ESPN's Week 3 bowl projections

Submitted by Cold War on

2013 Bowl Projections - Week 3

Mark Schlabach/Brad Edwards

VIZIO BCS National Championship (BCS vs. BCS)
Alabama vs. Oregon/Alabama vs. Oregon

GoDaddy (MAC vs. Sun Belt)
Northern Illinois vs. Arkansas State/Arkansas State vs. Northern Illinois

BBVA Compass (American vs. SEC)
Houston vs. Missouri/Vanderbilt vs. Houston

Discover Orange (BCS vs. BCS)
Florida State vs. Michigan/Clemson vs. Michigan

AT&T Cotton (Big 12 vs. SEC)
Oklahoma vs. LSU/Baylor vs. Texas A&M

Allstate Sugar (BCS vs. BCS)
Georgia vs. Louisville/Georgia vs. Oklahoma

Tostitos Fiesta (BCS vs. BCS)
Baylor vs. Clemson/Oklahoma State vs. Louisville

Rose Bowl Game presented by VIZIO (BCS vs. BCS)
Stanford vs. Ohio State/Ohio State vs. Stanford

Capital One (Big Ten vs. SEC)
South Carolina vs. Wisconsin/Wisconsin vs. LSU

Outback (Big Ten vs. SEC)
Northwestern vs. Texas A&M/Northwestern vs. Florida

Heart of Dallas (Big Ten vs. Big 12)
Iowa vs. Tulsa/Iowa vs. North Texas

TaxSlayer.com Gator (Big Ten vs. SEC)
Michigan State vs. Florida/Michigan State vs. Mississippi

Chick-fil-A (ACC vs. SEC)
Miami (FL) vs. Mississippi/Florida State vs. South Carolina

AutoZone Liberty (C-USA/American vs. SEC)
East Carolina vs. Arkansas/Tulsa vs. Auburn

Hyundai Sun (ACC vs. Pac-12)
North Carolina State vs. Arizona State/North Carolina vs. Arizona State

AdvoCare V100 (ACC vs. SEC)
Mississippi State vs. Maryland/Virginia Tech vs. Missouri

Franklin American Mortgage Music City (ACC vs. SEC)
Georgia Tech vs. Auburn/Tennessee vs. Maryland

Valero Alamo (Big 12 vs. Pac-12)
Oklahoma State vs. UCLA/UCLA vs. Texas

Bell Helicopter Armed Forces (Navy vs. MWC)
Navy vs. Utah State/Utah State vs. Navy

Holiday (Big 12 vs. Pac-12)
Texas vs. Washington/Kansas State vs. Washington

Buffalo Wild Wings (Big 12 vs. Big Ten)
Texas Tech vs. Nebraska/Nebraska vs. Texas Tech

New Era Pinstripe (American vs. Big 12)
TCU vs. Rutgers/Rutgers vs. Notre Dame

Russell Athletic (ACC vs. American)
Virginia Tech vs. UCF/Miami (FL) vs. UCF

Belk (ACC vs. American)
Cincinnati vs. North Carolina/Cincinnati vs. Georgia Tech

Fight Hunger (BYU vs. Pac-12)
Arizona vs. Brigham Young/Brigham Young vs. USC

Texas (Big Ten vs. Big 12)
Kansas State vs. Illinois/Indiana vs. TCU

Military Bowl Presented By Northrop Grumman (C-USA vs. ACC)
Virginia vs. North Texas/Marshall vs. Virginia

S.D. County Credit Union Poinsettia (Army vs. MWC)
Boise State vs. Notre Dame/Ohio vs. Boise State

Little Caesars Pizza (MAC vs. Big Ten)
Minnesota vs. Ohio/Ball State vs. Minnesota

Sheraton Hawaii (C-USA vs. MWC)
Marshall vs. San Jose State/Middle Tennessee vs. Air Force

Beef 'O' Brady's St. Petersburg (American vs. C-USA)
Middle Tennessee vs. Southern Methodist/East Carolina vs. Toledo

Famous Idaho Potato (MAC vs. MWC)
Air Force vs. Bowling Green/Bowling Green vs. Wyoming

Gildan New Mexico (MWC vs. Pac-12)
Oregon State vs. Wyoming/Oregon State vs. San Jose State

Las Vegas (MWC vs. Pac-12)
USC vs. Fresno State/Fresno State vs. Arizona

R+L Carriers New Orleans (C-USA vs. Sun Belt)
Rice vs. Louisiana-Monroe/Rice vs. Louisiana-Lafayette

MGoBoard

Danwillhor

September 16th, 2013 at 3:03 AM ^

This is not a BCS team and thought that even after the nd game. If we can start getting more than a single sack per 100 pass attempts who knows? Could go into the osu game undefeated. If not? Well, even before the game that was truly as bad as THE HORROR in my eyes, I thought we'd drop three in our November gauntlet. Anyway, those acting as if a win is a win so nothing is wrong are either fans that don't care too much when/if we lose (game wise, not real life as I separate the two) or don't realize that we were one play and a few yards away from losing to possibly the worst team in the country. App St. would have killed that Akron team. We have issues needing fixing. We're not a BCS team.

Joined: 12/02/2008

MGoPoints: 8609

exmtroj

September 15th, 2013 at 8:21 PM ^

Such bold picks: hey I think the current #1 and #2 will play for it all! Alabama will almost certainly lose one or two this year, and Oregon has managed to shit their pants at home in a primetime game the last two years.

Joined: 10/24/2008

MGoPoints: 3318

bronxblue

September 15th, 2013 at 8:32 PM ^

Let's pump the brakes on Winston being an unstoppable throw god.  He's played a mediocre Pitt unit and beat up on a defense-deficient Nevada.  Yes, UM's secondary has some issues, but FSU has done this for years, roping people into believing the 90's are back until they gack a couple of games against tough competition.

Joined: 11/22/2008

MGoPoints: 171843

Soulfire21

September 15th, 2013 at 8:35 PM ^

You may want to hold off on the coronation.  Obviously he's looked incredible through 2 games but it was against Pitt and Nevada.

Then there is the perennial issue where Florida State is overranked, gets off to a hot start, and fizzles later in the season as the level of competition elevates.

Joined: 03/18/2010

MGoPoints: 22716

cheesheadwolverine

September 15th, 2013 at 8:58 PM ^

We lucked into beating the worst team in the MAC (the country?), Penn State lost at home to Central Florida, Nebraska gave up seven thousand consecutive points, Wisconsin can't figure out how to take a knee properly, etc, etc.  Can any matchup favor the Big Ten at this point?  Even a game against the air?

Joined: 10/25/2008

MGoPoints: 7515

jonvalk

September 15th, 2013 at 8:34 PM ^

Look out, if 98 gets wind of this he'll have a conniption fit. Michigan in a BCS bowl? He's the new Section 1, except Section 1 could actually write and use logic.

Joined: 07/19/2009

MGoPoints: 8315

Shop Smart Sho…

September 15th, 2013 at 8:37 PM ^

I want A&M vs Northwestern to happen so much.  Whatever the over is, I'm betting it.

I do not want to see MSU vs Florida though.  They could set the over at 15 and I would bet the under.  MSU would refuse to throw, and Florida would forget how again.  There would also be a monsoon, because obviously a defensive struggle has to be played in the rain.

Joined: 07/10/2008

MGoPoints: 9601

LSAClassOf2000

September 15th, 2013 at 8:36 PM ^

If you take these projections over to Massey and, based on limited in-season data, put them in their matchup simulator, you would get the corresponding win probabilities for each Big Ten team in their prediction:

  Schlabach Edwards
Orange 39% 46%
Rose 23% 23%
Capital One 29% 27%
Outback 28% 43%
Heart Of Dallas 58% 79%
Gator 21% 43%
Buffalo Wild Wings 43% 43%
Texas 21% 25%
Little Caesar's 76% 55%

Naturally, the two highest win probabilities in this projection would go to games featuring Iowa and Minnesota, so as they say, "BIG TEHN!"

Joined: 01/07/2011

MGoPoints: 130666

Yeoman

September 15th, 2013 at 9:51 PM ^

I had to do a double take--there's actually a bowl where the two projections offer up, as the opponent for Boise:

(1) Notre Dame

(2) Ohio

As in OHIO. The U.

Returning to glory, indeed.

 

Joined: 06/08/2011

MGoPoints: 21390

Double Wolverine

September 16th, 2013 at 1:01 AM ^

Any bowl other than the Rose or the championship would make me sad because it most likely means a loss to OSU. However, I think this team is a borderline BCS capable team similar to the 2011 team. I don't know if we'd get quite as much luck during the game and with the opponent. Clemson and FSU both scare me a lot more than VT did two years ago. Either Clemson or FSU could be a fun, high scoring game that may give me a few heart attacks.

Joined: 04/19/2013

MGoPoints: 103