PFF Article: What is Needed to Beat Georgia (w/ analytics)

Submitted by He Hate Me on December 27th, 2021 at 2:16 PM

I found this article to be insightful using PFF analytics to illustrate the assertions being made:

https://www.pff.com/news/college-football-playoff-orange-bowl-michigan-wolverines-georgia-bulldogs-2021

TLDR Version:

  1. Be prepared and expect early down Play Action from Georgia's offense. 
  2. Utilize "Mug" looks (lining LB's up in gaps at the line of scrimmage) and post snap coverage trickery that have given Georgia's QB some problems on passing downs
  3. Attack the perimeter offensively, Inside Zone won't end well
  4. Utilize the slot - Slot coverage is the lowest PFF grade for Georgia's defense
  5. Continued success utilizing trick plays on offense 

 

Blue Vet

December 27th, 2021 at 4:29 PM ^

Thanks for the reference.

For the song "Trickeration," here's more info from the linked YouTube audio: "This popular Calloway offering was composed by Harold Arlen and Ted Koehler for the 1931 Cotton Club revue “Rhythmania.”

The vocals—and the apparently hated "trickeration"—start about 1:20.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kN2bVr2up08

JamieH

December 27th, 2021 at 2:38 PM ^

I think we have to figure out how to attack Georgia in a balanced way.  Very doubtful that we can just line up and run it over them.  We are going to have to keep them guessing and hope we can catch them out of position, because if they know what we are coming at them with, they will stuff us.

BlueTimesTwo

December 27th, 2021 at 3:10 PM ^

I think we need to hope that our offense can string together some first downs and keep their defense on the field a bit.  Their defense seems kind of like Mike Tyson back in the day - so dominant early that they rarely get tested late.  But like Tyson, if you can manage to make it to the later rounds, they seem to lack the conditioning to win a protracted battle.

Venom7541

December 27th, 2021 at 3:44 PM ^

The team is going to keep running at them the first half over and over to wear them down with a few big plays thrown in. The goal is to wear them down so much that running becomes much easier and big plays happen in the air and on the ground. That's what they've done all year and won't stop now. 

Grampy

December 27th, 2021 at 2:46 PM ^

Analytics has become a necessary, if annoying, part of sports journalism.  I'll point out that Analytics had OSU beating us as well as us beating MSU.  It seems to me what is needed to beat Georgia boils down to having a good game plan that lends itself to adjustments series to series and having a coherently motivated team.  Seemed to work against OSU, anyway.

UMfan21

December 27th, 2021 at 6:00 PM ^

A lot of it also comes down to mental toughness.  Our guys just came out tougher against OSU and Iowa.  We wanted it more and it showed.  It turned 2 yard runs into 4 yard runs, and by the end of the game Iowa and OSU couldn't fight their way out of a paper bag they were so demoralized.

This team expects to win, and they have a swagger I haven't seen often since 1997.

 

jg2112

December 27th, 2021 at 2:46 PM ^

My opinion as to what Michigan needs to win:

x = Number of points scored by Georgia.

Michigan needs (x + 1) points to win.

Why make things so complicated. The equation is simple.

Lock the thread.

He Hate Me

December 27th, 2021 at 2:51 PM ^

Brilliant.  I coach high school football and sit in the press box with the headset on communicating with our defensive coordinator on Friday's - at least 5 times a game I encourage our Offensive Coordinator sitting next to me to "run the touchdown play" 

He never listens to me.  

rice4114

December 27th, 2021 at 2:56 PM ^

Michigan tends to score enough points if they

Dont false start

Dont drop routine catches

Dont miss the easy passes

That is simply the difference this year. Dont need to be spectacular but in so many years we have been beating ourselves. 

micheal honcho

December 27th, 2021 at 3:14 PM ^

If the Georgia D makes the same error as the OSU D did, thinking that stopping Michigans running game after a 3yd gain is a victory for them. They will lose the game. Watching OSU defenders celebrate after Haskins went for 3-4 yds on them was absolutely glorious to me. We are, or certainly can be, a genuine old school football team when we want to. Our O line & TEs have the patience to keep on plugging away at the chains. This frustrates the HELL out of todays defenses that simply don’t have the discipline & patience to stay focused on the details. They’ve been trained all their adult lives to defend “space” and we can play in a phone booth. I LOVE our offense against Georgia. 

Midukman

December 27th, 2021 at 3:23 PM ^

Just play Michigan football and knock the piss out of them.  I hate when the old “you haven’t played anyone” scenario gets thrown around. But Georgia was only in one game with a team that could score and they got rocked. According to Georgia fans, we’re basically on par with Kentucky or  Arkansas. I said I didn’t care what happens after winning the big, but hearing their SEC arrogance makes me want a complete and utter ass kicking for the ages on them. 

TheDirtyD

December 27th, 2021 at 3:25 PM ^

Tempo their D line. They love to sub they all get gassed. Lock them on the field you’ll thank me in the fourth quarter when they’re all just walking to the ball. 

M_Born M_Believer

December 27th, 2021 at 4:12 PM ^

Just viewed Klatt's breakdown of the game (FYI - he is picking Michigan). He noted the UGA likes to play with only 7 in the box and 2 high safeties. Mainly because they are good enough to do it. I expect Michigan to come out with multiple TE and force UGA to put the 8th man in the box thus creating 1 on 1 match ups for play action passing. 
 

This plays to our strengths and forces UGA corners to play man to man coverage.  I’d expect stretch zone, sweeps, and jets (with all the counters to go with it) as the base of our offense. 

WestPalmBlue

December 27th, 2021 at 5:51 PM ^

I am totally on board with Cade at QB so don't get me wrong...but..  I think we might catch them off guard if we trot JJ out there for the first series.  Play Cade the rest of the game or whatever but I don't think they would be prepared for JJ immediately. 

njvictor

December 27th, 2021 at 6:22 PM ^

  1. Attack the perimeter offensively, Inside Zone won't end well

I think Gattis actually made mention of this in his press conference today, however, I still expect us to at least try to establish the run inside