Whole Milk

March 5th, 2018 at 1:22 PM ^

Because no one is paying attention. They not only are only 2-4 against tournament teams, but they haven't even won many mildly impressive games outside of those two wins against Purdue and UNC. They beat Nebraska, Notre Dame and Penn State at home. That's it. 

When the committee had them has a 3 seed a month ago when they did their preview, everyone thought they were insane, but it seems to be that at that point the committee was seeing MSU for what they actually are. Let's hope they have the same opinion a week from now.

SFBlue

March 5th, 2018 at 1:34 PM ^

For starters, they are a talented team. Jackson Jr. and Miles Bridges have future NBA All Star potential. 

Sparty shredded UNC in a early-season tournament. That is not easy to do. 

Sparty has also taken care of business against less talented teams. Sparty doesn't have a loss outside of the RPI 25. That is consistency. For all the talk I've heard about a Sparty early exit, Sparty doesn't look like the type of team that will choke against a mid-major. Sparty has struggled against teams with reasonably equivalent talent. So has every other top team. 

Here is another theory. All the bad that has happened at MSU this year has given members of the media a degree of sympathy for Izzo. 

 

BigBlue02

March 5th, 2018 at 4:40 PM ^

Lol, you say Sparty is super talented with two lottery picks and then in your next breath say that they only struggled with teams with reasonably equivalent talent. Sparty struggled with northwestern, Wisconsin twice, Iowa and Indiana, all in the last month. None of those teams are in the same ballpark with regard to talent. The only thing they have done consistently is beat a bunch of shitty teams. I don’t know why you think they don’t look like a team that will choke against a mid-major

SFBlue

March 5th, 2018 at 8:16 PM ^

Well, when I said "struggled with" I was referring to the losses. Repeated close wins, especially on the road/neutral, are the mark of a good team. I don't see how Michigan can be considered a top team despite close wins against Minnesota and Iowa--indeed, Michigan was nearly upset to start the BTT. But Sparty gets graded down for close wins. 

The way I see it, Sparty is was quite reasonably ranked in the top five or ten all year long.That is why kicking their ass twice felt so good.  

Perkis-Size Me

March 5th, 2018 at 12:35 PM ^

Getting hot at the right time.

Four seed status should be a lock, and a good chance at a three seed. I do think though that there's going to have to be some upsets to give us any kind of shot at a two seed. Duke losing somewhere in the ACC tournament before the finals would be big, as would if Cincinnatti or Kansas could drop a game before making it to the finals of the Big XII or AAC tourney. I'm not banking on Gonzaga losing their tournament. 

I do wonder too if we won't jump that high because the committee just doesn't want us to make that kind of quantum leap. I mean last week our range was anywhere from 5-7, with some douches thinking we were still in the 8-9 range. 

J.

March 5th, 2018 at 12:42 PM ^

Don't overthink the "quantum leap" thing.  These bracket projections aren't coming from the committee.  They'll do seeding last, after they spend most of this week arguing about the at-large bids... which will not include Michigan. :)  Nobody is looking at Jerry Palm's February projections to make sure they don't put Michigan up too high.

Besides, it's not like that would be a difficult question to answer. "So, why did you have Michigan as a 2?" "Well, they've won 9 straight, looked great doing it, and defeated two other 2-seed-caliber teams doing it."

I don't think they'll get a 2, but it won't be because the committee is afraid to put them up that high.

ijohnb

March 5th, 2018 at 12:48 PM ^

national take on the Michigan/MSU game is that Michigan is just "a bad matchup" for Michigan State.  I heard that from like 4 different commentators over the weekend.  I was thinking "if by 'bad matchup' you mean way better than I agree."

SpartyJon

March 6th, 2018 at 8:07 AM ^

10th in Massey Index, 7th AP/Coaches, and definitely improving. How much have other teams been punished for losing to BAD teams? If I was a UM fan, I'd consider it a compliment to be considered a great loss that didn't drop a team that far. It means voters think highly of your team. Besides, the AP is pointless this late in the year. Kansas is 9th in AP, and is basically a consensus #1 seed.

ST3

March 5th, 2018 at 1:46 PM ^

If only Northwestern hadn't crapped away the 57 point halftime lead they had over MSU. I haven't watched every MSU game, but I have seen enough to know there is something wrong with that team. The chemistry is off. They don't seem to like each other. There are too many selfish players looking to the next level.

socalwolverine1

March 5th, 2018 at 6:19 PM ^

And yet our much higher profile football team finishes out of the Top 25. 

So goes the trends of the two teams. Hoops, with its relatively low/moderate rated recruits, goes through the season like a big crescendo, getting better as it goes and peaking when it counts the most; whereas our football team starts with highly rated recruits, huge hype, beats a bunch of teams with losing records; and then hits the November Wall, with hopes dashed and expectations unfulfilled.