Upon Further Review: Defense vs Eastern Michigan Comment Count

Brian

Personnel notes: Michigan didn't change much at all from the Notre Dame game. Leach played basically the whole game for Mouton. Kovacs again got the fourth quarter when Mike Williams tweaked his ankle. Substitution on the DL continued as before. The only difference is that JB Fitzgerald did get in some as a replacement for Leach or Ezeh.

Michigan did debut a couple of new looks in this game, as described by Steve Sharik earlier this week. One was a pure 3-3-5 look that could have come right out of the West Virginia salad days; the deathbacker played as a MLB. The other was an aggressive eight-man front run defense Sharik calls "split" that M ran against a lot of their ace sets. I noted the 3-3-5 stack somewhat but not the split, which looked like an under to me. I'll work on it for next week. If Robinson stops adding packages I'll eventually be able to ID them consistently.

BTW: This completes Michigan's collection of fronts: They've run even and under 4-3 fronts, a 3-4, and the 3-3-5. Robinson was not kidding about "multiple fronts." The under is still the base, though.

Steve also talked about the "Down G" play that EMU ran a lot. The basic principle here is much like the basic principle was against Michigan State's power ground game the past two years: you are an unblocked DE; there is a guard pulling around who wants to kick you out and open up a crease inside you. You have to get into the guard and make the tailback bounce it outside, where a linebacker will pursue and clean up.

BONUS! In my never-ending quest to make UFR more complicated every year I've added a third defensive metric: tackling. Missed tackles get minuses, as do routine tackles on which the ballcarrier picks up YAC. Open field tackles, tough tackles, and tackles where the guy goes down right where he's hit get pluses. It's very experimental.

Ln Dn Ds O Form D Form Type Play Player Yards
O20 1 10 Ace trips 4-3 under Run Zone stretch right Van Bergen 9
Michigan in a two-deep shell and in man over the WRs so this is six blockers on six defenders even without the QB counting. RVB(-1) gets doubled momentarily and falls to the ground, opening up a lane, and Ezeh(-1) is tentative, which gives the OL sliding to the second level an angle; Ezeh attempts to go around him and takes himself out of the play. RB jets to the second level. Good open field tackle(+1) from Williams(+0.5).
O29 2 1 Ace Base 4-3 Run Zone stretch right Williams 0
Eight-man front from M with press man free on the outside. Williams(+1) times a blitz well and shoots into the playside OT before he can peel off Martin, knocking the OL back and erasing any potential lanes. On the bounce, Graham(+0.5) cleans up.
O29 3 1 Ace 4-3 under Run Zone stretch left Martin 2
Martin(+0.5), slanting, slips past a momentary block from the center and avoids getting scooped, which along with a quick reaction from Ezeh forces a cutback. RVB is flowing down the line behind Martin & Co and makes a good tackle(+1), but momentum carries the back forward for the first.
O31 1 10 Ace 3-wide 4-3 under Pass Fly Graham Inc
Williams rolled up and press man on the outside again; EMU attempts to test it. M blitzes Williams, drawing the OT, and a RB has to attempt to cut Graham(+0.5, pressure +1), who dives over the cut and gets into Schmitt a bit, causing him to shorten his follow-through. Receiver has a step on Cissoko (-1, cover -1) and room to the sideline, but it's overthrown.
O31 2 10 Ace Twin TE 4-3 under Run Power off tackle Martin -3
Tackle blocks down on RVB(-1), blowing him out immediately, and the guard to that side pulls around as EMU tries to attack the gap between RVB and Roh. No dice though as Martin(+2) shoots into the intended hole, forcing a bounce into Roh(+1), who's held up well and drives his man back. The bounce takes a circuitous route, allowing Brown(+0.5) to read everything and come up to make a solid, no-YAC tackle(+1).
O28 3 13 Shotgun 2-back 3-3-5-ish Pass Screen -- Inc
Graham(+1, pressure +1) comes around the corner too fast for this screen to develop properly and forces Schmitt to throw it inaccurately. Looked like Brown and Leach had this well sniffed out. (Cover +1)
Drive Notes: Punt, 0-0, 12 min 1st Q. This drive is actually pretty solid, with one bad play followed by five good ones that saw Michigan defeat Eastern instead of Eastern defeat itself.
Ln Dn Ds O Form D Form Type Play Player Yards
O25 1 10 Ace 3-wide 4-3 under Run Zone stretch right Van Bergen -3
Eight man front. Michigan slanting into the play here, which gets Van Bergen(+1) and Martin(+1) deep into the backfield directly in the RB's intended path. Surrounded, he's got no choice but to end up in RVB's arms. (Tackling +1) Martin twists an ankle and is replaced by Sagesse.
O22 2 13 Ace 3-wide 3-3-5-ish Pass Hitch Ezeh 10
Six yard hitch Ezeh(-1) is about four yards off of when it's thrown, allowing the TE to turn it upfield and pick up four more. (Cover -1)
O32 3 3 Shotgun 2-back 4-3 under Pass Slant Ezeh 2
Ezeh(+1) reads Schmitt's eyes and immediately takes off for the slant, arriving in time to tackle(+1) short of the sticks. (Cover +1) Very decisive here.
O34 4 1 Ace 4-3 under Run Dive Sagesse 22
Michigan still getting into alignment as the ball is snapped, which seems like poor planning since the snap comes with two seconds on the clock. Eight man front with press man and big spreads between the DL; Michigan is coming after it. Sagesse(-1) steps inside and gets sealed. This cedes a big crease with help from similarly creased Brown(-1). No linebacker help since everyone's selling out on fourth and one, and the RB is into the secondary immediately. Woolfolk takes a good angle and comes up to tackle after about ten, but misses it (-1, tackling -1), giving up another ten before Warren can haul him down.
M44 1 10 Ace 4-3 under Pass Fly Cissoko Inc (Pen +15)
Eight man front. Can't say M's not being aggressive here, though on this play the corners have backed off. You've seen this before. Cissoko(+1, cover +1) is running this guy's route and gets called for the world's worst PI. Roh was working his way to the QB, FWIW. Not plus-warranting but pressure was coming.
M29 1 10 Ace 3-3-5-ish Run Zone stretch right Sagesse -1
Sagesse(+2) shoots past the center's block and slants past the attempted scoop from the backside guard, jetting into the backfield and forcing the RB outside. With help from Roh(+1, tackling +1), Michigan picks up a TFL.
M30 2 11 Ace 3-wide 3-3-5-ish Pass Hitch Cissoko 9
Michigan sends three rushers against max protect so there are eight zone defenders and only three guys in patterns and there's still a wide open hitch five yards downfield that Cissoko is five yards away from at the catch. I usually don't give out personal negatives on zone coverage I can't see but here's a stern look (cover -1).
M21 3 2 Ace Big 3-3-5-ish Run Zone stretch right Sagesse -4
Slightly less impressive on replay than it was live because it's revealed that Sagesse was basically let into the backfield unmolested, as he's lined up in a zero tech (directly over the center) and slants right into the play. It's a good angle and he makes an excellent tackle(+1) so here's a +1. Graham(+1) also burst through so this was truly going nowhere.
Drive Notes: FG(42), 3-3, 5 min 1st Q. Not bothered by this drive, which was basically a couple of sloppy zone coverages, a gamble EMU won and M lost, and the world's worst PI call. Note that Michigan's running a lot of their 30 front and slanting directly into the stretch plays. This is progress from last week, when M had to discard the stretches because the angles were poor, and I'm betting is an adjustment EMU will make after this drive to open up their run game.
Ln Dn Ds O Form D Form Type Play Player Yards
O21 1 10 Ace Base 4-3 Run Down G Banks 2
Pulling guards and whatnot, a very Dantonio/Carr play. Michigan stunts, shooting Banks(+1) into the backfield and forcing the back away from the hole. Herron(+1 tackling) cleans up on the cutback.
O23 2 8 Ace 3-3-5-ish Pass PA TE flat Warren 2
Graham is unblocked and flies upfield at Schmitt after he diagnoses the play action, hypothetically opening up the TE flat sort of play that got Koger a big gainer last week but M is in cover two and Warren(+1, cover +1, tackle +1) reads it well and pops the guy as he makes the catch.
O25 3 6 Shotgun 2-back Base 3-4 Run Zone read keeper Brown 13
Brown(-2) overplays the zone fake badly and loses contain, opening up huge space for a first down. Worse: this is the backup FR QB, so obviously the run is a preferred option. Very poor.
O38 1 10 Ace 3-wide 3-3-5-ish Run Inside Zone Martin 2
EMU finally tries to run right at this three-man line. Leach(+0.5) kind of sort of cuts off an outside hole, which causes a cutback into a doubled Martin(+2), except Martin's shucked his blockers and tackles(+1) at the LOS.
O40 2 8 Ace 3-wide 4-3 under Pass PA Cross Leach 7
Play action with a rollout and this is on Leach(-1, cover -1) for vacating his zone and aimlessly running forward to contain a rollout Banks(+0.5) has covered.
O47 3 1 Ace tight 4-3 under Run Dive -- 4
Fully ten guys in the box as EMU lines up in a tight set with both wideouts acting as quasi-TEs. They run right at a sizeable gap between Martin and Graham that Leach(-0.5) doesn't attack fast enough. Looks misaligned or mis-called or something because this didn't seem like a defense likely to prevent a quick burst up the middle.
M49 1 10 Ace 3-3-5-ish Pass PA rollout scramble Ezeh 24
Man, I don't know what the hell Ezeh(-2) is doing on this. Okay, I do: he's way over-reacting to where Schmitt's looking downfield. He takes himself so far out of his zone that he can reach out and touch Herron, opening up acres of space for Schmitt to either dump off to the running back or take off; he chooses to take off, getting huge yardage. (Cover -2, pressure -1)
M25 1 10 Ace 4-3 under Run Counter pitch Heininger 0
Yeah, this is a counter, with an H-back pulling backside to block the defensive end as you've seen in Picture Pages frequently. Heininger(+1) reads it, gets into his blocker, and pushes him upfield, necessitating a cutback. Martin(+1) gets blown back by a double team before shucking his guy, reading, hopping to the LOS, and tackling.
M25 2 10 Ace Base 4-3 Run Off tackle Martin 10
Eight man front. Can't blame Ezeh on this one, as he reads and fills and probably had this snuffed out for little or no gain except for a cutback from the tailback that's open because Martin(-1) got chopped. Leach(-1) failed to read the play and got hooked by a downfield OL, leaving him out of position to deal with this slow-developing play and getting EMU's tailback into the secondary.
M15 1 10 Ace 4-3 under Run Down G Graham 4
Trap blocking on this; Graham(-1) comes in unblocked but fails to read the pulling guard and doesn't get under him to spill the play outside. RB shoots untouched through the line where Leach(+0.5) makes a solid tackle(+1). This could be on Ezeh, actually... depends on what was called. He was heading outside, though, so I think Graham has to spill the play.
M11 2 6 Ace tight 4-3 under Run Zone read keeper Graham 11
Well, one: Graham(-2) irresponsibly charges after the tailback, opening up the QB keeper. Weird how this basic zone read defense step is one we can't get right. And two: JB Fitzgerald(-2) makes just an epically bad read, fighting to the inside of his blocker two seconds after everyone else on the defense is chasing the QB.
Drive Notes: Touchdown, 10-10, 11 min 2nd Q. I'm actually way less bothered by this drive than I thought I'd be. It's basically four dumb plays, two on QB contain, two on boneheaded zone drops, and not any sort of EMU-blowing-M-off-ball sort of thing.
Ln Dn Ds O Form D Form Type Play Player Yards
O27 1 10 Ace trips bunch 4-3 under Run Down G X 2 Roh 2
EMU pulls two linemen around to the outside but the tailback just shoots straight upfield. Miscommunication? Roh(+0.5) charges from the backside to tackle; Graham(+0.5) had read the play and helped out, too. (Tackling +1)
O29 2 8 Ace 4-3 under Run Dive RVB 4
Running right at the gap between Martin and RVB; RVB (-0.5) gets trapped and creased; can't spill the play outside. Ezeh(+0.5) reacted swiftly, though he wasn't blocked, to tackle in the hole.
O33 3 4 Shotgun 2-back 3-3-5-ish Run Triple option dive Ezeh 1
I don't know if this is good play or bad from Ezeh since there's a triple option going on outside and the only contain is Brown; this is probably not assignment football. But he's right, and results based charting and all that. Here he attacks the dive aggressively(+1), getting into the RB's feet and helping Graham(+0.5) pursue to the ball and stop EMU short of the first down.
Drive Notes: Punt, 17-10, 7 min 2nd Q.
Ln Dn Ds O Form D Form Type Play Player Yards
O25 1 10 Ace tight 4-3 under Pass PA Sack Roh -5
Roh(+1) is unblocked on the backside, reads the play, and tackles(+1) as soon as the QB turns around to survey downfield. Excellent read and good job to keep under control to make the sack. (Pressure +2)
O20 2 15 Shotgun empty 2TE 30 front Pass Hitch Warren 13
This is a whatever hitch for five yards if Warren(-1) makes a tackle(-1); he does not. Receiver spins around and picks up eight more because of the error.
O33 3 2 Ace 4-3 under Pass Hitch Warren Inc
Warren(-0.5) one on one with the WR; turns his hips and gets beaten by a little hitch route just past the sticks (cover -1). Ball is dropped.
Drive Notes: Punt, 24-10, 5 min 2nd Q. Rough couple plays from Warren there.
Ln Dn Ds O Form D Form Type Play Player Yards
M36 1 10 Ace 3-wide 4-3 under Run Down G Fitzgerald 11
Well... dammit. They've stuck JB Fitzgerald in the game and it's clear why he doesn't get more playing time. Herron(+0.5) gets into a pulling guard early enough to close off any potential off tackle crease, spilling the play outside where Fitzgerald(-2) should be there to clean up. He's come down inside and run himself out of position so he can't make what should be a TFL. The play springs outside for first down yardage.
M25 1 10 Ace Big 3-3-5 stack Run Counter off tackle Leach 9
They run a counter, pulling a guard across; Banks(+0.5) again gets into him and spills the play but Leach(-2) has gone into a pass drop already and is eight yards downfield before he realizes this was a bad idea. He runs around some blocks; Ezeh(+0.5) is the WLB here and runs from the backside to tackle. Good athleticism there from Ezeh.
M16 2 1 Ace Big 4-3 under Run Zone stretch right 4
Pretty good job by Sagesse(+0.5) and Banks(+0.5) to hold up against blockers and force a cutback, but there's no one on the backside to clean up because Williams(-1) got clocked. Cissoko cleans up.
M12 1 10 Ace Big 4-3 under Run Counter off tackle Williams 6
Michigan cramming the box now; Banks(-0.5) blown off the ball by a double team and Herron(-0.5) sets up too far outside to squeeze the hole and spill the play. Still, Williams(-1) is sitting unblocked in the hole and fails to tackle(-1) at the LOS, turning this from like two into five. Michigan TO.
M6 2 4 Ace 4-3 under Run Down G Leach 2
Slight variant here with EMU blocking down on the DE and bringing one guard around into two linebackers. Leach(+1) reads the play and attacks it, closing in at the LOS and tackling(+1) with help from Ezeh. Michigan TO.
M4 3 2 Ace Big 4-3 under Run Off tackle Williams 4
This is just tough when they line up two TEs to one side of the line and the three guys you've got over there are Roh, Williams, and Cissoko. Roh(-1) gets doubled and blown back; Williams(-1) gets crushed into the endzone, which prevents any chance of LBs flowing over. M should have been in a goal line set here. Error by Robinson.
Drive Notes: Touchdown, 24-17, 2 min 2nd Q. Note the timeouts! Rodriguez has played enough XBox 360 to understand when he can get an extra possession out of the first half. Can you imagine Carr taking these? There is one run play before halftime but it's academic and not charted.
Ln Dn Ds O Form D Form Type Play Player Yards
O12 1 10 Ace trips 30 front Run Dive Williams 6
Williams(-1) is half-rolled up and fills on this simple dive play; a solid tackle means this is like three yards (Leach(-0.5) crushed out of the hole by a G), but Williams lets the guy spin through (tackling -1) and pick up extra.
O18 2 4 Ace Twin TE 4-3 under Run Inside Zone Graham -1
Graham(+2) blows through his guy and crushes the play in the backfield with help from unblocked Roh(+0.5) on the backside. (Tackling +1)
O17 3 5 Shotgun 3-wide 4-3 under Pass Hitch Warren Inc
Warren(+1) reacts considerably more rapidly to this hitch than the last one and appears to get a hand on a poorly thrown ball breaking it up (cover +1). Effective blitz got a couple edge guys in (pressure +1) and may have contributed to a hurried throw.
Drive Notes: Punt, 24-17, 11 min 3rd Q.
Ln Dn Ds O Form D Form Type Play Player Yards
O9 1 10 Ace Twins 4-3 under Run Off tackle Ezeh 3
Michigan slanting away from this so a little fortunate to hold this down. Only one player to the second level, who takes out Leach; Ezeh(+1, tackling +1) has a free flow to the POA which, to his credit, he attacks swiftly and makes a solid tackle at.
O12 2 7 Ace 3-wide 4-3 under Pass TE cross Herron 5
I'm not sure what they're running here as it looks like man with Ezeh dropping into some sort of zone and Leach freaking out and attacking the LOS once the RB sets up to block a blitzing Williams. Fire blitz? Herron's in man on the TE, close enough to force a tough throw and no YAC, which is a win, I think. +1 for him, but not on the cover.
O17 3 2 Ace Big 4-3 under Run Dive Williams -2
Williams(+1) times a blitz well and shoots into the backfield, keeping under control and snuffing this out in the backfield with help from Martin(+1), who just crushed his guy, and Ezeh(+1) who aggressively sought the play out and cut through trash to make this a party in the backfield.
Drive Notes: Punt, 24-17, 7 min 3rd Q.
Ln Dn Ds O Form D Form Type Play Player Yards
O20 1 10 Ace Twins 30 front Pass PA TE cross -- Inc
EMU finally goes to a bootleg and gets Schmitt on the edge. Ezeh comes up to contain but not quickly so Schmitt has time to find the TE running open for a decent gain. Poor throw and an incompletion. (Cover -1)
O20 2 10 Ace 3-wide 4-3 under Pass PA Hitch Warren 4
Martin(+0.5) and Roh(+0.5) are busting through the line to force a quick throw (pressure +1) on a hitch; Warren(+0.5) tackles(+1) immediately.
O24 3 6 Shotgun 3-wide 2TE 4-3 under Pass Deflection Ezeh Int
Michigan sends a zone blitz, getting Ezeh(+1) in unblocked. He leaps in the throwing lane and bats the ball skyward, directly to Roh(+1), who brings it in for an INT. (Pressure +1)
Drive Notes: Interception, 31-17, 3 min 3rd Q.
Ln Dn Ds O Form D Form Type Play Player Yards
O40 1 10 ??? ??? Pass ??? ??? 9
We totally miss this play. Arbitrary cover -1.
O49 2 1 Ace Big 4-3 under Pass PA Fly Warren Inc
Going for the home run with an almost-free play. Warren(+2) runs the guy's route for him(cover +2) and this has no chance of success. FLAG? Lol jk no.
O49 3 1 Ace Twins 4-3 under Run Down G Roh 3
Kovacs is in the game for Williams, BTW, and will play the rest of the game. EMU goes back to their down G play, running right at Roh. Roh(-1) is in good position to squeeze the gap and force a bounce but basically gets run over by the G, which provides enough crease for the first. Should go low here, I think.
M48 1 10 Ace Twins 4-3 under Pass PA Fly Banks Inc
Banks(+1) blows through the line on a slant, getting hooked and drawing a holding flag. Schmitt flushes from the pocket and chucks it deep to a double-covered WR, who falls. Woolfolk almost intercepts. (Cover +1, pressure +1)
O42 1 20 Shotgun 2-back 30 front Pass Screen Ezeh 9
Only rush four but playing man behind it so Ezeh is the only one looking at the tailback here and he's got a tough job against two OL. I guess you can ding him for reacting slowly(-0.5). He does force the play inside, where it dies after a good gain.
O49 2 11 Shotgun 2-back 4-3 under Pass Hitch Graham 6
Graham(+1) bursts around the corner (pressure +1), forcing a quick throw. It's open in zone; Brown and Warren tackle(+1) immediately.
M45 3 6 Shotgun empty 2TE 4-3 under Pass Hitch Woolfolk 13
Brown gets a free release on a blitz as Michigan goes man with no safeties; Woolfolk is playing off (cover -1) a bit and Schmitt makes a good throw for the first. Woolfolk(-0.5) then struggles to tackle(-1), providing another three or four.
M32 1 10 Ace Big 4-3 under Pass Flare Lynch 9
Little flare screen on the edge sees Kovacs(-1) and Leach(-1) both get engaged by blockers who drive them off the screen and entirely out of the play. Cissoko has no help and all he can do is delay the RB and wait for help to arrive downfield. (Cover -1)
M23 2 1 Ace Twins 4-3 under Run Down G Kovacs 0
Kovacs rolled up. He attacks the pulling guard, standing him up and delaying the back. He tries to bounce outside, where Lynch is, and eventually just runs up into Kovacs(+1) for a loss.
M23 3 1 Ace Big 4-3 under Run Inside Zone Martin 3
Martin(-0.5) gives a yard or two, as does Ezeh, but that's not really his fault, and there's enough of a push up front to get the first.
M20 1 10 Ace 3-wide 3-3-5 stack Run End around Brown 5
Not sure who's got the contain here but it's either Brown(-0.5) or Graham, and I think it's probably Brown's late reaction that barely opens the corner here for an okay gain.
M15 2 5 Ace Twins 4-3 under Penalty False Start -- Pen -5
Oops.
M20 2 10 Ace Twins 4-3 under Run Down G X 2 Brown 11
Variant of the down G here that's supposed to get outside the tackle. TE downblocks on Roh and the T and G both pull around into Brown(-1) who gets planted as you might imagine a safety playing LB would, and the play heads outside with ease. Ezeh(-1) also misreads the play and runs himself into a block.
M9 1 G Ace Twin TE 4-3 under Pass PA rollout -- 5
Zone stretch fake into a rollout that finds no one despite(cover +2) no pressure(-1) for a long time. Schmitt is able to cut it up for a few yards.
M5 2 G Ace 4-3 under Run Off tackle 2 Warren 2
Same play that just got 11 yards with a bonus blocker as one of the WRs motions in. So close to the goal line the secondary is active, though. One of the pulling blockers is picked off by Graham(+0.5) getting some penetration. Woolfolk pops up under the last guy, forcing a bounce into Warren(+0.5) who tackles well but does allow the guy to fall forward.
M3 3 G Goal line Goal line Run Down G Brown -2
Wing blitzes from Kovacs(+1) and Brown(+1) jet past blockers and the two meet the RB in the backfield for a TFL.
M5 4 G Ace 4-3 under Pass Fade stop Cissoko Inc
Receiver does get Cissoko to bite on a fade by turning his head inside, then whipping around to get open at the start of the endzone but can't keep his feet and the throw isn't perfect so it's incomplete. (Cover -1)
Drive Notes: Turnover on downs, 38-17, 9 min 4th Q. Jeez that was a long, uncomfortable drive. More on it later.
Ln Dn Ds O Form D Form Type Play Player Yards
M47 1 10 Shotgun 2-back 3-3-5 stack Pass Sack -- --
The ugly play where Schmitt tears his ACL for no reason.
Drive Notes: Fumble, 38-17, 7 min 4th Q.
O14 1 10 Shotgun 2-back 4-3 under Run Triple option keeper Roh 3
Roh(+1) is unblocked, reads the dive fake, and comes out to tackle the QB by himself. Athletic move there; this is not a guy you want to read, I don't think.
O17 2 7 Shotgun 3-wide 4-3 under Pass Hitch Graham Inc
Graham(+1) is in the passing lane and bats it down. (Pressure +1)
O17 3 7 Shotgun 2-back 4-3 under Pass Screen Leach 7
Leach(-1) drops in his zone, reads it slowly, and can't recover to tackle. (Cover -1)
O24 1 10 Shotgun 2-back 4-3 under Pass Scramble -- 5
No one open (cover +1); decent pressure flushes the QB and he scrambles for a few.
O29 2 5 Shotgun 2-back 30 front Run Zone read keeper Fitzgerald 14
Fitzgerald's(-1) the guy with the QB, but reacts slowly, takes a block, and gets cut behind as the QB cuts it up.
O43 1 10 Shotgun 2-back 30 front Pass Hitch -- Inc
Wildly inaccurate for no particular reason.
O43 2 10 Shotgun 2-back 4-3 under Pass Scramble -- 5
Replay of the scramble earlier in the drive (Cover +1)
O48 3 5 Shotgun 2-back 3-4 Base Run Triple option dive Banks 1
Banks(+1) shucks a blocker and delivers a thumping tackle.
Drive Notes: Punt, 45-17, 4 min 4th Q. Charting ceases as the second team is put in for the rest of the game.

So that was concerning, wasn't it?

Slightly, yes, but after looking at the tape I'm more encouraged than I was immediately after the game.

How can that be?

To explain that I think I need a—

Chart?

Defensive Line
Player + - T Notes
Graham 10.5 3 7.5 Very little opportunity to get after the quarterback. Was good against the run, though he was one of the people responsible for Schmitt's touchdown run.
Heininger 1 - 1 Made one nice play.
Patterson - - - Scrub time only I think.
Roh 6.5 3 3.5 A couple of nice plays when EMU put him on the edge and tried to fool or read him. Athleticism should be an asset against zone read teams.
Herron 1.5 .5 1 Eh, ok.
Martin 7 1.5 5.5 Much better job getting off blocks this week and more active; this is probably because of the competition. Still, he's promising. Probably needs another year before he's truly an anchor.
Van Bergen 1 2.5 -1.5 Not holding up very well against doubles.
Banks 4.5 .5 4 Rodriguez mentioned he'd been playing well last week and he did make some plays here.
Sagesse 3.5 1 2.5 Big fourth down stop was a gift but made some other plays. Needs more PT.
TOTAL 31 11.5 19.5 Nice number, so the rushing yards were on…
Linebacker
Player + - T Notes
Ezeh 6 5.5 0.5 Well, at least it's positive.
Mouton - - - DNP.
Brown 1.5 4.5 -3 Blew a zone read contain for some of his minus points, and got blasted back by guys 60 pounds heavier than he is on some others. Didn't think he played that bad.
Fitzgerald - 5 -5 Yipes. Huge missed reads for all five negative points. Looked lost. Athletic, but lost.
Leach 2 7 -5 Didn't make any of his tackles near the LOS, did the Mouton thing where you go into a pass drop on a run play.
TOTAL 9.5 22 -12.5 Could have gone better. 
Secondary
Player + - T Notes
Warren 5 1.5 3.5 Mostly run support and a couple open hitches/blanketed deep routes.
Cissoko 1 1 0 "Hey, that guy isn't Michael Floyd."
Floyd - - - Scrub time only.
Turner - - - DNP
Woolfolk - 1.5 -1.5 Almost zero to in coverage. Missed a couple tackles but nothing serious.
Williams 2.5 4 -1.5 Like Brown, got a share of minuses just for being 100 pounds smaller than the guy blocking him.
Emilien - - - DNP
Kovacs 2 1 1 Hasn't cost Michigan anything yet..
TOTAL 10.5 9 1.5 Almost had the day off.
Metrics
Pressure 10 2 8 Probably why they hardly passed.
Coverage 12 13 -1 Also a reason.
Tackling 18 5 13 No idea if this is generous or what to compare it to or what. I'm just building data here.

So… there you go. I'm still working on the tackling bits, obviously. I wouldn't take the minuses on the safeties too seriously.

Why does this make you less concerned than you were before?

We already knew that Ezeh is the kind of guy to get dragged out of position and open up a 24 yard scramble, and we had a strong suspicion that even though the starting linebackers were poor their backups were worse, and all this bore out. Most of the defensive line played up to expectations except Van Bergen, and Banks may add some additional interior depth going forward. The secondary was par for the course, too, and the tackling was pretty good.

Come on, look at that 36-yard all-run touchdown drive. This is Eastern Michigan!

Is that a question?

This is Eastern Michigan?

Fine, fine, okay, yes. It's not like I expect the defense to be good or anything. It's just that the EMU game didn't reveal anything particularly surprising or new. And ten of their points were on the world's worst pass interference call and a thirty-six yard drive. They gained under 300 yards and Michigan outgained them by 180-some. I'm fine with what happened, mostly.

The most disturbing bits were the zone read breakdowns. How does that happen when you practice against it all day every day? I don't know, but when any EMU QB pulled the ball out he had plenty of space.

Any hope for defensive depth in the future?

In the secondary and at linebacker, no. Leach slotting in ahead of Fitzgerald and Fitzgerald proving that wasn't a crazy decision with some really bad play indicates that there's no cavalry coming in the backups. Michigan is riding with Mouton and Ezeh, like it or not. Pray they improve. (To his credit, Ezeh was better at hitting the hole in this game. Baby steps.)

Meanwhile in the secondary, Michigan went the whole game with the starters until Williams got tweaked and Kovacs returned; no corner other than the starting pair saw a snap until uncharted garbage time, and that didn't even include uber-frosh Justin Turner. I did include converted WR/RB Teric Jones, whose redshirt is burned. Burning that redshirt is a whopping statement about where the secondary depth stands: next to Charlie Weis on a precipice, looking down at disaster.

The line, though, looks like it might pick up another contributor in Greg Banks and at some point you figure they will unleash Will Campbell on short yardage. He was part of the goal line set that saw a few snaps and probably should have been in on a few more. He's a tough guy to move.

So… no on Fitzgerald?

Not yet, at least. Watch the linebacker to the top of the screen (not the guy on the line, the guy lined up on the 32, which is Fitzgerald) here:

Michigan was playing that play to spill all day, spilled it, and Fitzgerald was nowhere to be found. He is not mentally ready to play.

The safeties look halfway competent, don't they?

Um… well… mentioning this will probably doom them forever, but maybe? None of ND's long plays can be blamed on the safeties, though part of that was the defensive scheme and part of that was the ability of Notre Dame to exploit an injured, short Cissoko in his first start against a good offense. And Eastern didn't find anything long. The only play on which a safety got a big negative was the long Western touchdown. Just MAC teams, sure, but by this point in any other season there would have been two or more plays from the safeties that make you groan and clutch your rosary. Obi Ezeh's "so we got that going for us" quote about Woolfolk may be accurate.

Heroes?

The starting defensive line outside of Van Bergen, who didn't do much.

Goats?

All linebackers not named Ezeh, who was decent.

What does it mean for Indiana and the future?

I'll keep it brief since this was a game against Eastern Michgian and you overrate it at your peril: the team is basically what we thought it was. If you want to load up against it and grind down the field you'll have success doing it, though I wonder if teams will manage to score a lot of touchdowns with that sort of approach. Michigan's going to bend a lot; hopefully they won't break.

Greg Robinson is busy installing all sorts of different stuff and slants and various games to cover up for the fact that he's got no depth, two seniors, and three walk-ons contributing. I think we're going to see a lot of instances where the games work and Michigan swarms something and a lot of instances where Michigan gets caught and gashed. There are places to attack this defense, and the safeties are going to have to do a lot of cleanup in Big Ten play.

Is there any upside for these guys? Maybe. It is a new system so Michigan is behind mentally and should improve more than veteran units whose failings are more likely to be physical shortcomings than mental errors. Look at Eastern's long touchdown drive: mental error after mental error. If Michigan can fix those things—or, more conservatively, mitigate them—they appear to have the horsepower to be completely mediocre. Again: getting Ezeh and Mouton up to a level where they are decent is the key to the defense's season.

Comments

WolverBean

September 23rd, 2009 at 5:16 PM ^

Yikes, you guys can be brutal. [...] But, we have won three games in a row on offense But the play of the offense isn't considered in a review of the defense's performance. Come back tomorrow and you'll see a lot of excitement about how well the offense is performing. However, a critical (but fair, not mean-spirited) evaluation of the defense shows they've got some improving to do. Remember, arguably the best team Rich Rodriguez has had, the WVA team that was a Pat White thumb injury from the BCS championship, finished that year with the #7 ranked scoring defense - a higher rank than its #9 ranked scoring offense. Having a sweet offense has let us win 3 games, yes - but to win out on the season, we're going to need the defense to contribute too. Meanwhile, a tough-love assessment of the defense is probably a healthy tonic for those fans whose love of our shiny new offense may be leading down the dangerous path of over-inflated expectations.

J. Lichty

September 23rd, 2009 at 3:55 PM ^

outside contain, as in years past seemed to be the biggest culprit on many of the big gainers. This is correctable with experience and added emphasis on assignment. - re burning redshirts. RR has said, and he does not have the luxury regardless - that the players who give us the best chance to win are going to play. if Turner were able to help now, he would be playing. The one I am the most surprised about not getting any playing time is Emelien.

NYWolverine

September 23rd, 2009 at 4:12 PM ^

In your analysis, you said "[i]f Michigan can fix those [mental error] things—or, more conservatively, mitigate them—they appear to have the horsepower to be completely mediocre." What exactly do you mean by that in terms of points allowed: that we'll see consistency in that regard as we move on to stronger competition? It seems to me that consistent defensive mediocrity is grounds for optimism in the win/loss column: there being actual support for success on the offensive side of the ball, especially with regards to our run-game. Perhaps another shift in "W" probabilities for future games, and 'coin-flip' matches (especially those scheduled at home) edge to favor?

BaggyPantsDevil

September 23rd, 2009 at 5:07 PM ^

If you want to load up against it and grind down the field you'll have success doing it, though I wonder if teams will manage to score a lot of touchdowns with that sort of approach. Michigan's going to bend a lot; hopefully they won't break.
This has been my impression of Michigan’s defense as well. Considering the offense’s ability to move the ball and score and that fact that several sustained drives by opposing teams have resulted in no points for them, Michigan will generally come out ahead in this. Although, some of the defensive play calling has seemed too passive for my taste, I think that Greg Robinson is indeed trying to mitigate his squad’s lack of depth and experience.

mgoblue911

September 23rd, 2009 at 5:15 PM ^

"...directly to Roh(+1), who brings it in for an INT" I thought that Roh made a amazing play snatching that ball one handed while still engaged with the blocking offensive lineman. The replay from the endzone made it look even more remarkable than it was live. And then of course there are the eyebrows...

M-Go-Bleu

September 23rd, 2009 at 5:25 PM ^

How we can have so many defenders that are so poor. I mean we recruited great prospects right?? and on defense its not as much about matching the player to the system as in offense (or so I assume D is more plug and play. I think they must have been neglected for sake of getting the offensive system up and running. I understand we are on our third DC in 3 years, but man can't they just run some standard defense and teach technique. It seems like our guys have the physical talentsl, but mentally they are confused. To me this is likely because D-fense is less about the intelligence of the player and more about reaction and athleticism. Adjusting to new system, terminology, coaching, every year seems to have really confused some of our guys who should really be great right now. Really wish, if he would have accepted, that RR would have kept on Ron English. I know he had his flaws, but it seems that he would have been great for continuity and recruiting and all we need is a servicible (sp?) defense with the offense clicking.

Double Nickel BG

September 23rd, 2009 at 9:44 PM ^

same thing happend last year with the offense. People were bitching about RR putting in his system and not going with the pro sets of the past, which may or may not have won us a few more games last year. How much further behind in the system that you want to run would we be if we had run the pro set last year? RR and Co. have their system and their going to get the players to learn the system.

steve sharik

September 23rd, 2009 at 11:26 PM ^

Those numbers are important, but so are the little things, like instinct, reaction time, and the ability to execute technique. Just b/c a guy was a 5-star doesn't mean he'll be great on defense. I think that our lack of defensive talent is a combination of a) most of our high-rated talent concentrated in certain positions and b) guys not living up to their star ratings.

steve sharik

September 24th, 2009 at 8:42 AM ^

Some guys are just overrated b/c the recruiting gurus go by combine numbers and word of mouth if they haven't seen film. And sometime a player's film is misleading b/c a) it's a highlight film and everyone looks pretty good on theirs (mcguffie), and b) a lot of these guys are simply men amongst boys in their high school games. Kevin Grady Pat Massey Justin Zwick Need I go on? I don't think these are on the coaches.

Steve Levy Sucks

September 23rd, 2009 at 6:02 PM ^

I've been wanting to ask this for awhile: Does doing things like UFR's affect your game viewing experience while watching the game live? I know that after the game you break down the tape and plays for us, but I'm just curious if this hampers your ability to really enjoy the game while you're there watching it live. Since i've been reading this blog, i've found myself watching a single player instead of watching the entire play develope. I get interested in seeing what said player is doing, and honestly, it pisses me off. I would rather watch (and hopefully enjoy) the entire play instead of focusing on one particular player. Just curious if you find yourself taking notes and pointing out mistakes etc while actually watching the game or do you just enjoy it and then go home and review the tapes and give us the awesome UFR? Thanks SLS

MichFan1997

September 24th, 2009 at 12:57 PM ^

about my game watching experience, but maybe Brian can appreciate this. When I'm watching games now, I pay much more attention to the OL than I used to. In older times, I watched whoever had the ball, but now I really enjoy watching plays develop. Also, sometimes on D, I'll just zone in on a particular player. For instance, last week I was @ the Eastern game and I kept my eye on Stevie Brown for an entire drive just to see what sort of movements he makes from play-to-play. It was really interesting, especially when I don't have a camera dictating which players I can see at a given time. Some plays, a defender doesn't do more than shuffle his feet a step or two. Anyways, reading the UFR's has increased how much I enjoy the actual games now. Reading them is just gravy on top of how much fun this team can be.

Jivas

September 23rd, 2009 at 6:35 PM ^

It's not his fault at all - he's a tall DE who lacks bulk and is being asked to play the 3-tech. Not surprising that he's not holding up that well on the LOS against running plays. Against spread teams it's not a huge issue, but against some of the power running teams in the B10 (11) ... yikes. I can only hope that they're leaving him out there so much early in the year to get him some playing experience, but that when we play MSU/Iowa/etc. they'll adjust to get some more size out there on the DL. Presumably RVB will be replacing Brandon Graham next year, and if he continues to struggle at that position then I'll be willing to pass judgment on his play.

wiscwood

September 23rd, 2009 at 11:02 PM ^

I hope this kid has a better year. The refs blew that PI call. Thank Goodness the game was not on the line. Boubacar is going to make some good plays for Michigan this year. I just hope he has a corner back's mind set of forgetting the past. This kid needs a shot of confidence. Well, Indiana is coming to town. He should have a interception or two. That PI call was such an obviously bad call. Refs need to be nationalized. The regionalize version make too many mistakes. I'm surprised the Referee Police or whatever didn't put someone on review. Oh wait, they are still reviewing Golden Tate's dive into the MSU Band. Yes, that crap pissed me off!! Especially after Mouton's phantom, uncalled punch. Idiot Spartans aren't complaining... busters.

NYWolverine

September 23rd, 2009 at 11:20 PM ^

Brian, I have a question re: your critical philosophy going into the weekly UFR. I guess I'm wondering what you consider your baseline "0" before doling out the standard (+1/-1) to respective offensive and defensive players. I'm a big fan of UFR because it's been refreshing to see the sort of analysis you do play by play, as it's been a great column for tempering over-enthusiasm or over-criticism of the offense and defense. However, I'm beginning to get turned off by the individualized +s and -s. Here's why: in my opinion, the baseline "0" I referred to above inherently has to be different depending on the player's experience, and perhaps the importance of the play (in other words, whether the 'negative' occurred on 1st down resulting in a mere 2 extra yards, or on 3rd down resulting in a first down). Re: player experience, I've been hearing Coach Rod go on at length about all the "coachable moments" occurring in the games. This leads me to infer that each week, the coaches have an expectation of "coachable moments", at least with respect to their younger personnel. Therefore logic stands to reason that the coaches don't anticipate perfection out of their players, but more realistically simply hope for averages to work in their favor. That, perhaps on a play you score player X a -1, the coaches are OK with the containment...but on a play you score the same player a "0", the coaches would have given him a +1 or 2 because his maintaining position on the field forced the QB to go to some other receiver for a turnover on downs. In other words, where you uncover a -5 day on Cissoko, Coach Rod/Gibson/Robinson might see a 0 or +1 day for him given their expectations. Every defensive play is the sum of its parts: especially on passing downs, where simply being in position might mean you're not the lead tackler, but you're the reason the ball was thrown to a receiver easily wrapped up for no gain. I'm not saying there aren't obvious chinks in our armor that the Defense UFRs do an excellent job sorting through. But at the very least, it seems to me that a play's importance should be rated first, before grading an individual player. It would make those individualized assessments much more weighty in significance. As a secondary matter, with respect to two players in particular: Ezeh and Cissoko...before these two get the critical hammer that Stevie Brown had received: I argue that the coaches call plays with full knowledge of each players' personal strengths and weaknesses. I mean, on a play that Larry Foote may have stuffed for gain of 1 yard, I think Gerg anticipates Ezeh will likely give up 3-5. That makes his baseline "0" 3-4 yards, whereas Foote had a baseline of 1 to 2. So maybe on an important 3rd and 3, where Ezeh is in the correct position to stop a gain for 2 yards, and does, that should be a +2? This has been a lot of words...what I really want to know is, 1) on a day where all players perform at "0", what result? And 2) is "0" in your mind consistent for each player or is it tacitly variable depending on some of the things I outlined above?

steve sharik

September 23rd, 2009 at 11:35 PM ^

Quote: "I mean, on a play that Larry Foote may have stuffed for gain of 1 yard, I think Gerg anticipates Ezeh will likely give up 3-5. That makes his baseline "0" 3-4 yards, whereas Foote had a baseline of 1 to 2." If this is true (which I'm sure it's not) we are fucked. This is giving up. The expectation is for success, and a coach has to keep coaching guys until they reach it, and can't be satisfied with anything less. A coach may be pleased with effort, but he cannot be pleased with sub-par results.

NYWolverine

September 24th, 2009 at 12:00 AM ^

I was hastily trying to make a point without enough care to my example. But I think somewhere in there is a valid assessment: that barring satisfaction with mediocrity, I would personally mentally reward a player of limited experience, if using Brian's +/- scale, differently than my All-American. Perhaps the greater emphasis should go to scaling a play's significance along with grading the player's personal effort. I'm glad you commented though, because you bring a coach's opinion. I'm curious what you read into the UFR philosophically, because for us fans, I'm willing to bet a big handful sees "Cissoko, -5" and thinks, "Wow, Cissoko sucks" without considering the context and room for improvement. So here's some context: on 2nd down and 13, Obi inexplicably falls out of position and gives up an extra 4 yards, leading to 3rd and 6. -1. Then, on 3rd and 6, Obi is in perfect position, so the QB checks down to whatehaveyou, leading to a 4th down punt. Obi is graded "0". How do those grades ring to you? I see "teachable moment" on the 2nd down play, and maybe a missed + on 3rd down. It's just the weight of the criticism I'm having trouble with, not that there is legitimate criticism to be had.

steve sharik

September 24th, 2009 at 12:08 AM ^

If they sucked, they wouldn't be on the team. When I see a -5, I see an assessment of how a guy played in that game. When I see -5 three weeks in a row, I am as frustrated as anyone else, but I'm frustrated with the level of play, not the person. And I trust the coaches are doing the best they can with the best they have. This is why recruiting is so important in that you can never have enough highly regarded prospects on your team. And I think the lack of depth on defense is the fault of the last few recruiting classes of Lloyd and his staff, unfortunately. I'm not saying they didn't do a good job at the time; I just think a lot of guys didn't pan out. Furthermore, most of the transfer guys were offensive guys; nobody good from the defense left. I mean, either the recruiting was poor or our current position coaches aren't qualified to do their job. I certainly hope the latter is not the case, or we're in serious trouble. I digress back to the grading. Different coaches grade in different ways. Bud Foster, DC at Va. Tech, has a points system. The more things you do correctly and the more plays you make, the more points you get. One Kansas State DC I met with graded on a percentage basis with regard to each player carrying out his alignment and assignment, and then did an additional +/- with regard to making plays or not when the opportunities arose. For example, Ezeh allowing a run for 3-4 when it should be no gain would get a 1/1 or 100% on A&A but a -1 for not making a play. I think what you're seeing from Brian is similar to just that +/- part.

NYWolverine

September 24th, 2009 at 12:10 AM ^

what in your opinion is a good "baseline '0'" (that I referred to in my first post)? A player is in position, and the play comes to him. If he allows the play to go 3-4 additional yards, my sense is that we're calling that a -1 (without any context for whether it creates a first down, touchdown, game winning TD, etc. I might add). If he stuffs it for no gain, I guess a +1. Where does that leave a game of nothing but "0" merits on defense (and again, with no context for the player's experience in the system OR down, as per UFR)?

steve sharik

September 24th, 2009 at 12:58 AM ^

...then the team is inconsistent and you can't be successful on defense that way. There is no baseline of zero, b/c on every play there is at least one player who has the opportunity to make a play. If you're wanting to know what a decent but not great performance would look like, it would be solidly in the positives but not great. I think the WMU UFR is a good performance, the ND UFR was a bad one, and the EMU UFR was meh. I think this upcoming game you might see a decent UFR.

dundee

September 24th, 2009 at 2:13 AM ^

the thing i think we all must keep in mind is the fact that UFR is not done by RR and his staff. it's done by a fellow who cares deeply for this program and takes the time to break down each play handing out plusses and minuses but in the end is not the coach. is he wrong? i would say most of the time no. but on the othre hand any positive play by an opponents offence has to be a negative somewhere on our defence. so it's just a matter of where you place that negative. do you place it with the OL that couldn't fill the gaps or the LB who played the play action pass? not sure but i think it's all relative to the person critiqueing the plays and i for one am glad i'm not the one passing out the +/-'s. i think i'll let RR do that.

I Bleed Maize N Blue

September 24th, 2009 at 2:39 AM ^

I am interested to see how Brian responds to this question. IIRC he said ratings are results based, so I would think if the offense has a good play, then someone on D is getting a neg. I wonder how standardized his ratings are. For comparison Football Outsiders give a Stop to a (pro) defender who prevents a success by the offense (45% of needed yds on 1st down, 60% on 2nd, 100% on 3rd or 4th), and a Defeat for preventing the offense from gaining a 1st down on 3rd or 4th, for a stop behind the line of scrimmage, or for an INT or fumble (regardless of who recovers).

msoccer10

September 24th, 2009 at 10:18 AM ^

to see a players performance graded on his perceived baseline. There would be no way to compare players over the course of a year or between years. We already make allowances in our head for player X because he is a freshman, etc. It doesn't need to be explicitly worked into the plus minuses. We are much more tolerant of a -1 from Leach than we are from Ezeh. Also, I think Brian talks a lot about down and distance and situation when he is grading. But to assume that allowing 4 yards on a first and ten is better than 3rd and 3 is wrong. Those 4 yards on first down make the next two downs easier and can be just as significant. If a guy has a chance to make a play and doesn't, he should be graded accordingly. I personally wouldn't want Brian to change much in terms of the way he grades.