December 1st, 2023 at 6:54 AM ^
Georgia
Florida State
Oregon or Washington
December 1st, 2023 at 6:57 AM ^
My rooting guide for this weekend:
pulling for Michigan to beat Iowa.
pulling for Iowa to lose to Michigan
pulling for Harbaugh to go full WHAT's YOUR DEAL on Tony Pettite
pulling for the B10 to fuck themselves
December 1st, 2023 at 7:24 AM ^
Username checks out
December 1st, 2023 at 10:29 AM ^
I doubt that the coward Petitti even shows up, much like his best friend and fellow yellow belly Thamel.
December 1st, 2023 at 6:02 PM ^
He will wait until Harbaugh is on the plane, then send him a pic of the trophy
December 1st, 2023 at 7:12 AM ^
Georgia winning helps osu
One of Texas, fsu, or bama winning closes the door for osu
December 1st, 2023 at 7:34 AM ^
Would like to see that, with an Oregon win to keep the Ssss Eeeee Cccc out.
December 1st, 2023 at 9:19 AM ^
Washington winning would better serve the purpose of keeping the SEC out (which I don't think happens under any circumstances anyway). Alabama can't move ahead of 13-0 Washington, but they could move ahead of 12-1 Oregon.
Plus I'd rather see Washington in the playoff than Oregon. Oregon's a much more physical, complete team
December 1st, 2023 at 10:39 AM ^
I wish the FSU game was first. If they win, there's a good chance an Oregon win would lead to us playing FSU in a 2-3 game. But if FSU loses, than an Oregon win probably means we pay Oregon. Unless Georgia loses I guess, in which case we probably play Alabama Oregon or Texas - whoever ends up at 4
December 1st, 2023 at 11:18 AM ^
Nah, I bet the committee puts FSU (assuming they win) at 4 regardless. The first year of the playoff they had 2 12-1 teams ahead of 13-0 FSU, so I don't think they'll hesitate to put Oregon at 3 (assuming they win).
December 1st, 2023 at 11:24 AM ^
I think the committee in recent years has taken fewer risks and mirrored more traditional poll thinking, i.e. slotting teams by number of losses first, then other considerations second. An Oregon/FSU debate may present a challenge to that if Oregon wins convincingly and FSU wins barely (plus they could "reward" Georgia, in part as a make up for last year). But the least controversial choice would be to keep the undefeateds ahead of the 1-losses
December 1st, 2023 at 12:15 PM ^
What is funny is if it came down to FSU 13-0 ACC champ or another team at 12-1 for the final playoff spot FSU would get the nod BUT they are pulling a little slight of hand by sliding FSU back to play Georgia. You have to watch for all these subtle things that help keep the SEC propped up.
-If BAMA wins they will be the top ranked one loss team
-Mizzou will be the top ranked 2 loss team
-LSU will be the top ranked 3 loss team
-Tennessee somehow ranked with 4 losses
Im always keeping one eye on these shenanigans.
December 1st, 2023 at 11:59 AM ^
Oregon is a scarier team for sure. Thats why they're a 10 point favorite tonight.
December 1st, 2023 at 7:35 AM ^
This. Unless Herby votes then...
December 1st, 2023 at 9:23 AM ^
yep, and Texas isn’t losing to Okie State.
December 1st, 2023 at 9:27 AM ^
Hey…OK St has Michigan legend Alan Bowman at QB…
December 1st, 2023 at 11:48 AM ^
But Bama winning also opens the possibility of Bama being in the playoff, which, yuck.
Texas and FSU wins will be plenty to keep OSU out.
December 1st, 2023 at 8:18 AM ^
alabama jumps osu with a win. That would move michigan to #1 and possibly bama 4. Probably want to avoid that
December 1st, 2023 at 9:30 AM ^
I am irrationally confident that Michigan manhandles Alabama. Auburn is very average to kind of not good. Gave Bama everything they could handle. Michigan wins by more than ten. I want that game. F the SEC. Pete Finebaum and his penis head trying to rationalize the defeat would be a cherry on top.
December 1st, 2023 at 10:47 AM ^
I don't really place much stock in what happens in rivalry games and the Iron Bowl is every bit as heated at The Game. Mediocre Auburn teams have had numerous instances where they scared the bejeezus out of good Bama teams in the Iron Bowl.
Of the seven teams other than UM still vying for a playoff berth, I would rank them from weakest to best thusly:
- Florida State
- Texas
- Ohio State
- Washington
- Oregon
- Alabama
- Georgia
I wouldn't argue with placing Bama 5th and Oregon 6th, as I think they are pretty damn close. I know Texas beat Bama in Tuscaloosa but that was early in the season when Bama was still figuring out their QB situation and I am very confident that Bama would win a rematch on a neutral field at this time.
December 1st, 2023 at 11:34 AM ^
If I had to rank them easiest to most difficult, mine would look like this:
1. FSU
2. Washington
3. Oregon
4. Texas
5. Alabama
6. Ohio State
7. Georgia
December 1st, 2023 at 8:34 AM ^
If Georgia, UM, FSU and Oregon win, that’s 3 undefeateds and 1 loss Oregon.
That would likely mean
1. Georgia
2. Michigan
3. FSU
4. Oregon
I think there’s a chance they make FSU 4 with a backup QB though last year they didn’t move OSU ahead of TCU despite everyone thinking OSU was a better team; though it could also have been to avoid the B1G rematch.
Trying not to get too excited about FSU in the Rose Bowl with a backup QB after getting so excited about TCU last year, but I think that’s best for UM. “Easiest” semi-final game and keeps OSU out.
December 1st, 2023 at 8:38 AM ^
Agreed. I think Washington beating Oregon is probably ok too. Washington's defense is struggling and I think a final Big Ten / PAC 12 Rose Bowl would be cool.
If I actually believe they'd keep the sec out I'd want Alabama, FSU, Texas, and Washington to win to give us.
1. Michigan
2. Washington
3. FSU
4. Texas
December 1st, 2023 at 10:31 AM ^
The CFP committee will go out of its way to set up one last Big Ten / PAC 12 Rose Bowl. They will manipulate the rankings to make that happen, no matter what.
December 1st, 2023 at 9:07 AM ^
Michigan will play the winner of Oregon and Washington in the Rose Bowl. I can almost guarantee it. With all the committee talk about the best 4 teams and how they don’t look for certain matchups, this is too easy of a call in the last year of the Pac 8/10/12. All of College Football will want a traditional Big Ten/Pac Ten matchup in the Rose Bowl, if possible.
December 1st, 2023 at 10:34 AM ^
Yep, and all the teams are close enough in strength to reasonably justify it.
Watch the Pac 12 Championship game tonight, because the winner of it is who we will be playing in the CFP semi-final if we beat Iowa.
December 1st, 2023 at 12:01 PM ^
Get that "if" out of your whore mouth.
December 1st, 2023 at 10:51 AM ^
I think this is right. For all the talk this week about how unclear the CFP picture looks, a fairly straightforward playoff picture is likely to emerge after this weekend. The only complication might be an *impressive* win by Alabama, but that's unlikely.
December 1st, 2023 at 11:55 AM ^
I don't think that works if Michgan wins and Georgia loses. Michigan will be #1 and will be sent to the closest location (Sugar not Rose). Isn't that how it works? #1 goes to the closest bowl and #2 & #3 play in the other bowl.
December 1st, 2023 at 12:20 PM ^
If it came down to a last spot in the playoff FSU would beat out a 1 loss Pac 12 team BUT as usual we are missing the real point. Them getting FSU matched up with Georgia. They dont care about Pac12/Big10 matchup as much as getting Georgia that bye.
December 1st, 2023 at 9:58 AM ^
Except there is expecation from many media that the committee will want UM vs ORG for the Rose bowl, so that would be 2 vs 3. I can see that. FSU would be a lot easier....
Crazy that we'll be playing Oregon pretty regularly Nov 2, 2024
December 1st, 2023 at 9:01 AM ^
Rumblings of FSU back up QB being concussed and out for tomorrow.
Not good
December 1st, 2023 at 9:07 AM ^
From Brian Fremeau:
December 1st, 2023 at 9:38 AM ^
LOL at every single scenario picking Michigan to win.
December 1st, 2023 at 10:55 AM ^
Knocks on wood three times
December 1st, 2023 at 11:45 AM ^
Yea, there are 32 scenarios, he only shows 16 of them. The 16 he doesn't show are all those that are an Iowa win.
December 1st, 2023 at 12:08 PM ^
How TF in any scenario would Louisville get in with 2 losses? Lost at home to Kentucky and got smacked by a horrible Pittsburgh team.
December 1st, 2023 at 12:29 PM ^
Louisville is in none of those three columns of candidates.
December 1st, 2023 at 12:26 PM ^
That 1% scenario looks messy. Rank them if this happens.
1. Michigan
2. Oregon?
3. Bama?
4. Georgia/OSU?
What a mess.
December 1st, 2023 at 9:18 AM ^
I made a diary: Communist Football's Rooting Guide for Championship Weekend 2023
Graphical summary here:
December 1st, 2023 at 9:34 AM ^
A beautiful mind, comrade!
December 1st, 2023 at 6:55 AM ^
They aren't getting in outside of a total collapse. They have a 4% chance.
With that said I'm rooting for 4 undefeated teams. That would be the first time.
December 1st, 2023 at 8:47 AM ^
This. Plus rooting for WA and FSU to win because they're easier match-ups for M.
December 1st, 2023 at 9:20 AM ^
Everyone's sleeping on 12-0 Liberty, facing the New Mexico State Aggies in the Conference USA championship tonight. Michigan - Liberty is the matchup I want to see. I really enjoyed the early part of our schedule.
OK, this started as a joke, but now I want to see this game. NM State is coached by Jerry Kill (ytjk), and the Liberty Flames, coached by Coastal Carolina transplant Jamey Chadwell, are scoring 40.1 points per game. I'm a little disappointed that my Paramount+ membership has lapsed, so I can't watch this game live.
December 1st, 2023 at 12:10 PM ^
Liberty has made me a few bucks this season. I like them again tonight.
December 1st, 2023 at 6:57 AM ^
We don't need Ohio sneaking in the midst of chaos. I'm rooting for all the undefeated teams.
December 1st, 2023 at 8:35 AM ^
Me too. I think Michigan matches up with Washington better than Oregon. So either UW or the FSU backup QB in Pasadena.
December 1st, 2023 at 6:58 AM ^
The simplest is Georgia, Michigan, Washington, and FSU all win. That’s 4 undefeateds and that’s all she wrote. I find this rather unlikely, but I don’t think it matters. If Oregon beats Washington, they’ll jump over OSU. Same goes for Bama. Haven’t even mentioned Texas yet. If they win they would be in position to take FSU’s spot if they were to lose.
overall I don’t think it matters who wins the SECCG as far as OSU goes. That winner is in. Michigan should win so that’s 2 spots. The OR/WA winner is also in. That’s 3. The 4th spot will go to FSU if it wins or Texas if they win (with an FSU loss). Things get a little weird if both FSU and Texas lose.
December 1st, 2023 at 7:19 AM ^
To continue:
the most amusing scenario is Mich, Wash, FSU, Texas, and Bama win. Someone is getting screwed, and I bet you it’s Texas. it would be hilarious watching pundits do the mental gymnastics to justify Bama over Texas.