schedule, more top 50 wins, and the fact that Michigan was dealing with injuries to both Stauskas and GRIII in the Charlotte game, which somewhat mitigates our worst loss.
|19 weeks 5 days ago||I think they went from top 2 seed to last 2 seed||
They should be just behind Michigan. They each have a loss at Indiana and another bad loss. Wisconsin is 8-4 against the RPI top 50, Michigan is 10-5. Near identical profiles, but the teams Michigan lost to are way better (Arizona, Duke, Iowa State compared to Minnesota, Nebraska, and Ohio State). Also, more of Michigan's wins are on the road, plus they won the B1G by three games.
Both should be easily ahead of Duke, the too 3 seed. Duke has a similar profile but with an extra bad loss.
|20 weeks 15 hours ago||JDavis is right||
1-4 seeds are placed in the closest available region. So one region could have the #1, 5, 9, and 13 overall seeds if they were from different conferences. The west, apart from Arizona, might get the worst team in the other bands because San Diego State is the only other top 20 team in that region.
|20 weeks 1 day ago||I think we're a 2 seed right now.||
Wisconsin and Villanova are the top 2 seeds right now. I think Villanova is, as usual, overrated, and will flame out early, but you can't say their resume is worse than any of those teams. They have three losses, all to top 12 RPI teams, a neutral site win over Kansas, and most importantly, they have no bad losses.
Syracuse, Michigan, and Virginia should be the three teams fighting for the other 2 #2 seeds, and each have two losses outside the top 50. I have Michigan and Virginia as #2 seeds with Syracuse the top #3 seed, although based on resume it should probably be Syracuse, Michigan, Virginia. I just think that the second terrible loss by Syracuse proves that the first one wasn't a fluke, and they also don't have the road success that Michigan has, with wins at Wisconsin, MSU, and OSU.
I don't understand Duke ahead of Michigan at all. Both have 7 losses, but Michigan's are to better teams, and Michigan has better wins as well. Duke has one road win against the RPI top 100 (!), a win at Pitt, who is on their way out of the tournament if they can't get a decent win. Michigan has 5 in the top 50. That's a miss by Lunardi.
|20 weeks 2 days ago||I don't like this.||
It has the effect of diminishing the value of a touchdown while increasing the value of a field goal, which is the exact opposite of what should be done. I think touchdowns are more than twice as hard to get as field goals, and should be valued accordingly. This change would make it less likely for a team to go for it on fourth down rather than kick a medium-to-long field goal because there is a decent chance that the touchdown would only get them 6 points. Also, what the hell do you do for 2-point conversions? Do you spot the the ball differently for those? And how is it fair to signal to the defense what you are trying to do based on where the ball is spotted? As it is now the defense has to hold people back in case of a fake, but they might as well go all out if it's a 42-yard try because the chances of getting to the end zone from a fake at that distance are pretty slim. In short, get off my lawn, NFL.
As has been said already, I'd rather let a team take the 7 automatically or take 6 with a 2-point attempt. Honestly, though, this is fixing something that just isn't broken.
|21 weeks 1 day ago||They are headed down the seed lines fast||
They were a 5/6 seed going into this. Losing to Penn State drops them to about a 7. If they lose at Indiana and home to Staee, which I think they will, they could end up as low as a 10, maybe 11 if they don't get a BTT win.
|21 weeks 2 days ago||Purdue is caught in a landslide||
No escape from reality.
|21 weeks 2 days ago||All weight changes||
Are good weight changes.
|21 weeks 5 days ago||It's a good start.||
It's a good start.
|22 weeks 2 days ago||Awesome.||
Pretty sure they do this with Mad Libs.
|22 weeks 4 days ago||Attendance will be a problem in Cinci.||
The other regions should be fine, as they should be able to get teams like quinnipiac and Cornell into Bridgeport, and the other two have strong draws as top seeds. Unfortunately, Cinci is pretty far from any tournament team. Michigan and notre dame are by far the closest, so there might be a push to put us there. You can do that with your bracket, just flip us into the game vs Ferris, and ND vs st. Cloud, putting the others in Bridgeport. That gets all four teams closer to home and strengthens the weakest attended regions.
|22 weeks 4 days ago||Maybe not||
The Cinci regional is almost certainly going to the #4 seed, so it would have the 4,5,12, and 13 seeds if the bracket was perfect. The simplest way to get to Cinci is to move down a couple spots.
|22 weeks 4 days ago||Don't understand these pairings.||
The 1-4 seed pairings are fine, but the 2-3 pairings are kind of screwy. Obviously Wisconsin can't play Michigan, and Lowell can't play Northeastern, but why not do the bracket below? It has better bracket integrity and doesn't adversely affect attendance. Granted, I never like the idea of having to go to the east coast to play teams from Boston, but we did win a national championship that way.
Northeast Regional - Worcester, MA - DCU Center
Midwest Regional - Cincinnati, OH - U.S. Bank Arena
East Regional - Bridgeport, CT - Webster Bank Arena
|22 weeks 5 days ago||my favorite part of this game:||
Other than Nebraska winning, obviously, was Izzo complaining that Payne WASN'T called for a charge because Nebraska got to go into transition on the rebound.
|22 weeks 5 days ago||I think these are lucky threads.||
Remember the "Nebraska is smoking Ohio State" thread a couple weeks ago? Nebraska won that game too. Let's change the thread title to "Nebraska smoking Sparty".
|23 weeks 1 day ago||We can't knock them out.||
I think Penn State already did.
|23 weeks 1 day ago||Villanova is close.||
They have two losses (Syracuse and Creighton) and wins over Kansas and Iowa. If they beat Creighton in the return match on Sunday, they should run the table. You can make a strong argument that they belong ahead of Wichita State now, and if Florida loses to Kentucky this weekend, Villanova should grab that spot.
|23 weeks 1 day ago||I have one of those brackets.||
Basically, I started a blog about a week ago (bracketquest.blogspot.com) and started to do this myself, and emailed the guy to be included in the matrix. It's a lot of work to do it daily and do it right, but I don't understand some of the bizarre crap on the matrix. In fact, Drew's Bracketology was one of the reasons I started; I figured I couldn't do any worse than him.
As far as Lunardi, I don't see Michigan as a #2 at all. How are they ahead of Kansas? Kansas is better in every imaginable metric: RPI, strength of schedule, performance against common opponents ( they are 3-0 against Iowa State and Duke), bad losses (they have none). The only argument for Michigan is that many of their toughest games were on the road, but for me, it comes down to this: they have the same record, and Kansas played the tougher schedule, plus they beat the teams that we lost to. We are a solid 3 seed right now, with basically the same profile as Wisconsin, right down to the losses at Indiana and against a team just outside the RPI top 100.
Also, Lunardi has Michigan ahead of MSU, which is why he puts us in the Midwest region, which doesn't make sense either, unless you are willing to ignore our losses to Charlotte and Indiana.
|23 weeks 1 day ago||Be a low 4 seed or a 5 seed||
One of the Spokane pods will have San Diego St, because they are precluded from playing in San Diego as the host school. The other will be one of the leftover pods for the 4 seeds because all the closer pods will be taken. The other leftover pods will be in San Diego, maybe San Antonio and Orlando. The worst 4 seeds will probably get sent out west.