Saturday Betting
Please post your bets, what you're thinking of betting, or whatever to do with betting for Saturday's slate of games. I'll start:
(Last week record: 5-2, Overall season record: 27-22-1)
Army at Eastern Michigan, Noon Army (pick 'em)
Clemson at Florida St, Noon: Florida St +17
Texas Tech at Iowa St Noon, Iowa St -3.5*
South Florida at Houston 3:30pm , Houston -7.5
Texas A&M at Mississippi St 7pm, Texas A&M +1.5
Florida International at Western Kentucky 7:30pm, Florida International -3.5
San Diego St at Nevada 10:30pm, Nevada +2.5
*Note that this line has moved to Iowa St -5.5 at this time. Got this earlier in the week
Noteable spreads of discussion:
Michigan St currently sits as a 1 point favorite over Purdue (at MSU)
Notre Dame currently sits as a 24 point favorite over Navy (Neutral site)
All spreads:
October 26th, 2018 at 7:24 PM ^
Purdue.
October 26th, 2018 at 7:29 PM ^
Feel like this Purdue MSU line is a steal
October 26th, 2018 at 7:41 PM ^
I don't even care if Lewerke plays. I don't know what Purdue's deal was to start the season, but Moore is the most electric player in the conference and they know how to score. With MSU's pathetic offense and pass D, I think Purdue keeps it up and torches them too.
October 26th, 2018 at 7:44 PM ^
I'm predicting a letdown for Purdue and a MSU win. I also like the following:
USC to cover 7
Wisco to cover 7
TAMU to beat 2.5
Washington to cover 12
Navy to beat 23.5
October 27th, 2018 at 12:27 AM ^
that USC line is down to -3 so you lost a lot of value there if you bet on it. they are also down to their third string QB
October 26th, 2018 at 7:26 PM ^
Army at Eastern Michigan, Noon Army
Clemson at Florida St, Noon: Clemson -17
Texas Tech at Iowa St Noon, Iowa St -3.5
South Florida at Houston 3:30pm , Houston -7.5
Texas A&M at Mississippi St 7pm, Mississippi St. -1.5
Florida International at Western Kentucky 7:30pm, Florida International -3.5
San Diego St at Nevada 10:30pm, Nevada +2.5
(Purdue all day tomorrow at +1, Navy +24)
October 27th, 2018 at 9:52 PM ^
Outside of Purdue and possibly Nevada...you sir, look like a fortune teller. Please tell me if they’ll have flying cars by 2030
October 26th, 2018 at 7:34 PM ^
MSU-Purdue has gone from MSU-2 to a PK. I still like Purdue. Frankly, even more now. MSU may have to start Dantonio's smug-but-fake self-righteousness at wide receiver tomorrow.
I also like:
Northwestern (+4) over Wisconsin
Navy (+24) over ND
Florida (+6.5) over Georgia
October 26th, 2018 at 7:50 PM ^
It’s definitely a funky line that’s for sure . It seems to be a spot where Purdue is coming off an emotional win is going to lay a flop the next week ... on the other hand, MSU is still very banged up , without their best WR, and they , ya know , suck
October 26th, 2018 at 7:35 PM ^
Well I hate taking MSU but I just feel that the defense they have is going to slow Purdue down and then Lombardi is going to go John okorn on them.
October 26th, 2018 at 8:05 PM ^
Purdue has Rondale Moore though, so they don't even have to really mount too much of a run game as they may not be able to do so anyway. Third-string kicker, so I would worry about the field position battle and a backup QB, so I would also worry about being able to do much of anything if I were MSU. If the Spartans pull it out, it's more Purdue's fault at this point.
October 26th, 2018 at 9:31 PM ^
You're giving Purdue way too much credit, and theres probably a lot of recency bias involved. This is still the same purdue team that lost to Northwestern, EMU, and Missouri to open the season. MSU has a knack for making games weird. Stay away.
October 27th, 2018 at 10:46 AM ^
Is losing to Northwestern (1st game) and Missouri really that bad in terms of ‘bad losses’? EMU I get, even though they are actually showing up to games this year... this isn’t 0-12 EMU anymore.
October 27th, 2018 at 9:54 PM ^
Good call. I bet Purdue. Wish I had checked this thread before placing that bet.
October 26th, 2018 at 11:17 PM ^
D.J. Knox is a home-run hitter, and I think Purdue can have success running the ball once they open it up by slinging it around first. Knox tore OSU up as the game went on.
Not to mention, MSU is just garbage as a whole. We could have easily beaten them 35-0 or something laughable like that if only we finished our drives. I think Purdue spanks 'em, especially with their pass-first offense against a terrible secondary.
October 26th, 2018 at 7:44 PM ^
If I was a betting man I'd put everything I had on Purdue. Only thing that's gonna slow down Purdue's offense is heavy rain.
October 26th, 2018 at 7:46 PM ^
Dantonios weather machine says 50 percent at noon.
October 26th, 2018 at 8:05 PM ^
Dougtomato’s weather machine did nothing for MSU last Saturday.
October 26th, 2018 at 9:16 PM ^
Not exactly true. The weather just wasn’t bad long enough, but we did fumble twice and gave up a td
October 26th, 2018 at 9:32 PM ^
Or Eastern Michigans defense.
October 26th, 2018 at 8:30 PM ^
Teams unaccustomed to success ,coming off a gigantic home win who then go on the road usually play poorly.All logic says bet Purdue but I think MSU wins an ugly game.I will be rooting for Purdue though.
October 26th, 2018 at 9:02 PM ^
Would love to see the research you've done on this topic.
October 26th, 2018 at 9:15 PM ^
Almost 50 years of betting College ball.Biggest win last year Wis (H) over Iowa the week after Iowa beat down OSU..Wis won 38-14.There aren't any stats to prove though.
October 27th, 2018 at 11:09 AM ^
There is a difference though, Wisconsin was a very good team last year and Iowa beat OSU in a game that was out of character. Purdues offense did not play out of their minds last week, they are actually #10 in offensive s&p+. They are good at explosive plays, while MSU defense is in the bottom half in the country at not giving up explosive play.
Moreover, as a team, they are ranked 26 in s&p, whereas MSU is 42 (and has been steadily dropping after the preseason expectations have been removed). So, despite 3 early loses, Purdue is actually a good team. They just couldn't get out of their own way verse NW, week one. Then it carried over two Eastern Michigan, in a game that Purdue was hit with some very bad penilties that really affected the outcome .
Purdue may have a letdown game. However, this isn't the normal situation where a team had a game will above their normal capabilities to get an upset, and now will come back down to earth. I actually think it's more likely that the beatdown to OSU will be the game to get them over the hump.
October 27th, 2018 at 3:32 PM ^
Whoops....In College ball emotion often trumps stats.
October 26th, 2018 at 8:47 PM ^
Utah -10.5 @ UCLA (tonight)
Wisconsin -4 @ NW
Boise St @ Air Force UNDER 58
Navy +24 @ Notre Dame
Florida +9 vs Georgia
I think MSU wins the game vs Purdue. Hard to imagine Dantonini losing two weeks in a row. I'm not really confident though.
October 26th, 2018 at 10:04 PM ^
I've never bet on a game in my life, but I had to put $30 on Purdue. See y'all when I'm in debt a year from now!
October 26th, 2018 at 11:24 PM ^
Notre Dame +24 is Smooth Jimmy's "Lock of the Week."
In fact, they'll win straight up.
Stay away from TWLOCP. That's a sucker bet.
October 26th, 2018 at 11:45 PM ^
Assume you meant -24 ND ;) . You’ve done pretty well on those Smooth Jimmy locks in recent weeks haven’t you ?
October 27th, 2018 at 12:46 AM ^
Oh yeah, I meant Navy +24. I think they pull the upset.
Smooth Jimmy is 4/6 this year. Can't beat that!
October 27th, 2018 at 1:22 AM ^
That’d be wild if ND got beat . Random but saw the preliminary line for Alabama LSU is Alabama -14
October 27th, 2018 at 1:25 AM ^
I'll take LSU six ways to Sunday +14.
October 27th, 2018 at 12:01 AM ^
I'll take Iowa over PSU and Purdue over MSU.
October 27th, 2018 at 10:05 AM ^
Hoping PSU shows up today because a loss could drop them out of the top 25.
October 27th, 2018 at 2:11 AM ^
Games I am on this weekend:
Utah -10.5 @ UCLA
Purdue +1 @ MSU
Kentucky +7 @ Missouri
Syracuse +2 vs. NC State
Washington St. +3 @ Stanford
October 27th, 2018 at 10:14 AM ^
Good start for you so far . Thought about betting Syracuse. If Kentucky covers I bet the Under will hit too
October 27th, 2018 at 9:34 PM ^
Just like MSU to screw up what could have been a perfect day. That line was fishy to begin with, and I should have stayed away.
October 27th, 2018 at 11:46 PM ^
Nice job none the less . Assuming you didn’t base that all on a parlay , that was a great day for you .
October 27th, 2018 at 9:38 AM ^
You always seem to bet Navy or Army on these threads. Find that interesting, do you do well betting them?
October 27th, 2018 at 10:13 AM ^
Just checked my overall record with the military schools and I’m 1-3-1 overall this year so not good. Can’t say I purposely do it but just happen to end of thinking of them is a one of the best plays each week but it hasn’t worked out . Army last week got stuff twice in the Miami Ohio goaline at the end of the first half last week which really hurt them covering and their momentum . I like them this week ... but I will say this. Military schools don’t have a good ATS record in recent years the week before they play another military school next week and next week Army plays Air Force so ... we’ll see.
October 27th, 2018 at 11:03 AM ^
(Spreads via Yahoo Sports)
MSU/Purdue got up to MSU -2.5 and now is PU -1.5 as of this morning (probably largely due to uncertainty of Lewerke playing).
Wisconsin/NW got up to UW -7 and now is down to UW -3.5 this morning (probably largely due to uncertainty of Hornibrook playing).
EDIT: Just saw on Rotoworld that Hornibrook and Lewerke have been ruled out.
October 27th, 2018 at 11:19 AM ^
The USC line has gone from -6 to -3 due to their QB being out. I still would lean USC because I just dont think ASU is that good of a team.
October 27th, 2018 at 11:33 AM ^
This Mizzou line is odd...heard Bear talking about it earlier. 8 times in last 40 years or something crazy a team outside top 25 was a TD favorite overs a top 12...most of the time the favorite actually covered too. Vegas knows something
October 27th, 2018 at 1:41 PM ^
Moneyline:
pittsburgh
syracuse
Arizona
New Mexico State
Georgia Southern
Minnesota
georgia Tech
Michigan State
Toledo
south Florida
oklahoma state
kentucky
UNLV
Charlotte
northern Illinois
There are some good games that if I wasn’t mathematical in betting I would take. Iowa, army, BC and Nevada being the best of the lot. All those games especially if you get points - seem like great bets.
October 27th, 2018 at 2:57 PM ^
chnage the title to Saturday Betting - Fade Away.
clowns
October 27th, 2018 at 8:43 PM ^
I’m doing fine
November 23rd, 2020 at 4:27 PM ^
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