Michigan -13 at Indiana

I've grown used to being concerned going into the Indiana game seeing that they have made a habit of destroying our defense as of late... 2009: We gave up nearly 300 yards through the air and 200 yards on the ground. Forcier saved us. Bill Lynch threw his gum. 2010: We did better on the ground giving up 88 yards but the secondary was torched for 480 yards, and they consistently played 15 yards off the IU receivers all day. The game was tied until the final minute when Denard put us ahead. So now they're off the schedule for two years. RichRod is gone and we're finally going to play defense again. I go to the big house for this next one... 2013: The defense gives up a whopping 572 yards, 410 through the air. IU has 3 separate touchdown drives that went the length of the field in three plays or less. We win 63-47. Last year's game we won 34-10 but the season had long turned to crap by then and most knew Hoke was probably gone by the end of the season. And wasn't IU playing their 3rd string QB? This year, it's obvious that we have a better defense than 2009, 2010 and 2013. But Indiana has scored in bunches. They were in tight games with OSU, MSU and Iowa in the 4th quarter. Plus, our O-Line still can't open any holes for a running game. So this still feels like a dangerous game and one that I'm a little nervous about.

I could be wrong, but I am confident that Michigan will win by more than 13.  The exposure of our LBs and DBs against Minnesota was an outlier when looked at over the course of the season so far.  Furthermore, the Gophers scored on crazy breaks and intense levels of luck.

Indiana can move the football, but they haven't scored buckets of points against good opposition.  I think Michigan can score over 40 if they play like last week and I do think the Michigan defense is better than the defenses Indiana has played thus far.  I'll say something to the tune of 41-13. 

Yeah, I've been drinking the Harbaugh Kool-Aid and it tastes magical. 

-13, hmmmmm. If this were in Ann Arbor, I'd take Michigan to cover, but the road aspect makes me think they won't cover. I mean, Michigan SHOULD win by a lot because they're just far better and have more talent, but I don't know. I guess the last seven years of road games has just scared the shit out of me. I need to get back to not being nervous for road games against lesser opponents.

is ridiculous. IU lost at home to Rutgers after blowing a 25 pt lead. Think about that.

Yeah, they lose close games to OSU and hung around with Iowa and MSU. But close only matters in horseshoes and hand grenades.Those are still losses.

I'd also point out that they played OSU when Meyer was conducting the Tastes Great/Less FIlling test at QB. If Barrett plays OSU murders IU.

Sudfeld is a solid QB who can move the ball. But he is nowhere near as dynamic as Roberson was. IU's receivers are solid, but these kids are not as good as Wynn and Latimer were. IU's Rb are the dangermen IMO. Howard and Redding are good players. They are the guys UM has to control to win. If IU can run consistently UM will have their hands full. If they can't UM can contain IU's offense.

lets just put it in the record books and get prepping for PSU.

Opened at 11.5.

Unless we're projecting Rudock to repeat his last week's performance (I'm assuming regression to the mean rather than repeating his career best), the line seems about right. They'll get some yards and points throwing at the non-Lewis/Peppers people.

I'm surprised that no team has tried to attack us yet by sending receivers vertical against Lewis and Peppers all day long to get them away from the play while trying to attack everyone else underneath. That seems like the best chance to score on our defense.

i never liked doing the over and unders. it changes so much with the game being played. good or bad it is just a number.

They stink. I'm not taking anything for granted and not buying the spread e.g. Minny. I expect a tight game until the 4th. Hope I'm wrong. I'd like a blowout that I can relax to at home for once.

We will cover.

The only way I see IU staying in this game is if it's a turnover fest. 

Once the lines come out I might try to parlay OSU and MSU wins together and put down like $20. I'm hoping that parlay will be around -300. I did that last weekend and MSU lost. Totally worth the money.