Purdue 75, Michigan 70
Michigan Basketball faced the #1 team in the country tonight without one of their two best offensive players in Jett Howard. They were unable to come away with a victory, a brutal stretch in the middle of the first period and not quite enough stops in the second half put the nail in the coffin, but it was still a solid showing considering circumstances. Hunter Dickinson led the Wolverines with 21 points, Kobe Bufkin put up 16 and carried a lot of weight in the second half, and Joey Baker, thrust into the starting lineup, had 11. It was a decent performance, but decent wasn't enough to win in a 75-70 defeat to Purdue.
The game got off to a hot start, neither team capable of going cold on offense for the first eight or so minutes of action. The score sat at 22 apiece with 11:17 remaining in the first half, the two squads trading bucket after bucket with Michigan going to Dickinson early and often. He started the game off with a triple, made a layup, and then sunk a few free throws, scoring 8 of Michigan's first 13. Bench points started to come through the likes of a Will Tschetter three and a Tarris Reed Jr. dunk, but that score came with a caveat- he was hit with a soft technical foul, his third foul of the first half, forcing Michigan to dig deeper into its already thin depth.
For Purdue, the offensive solution was going to star center Zach Edey. He scored the first seven points of the game for the Boilers and remained a problem inside, with a flurry of scores beginning the game-changing run for the visitors. After Michigan led 28-26 with 8:02 to play, Purdue would embark on a 15-0 run consuming nearly five minutes of game time. Edey got it started with a pair of shots made in the paint sandwiched around a David Jenkins Jr. three, and from there the Purdue offense was off and rolling. The lead eventually stretched to 41-28 with 3:06 remaining in the half when the Wolverines started to fight back, a solid spurt to end the half that allowed the game to feel semi-competitive at halftime. Kobe Bufkin's layup ended the drought for Michigan, Hunter Dickinson stepped out for a three and made a pair of free throws, and one final stop had Michigan into halftime only down seven, 41-35.
That last three minute run gave Michigan a chance going into the break, but they were merely hanging in there on defense. The Boilermakers' offense scored at a scorching 1.27 PPP clip in the first half, 51.9% from the field and dominating inside, 40% from three, and as many turnovers as offensive rebounds (4). Michigan's offense got off to that hot start but their overall halftime numbers were not as impressive. They kept the turnovers low (2) and snatched five offensive boards, but shot only 11/29 (37.9%) from the floor.
[Marc-Gregor Campredon]
The second half started strong for Purdue, bouncing back quickly from Michigan's late run. Michigan turned it over on their first possession and the Boilers went up the court and the Michigan defense lost Fletcher Loyer in coverage. Matt Painter's squad got him the ball and he swished the three. Dickinson turned it over on the next Michigan possession and before long, Edey was laying it in for another quick make. 46-35, lead back to double digits just like that.
Purdue stayed ahead by about that margin for the next several minutes, but Michigan attempted to mount a run and they were led by Kobe Bufkin in doing so. Bufkin was finishing at the rim, hitting shots in the midrange, and then capped it with a three to trim the Purdue lead to 52-46 with 13:31 to go. It was during this stretch of the game that felt like it was now or never for the Michigan offense to make a run and to their credit, they were getting that offense. Bufkin was the star, but Dickinson chipped in, and a layup by Jace Howard slashed the lead down to five.
What they didn't have, however, was enough defense. For nearly the remainder of the game (up until the late Michigan push in the closing moments), every score or small run by the Maize & Blue was immediately countered with a basket or two by the Boilermakers that got the lead right back to where it was. After Howard's basket to make it a five point game, Michigan would spend the next 12 minutes never trailing by more than ten, but also never getting any closer than five. They could get scores, but couldn't get stops. Or they'd get a few stops, but couldn't get scores. Whatever it took, Purdue found just enough to stay a nose ahead of the Wolverines and salt away the final minutes from the scoreboard.
[Marc-Gregor Campredon]
Michigan kept battling, and did put together a furious charge with under a minute to go. They were down nine points with 45 seconds left when Zach Edey turned it over. Then the mayhem started. Dickinson hit a three, Purdue turned it over under pressure from Joey Baker right off the in-bounds pass, but Michigan couldn't convert on the ensuing possession. However, Edey missed the front end of a one-and-one and Baker got a quick layup to trim the lead to four. Loyer made his free throws, but Michigan pulled even closer when Baker banked in a three with five seconds left. 73-70. Michigan fouled Brandon Newman and the last hope rested on Newman missing the front end of another one-and-one. Unfortunately, Newman made them both and the Purdue faithful could collectively exhale. The meaningless Michigan shot at the horn was off the mark and the game was over.
Michigan is now 11-9 on the season and 5-4 in conference play. They are back in action on Sunday for the beginning of a two game road trip, battling the Penn State Nittany Lions this weekend. That game is a re-match of one that Michigan won at Crisler earlier this month. The game is scheduled for noon EST and will be broadcast on BTN.
[Click the JUMP for the box score]
January 27th, 2023 at 12:42 AM ^
About as good as you could hope for. Nice to see Baker hitting some chucks. We’re just a fundamentally flawed team, particularly without Jett.
January 27th, 2023 at 8:26 AM ^
Baker was 3 of 8 from three, including one of the backboard, so not exactly sharp shooting.
January 27th, 2023 at 12:55 PM ^
38% from three isn't good enough for you? If I remember correctly more of the misses came in the first half, and his 2nd half makes were part of keeping us/getting us back in the game.
January 27th, 2023 at 12:51 AM ^
9 seed
January 27th, 2023 at 2:01 AM ^
In the NIT.
January 27th, 2023 at 2:01 AM ^
Lately it seems as if Michigan is determined to prove Kenpom is accurate.
Grumbled some as I watched, encouraged some by the effort. I'd say my feelings are 50-50. Or 11-9.
January 27th, 2023 at 4:57 AM ^
The reality of this team is that they could just as likely play a team like Northwestern “tough” and lose a close one. I am struggling to see them get by 16 wins looking at the schedule. Hoping they split with State I guess.
A school like Michigan shouldn’t be having rebuilding years. Programs who have performed like Michigan the last ten years are not. This is a Howard issue.
January 27th, 2023 at 5:58 AM ^
Duke went 13-11 a couple of years ago. Michigan State went 15-13 a couple of years ago. Kentucky went 9-16 a couple of years ago. North Carolina went 14-19 a couple of years ago. UCLA went 17-16 a few years ago. Villanova is 10-10 this year. Your statement is incorrect.
This season has been incredibly frustrating. But Howard isn’t the problem. At least his coaching isn’t. We are an incredibly young team. This same team could come back next year and win the Big Ten. Like we did TWO years ago.
This Juwan hand-wringing thing is starting to take on a Harbaugh vibe…sometimes things go a little off schedule. Don’t be a prisoner of the moment. Better days are ahead.
January 27th, 2023 at 6:30 AM ^
You must know by now that reasonable takes are not acceptable here
January 27th, 2023 at 7:58 AM ^
I do...but I was up early and the comments hadn't gone so sideways as to simply roll my eyes and move on without saying something.
January 27th, 2023 at 7:32 AM ^
Yea this does feel like a team that is mating themselves vs getting beat and once the freshman mistakes fade away they have the talent to make a run late, heck maybe even a push to win the B1G tourney
January 27th, 2023 at 7:48 AM ^
Yeah, this idea that "teams like Michigan can't have bad years" is crazy to me. College basketball is full of "elite" teams with off years, and UM isn't even at that level. UVa missed the tournament two years after winning the national title. Shit happens.
In a slightly different world one or both of Houstan and Diabate stick around instead of being drafted late and winding up in the G league, the guard depth doesn't crater, and they're comfortably in the tourney. But it isn't and on top of it they have suffered some key injuries.
January 27th, 2023 at 9:14 AM ^
College basketball is frustrating right now because roster management is such a crap shoot. It's easy to imagine Collins, Diabate, Houstan, and Shannon all being on this roster. Instead, thanks to dumb luck, we have none of them.
January 28th, 2023 at 2:11 PM ^
Diabate and Houstan were never going to be on this team (one-and-done from the jump, as far as I can tell), but the plausible alternate scenario where we have Collins and Shannon and a healthy Llewellyn makes Michigan a very dangerous team, and squarely in the tourney field. This might be one of those off years where things just didn't work out. The Jett injury is a "you got to be kidding me" kind of hard luck thing. No reason why we can't bounce back next year.
January 27th, 2023 at 10:00 AM ^
This year is pretty much a typical year for UM under Howard though. UM's season's under Howard:
19-12 (10-10 in Big Ten, 9th place)
23-5 (14-3, 1st place)
19-16 (11-9, 7th place)
The year that isn't like the others is his second year. Barring a big turnaround this year they will finish with less than 20 wins and around a .500 record in Big Ten play in 3 of his 4 years.
January 27th, 2023 at 10:48 AM ^
Juwan's tenure so far is a Rorschach test. However you want to interpret it, you can. Here's the positive take:
The 2019-20 team started great (including a blowout of Gonzaga), went into a tailspin midseason (exacerbated by Livers getting hurt), but then finished the regular season strongly and was projected to be a 6 seed in the tournament, if it hadn't been canceled.
2020-21 won the Big Ten and was an open Franz three from the Final Four.
2021-22 had a disappointing regular season, in large part due to the freshmen not being as ready to step in as expected, but it did finish well, with a blowout of MSU and win in Columbus, then made the Sweet 16.
This year, a combination of roster turnover and injuries have left us without depth and experience. The striking thing, though, is that this team is in every game. Eight of our nine losses have been close. We may lose Jett in the offseason but should return most of the team next year. IF we can get him back, next year's team could be very good.
January 27th, 2023 at 11:12 AM ^
OTOH, look at Harbaugh's first SIX seasons. The book on him was "wins about 10 games, finishes about 3rd in the division, loses to all the rivals, loses the bowl game, finishes in the middle of the top 25."
January 27th, 2023 at 11:18 AM ^
Again, this is far too measured and thoughtful a take. The people who suffer narcissistic wounds when 'their' team loses, who experience it as a personal affront, need to unleash after a loss. Mostly, our job is to stand clear of the spew.
January 27th, 2023 at 11:59 AM ^
Exactly correct. Now all we need to do is cut Howard's pay in half. Wait for a season for him to get motivated by a public shaming. Profit. Then have him evaluate a move to the NBA every season until his son graduates.
January 27th, 2023 at 7:42 PM ^
I guess I hurt your feelings. Now, look at their records over four years. Maybe just the three prior. One bad year, okay. Three mediocre to bad years out of four? That verified my point, as did you. Those schools do not have HowRds records. It is way better elsewhere. Sorry if that offended you.
January 27th, 2023 at 7:17 AM ^
(Stares in 2014-15 michigan basketball season) ahem
January 27th, 2023 at 7:12 AM ^
To me, this game and this season mostly come down to three words. "At the rim." Michigan's almost complete inability to generate shots at the rim and prevent their opponents from getting shots at the rim feels like the difference in most of these games.
January 27th, 2023 at 9:04 AM ^
And yet, our center was taking seven shots from 3 pt land... just why. Hunter needs to park his ass along the lane from the hi post to the low block and get to work. Enough with the "NBA says I need to have a 3 pt shot" bull. You're a traditional center, you're not Rasheed Wallace. And Howard needs to exploit that.
January 27th, 2023 at 9:13 AM ^
Pulling Edey away from the rim was the only plan that had a chance to work. And Dickinson hit 3 of the 7 threes he took (he is shooting 40% from three for the season). He also outscored Edey. He did everything he needed to do for us to win. Re-read the Hoops Preview. Edey absolutely kills teams if he can simply plant himself in the paint all game.
January 27th, 2023 at 9:45 AM ^
I agree with you on that for this game. I'm actually more worried about the fact that Loyer and Smith got to the rim relatively easily and Bufkin and McDaniel definitely did not. I think it's a combination of overall offensive flow, the defensive aptitude of the guards, and the lack of rim protection from the 5. Michigan is bad at all three, so the inequity of shots at the rim persists and kills the team.
January 27th, 2023 at 12:26 PM ^
Our offensive flow is mostly fine. The sets that are run routinely create uncontested looks. When we aren't making shots it doesn't matter how good the play call. My frustration is that many of these plays settle for a jump shot. I wish we were more aggressive driving to the basket and forcing the issue at the rim. The dribble drive seems to be missing from the arsenal.
January 27th, 2023 at 12:04 PM ^
Yeah, I've been harping on Dickenson needing to stop talking and start playing harder. This one wasn't on him. He kept us in this one.
January 27th, 2023 at 11:19 AM ^
You might want to go and read Dylan's pre-game analysis at UMHoops. His assessment was that the only way Michigan could win was to have Hunter hit some threes. He played quite well, valiantly even, after some pretty lackluster recent efforts. Michigan had the second-best performance that ANY team has had this season against Purdue. Hunter--and the spacing that he provided by venturing out to shoot--was the very least of our problems. They had more healthy guys.
January 27th, 2023 at 7:30 AM ^
The Barnes stretch was a killer, after his one make he unfortunately took more shots and that killed them
January 27th, 2023 at 7:51 AM ^
Yeah, I'm happy he got into the game but there's a reason he's been getting 4 minutes a game despite this team desperately needing someone like him off the bench. There's potential there but he clearly is still a step behind.
January 27th, 2023 at 10:14 AM ^
I uhh.....think that's putting it kindly.......
January 27th, 2023 at 11:21 AM ^
This is true. But history--especially John Beilein's history--is replete with guys who fans wrote off that patient coaches turned into contributors. I try to remind myself that they're kids playing for my school who want to succeed much more than I need them to. He has some promise.
January 27th, 2023 at 12:59 PM ^
His jump shots look as good as Reed's free throws.
January 27th, 2023 at 7:52 AM ^
I agree that teams can have down years. Coach B had Michigan as a top 10 team when he left and Howard is now 1/4 on replicating it. It’s fine to hope for better and also notice a downward trend
January 27th, 2023 at 8:10 AM ^
Beilein left, in part, because his best players kept departing early despite having eligibility remaining. He did not leave a top 10 team behind. Juwan's teams have made 2 sweet 16s and an elite 8. To go with a Big Ten regular season Championship. He has been a head coach for all of 3+ seasons.
I do think roster construction/recruiting needs a rework but maybe that is to be expected for a guy just getting settled into the role of head coach at a major college program after decades away from the game.
January 27th, 2023 at 8:44 AM ^
John Beilein didn't even consistently keep Michigan in the top 10. For a three year stretch after multiple deep tourney runs they didn't finish in the top 20 and even missed the tourney in the mid 2010s. And that was after having been at UM for years.
Beilein was a great coach but there's this memory hole around here (maybe it's when a lot of fans jumped off the bandwagon) where his struggles just never happened and it was an uninterrupted run of top-10 teams. That's not reality and acting like it is just creates a standard nobody, not even Beilein, could maintain.
January 27th, 2023 at 10:16 AM ^
I think part of the memory hole for me is, even Beilein's teams who had their struggles at least played good, fundamental ball. This year's squad (and frankly last year's a lot too) plays pretty ugly, flawed ball.
Beilein wasn't perfect, Juwan isn't either. But the brand of hoops and the roster construction has me concerned, not gonna lie.
January 27th, 2023 at 11:04 AM ^
How do we measure fundamental ball? Turnovers per game? Beilein's teams were generally good at keeping those down.
So is this team, though. Despite having only one healthy point guard (a true freshman at that) we're currently averaging just 9.9 turnovers per game, the sixth-lowest total in the country.
Now roster construction, I think that's a more legitimate concern. We have a lot of forwards and not too many guards.
January 27th, 2023 at 11:45 AM ^
That's a fair question and you're right they have done a good job of keeping turnovers down. And you're absolutely right that some of it is probably difficult to 'measure'. I guess I'm referring more to basketball that is enjoyable to watch. If you've found this season fun to watch, I'd love to watch with you and see what you're seeing lol All I've seen is awful defense, unorganized offense, poor FT shooting, poor end-of-game management.
Outside of perhaps turnovers, I'm not sure I could name a single other thing this team does above average. And they seem to have basically zero identity. Hope that helps!
January 27th, 2023 at 12:34 PM ^
I mean, they were TURRRRRIBLE defensively. Like, UM is bad this year and their KenPom offense/defense splits are 50/82 offense/defense; in 2015 they were 67/100th. In 2016 they were 30th/92nd, and that was with juniors Walton and Irvin and sophomores Rahk and Robinson. So it wasn't always smooth sailing.
Beilein was a savant offensively and so comparing him to anyone else isn't really fair; this team doesn't look as good as some of his best teams because they don't have that talent and experience. some of that is on Howard's recruiting and development but some of it is bad luck and having yet another first-year PG (and then losing that guy and replacing him with an even more first-year PG). And last year I'd argue that some of the offense issues were that Houstan and Diabate were young and going through growing pains and played poorly. The year before with a lot of his own guys Howard ran a really nice offense because he had talented upperclassmen in Franz, Livers, Brown, etc. around Dickinson.
January 27th, 2023 at 5:19 PM ^
My favorite thing is logging into the wrong thread and having a thought that does not align with the zeitgeist of that particular thread. Comparing JH, who had gotten Michigan well above what they were for the last two tenures to complaints about Howard is…not great. Harbaugh had Michigan well above the prior regimes. Anyway, it’s hard to be rational. Let’s group think. Saying that routine 6-11 seeds or NIT is a step back from coach B is…mostly true. But hey! Wrong thread.
January 27th, 2023 at 8:00 AM ^
Ugh. The comparisons to Beilein are so inevitable, and so boring. He left. He wasn't fired so Juwan could come in. What do you want Howard, or Michigan, to do about how good those final 5 seasons were under Beilein? Fire anybody who doesn't immediately replicate them?
Juwan represents the university extremely well, has gotten us to the Sweet 16 every year, and is recruiting at a higher level than Beilein did, frankly.
Yes, this year is disappointing, but has been pointed out ad nauseum, that happens.
In any event, give the Beilein-thing a rest. He left. Unless your standard is "get to the NCAA finals every four years (and lose)," I think Juwan is doing just fine. And full credit to him for getting that incredibly undermanned team to play its heart out tonight.
January 27th, 2023 at 9:47 AM ^
A lot of it has to do w the slap. Juwan will never live that shit down unfortunately.
January 27th, 2023 at 12:53 PM ^
I wish all my coaches would slap someone on Wisconsin's various teams. Lord knows they have gotten away with their share of shady shit over the years.
January 27th, 2023 at 2:32 PM ^
Yeah, it takes a bit of gymnastics to say he represents the university "extremely well" when he had a massive on-court incident that got him suspended and might have gotten a less famous coach fired. I don't think Howard is a bad dude, but slapping an opposing coach on national TV is a very dumb fucking thing to do and it's not going to be forgotten in a year or two.
January 27th, 2023 at 9:17 AM ^
Uuuuhhhgggg. We've reached the moral victory stage of the season.
January 28th, 2023 at 1:58 PM ^
We were already there, but yes.
January 28th, 2023 at 1:58 PM ^
We were already there, but yes.
January 27th, 2023 at 10:00 AM ^
Has anyone done an analysis of how effective benching someone because of fouls is, really? When you bench a guy, you're essentially hoping to preserve a possible good matchup later in the game. Hoping. In exchange, you are often guaranteeing a bad matchup NOW. Which then frequently makes later moot. This isn't specifically about Reed in this game, just a general thought. I know we talk about auto-bench, etc. But could someone point me to some data on this? Feels like this should be headed more in the direction of going for it on 4th down. Not always, but more often than is tradition.
January 27th, 2023 at 1:01 PM ^
I thought Reed's late game D was particularly good considering his foul situation.
Comments