Joe Milton vs. similar QB recruiting profiles
Killing some time on a Saturday afternoon and was curious to see how QB's of a similar recruiting profile to Joe have stacked up over the course of their playing careers.
Looking through the results there were some notable names that got me to thinking who would Milton be most comparable to on this list. There's no good way to answer this question, obviously, because we haven't seen enough of Milton on the field to make any kind of reasonable comparison, and these are the guys that actually earned the starting job - there were plenty that didn't manage to do that as well.
Still, based on QB tangibles I would see him on a spectrum between Damion Terry (low) and Mitch Trubisky (high), leaning more towards Trubisky than Terry. Interesting collection of QB's that carried a similar recruiting profile, and thought I would post to the board
Joe Milton: #9 D-QB, #204 overall, .9202 rating, top offers: Georgia, Florida, Miami, Michigan, LSU
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Sam Darnold, # 5 D-QB, #148 overall, .9303 rating, top offers: USC, Oregon, Tenn., Duke, N'western
Malik Zaire: #3 D-QB, #165 overall, .9300 rating, top offers: Bama, ND, OSU, Wisc., Neb.
Jalen Hurts: #4 D-QB, #192 overall, .9231 rating, top offers: Bama, TAMU, TTU, WVU, Miss. St.
Damion Terry: #5 D-QB, #201 overall, .9190 rating, top offers: MSU, BC, Illini, Toledo
Mitch Trubisky: #6 D-QB, #206 overall, .9172 rating, top offers: Bama, OSU, MSU, Tenn., UNC
Joe Burrow: #8 D-QB, #280 overall, .9003 rating, top offers: OSU, Michigan, LSU, VT, WVU
Patrick Mahommes: #22 D-QB, #398 overall, .8807 rating, top offers: Ok State, TTU, Rice
October 17th, 2020 at 5:28 PM ^
I think we are going overboard on the Milton love / hype / analysis / over analysis. I as much as anyone hopes he is a STUD - yeah, I said it - but let him actually play a game before we get ourselves all frothed up. Considering how little he has played, all this analysis is meaningless.
October 17th, 2020 at 5:30 PM ^
That meme is old and yet still disturbing.
October 17th, 2020 at 6:14 PM ^
Just kick back and enjoy some of the pandemic special
October 17th, 2020 at 5:44 PM ^
Very true. This was not an attempt to anoint JM the next Joe Burrow or Sam Daronld. I simply wanted to see how guys that carried a similar recruiting profile fared in their college careers
There were plenty that never earned a starting job. Since Milton has now been named the starter, this was a list of other guys that were considered a similar calibur recruit that were also able to do that.
I am not going into the season assuming we have the next Joe Burrow or Patrick Mahommes. I am not really going into the season with any expectation at all, just hope he does well.
Just thought it was an interesting list of QB's and tried to estimate where I saw Milton fitting into this group based on on what (limited amount) we have seen.
October 17th, 2020 at 6:27 PM ^
Nailed it.
It's funny how everyone went from "but he's so unproven" a month ago, to "well actually, he's gonna be Cam Newton and Aaron Rodgers rolled into one."
He's gonna be what he's gonna be. Don't jump off a bridge because McCaffrey's gone, but also, don't hype yourself up to an impossible level that Joe Milton will likely not be able to meet.
We're a week away from seeing him in person. We don't need any more "analysis" before we get to see what he can do.
October 17th, 2020 at 6:35 PM ^
Agree, I have my hopes up this year and it seems to revolve around him but let's just wait and give the kid a chance. We can play with anyone and with a few breaks......
October 17th, 2020 at 7:07 PM ^
I don't think that word means what you think it means...
October 18th, 2020 at 12:04 AM ^
That guy must have balls the size of softballs.
October 17th, 2020 at 5:29 PM ^
I pick Patrick as my most-like candidate. change my mind.
October 17th, 2020 at 6:03 PM ^
I actually think Devin Gardner comparison would be closer than all of those candidates. But it looks like Milton might get more of a fair handshake as you would say than Devin did. Devin came in with the skill set perfect for the spread under Rich Rod. Denard and Devin are in special company because they beat OSU last over a 20 year span, but unfortunately I think they got robbed on a real shot at the NFL because of Hoke. Milton might have the right OC in Gattis to maximize his very similar talents before the pros and hopefully he will get a better look than a cup of coffee in the NFL.
October 17th, 2020 at 6:12 PM ^
Good points. I think Milton will also have significantly better o-line play than did Gardner. Gardner suffered some pretty severe shell shock, which has been well documented on this board!
October 17th, 2020 at 8:02 PM ^
Milton is more similar to Josh Allen than Devin Gardner. Both have spotty accuracy with propensity to throw INTs but has a howitzer of an arm with great size.
October 18th, 2020 at 10:38 AM ^
High school stats and rep were about the same on both although I think Gardner was known to run a bit more. I just hope Milton has Gardner's balls. We would have a win against OSU with Gardner playing a season with Harbaugh.
October 18th, 2020 at 2:43 PM ^
Milton was ranked almost 200 spots higher than Mahomes coming out of high school, which obviously means he’ll be at least twice as good.
October 17th, 2020 at 6:08 PM ^
How about the many, many others with similar recruiting profiles who were very unaccomplished?
This feels like cherry-picking.
"It's worked out a few times, so... you're saying there's a chance!!"
October 17th, 2020 at 6:15 PM ^
I’m trying very hard not to get “Charlie Browned” on this one, but it’s hard for me not to be excited after the extended wait. Time will tell.
October 17th, 2020 at 6:08 PM ^
We will see in a week...
October 17th, 2020 at 6:30 PM ^
In a week we might be in an impenetrable hole of deep depression. Today it is all about possibility thinking. It’s all I have left. Shame on you for trying to take that from me.
October 17th, 2020 at 10:20 PM ^
October 17th, 2020 at 7:31 PM ^
It will start rough.
There will be a loss or two.
A bad game here, a bad game there.
But then, there will be a glimmer of hope.
A spark that turns the team and season around.
A comeback from the dead you can't believe it kind of game.
And then there will be The Game itself.
He will wake that day with steel in his spine and resolve in his heart.
He will take the field.
And he will lead us to victory.
Joe Milton is coming, and Hell's coming with him.
October 17th, 2020 at 7:54 PM ^
This is the worst haiku ever
October 17th, 2020 at 8:13 PM ^
Ohio state wins,
is the worst of all haikus,
don’t you think my friend?
October 17th, 2020 at 8:25 PM ^
Unfortunately, the success rate of blue chip QBs is not great. The hit rate is like 25%.
(But, UM does fall within a blue chip ratio of about 16 teams with overall talent high enough to win a NC. But, they'll have to beat one other team that is identical (PSU) and another that is much higher than them (OSU) and then two more in the playoffs that will be equal or higher than them. In order to do that they need a string of good luck, not many injuries, and probably the best QB we've ever seen at UM.)
October 17th, 2020 at 8:47 PM ^
I bet that there will be a number of WTF moments in the first few games and we’ll all be wondering what the hell was McCaffrey thinking.
October 17th, 2020 at 9:03 PM ^
Georgia currently getting it done with a walk-on. Tired of these ratings talk, let’s see some production on the field.
October 17th, 2020 at 11:18 PM ^
Well, that didn't age well. UGA is now down 41-24. Don't think that they are catching up with that walk on, as much as I'd like it to happen.
October 17th, 2020 at 11:51 PM ^
Yeah jinxed that one lol
October 18th, 2020 at 12:01 AM ^
Yeah their QB is OK, but Bama still has a lot of good players on defense. Georgia has tons of weapons around him, but it's not good enough against a team like that. This is why we really need to finally get a great QB. Hopefully Milton can be that by the end of the year but who knows.
October 17th, 2020 at 11:04 PM ^
I’m just hoping he does not break into the leader board for Magnus’ most interceptions in a game list. Hoping to see accuracy, good reads, and no forced passes Saturday.
October 17th, 2020 at 11:11 PM ^
I've been thinking about it the past few weeks and I think Felipe Franks is a pretty reasonable comparison. Big frame, huge arm, athletic enough, and some room for improvement when it comes to touch and decision making.
That's at least my baseline comparison of not trying to get my hopes up too much based on hype.
October 18th, 2020 at 7:48 AM ^
100% agree on this one, and his name came to mind for me as well. Based on what we've seen, this would be the closest comparison IMO as well.
October 18th, 2020 at 12:33 AM ^
It will be interesting to see Joe play next Saturday night. He must of made quite a bit of improvements to win out over Dylan to the point where he forced Dylan to leave. If it was a close competition, Dylan would've stayed ready to step in when Joe made some big mistakes.