Flood of crystal balls in for Michigan football targets to Michigan's rivals

Submitted by njvictor on April 17th, 2022 at 9:45 PM

I hate to be the bearer of bad news but this string of crystal balls from this weekend is rough as these guys are all big time Michigan targets and some with Michigan connections:

  • 5* QB CJ Carr (Lloyd's grandson) Wiltfong crystal ball (confidence 6) to Notre Dame
  • 4* OL Sam Pendleton Wiltfong crystal ball (confidence 6) to Notre Dame
  • 4* OL Sam Pendleton crystal ball (confidence 6) to Notre Dame
  • 4* OL Sam Pendleton crystal ball (confidence 6) to Notre Dame
  • 4* DL Devan Houstan (Caleb's brother) Wiltfong crystal ball (confidence 6) to Notre Dame
  • 4* DL Devan Houstan (Caleb's brother) crystal ball (confidence 6) to Notre Dame
  • 4* ATH Jacob Oden (in-state) crystal ball (confidence 9) to MSU
  • 4* ATH Jacob Oden (in-state) crystal ball (confidence 7) to MSU
  • 4* ATH Jacob Oden (in-state) crystal ball (confidence 7) to MSU

I'm sure it's not over with these guys but this is definitely concerning and I'm not sure why it seems like we're struggling on the recruiting trail right now

Lakeyale13

April 17th, 2022 at 10:15 PM ^

I hate to say it, but you make a valid point. Harbaugh gave opposing coaches tons of ammunition to negative recruit. Our rivals don’t need to make up stories, just tell the facts.  “Harbaugh is only at Michigan because the job / jobs he wanted didn’t offer him the position”.  JH Didn’t make the recruiting game any easier for Michigan. 

WayOfTheRoad

April 18th, 2022 at 3:17 AM ^

Not sure why people are downvoting you as it's what I'm hearing from actual HS coaches in MI and OH at the moment. Mentioned a few weeks back in my Conerly update that the vibe I'm getting from some major HS coaches is that UM is in a bad spot on the trail and the main reason is Jim's attempt to get back in The NFL. One coach in SE MI told me it's so bad that Jim should have just lied about it. Outright said "he'd have done himself more favors just lying and saying it was all lies". Telling kids "yeah, I tried to leave but now I'm back" is basically the worst thing he could have done with regard to negative recruiting.

I wrote and then didn't post a reply to GOJ's recent QB post that basically said that I'm hearing the exact opposite of good things for Moore. The Carr stuff is only sorta surprising as the worst I heard was that he was genuinely giving everyone a chance, UM lead but was not a lock. Which, tbh, I took as UM being a lock. So the recent talk is surprising but if the recruiters at UM feel good about Moore right now they probably shouldn't. I'll leave it there. 

I'm only recently making rounds, catching up with old acquaintances and hearing about 23/24 kids and it's fn grim across the board for UM right now. Just saying what I'm being told from small school coaches and guys with multiple P5 guys. ND and even MSU are really kicking UMs ass right now and The NFL shit with Jim is a massive reason why. Flat-out. There is plenty of time for a class but not with individual guys that I know UM desperately wants to keep around. QBs specifically tend to pick early and stick unless the program they picked absolutely falls apart. 

I didn't hear about Carr reclassifying before GOJ so if that happens it could change a lot of things. I dunno.

BoCanHam15

April 18th, 2022 at 8:10 AM ^

Some coach told him it was!!!  Just LIE TO THE KIDS!!!!  So you mean to tell me lying is much better to do in recruiting, and your name is, “Jim $@@;)( Harbaugh?”  And that’s the best thing he could’ve done?  Boy oh Boy!!!  These spins will be worse than a Vanilla Ice concert in the old Cobo Arena!

Lakeyale13

April 18th, 2022 at 9:23 AM ^

It does make you have to chuckle. We finally have the year we all thought Harbaugh would bring us, and the momentum we had was turned upside down. 
 

Tis life. All will be ok. We have great talent and I think we will have a very solid year. Maybe not as good as last, but solid nonetheless. 

Kevin13

April 18th, 2022 at 7:12 PM ^

I’m sure JH and NFL flirtation is hurting UM right now. But I also believe we have time to turn the tide. JH has publicly stated he’s is here for the long haul and now he just needs to get in front of recruits and HS coaches and get the point across   He has months to do that before these kids decide and also another good season will help. I think we will be just fine in the long run 

Qmatic

April 17th, 2022 at 9:51 PM ^

Jacob Oden to MSU is not a surprise. Rob Oden (Jacob’s dad and coach at Harper Woods) is close with Thomas Wilcher (longtime Cass Tech coach and UM alum) who is now an analyst at MSU.

WoodleyIsBeast

April 17th, 2022 at 10:00 PM ^

That’s good intel, however it seems likely that MSU will take a step back this year on the field with the harder strength of schedule, no Walker, etc…MSU beating Michigan, PSU, Indiana and Nebraska by a total of 15 points is not even close to sustainable. 
 

I am expecting them to taper off a bit this fall, but we shall see. 

alum96

April 19th, 2022 at 9:44 PM ^

Why did not UM go after him then? Oh academic standards. - Wake Forest doesn't have them, UM does.  Ok our RBs were better and we trust in them etc etc.  So forget us.

Why didnt Auburn LSU Georgia go for him?  In their backyard (the south) - it was easy to see he was a top 3 RB in the country.  Alabama didnt need him but another 8 of the top 10 teams in the country could have used him.  We could offer because Wake Forest is a school who is nothing academically and those credits don't work for us.  But what about other schools? It was obvious to those in the know what he was.

Stringer Bell

April 18th, 2022 at 10:14 AM ^

If MSU's strategy is to find a Heisman caliber player sitting on the bench of a different team every year, yeah let's see how that works for them.  Their defense still blows, their passing game is very hit or miss.  Without Walker they're fighting for bowl eligibility last year, we'll see how they look this year.

alum96

April 19th, 2022 at 9:41 PM ^

Thorne the hit or miss QB was

60.4% 3232 yards 8.3 ypa 27 TD 10 INT

McNamara 

64.2% 2576 yards 7.9 ypa 15 TD 6 INT

Of course our not hit or miss QB was held back on stats by sharing time with another generational QB and the fact we run the ball unlike MSU.  Oh wait, Doak Walker award winner. 

Their hit or miss passing game was awful.  It was all 80 yard bombs against inferior opponents, opening up by generational Walker who ANYONE with an eye for talent could of got in the transfer portal. 

Keep going.  It's now become laughable 90% of board points to this as an auto win every year and MSU football a "lucky" joke.  HIT OR MISS PASSING GAME.

alum96

April 19th, 2022 at 9:47 PM ^

No their strategy is eliminate the bottom 25% of the roster every year and replace with established 2-3 year players along with some projects that may or may not work.  Then they will replace those within a year if they don't work out with the next batch.  I am surprised HS players will continue to go there in that system because if you dont work out in 2 years Tucker will get rid of you but that's the system.  He is going all free agency in college and raises the floor of the team immensely by taking out on carts anyone who doesnt perform.  Doesnt mean its the ceiling of the great 5-6 teams in the country but means the floor will always be high.  

He completely transformed an awful LB corps this off season.  One of the worst in the B10.  But dont worry it will be an auto W for us. Like every year.

M_Born M_Believer

April 18th, 2022 at 1:26 PM ^

Yes, Walker just so happened to explode for MSU.  I have plenty of MSU alum friends that were talking about him in the preseason and given that he had 23 carries for 264 yards in the opening game against NW would lead me to believe that he certainly was NOT the back up going into the season.....

Tucker has proven himself to be a decent coach, but if your recruiting strategy is to pull a rabbit out of your A** each year to make your team competitive......  Well we shall see how that works out.....

Tucker will come up with something to make the team competitive, right now it is hard to see how but they will be solid fighting for bowl eligibility

With all that being stated, Michigan MUST beat them this year......

WoodleyIsBeast

April 18th, 2022 at 12:37 PM ^

Not so much...Beating Michigan twice was completely unexpected by both U of M and MSU folks, so Tucker has overachieved. But it is reasonable to expect Sparty to take a step back this year with a tougher SOS(Wisconsin and Minnesota added to their Big Ten schedule), not to mention some extremely tight wins. And their two losses in the Big Ten were by a total of 60 points to OSU and Purdue. 

Tucker has some good momentum, but I'd be stunned if they win more than 8 games in their regular season this upcoming fall. 

Golden section

April 18th, 2022 at 3:19 PM ^

That is not how it works. MSU had one of the luckiest seasons on record last year - literally. 

https://www.teamrankings.com/college-football/ranking/luck-by-other

They were soundly outplayed by UM, Indiana and Nebraska. (The unluckiest team in CFB)

A Nebraska punt went 40 yards and then bounced directly back for a net gain of 7 yards. That punt was a metaphor for both teams seasons. The Cornhuskers out gained by 200 yards and had no 1st downs and 13 yards in the 2nd half. Martinez threw a pic in OT.

An inexplicable pic 6 is what beat Indiana and we all know about the ridiculous touchdown that was taken away against us.

Plus they flat our won the transfer lottery with an elite back like Walker.

Their secondary was the worst in CFB. They were bludgeoned by Purdue and OSU torch them for 500 yards in the first half.

They have a tougher schedule and much less talent. I also really doubt very much they lead the league in luck 2 years in a row. Add all that up and you have a team that will struggle to go to a bowl game.

alum96

April 19th, 2022 at 9:34 PM ^

MSU taking a step back this year and being weak and not to UM level is now a MEME for 20 years.  Every 7th year it is correct.  The other 17-18 yeah no.

Thanks for continuing the tradition. 

Remember last year they sucked all over and if not for Walker they would have been a 3 win team.  Thanks for playing.  

Tucker got rid of about 18 players and brought in another 6+ new starters esp for that joke defense ... no worries though. They will take a step back next year.  As they always do. 

Qmatic

April 18th, 2022 at 10:17 AM ^

Oh yeah for sure. I worked with Rod with a former player and commit of mine to help him out. Rod is a good dude and I don't forsee any issue getting players out of what is becoming a huge talent program in Harper Woods (since Rod became coach the school has gone from 400 students to now over 1200!). Both Bellamy and Hart have a good relationship with him. I'm just saying the fact that this is his son, there are connections I think he would be most comfortable with being around and in contact with.

WoodleyIsBeast

April 17th, 2022 at 9:57 PM ^

The Carr news is a bummer, but we’re a long way until ESD for even this 2023 class. 
 

Just keep doing it on the field and it’ll solve itself. Definitely surprised that we haven’t seen more high level commits though since previous classes averaged around the 10 range and Michigan just won the Big Ten and went to the playoff.