OT: what would u do in Tua’s Situation?

Submitted by goblue4321 on November 17th, 2019 at 6:18 PM

Read a report, doctors expect his recovery timeline to be 6-12 months, more so 12 months. That would put him out next year. Should Tua declare for 2020 draft hope a team drafts him in hopes he makes a full recovery to play 2021 in nfl? Or he could redshirt at Alabama for 2020, return as a redshirt senior 2021 and play at alabama to show he is elite again and maybe get back in first round? Curious what everyone’s thoughts are....

xtramelanin

November 17th, 2019 at 6:25 PM ^

choice #2, clearly.

he has almost no chance to go as a high-round pick with a serious injury and very uncertain recovery prospects in april (draft time)

Rico

November 17th, 2019 at 8:51 PM ^

Comparisons to Bo Jackson's hip injury are lazy and inaccurate. There were a number of factors that made Bo's situation much more career-damaging than what Tua is facing. Shockingly, sports medicine has advanced somewhat over the last 30 years. NFL team surgeons have come out saying that the injury probably won't take him out of the first round, but he probably won't get picked in the top 5 now due to his injury history.

Quailman

November 17th, 2019 at 9:10 PM ^

No, comparisons to Bo's hip injury are not lazy and inaccurate. Both suffered a dislocated hip and posterial wall fracture. Its a very rare injury for football players. 

Where its problematic is not remembering that it wasnt just the injury that ended Bo's career, but the aftermath of the surgery, as you mentioned.  He developed AVN and then had to have another hip surgery after developing arthritis. 

But when people report the injury is similar to Bo's that's not inaccurate. 

Rico

November 17th, 2019 at 11:42 PM ^

I say it is lazy and inaccurate because people simply see that it is the same base injury that Bo had and not realizing it was really the major complications from the injury that ended Bo's career, other football players who dealt with this injury with less severe complications have successfully returned to the field. While there is of course some risk of Tua also facing severe complications it is not at all a sure thing. Bo experienced really the worst possible complications after the initial injury which was the oddly rapid avascular necrosis and traumatic chondrolysis (complete loss of cartilage). Unlike Tua, Bo actually DID NOT have surgery when the original hip injury happened (surgery is not always needed for this type of injury), he only had the full hip replacement surgery well after the initial injury was sustained. Perhaps if sports medicine was better 30 years ago Bo's football career could have lasted a few more seasons.

JPC

November 17th, 2019 at 6:25 PM ^

Get whatever insurance policy he can get at this point, go back to bama, play for half a season, shut it down, and then go pro after showing that he’s healthy. 

MGoGrendel

November 17th, 2019 at 7:10 PM ^

I hope he already has insurance.   Who would give him a policy today?

If has a policy, declares for the draft, and goes in the late rounds, can he cash in on the policy?  ...or a portion of it?   If so, that may play into a decision.

JPC

November 17th, 2019 at 7:18 PM ^

I'm not sure about college sports kid underwriting, but I haven't seen much talk of non-NFL-eligible kids having policies. It seems more like something they underwrite when you choose to come back after year three.

If they do underwrite younger players, I surely hope he already has a policy. 

Also, if I was Tua I would have vastly preferred having my surgery at UM hospital rather than where he got it in Alabama. 

MichiganTeacher

November 17th, 2019 at 8:34 PM ^

Didn't Andrew Luck have a big policy through this ESDI program? Would have hoped Tua had the same. If one of my kids was an athlete with similar potential, some sort of insurance would be an extremely high priority from the earliest moment possible - like high school.

buckeyekiller1

November 17th, 2019 at 6:27 PM ^

Go pro this year. If he waits another year Trevor Lawrence will be the #1 QB off the board even if he was healthy. Staying at Bama and putting off going pro for 2 more years would be a big mistake I think.
 

Teams will still gamble on him this year in the late first or second round most likely. If he waits an entire year to play, he has to prove himself all over again to NFL scouts. Right now he already has enough on film to be selected high, why take the chance of not looking the same 2 years from now and dropping to mid-late rounds? Get that guaranteed money now and hope to make a full recovery while you’re already getting paid.

JPC

November 17th, 2019 at 7:59 PM ^

I’m sure Alabama’s medical staff is not at all under pressure to do stuff like clear questionable players and medical guys Saban wants out. It’s not like Alabama isn’t a cheating football factory or anything. 

Team 101

November 17th, 2019 at 6:32 PM ^

The injury sounds quite serious.  He probably won’t be able to make any decisions until he has a better sense of his prognosis but it may make sense for him to stay in school and prepare himself for life without football in case that is his future. 

the fume

November 17th, 2019 at 8:29 PM ^

No, it's 100% go pro. He will get drafted, his contract will be many times the cost of tuition, he will rehab more effectively in the pros.

Unless all the doctors tell him it's career ending and therefore no NFL team will draft him, there's no reason in hell for him to return to Bama.

brad

November 17th, 2019 at 6:33 PM ^

The safest thing would be to stay at Bama until he's fully healed and able to prove it with his play.  The only reason not to do that would be if he gets some serious guarantees from a team that will draft him in the top five and rehab him until he's ready.

I can't imagine a team would do that at this point though.