UM vs. OSU Talent Revisit

Submitted by DenverBuckeye on

Back in May, I did a position group comparison of OSU and UM saying which had more talent. Now that the season is over, I thought I'd do a revisit. I want to clarify, though, with teams that have recruited as well as OSU and UM have, evaluating and developing that talent is the difference in the end. I am not trying to be a troll, rather trying to get real discussion on the different paths of these rosters and how Michigan can/can't bounce back next year. I'd also like UM fans' thoughts on how we project.

Original post:

http://mgoblog.com/mgoboard/um-vs-osu-talent#comment-2535899

QB = OSU>UM (I honestly don't feel this needs any justification.)

RB = OSU>UM (Elliott is an outstanding all around back. He is the complete package of speed, vision, power, and receiving. He has also turned out to be one of the best blocking RB's in the country. Glad he's only a sophomore. His backups are Samuel, who will get touches no matter who is the starter, and Dunn. UM had flashes from their top 3 backs and showed promise with the improvement of the OL. Johnson was looking very good in The Game before his injury. All three flashed better vision this year, with seemingly less plays leading to a RB running into an OL. I really hold the coaching staff at fault here. There never seemed to be a definitive "This is the guy" choice. And that Johnson didn't seem to get a bigger chance until after Green's injury is questionable. Obviously, hindsight is 20-20 and all, but...)

OL = OSU>UM (OSU's OL has showed that they are able to win games with pass or run blocking. The way OSU rebounded from VT shows the difference in coaching. This gap is not large, though. I think Cole has obviously shown that he has the talent to be great. OSU's interior has higher upside than UM's, though, and I like OSU's depth more. A new coach will probably wipe the slate clean for UM's OL.)

WR = OSU>UM (The young OSU talent broke out this year. Thomas, Marshall, and Wilson all showed big play ability and consistency alongside Smith and Spencer. Funchess showed he has as much ability as anyone, but not always the drive. Darboh and Chesson seem to have skill, but they never wowed me. This will be one of the positions that I think a new staff can have a huge impact on.)

TE = UM>OSU (I think this is closer than UM fans will probably think, though. OSU had three TE's score this year and Heuerman and Vannett are as athletic and well-rounded as any TE in the country. Heuerman should be one of the first TE's chosen in the draft. Butt is just flat out a better receiver and can have a huge impact on games. He is as good as any UM player, in my opinion.)

DL = OSU>>>UM (Even with the loss of Spence and Marcus, OSU's DL is still one of the best in the nation. Clark was very good for UM, but outside of him, no one scared me.)

*LB = Wash (Jake Ryan is the single best player out of either group, but I think OSU has a lot more pure talent. The athleticism gap is large. Lee, Perry, McMillan, Grant, and Booker are all ridiculous athletes which allowed them to make up for a lot of missteps and bad angles. They were young and it showed at times. I'm not very high on Bolden. I think he's not a bad player, but he doesn't seem to do much that jumps out to me when I watch UM. I think he's at his ceiling, too. I honestly don't know much about what any other UM LB did this year. They seemed slightly invisible. Whatever happened to Ben Gedeon? I thought he would blow up.)

*CB = OSU>UM (Doran Grant was the best corner between the teams. Countess and Taylor disappointed me some this year. Countess showed that he is not a true cover corner. Michigan's secondary in general was kind of shocking in how easy it was for competent QB's to find holes. UM only recorded 5 interceptions this year, and only 2 were from the secondary, both by Lewis. Lewis obviously impressed me more this year than I expected, but overall the UM CB's were kind of forgettable.)

S = OSU>UM (I think Peppers would have made a big difference here if he could've stayed healthy. If he would've played a nickel or hybrid spot, I'd still include him with the safeties. UM safeties did not record a single turnover this year. Bell and Powell for OSU were above average. The secondary play as a whole increased quite a bit this year, although the DL certainly helped. Bell in particular seemed like the most talented between the two teams. He has a knack for being in place to make picks, is a hard hitter, and a sure tackler.)

Specialists = Wash (Cameron Johnston is one of the best punters in the nation. OSU placekickers aren't world beaters. Hagerup was about the same as anyone would've expected this year and UM's placekicking was slightly better than OSU's. Out of all of them, I think only Johnston has a real NFL future.)

I know I am probably biased, though I try not to be. All told, I look back at lot of the thoughts and responses I got back in May and am shocked at how bad UM's coaching truly is. I think OSU has certainly developed talent at a much higher level, but I also feel OSU has evaluated much better, too. OSU seems to be able to plug in a lot more guys early in their careers and hasn't had a lot of misses the last few years in recruiting. A lot of you were very optimistic about UM's season and players according to the talent UM was starting with, but that talent didn't progress at all. After doing this post and reviewing the old one, I think my opinion has actually downgraded even more of Hoke and his staff. They really did very little with the talent they had.

wolverinebutt

December 12th, 2014 at 4:51 PM ^

It is hard to defend the M  talent the way they played this past season.  As much as I hate to admit it you are pretty close to the truth here.  

My hope is the new Coach will bring out a lot of talent in the current roster.  Coach Hoke's father figure style may not have pushed the players as hard as he needed.  I played D2 football for a father figure type coach and we had guys that needed to be benched or needed a foot stuck up there and it never happened.  

JH would push these guys like they have never been pushed.  You don't get better without getting pushed or learning to push yorself.   

tolmichfan

December 12th, 2014 at 4:52 PM ^

I'll bite, First our QB play was awful this year. I suspect it had a lot more due to injury then him being bad. The injuries that we know about happened to his feet. (Broken foot against you guys last year, sprained ankle in the PSU game). It was reported on TV that during the weeks after PSU he had to wear a walking boot on campus. These injuries took the dual right out of our dual threat QB. Also during the year Baumgardner (sp) a mlive beat guy reported on how Gardners velocity wasn't on par with his velocity from previous years. This has lead to a lot of speculation on this board to wonder if he had an undisclosed shoulder/upper body injury. But at the end of the day you guys had way better QB play then we did. RB- I think we have better running backs on our roster than OSU. Next year depending on drakes knee we will have 4 guys who could potentially start. This is going to start sounding like a broken record, but Smith also suffered an ankle sprain that limited him all year and was helped off the field multiple times all year. Green broke his clavicle at the point in the year our oline started to "gel". As for Drake he was coming off an ACL tear from the year before and got stuck toward the bottom of the depth chart because he was rehabbing his knee all offseason. Last year Drake was second on the depth chart behind Fitz T, who was a 1000 yard back his junior year. Ty Isaac might pass all three of our experienced backs this off season. Oline- again OSU's line solidified itself quicker the Michigans. But by the end of the year they were really good. We went a three game stretch that gardner barley got touched unless he held onto the ball to long. Plus the running game was rolling with Johnson, and I think he was on his way to over 100 yards against your vaunted Dline. Wide receiver- again OSU was better. None of our receivers had the speed to stretch the field vertically. Here is the record breaking again but Funch suffered a sprained ankle in the ND game and he would constantly be hobbling off the field. OSU was one of the few games he looked healthy and he played pretty good in that one. Darbogh will always be a posession type receiver, and I suspect Chesson will get passed by guys that were freshman this year. On defense- The only player I would take over any player on Michigan is Bosa. Loosing Frank Clark for the last two games of the year really hurt our defense. His loss forced us to play Poggi who Meyer was able to attack when he was in the field. That's the best I have for the time I have.

DenverBuckeye

December 12th, 2014 at 5:31 PM ^

RB - I don't think you realize how good Elliott was this year. He averaged 6.5ypc and ran for 1400 yards. He also caught 26 passes for over 200 yards. To put that in perspective, he had more catches than Jake Butt. With 4 new O-Linemen.

Defense - So, you wouldn't take Michael Bennett (All-American), Doran Grant (All-Conference), Darron Lee (Strong-Side LB, 13.5 TFL, 5.5 sacks, 2 INT), Josh Perry (Weak-Side LB, 113 tackles, 1 INT, 8.5 TFL, 3 sacks) , or Vonn Bell over their counterparts at UM? Why?

tolmichfan

December 12th, 2014 at 5:51 PM ^

Elliot is very good and I would take him. You obviously watch a lot of football just like us. So I will pose a question to you. Is it easier to run the ball when the safeties have to worry about getting burned deep? This year we couldn't threaten anyone vertically and we ran into a stacked box all year. Part of our success on offense against Osu was because we threatened you deep early in the game and forced your safeties to respect the long ball. JT was able threaten teams deep all year and soften up the box for Elliot. It's not rocket science Gardner and the receivers just couldn't physically do it this year. But if you need an answer from a rocket scientist go talk to space coyote he is one. On defense i look at how OSU struggled to stop Coleman and Indiana. We played them at a similar time in the year and we shut him down and forced him to fumble it twice. But honestly I am more emotionally vested in our players, so yea I'll take them over OSU players.

alum96

December 12th, 2014 at 5:41 PM ^

Just curious how many UM games you watched?  Generally I dont disagree with most of your points.

You forgot

Hoke <<<< Meyer

and

Time in class UM >>>> OSU

but otherwise pretty correct

I do think your defense as a sum is less than the individual parts.  With that DL where 3 out of 4 are going to the NFL it should have been dominating.  You played one whole real balanced offense all year (MSU) and it went up and down the field on you all day.  The only saving grace for that defense and most in the Big 10 is how bad the QB play is in the conference.  The 3rd best statistical QB was Gary friggin Nova.  Well by the end of the championship game it was probably Cardale Jones but you get the drift.  A dominant DL should make the rest of the D line, see Detroit Lions and NY Giants in their recent heyday.

On offense outside of horrible QB play the complete lack of speed in the skill positions separates UM and OSU.  Drake Johnson who was hidden in a closet most of the year and would not have been seen if Green had stayed healthy was our only speed skill player.  People claim Funchess but he can't separate from Rutgers or Maryland DBs.  Norfleet is quick in small spaces not fast.   The speed didnt show that much vs UM but in the MSU and Wisconsin game it looks like a totally different type of athlete out there.

DenverBuckeye

December 12th, 2014 at 5:47 PM ^

I don't disagree at all with you on the OSU defense. I think the coaching advantage of Mattison really shows in how he could make the unit much greater than the sum of its parts. Even so, the OSU D improced quite a bit from the year before with Ash calling things and a ton of underclassmen. I gotta think year two for him will have another jump.

 

Also agree in the speed at skill positions. While Meyer and Hoke have both been recruiting at a very high level as far as recruiting sites are concerned, Meyer was obviously recruiting very different types of players. Hoke was recruiting like it's 2001.

DHughes5218

December 12th, 2014 at 10:27 PM ^

Enjoy your winning streak now because the 90's will be back in style soon. Yes OSU is talented and they have a coach who knows how to utilize the talent, but the disparity between the two teams is minimal. Since there are a million Harbaugh rumors floating around and he has not denied the interest in the job, one could easily conclude that he is coming home. Once he is here we are instantly on a level playing field in the coaching department and the pro style offense he runs will be perfect for the talent in the locker room. Urban can run the spread all he wants but when the cold November air hits next year and the Buckeye offense struggles again, Harbaugh will be there to ruin your undefeated season, just like the 90's. I can't name a single college team that successfully runs the spread in cold weather. It explains why OSU struggled with Minneskta and Indiana but wasted Wisconsin indoors. - I understand this is the best message board and you like drumming up conversation but be sure to come back in the following years to take some of what you're giving now.

DenverBuckeye

December 13th, 2014 at 9:00 AM ^

Honestly, your remark about the spread in November is curious since the OSU offense has put up 40+ against UM at the end of November the last two years. Also, the offense had no problem moving the ball against Minnesota in a 15 degree snow storm. I think you should re watch that game. The final score was much closer than the contest, mainly due to two Marshall turnovers. One, he fumbled while going into the end zone and the other, he muffed a punt on OSU's 12. Both were recovered by Minnesota. I also think that you must not have been watching the OSU offense much the last two years, as it has been more ManBall than UM's. Also agree on the cyclical nature of college football. That's one of the best things about it, the roster completely turns over every few years. Michigan will have a stretch on top again.

Jevablue

December 12th, 2014 at 10:45 PM ^

No getting past that. Exchange teams and leave the coaches where they are and within mabye 1 and for sure 2 seasons we are having the same conversation.  There is simply nowhere near enough talent differential to explain the gap between 12-1 and 5-7.  You are describing outcomes here, more than you are talent.   

 Sure, coaches don't play the game, it all plays out on the field.  But read militarty history, I seem to recall Woody teaching such topics. The outcomes of most major battles were practically pre-ordained by the preparation / plan / scheme / whatever.   That is why I wanted to puke hearing Hoke keep saying "we didn't execute".  Bull crap.  Our coaches were expecting to be bailed out on being out smarted by the opposing coaches by the players, who were constantly put in positions not to be successful.  How else do you explain the collective puke fests with Rutgers and Maryland?  Heck, lets do a "tale of the tape" on Minnesota's collective "as recruited" talent.  

OSU's  talent advantages can evaporate pretty quickly if M ever lures a competent staff here.  Did John Cooper go 2-10-1 with inferior talent? Most people saw M as the underdog in a marjority of those games.  The talent analysis, once you have two teams who routinely recruit top 15 or better classes, is a 2nd order function in this.  OSU has superior coaching right now, and that is really all you need to know.

Ps. My wife is a Buckeye and I will pretend to root for her team on Jan 1.  My son (Class of 2004) just can't bring himself to fake it.

DenverBuckeye

December 13th, 2014 at 9:04 AM ^

In my post, I addressed how the revisit made me really examine the differences in talent evaluation/development. Talent out of high school was probably a very small gap if any, but Urban's staff makes that talent mature and grow. Hoke's didn't. Talent can only go so far in sport like football.

Jevablue

December 13th, 2014 at 3:36 PM ^

That referring to the whole topic as a talent issue is 2nd order to the coaching issue. Eventually, assuming the existence of effective coaching, this ridiculously unbalanced situation will regress back to the mean.  Until then enoy it while it lasts.

krase1

December 13th, 2014 at 12:10 AM ^

Amazing as bad as UM sucks at every position that they were in the game half way through the fourth quarter.  The same cannot be said against  ND, Minn, Utah, etc.  vs. UM.  Maybe Urban isn't as good as advertised with all that talent.

 

Bluelot1972

December 13th, 2014 at 1:01 AM ^

Listing to all these Buckeye fans talk how the committee made the right call by putting them ahead of TCU. If the replay booth was working right against PENN STATE this would of never been discussed

uminks

December 13th, 2014 at 2:16 AM ^

If we get Harbaugh in here I think we can turn our players around so that they are coached up to their potential.

Looking at raw talent, OSU had slightly higher recruiting classes. OSU coaches have done a much better job developing the raw talent. Michigan has failed, even regressed development. Quite disappointing from an over paid coaching staff!

uminks

December 13th, 2014 at 2:17 AM ^

If we get Harbaugh in here I think we can turn our players around so that they are coached up to their potential.

Looking at raw talent, OSU had slightly higher recruiting classes. OSU coaches have done a much better job developing the raw talent. Michigan has failed, even regressed development. Quite disappointing from an over paid coaching staff!