UM vs. OSU Talent Revisit
Back in May, I did a position group comparison of OSU and UM saying which had more talent. Now that the season is over, I thought I'd do a revisit. I want to clarify, though, with teams that have recruited as well as OSU and UM have, evaluating and developing that talent is the difference in the end. I am not trying to be a troll, rather trying to get real discussion on the different paths of these rosters and how Michigan can/can't bounce back next year. I'd also like UM fans' thoughts on how we project.
Original post:
http://mgoblog.com/mgoboard/um-vs-osu-talent#comment-2535899
QB = OSU>UM (I honestly don't feel this needs any justification.)
RB = OSU>UM (Elliott is an outstanding all around back. He is the complete package of speed, vision, power, and receiving. He has also turned out to be one of the best blocking RB's in the country. Glad he's only a sophomore. His backups are Samuel, who will get touches no matter who is the starter, and Dunn. UM had flashes from their top 3 backs and showed promise with the improvement of the OL. Johnson was looking very good in The Game before his injury. All three flashed better vision this year, with seemingly less plays leading to a RB running into an OL. I really hold the coaching staff at fault here. There never seemed to be a definitive "This is the guy" choice. And that Johnson didn't seem to get a bigger chance until after Green's injury is questionable. Obviously, hindsight is 20-20 and all, but...)
OL = OSU>UM (OSU's OL has showed that they are able to win games with pass or run blocking. The way OSU rebounded from VT shows the difference in coaching. This gap is not large, though. I think Cole has obviously shown that he has the talent to be great. OSU's interior has higher upside than UM's, though, and I like OSU's depth more. A new coach will probably wipe the slate clean for UM's OL.)
WR = OSU>UM (The young OSU talent broke out this year. Thomas, Marshall, and Wilson all showed big play ability and consistency alongside Smith and Spencer. Funchess showed he has as much ability as anyone, but not always the drive. Darboh and Chesson seem to have skill, but they never wowed me. This will be one of the positions that I think a new staff can have a huge impact on.)
TE = UM>OSU (I think this is closer than UM fans will probably think, though. OSU had three TE's score this year and Heuerman and Vannett are as athletic and well-rounded as any TE in the country. Heuerman should be one of the first TE's chosen in the draft. Butt is just flat out a better receiver and can have a huge impact on games. He is as good as any UM player, in my opinion.)
DL = OSU>>>UM (Even with the loss of Spence and Marcus, OSU's DL is still one of the best in the nation. Clark was very good for UM, but outside of him, no one scared me.)
*LB = Wash (Jake Ryan is the single best player out of either group, but I think OSU has a lot more pure talent. The athleticism gap is large. Lee, Perry, McMillan, Grant, and Booker are all ridiculous athletes which allowed them to make up for a lot of missteps and bad angles. They were young and it showed at times. I'm not very high on Bolden. I think he's not a bad player, but he doesn't seem to do much that jumps out to me when I watch UM. I think he's at his ceiling, too. I honestly don't know much about what any other UM LB did this year. They seemed slightly invisible. Whatever happened to Ben Gedeon? I thought he would blow up.)
*CB = OSU>UM (Doran Grant was the best corner between the teams. Countess and Taylor disappointed me some this year. Countess showed that he is not a true cover corner. Michigan's secondary in general was kind of shocking in how easy it was for competent QB's to find holes. UM only recorded 5 interceptions this year, and only 2 were from the secondary, both by Lewis. Lewis obviously impressed me more this year than I expected, but overall the UM CB's were kind of forgettable.)
S = OSU>UM (I think Peppers would have made a big difference here if he could've stayed healthy. If he would've played a nickel or hybrid spot, I'd still include him with the safeties. UM safeties did not record a single turnover this year. Bell and Powell for OSU were above average. The secondary play as a whole increased quite a bit this year, although the DL certainly helped. Bell in particular seemed like the most talented between the two teams. He has a knack for being in place to make picks, is a hard hitter, and a sure tackler.)
Specialists = Wash (Cameron Johnston is one of the best punters in the nation. OSU placekickers aren't world beaters. Hagerup was about the same as anyone would've expected this year and UM's placekicking was slightly better than OSU's. Out of all of them, I think only Johnston has a real NFL future.)
I know I am probably biased, though I try not to be. All told, I look back at lot of the thoughts and responses I got back in May and am shocked at how bad UM's coaching truly is. I think OSU has certainly developed talent at a much higher level, but I also feel OSU has evaluated much better, too. OSU seems to be able to plug in a lot more guys early in their careers and hasn't had a lot of misses the last few years in recruiting. A lot of you were very optimistic about UM's season and players according to the talent UM was starting with, but that talent didn't progress at all. After doing this post and reviewing the old one, I think my opinion has actually downgraded even more of Hoke and his staff. They really did very little with the talent they had.
December 12th, 2014 at 4:51 PM ^
Really, no one wants you to come over here and talk about how great you think the Buckeyes are. Roll tide and go troll elsewhere!
December 12th, 2014 at 4:51 PM ^
It is hard to defend the M talent the way they played this past season. As much as I hate to admit it you are pretty close to the truth here.
My hope is the new Coach will bring out a lot of talent in the current roster. Coach Hoke's father figure style may not have pushed the players as hard as he needed. I played D2 football for a father figure type coach and we had guys that needed to be benched or needed a foot stuck up there and it never happened.
JH would push these guys like they have never been pushed. You don't get better without getting pushed or learning to push yorself.
December 12th, 2014 at 4:52 PM ^
December 12th, 2014 at 5:31 PM ^
RB - I don't think you realize how good Elliott was this year. He averaged 6.5ypc and ran for 1400 yards. He also caught 26 passes for over 200 yards. To put that in perspective, he had more catches than Jake Butt. With 4 new O-Linemen.
Defense - So, you wouldn't take Michael Bennett (All-American), Doran Grant (All-Conference), Darron Lee (Strong-Side LB, 13.5 TFL, 5.5 sacks, 2 INT), Josh Perry (Weak-Side LB, 113 tackles, 1 INT, 8.5 TFL, 3 sacks) , or Vonn Bell over their counterparts at UM? Why?
December 12th, 2014 at 5:51 PM ^
December 12th, 2014 at 5:09 PM ^
Enough of this shit. I'll ask anyone who cares to answer:
Where the hell is Dymonte Thomas?
December 12th, 2014 at 5:14 PM ^
So much this. I am completely shocked that he has done nothing.
December 12th, 2014 at 5:41 PM ^
Just curious how many UM games you watched? Generally I dont disagree with most of your points.
You forgot
Hoke <<<< Meyer
and
Time in class UM >>>> OSU
but otherwise pretty correct
I do think your defense as a sum is less than the individual parts. With that DL where 3 out of 4 are going to the NFL it should have been dominating. You played one whole real balanced offense all year (MSU) and it went up and down the field on you all day. The only saving grace for that defense and most in the Big 10 is how bad the QB play is in the conference. The 3rd best statistical QB was Gary friggin Nova. Well by the end of the championship game it was probably Cardale Jones but you get the drift. A dominant DL should make the rest of the D line, see Detroit Lions and NY Giants in their recent heyday.
On offense outside of horrible QB play the complete lack of speed in the skill positions separates UM and OSU. Drake Johnson who was hidden in a closet most of the year and would not have been seen if Green had stayed healthy was our only speed skill player. People claim Funchess but he can't separate from Rutgers or Maryland DBs. Norfleet is quick in small spaces not fast. The speed didnt show that much vs UM but in the MSU and Wisconsin game it looks like a totally different type of athlete out there.
December 12th, 2014 at 5:47 PM ^
I don't disagree at all with you on the OSU defense. I think the coaching advantage of Mattison really shows in how he could make the unit much greater than the sum of its parts. Even so, the OSU D improced quite a bit from the year before with Ash calling things and a ton of underclassmen. I gotta think year two for him will have another jump.
Also agree in the speed at skill positions. While Meyer and Hoke have both been recruiting at a very high level as far as recruiting sites are concerned, Meyer was obviously recruiting very different types of players. Hoke was recruiting like it's 2001.
December 13th, 2014 at 1:28 AM ^
You are giving Hoke too much credit. It is forever 1997 in his mind.
December 12th, 2014 at 6:42 PM ^
December 12th, 2014 at 9:26 PM ^
I see it all the time. I guess there's a reason for it though...
December 12th, 2014 at 10:11 PM ^
December 12th, 2014 at 10:27 PM ^
December 13th, 2014 at 9:00 AM ^
December 12th, 2014 at 10:45 PM ^
No getting past that. Exchange teams and leave the coaches where they are and within mabye 1 and for sure 2 seasons we are having the same conversation. There is simply nowhere near enough talent differential to explain the gap between 12-1 and 5-7. You are describing outcomes here, more than you are talent.
Sure, coaches don't play the game, it all plays out on the field. But read militarty history, I seem to recall Woody teaching such topics. The outcomes of most major battles were practically pre-ordained by the preparation / plan / scheme / whatever. That is why I wanted to puke hearing Hoke keep saying "we didn't execute". Bull crap. Our coaches were expecting to be bailed out on being out smarted by the opposing coaches by the players, who were constantly put in positions not to be successful. How else do you explain the collective puke fests with Rutgers and Maryland? Heck, lets do a "tale of the tape" on Minnesota's collective "as recruited" talent.
OSU's talent advantages can evaporate pretty quickly if M ever lures a competent staff here. Did John Cooper go 2-10-1 with inferior talent? Most people saw M as the underdog in a marjority of those games. The talent analysis, once you have two teams who routinely recruit top 15 or better classes, is a 2nd order function in this. OSU has superior coaching right now, and that is really all you need to know.
Ps. My wife is a Buckeye and I will pretend to root for her team on Jan 1. My son (Class of 2004) just can't bring himself to fake it.
December 13th, 2014 at 9:04 AM ^
December 13th, 2014 at 3:36 PM ^
That referring to the whole topic as a talent issue is 2nd order to the coaching issue. Eventually, assuming the existence of effective coaching, this ridiculously unbalanced situation will regress back to the mean. Until then enoy it while it lasts.
December 12th, 2014 at 10:50 PM ^
December 13th, 2014 at 12:10 AM ^
Amazing as bad as UM sucks at every position that they were in the game half way through the fourth quarter. The same cannot be said against ND, Minn, Utah, etc. vs. UM. Maybe Urban isn't as good as advertised with all that talent.
December 13th, 2014 at 1:01 AM ^
December 13th, 2014 at 2:16 AM ^
If we get Harbaugh in here I think we can turn our players around so that they are coached up to their potential.
Looking at raw talent, OSU had slightly higher recruiting classes. OSU coaches have done a much better job developing the raw talent. Michigan has failed, even regressed development. Quite disappointing from an over paid coaching staff!
December 13th, 2014 at 2:17 AM ^
If we get Harbaugh in here I think we can turn our players around so that they are coached up to their potential.
Looking at raw talent, OSU had slightly higher recruiting classes. OSU coaches have done a much better job developing the raw talent. Michigan has failed, even regressed development. Quite disappointing from an over paid coaching staff!