MI Expat NY
- Member for
- 8 years 40 weeks
- View recent blog entries
|2 days 7 hours ago||The anti-trust argument||
The anti-trust argument doesn't move me. There is no per se bar on competitors communicating with each other or even working together. As long as there's no anti-competitive effect, it's kosher. I'm sure they could come to some agreement to share sufficient information to make this type of policing possible that would pass anti-trust muster. I'd also imagine that any argument that the cooperation is only intended to prevent widespread theft rather than attempts to limit competition in the market would be well taken in a rule of reason analysis.
I hear you on the second point. But what is the alternative? Cable companies are losing business in subscribers. Cable companies also tend to own content providers which are also losing money. They can't continue to bleed in two major parts of their business. I would say that the threats wouldn't be on the thief, but on the original subscriber (if the cable companies are smart). They lose their ability to stream, the thief loses the ability to steal but is never actually threatened.
|2 days 8 hours ago||I don't think that has to be||
I don't think that has to be counteracting what they are pushing. To me, it's only counteracting if the only way to crack down on sharing accounts is to stop the streaming of cable networks entirely. There's obviously value in allowing streaming to current customers. There's additional eyeballs on your programming that you otherwise wouldn't have. However, cable companies' intention isn't to gain those eyballs at the cost of their carriage fees in a second/third/fourth household. There has to be a technological way to stop the majority of account sharing, while allowing legitimate out-of-home customer streaming.
I'd still be very interested in seeing what happens after a crackdown. Nobody I know that has gone the cord cutting route has done it without piggybacking on someone else's account for something. Would cord cutting still be as popular as it is if you could no longer stream sports, certain network's shows, etc. essentially for free? I have my doubts.
|2 days 9 hours ago||To Seth's point about using||
To Seth's point about using your parents' cable subscription to stream at your house. That has to end some point, right? There has to be some technological way to tell that an account is being used to frequently stream cable offerings in a residence that is not the residence of the main account (as opposed to mobile connections, workplaces, hotels, random occasional places). At some point, the cable companies have to crack down on that. Cord cutting is not a minor problem anymore. Cable companies will eventually strike back at what they see as stealing. When that happens, it will be interesting to see what happens to the cord cutting movement.
I think the eventual pay a la carte method, at least for sports, won't be the channel concept we have now. It will be some form of payment for just live sports (i.e., no studio shows). Either paying for all of a specific content (NFL, NBA, NCAA, or even just specific team), or to all of ESPN's live sports broadcasts (or Fox's, etc.).
On the "news" side of sports media. I do think most reporting is going to eventually come from national writers who break major stories at ESPN, etc., the teams themselves, and then team or region specific sports sites providing smaller breaking news. The era of the "beat" reporter seems to be ending.
|2 days 10 hours ago||And to be fair to ESPN. What||
And to be fair to ESPN. What sports exactly would they be showing between 11 AM and 6 PM that people would tune into? It's not like if you turn to ESPN between 7 and 11 PM you're going to find talking heads yelling at you (unless it's NFL pregame talking heads).
A lot of us fondly remember an ESPN that showed things like world's strongest man, lumberjack competitions, and odd european sports during the day. But be honest, do you think the audience for those shows was so large that going to talking heads has cost the company money?
Maybe you could argue that Sportscenter lost its way going from tons of highlights to too much talking heads. But that's also an MTV scenario. Why wait around for ESPN to get to the highlight package you're looking for when you can just pull it up on your phone?
ESPN had to adjust with the times, and what they came up with is extremely annoying, but probably far more profitable than any alternative. ESPN's main problem is being the chief dependant on a cable bundling system that is slowly dying.
|1 week 2 days ago||There's a case to be made||
There's a case to be made that applying the "coward took the easy way out" attitude to any suicide is problematic for the stigmatizing effect on those with mental health problems.
|1 week 2 days ago||Yes, this. Plus, with the||
Yes, this. Plus, with the trial over, unless he was somehow charged with yet another crime, he was literally never going to step foot out of prison again. Sure, it's not like he was a free man on his visits to court, but it still provided interatctions with the outside world. Now that that was over, all he had left was prison life. The timing makes sense to me.
|1 week 4 days ago||People always say that about||
People always say that about Saban, but to my eyes, his "game manager QBs" have tended to be pretty good. Sims and Coker weren't great, but both were better than Speight was last year. And the last QB Saban chose was a true freshman. Seems like he was going at least a little bit on upside there.
I'm not sure in college football if you can win a national title with a true game manager QB anymore. At some point, no matter how good your defense is, you're going to need your offense to score points to win. Again using Alabama as an example, this is the highest point total they've overcome in each of the last 5 years: 43, 40 (lost a game 43-37), 44, 42 (lost a game 45-31), and 28 (lost a game 29-24). I think we can all agree that Alabama has been the gold standard of consistent excellent defense over the last few years, yet look at what they had to do to win a national championship. A simple game manager that won't win games 38-35 simply doesn't get it done anymore.
|1 week 4 days ago||What does it matter? Nobody||
What does it matter? Nobody expects Evans to be a 25 carries per game workhorse with nothing for the backups. It'll probably be 15-18 for one back, 10 for another, and a handful for someone else. I'd expect Evans to most often get the most carries, but there will probably be a game or two where Higdon is the lead back on the day.
You seem to be hanging your hat on one comment about the DT play, while ignoring that the only substintatve comment about Higdon's play was very complimetnary. I also don't see why you think the assumption that Evans is the leader at the moment is that offensive to you. Evans seemed like he was "ahead" most of last season. He was more productive the last few games of the season. And his early pull from the spring game is indicative of being the first string guy. None of that is definitive of what will be, and there's plenty of time for Higdon or someone else to establish himself as the lead back. But at the same time, that seems to be what's true at the moment. And that's ok!
|1 week 4 days ago||Hard stats are only so useful||
Hard stats are only so useful in such a comparison. The game of football has changed a lot in the last 20 seasons. Really good stats in 98/99 are only mediocre by today's standards.
|1 week 4 days ago||Has to be some surprise to it||
Has to be some surprise to it too, and generally revolves around a star player.
|1 week 4 days ago||Yeah, I mean, I get it. Team||
Yeah, I mean, I get it. Team is losing guys and thus evryone expects to take a step back, but there's a possibility that things actually improve. In the vaguest sense it fits. But in reality, replacing a position group that was experienced but never really excelled with young, talented players and actually taking a small step forward isn't really an oddity in college football. It would make more sense using Ewing Theory as a shorthand if the line was really good last year.
On the other hand, it's not like Bill Simmons ever used "Ewing Theory" in a coherent manner.
|1 week 4 days ago||Isn't it a misuse of the term||
Isn't it a misuse of the term "Ewing theory," though? If you understand the Ewing theory to be a team improves after a star player is lost, usually because the team is better suited to play a style that doesn't work for the star player, then how does that relate to the O-Line. Certainly we didn't lose any stars. We lost three guys that ranged from "eh" to servicable to somewhere in the ok/good range. Hardly qualifies for Ewing theory.
That said, I would obviously be happy if O-Line was actually an improvement on last year despite being young/thin. I was cautiously of the opinion that they would perform on the same level as last season. It would be great to do better than that.
|2 weeks 6 hours ago||Best Buy is actually a poor||
Best Buy is actually a poor example now. They price match, which has been one part of their recovery.
|2 weeks 7 hours ago||But FAO failed. A couple of||
But FAO failed. A couple of times. They are part of TRU now (relatively recent), but I don't believe there are any stand-alone stores left. It's hard to advise a company to model themselves after a company that has failed multiple times. Not to mention that TRU's own version of FAO in Times Square recently closed due to cost.
The problem with your idea would be that it would be extremely expensive. You would have to recreate the stores so they aren't just rows and rows of shelves. You would have to increase staff spending, both because you would need more staff to consistently delight children, but also because you would have to pay more for people that would treat it as more than a shitty retail job. So how do you pay for re-doing the stores, the advertising campaign to highlight the change, and the higher than typical staffing costs while still matching the price of Amazon? I don't think you can, and that's the problem, because if you don't match costs people will ultimately use the shop to browse and then buy off Amazon.
I think just like how TRU and the likes largely drove independent toy stores out of business, TRU is ultimately going to be driven out of business by Amazon and other online retailers. Kids want what they see on TV or what their friends have. Parents can make that happen without themisery of going to TRU. For nostalgia's sake, I hope I'm wrong. Maybe they figure something out that gets people in stores without driving up prices. It's just hard to see it at this point.
|2 weeks 8 hours ago||I know some people that do a||
I know some people that do a lot of ordering from target.com, so there is at least some room for success for internet sites of brick and mortar shops.
There's also a couple advantages of the internet/brick and mortar hybrid. First, same day in-store pickup. If you know what you want and want it that day, placing an order and picking it up when you walk in the store can be easier and cheaper than ordering from amazon or picking it out at the store itself (an added bonus is that you know the stocking situation before you order). The second advantage is in the exchange/returns for online shopping. Yes, it's not terribly taxing to return online purchases. But, having the option to take it back to a store and get an immediate replacement has advantages. Best Buy is a big box store that has recovered from its own death spiral by optimizing to the new internet world, so it is certainly possible for other stores to do the same.
|2 weeks 8 hours ago||As said by ultiple people in||
As said by ultiple people in this thread, you shouldn't care or talk about points. That said, you probably got negged for suggesting that Trey doesn't work hard without any supporting evidence.
|2 weeks 9 hours ago||Average NBA PG athleticism||
Average NBA PG athleticism (which is probably generous) isn't athletic enough when you're below average NBA PG height.
|2 weeks 10 hours ago||All of that stems from his||
All of that stems from his one fatal flaw, his athleticism/size combination just isn't NBA quality. Trey is a good shooter, but it's hard to shoot well in an NBA game if you can't consistently shake your defender and/or shoot over your defender. His history at Michigan shows he is a good creator, but if you can't beat your defender one-on-one or draw the help defender to the rim, you don't get many chances to set up your teammates for easy baskets.
Every step up the basketball ladder requires a certain amount of skill and a certain amount of athleticism/size. You may be able to get away with being a hair under the minimum requirement in one category if you absolutely excell in the other, but there is a limit. Unfortunately for Trey, his talent will never overcome his lack of size and athleticism.
|2 weeks 2 days ago||In some ways, I think this is||
In some ways, I think this is even more true in the NBA than the NFL. Yes, in football, there's a greater injury risk, but I think that is more than balanced out by a greater chance to improve (both in skill level and draft position). With how many early entrants there are in the NBA, there just aren't enough top college basketball players for a first round talent to improve, at least compared to spending a season in the NBA. And if you stick around and your game stagnates (as it often does) your stock drops by the next draft.
The key with leaving early in the NBA is making sure you're in the first round and have that guaranteed contract. The penalty for overestimating your draft positioning in the NBA is more severe than in the NFL. In the NFL, if you're a mid-round pick, you're still going to likely make the team and be given a chance to develop. If you're a second rounder in the NBA, there's a decent chance you never get more than a cup of coffee in the league.
|2 weeks 3 days ago||The NCAA has regulations on||
The NCAA has regulations on athlete academic eligibility. Any attempts by the school/coaches/etc. to bypass those regulations would be pretty clearly the NCAA's purview. How the school goes about it may also create non-NCAA problems for the university.
On the other hand, I don't believe there are any NCAA regulations regarding regular criminal conduct. Murder, rape, theft, etc., by individual athleetes don't generally run afoul of NCAA regulations. I would argue how school's behave after the fact is governed by the NCAA, though it's not a slam dunk.
|2 weeks 3 days ago||Yes, murder and rape are||
Yes, murder and rape are infinitely worse than academic cheating (paying players is in the same realm as an academic scandal). However, those aren't really NCAA issues. How schools respond to those issues are the issue, and even then, there's an argument to be made that it falls outside the NCAA purview. I don't agree with that argument, but it is a reasonable one.
Baylor basketball got hammered for their actual NCAA violations (none of which involved the murder). They had a post-season ban, lost scholarships, had recuriting limitations implemented, and lost a season's slate of non-conference games. The only reason they recovered in a relatively short time is that Scott Drew has proven to be a good program builder.
I'd like to see UNC receive a similar punishment to what Baylor basketball got.
|3 weeks 1 day ago||And substitutions.||
And substitutions. Offense-defense substitution, or if the guy fouls out, there is time to substitute a new player. And then there are the official stopages as they make sure that they didn't lose a tenth of a second. There are far more than just timeouts that make the game slow down in the last minute or two.
Timeouts are a problem, but that has actually gotten better. The NCAA recently took away a timeout, and while I didn't think it was enough, I was surprised how often during the tournament I was expecting a timeout only to see the team didn't have any left.
|3 weeks 1 day ago||Was this before or after they||
Was this before or after they introduced the double-bonus?
I think you would end up with a wash in exciting comebacks. For every team that came back from 6 or more points in the last minute by fouling, there would be a team that comes back from15+ in the proposed system as the team with the lead wilts under the preasure of getting that last bucket.
|3 weeks 1 day ago||This is true, and is a||
This is true, and is a definite plus of the system. However, it's not the same drama as a team having the ball with a few seconds left to get up a shot, seeing the shot go up, and having the whole place hold their breath as the fate of that shot decides the game. The proposal would make for more of a tennis match-point situation. Yes, there is drama, but it's not quite the same as a buzzer beater attempt down 1.
|3 weeks 1 day ago||I think I like that proposal||
I think I like that proposal for the end of basketball games. One of those "it's so crazy it might actually work" ideas. I would miss buzzer beaters, and the potential unnecessary extension of blowouts could be annoying, but on the whole, it makes some sense.
|3 weeks 3 days ago||I agree and would point out||
I agree and would point out that a post-season poll in a sport that has a 64 team tournament is pointless, however, the poll is internally inconsistent. The NCAA tournament isn't and shouldn't be the end all be all of putting together a post-season rating, which is why it is fine having Louisville ahead of us. However, South Carolina jumping all the way to #6 shows the overwhelming value of at least getting to certain points of the tournament.
|4 weeks 9 hours ago||Or people who overstay their||
Or people who overstay their welcome. When visiting the home of a newborn, you need to be either doing something helpful or not staying very long.
|4 weeks 9 hours ago||I'd go a little further on||
I'd go a little further on the letting family know thing. I'd make it absolutelly clear to everyone in advance that you don't want visitors until you give the all-clear sign. The first couple hours after birth are both crazy and amazing and is time that you will almost certainly want as just the three of you (plus doctors, nurses, etc.). After that depends a lot on how the birth goes, how the mom feels, etc. Best to take pressure off by just making clear that you will be the one telling when visiting is ok. You can make an exception for someone who will both respect this time and give desired comfort pre-birth. This means maybe her mom and definitely not YOUR mom.
|4 weeks 1 day ago||I just don't think that's||
I just don't think that's fair to anybody. It's not the kids fault that the NBA mandates they be in college for one year. Everyone could come up with a different system. But until that happens, I'm not comfortable punishing teams who take in very talented players and have them NBA ready in year 1 or 2. Especiallyl when we've seen in so many cases where guys don't develop past a certain level in NCAA basketball.
|4 weeks 2 days ago||Coach K actually seemed to||
Coach K actually seemed to forego the one-and-done route or only use one max a year (Kyrie Irving, Austin Rivers) for a while, but then he quickly realized actively trying to not get the best players was a bad strategy. Especially when good coaches (yes, this includes Calipari) can mold a group of extremely talented young players into a pretty good team come tournament time.