FINAL prediction thread 2015

8-4. 

Losses to Utah, BYU, and two of MSU, OSU, and PSU.

Granite.

Phillips Exeter.

Petoskey.

Ruddyduck starts.

Jumpman.

All white on the road.

No Gary. Yes Murphy. Yes Davis.

No Geoffrey.

I'd really like to predict after Thursdays game. I'll say 9-3 or 10-2, with a win over MSU, a loss to OSU and some random team we should have beat on paper. With competent O-line and QB play, this should have been the mark for the last two seasons. There is talent on this team, hopefully this year it will shine.

Our schedule is fairly easy, No Wisconsin, no Nebraska and our third toughest team is a toss up between Utah and Minnesotta....... Come on, seriously name the 5-6 teams that should beat a competent Michigan squad on this schedule.

9-3, losses to Utah, MSU, OSU.  I know, that's pretty much chalk.  But until we see what happens on the field tomorrow night,  we're as clueless as we've been since 2011.

MAKE IT STOP

8-4 otherwise.

I think we'll win vs. Minny, though.  Harbaugh lost the LBJ his senior year and I think he'll have the team plenty fired up to win it back on Oct. 31.  He wants it back.  It's going to take the team some time to hit their stride, so things may be a bit up and down the first half of the season.

I hope I'm completely wrong and the Harbaugh factor pushes the team to 10 or more wins.

I dont understand how people really think we would lose to Minnesota and Beat OSU.....thats like beating Alabama and losing to Vanderbilt!

@ Utah - Win
Oregon St - Win
UNLV - Win
BYU - Win
@ Maryland - Win
Northwestern - Win
Michigan State - loss
@ Minnesota - Win
Rutgers - Win
@ Indiana - Win
@ Penn State - loss
Ohio State - Win  (10-2)

The Knowledge said 10-2 /end thread

I really don't think we lose to minnie of penn state, I think we are a level above them...not that has stopped us from losing to teams before but I think a realistic expectation for this season is 9-3. We have a rs senoir experienced qb, a stable of rbs, a improved o-line, and a solid defense....and what should be a improved special team unit.

I they beat Utah I'm going 9-3.  If they lose to Utah I'm going 7-5.

Here is the subjective % chance I give M to win each game:

Utah 45

Ore St 90

UNLV 95

BYU 50

Maryland 75

NW 80

MSU 20

Minnesota 65

Rutgers 85

Indiana 90

PSU 45

OSU 15

...only in the sense that people are forgetting they have a brand new OL. By the time we get to THE GAME they'll have it figured out up front--too much talent and coaching not to.

Utah: whoever gets to 20 points wins, and I think it's us, despite missing a FG or three.

All Ws until MSU, then Minny is a toss-up unless they're thinking big now and sputter, but I don't think that'll happen b/c Kill is one of the best coaches in football.

So, two toss-ups (Utah, Minn) and two pencils (MSU, OSU) yield 9-3. I believe we win both toss-ups, however, and might get OSU at the end. 

So, 10-2.

G                    WinProb              result     

@Utah:             42%                  27-28    L

 (#15 starts)

OrSU                90%                  33-16    W

UNLV               99%                  24-3      W

BYU                  51%                 17-20    L

@Mary              60%                 28-17    W

 NW                   75%                17-14     W   

(windy conditions+ten point deficit= #7 second half comeback)

MSU #3            30%                   13-17     L  

(a classic controversial call, Ruddock injured d2d )

@Minn #18       45%                 42-16    W  

( #7 QB replaces ineffective #15)

Rut                    90%                    35-17    W  

(#7 plays, #15 rests)

@IND               75%                   27-17   W  

(#15 plays)

@PSU              49%                  36-35   W(2ot)  

(#15 starts, #7 finishes)

OSU #1            15%                   33-28   W    

(#7 leads the epic upset)

B1G East         Mich 7-1 (tie break)

                          OSU 7-1

                          MSU 6-2

B1G Champ

Wis                      60%                 27-14    W 

Rose

USC                  45%                 28-27 (lucky win phantom TD revenge!) 

8-4 in the regular season.  I figure they lose one nonconference game, one out of the two games vs. Minnesota and Penn State, one for sure of MSU and OSU, and if they pull an upset against MSU or OSU, they will suffer a DOH! upset at the hands of some other B1G team (just like they did every season that I have been alive, except for 1997).  Don't ask me to get specific; I think randomness means they will win a game they shouldn't and lose a game they shouldn't to get to the same place as where they would have been if football made any sense at all.

7-5, losses to Utah, Penn State, MSU, OSU, and Minny.

so you can't stop me. 

If we win Utah I find 10-2 likely. If we lose to Utah 8-4 is where we'll be at the end of the regular season. 

beat Sparty, not enough just yet to get past OSU.  Two others from group of Utah/PSU/Minn, and both of those will be final possession games.

I think we're probably looking at a 7-5/8-4 year. They're going to win a couple they shouldn't, probably lose a couple they shouldn't. Really up-and-down as the new system takes hold.

I can also see an upset over MSU or OSU, but not both. More than likely, looking at 0-2 there.

9-4 including a bowl win and a win over Sparty. Losses to Utah or BYU, Maryland or Minnesota, Penn State, and Ohio State. 

1 OOC loss, UM beats either Michigan State or Ohio State.

They win a bowl somewhere in Florida.