Annual Turnover Margin
Yesterday I completed the newest addition to my statistical record book, an annual turnover margin entry.
I went through every season since 1984 (earliest year the opponent totals are recorded in the MGoBlue database) and did the math.
As of last week, Michigan's current turnover margin in 2014 is -5.
Season | Margin | Record |
1984 | +12 | 6-6-0 |
1985 | +16 | 10-1-1 |
1986 | +6 | 11-2-0 |
1987 | -6 | 8-4-0 |
1988 | +19(!) | 9-2-1 |
1989 | +8 | 10-2-0 |
1990 | +2 | 9-3-0 |
1991 | +4 | 10-2-0 |
1992 | -1 | 9-0-3 |
1993 | +5 | 8-4-0 |
1994 | +2 | 8-4-0 |
1995 | 0 | 9-4-0 |
1996 | Not Available | 8-4 |
1997 | +9 | 12-0 |
1998 | -3 | 10-3 |
1999 | +9 | 10-2 |
2000 | +13 | 9-3 |
2001 | -6 | 8-4 |
2002 | +9 | 10-3 |
2003 | +2 | 10-3 |
2004 | +6 | 9-3 |
2005 | +5 | 7-5 |
2006 | +14 | 11-2 |
2007 | +2 | 9-4 |
2008 | -10 | 3-9 |
2009 | -12 | 5-7 |
2010 | -10 | 7-6 |
2011 | +7 | 11-2 |
2012 | -9 | 8-5 |
2013 | +5 | 7-6 |
- When Michigan has a negative turnover margin on the season, they average 5 losses.
- When Michigan is negative by double digits, they average 7 losses.
- When Michigan is positive by double digits, they average 3 losses (last: 2006)
- When Michigan has a negative turnover margin, they avearge 5 losses
- When Michigan has a positive turnover margin, they average 3 losses.
Turnover Margin by Head Coach
Coach | Margin | Tenure |
Schembechler | +55 | 1969-1989^ |
Moeller | +12 | 1990-1994 |
Carr | +60 | 1995-2007 |
Rodriguez | -32 | 2008-2010 |
Hoke | -2 | 2011-present |
Only stats from 1984-present are available
The current margin for this season is included in Hoke's total.
Michigan's turnover margin in the 2010s is -12 including the 2014 totals. Since 2008, -34 with a 42-36 (.538) overall record and a 21-27 (.438) B1G record.
Just something I thought was interesting and would share.
September 11th, 2014 at 6:22 PM ^
we're -5 this season so far, right?
September 11th, 2014 at 6:50 PM ^
i'm apparently blind. i see that's in the OP's post.
September 11th, 2014 at 6:56 PM ^
September 11th, 2014 at 7:45 PM ^
Shane threw an INT against Appy St.
September 11th, 2014 at 7:55 PM ^
September 11th, 2014 at 8:03 PM ^
September 12th, 2014 at 2:26 AM ^
Yeah, RR at -32 in 3 years is impressive!
Equally impressive is Bo at +55 in only 6 years ('84-'89). Probably more impressive than it looks, since offenses back then tended to be slower and more conservative. Slower tempo means less plays (and less chances for turnovers); more conservative playbook means running the ball (and less chances for turnovers).
September 11th, 2014 at 6:25 PM ^
Sooo you're saying we should stop turning the ball over so much
September 11th, 2014 at 6:29 PM ^
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September 11th, 2014 at 6:39 PM ^
I do not believe we have recovered a single opponent's fumble or intercepted an opponent's pass yet this year. IIRC, we had only 1 sack against ASU and 0 against ND. Wasn't getting more turnovers supposed to be what this more pressure oriented defense was supposed to accomplish? It is impossible to have a positive turnover margin if you never make your opponent turn the ball over!
September 12th, 2014 at 1:07 AM ^
September 12th, 2014 at 2:20 PM ^
Wormley's sack did not count
September 11th, 2014 at 6:56 PM ^
September 11th, 2014 at 6:57 PM ^
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September 11th, 2014 at 7:41 PM ^
September 11th, 2014 at 7:35 PM ^
That looks like a pretty strong correlation to me. It would be easier to see if you plotted turnovers and win pct on the x and y and just made each year a single dot in the scatterplot. I'm guessing you'd see a nice diagonal like from bottom left to top right, surprising no one.
September 11th, 2014 at 7:42 PM ^
September 11th, 2014 at 8:13 PM ^
September 12th, 2014 at 9:53 AM ^
September 11th, 2014 at 8:08 PM ^
September 11th, 2014 at 7:23 PM ^
September 11th, 2014 at 7:39 PM ^
September 11th, 2014 at 8:10 PM ^
September 11th, 2014 at 7:29 PM ^
The RR years were horrible for turnovers. I suppose that comes from a combination of forcing a new offense on players who were not fits for it, horrible defensive coaching...and freshmen QBs.
September 11th, 2014 at 10:42 PM ^
Freshmen everything, really.
September 11th, 2014 at 7:36 PM ^
is usually a product of QB play. As much as I love Denard and Devin as players and people, they're both prone to turning the ball over.
QB plays has to get better.
September 11th, 2014 at 7:40 PM ^
Clearely the turnover problems from 2008-2010 can be directly attributed to Rich Rod not employing the dong forrest.
September 11th, 2014 at 8:27 PM ^
September 11th, 2014 at 7:46 PM ^
September 11th, 2014 at 8:12 PM ^
What I get from this is.....dual threat qbs=more turnovers.
September 11th, 2014 at 11:39 PM ^
September 11th, 2014 at 8:54 PM ^
"Turnovers are like ex-wives. The more you have, the more they cost you."
– Dave Widell
September 11th, 2014 at 10:03 PM ^
We need more cowbell
September 12th, 2014 at 1:06 AM ^
September 12th, 2014 at 6:27 AM ^
since they were essentiallydesparation throws by Gardner when he was running for his life.
September 12th, 2014 at 9:15 AM ^
September 12th, 2014 at 12:08 PM ^
September 12th, 2014 at 12:57 PM ^
September 12th, 2014 at 3:13 PM ^
Great post. While some of the years seem a bit random, it is quite indicative of how bad the Defense in the RR era was (including its inability to generate turnovers)