CFB Risk Episode 23 - A New Hope: Last Night's Skywalker
Pre-Recap Announcements:
Here are the ways for how you can choose your level of involvement with the team – use only one method within the same turn:
- If you would like to see/discuss overall strategy and choose your daily mission at the Michigan Rebel Base, use the Discord link (https://discord.gg/DRQyjp56kP)
- Note: if already using Discord, please do not change to another method.
- If you want a simple order to follow without overthinking or hassle, use the new orders distribution website (http://www.whataremyorders.com/).
- For new players or those that are having fun being Michigan Rogue Force (or are having problems with Discord / the orders website), we'd love for you to focus on...
- Texas A&M
- Waco (Texas)
- Tulsa (Oklahoma)
- Ohio State
- Labrador (Northern Canada)
- Toledo (Ohio)
- Wisconsin
- Alberta (Southern Canada)
- Minnesota (....Minnesota)
- Texas A&M
Whichever path you choose, we NEED you to continue playing every day. Whether you're at the Michigan Rebel Base on Discord or part of Michigan Rogue Force(c), your consistency gives us the best chance at victory on a given night and builds your streak, which strengthens your power.
Last night, 104 warriors with combined power of nearly 500 stars descended on Dallas, TX. The two sides -- the Michigan Rebel Army and the A&M Empire -- fought a bloody battle for control of this symbolically and strategically important territory.
As you know, though, only one warrior can put their flag down. Last night, that warrior was WestMichiganBlue; a humble 1-star who broke A&M's stranglehold on Texas with his 2nd ever move in CFB Risk. As the Dallas MVP last night, he truly exemplified a young Luke Skywalker.
He also showed an important lesson for Risk players:
Every. Star. Matters. If you can get a friend to join, he/she could well be the next WestMichigan.
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Now, let's talk about the bigger picture....
Taking Dallas was a big victory, but the Aggie Death Star still stands strong. They only control 1 region for tonight's roll, but that's because ourselves and Team Chaos hold ONE territory in each of 3 other regions.
In other words, several of their shields are down, but there's a very limited window to strike. With sufficient support, we could do significant damage to the Death Star tonight. We just need a few Rebel Soldiers to hit their target, and the more warriors we have, the more likely one of us will do damage. The Michigan Rogue Force(c) could be critical tonight.
Fortunately, the Michigan Rebel Army is large, and continues to grow.
CHART TIME!!!
As we've said countless times: RECRUITING MATTERS.
I also have other very good news. While Wisconsin and Ohio State continue to pressure us in the North, we did secure the Great Lakes Region last night, which means we have the same Region Bonus as A&M tonight. You can see just how big of a deal this is based on our Raw vs. Adjusted Stars.
All of this is to say that tonight could be a big night for the Michigan Rebel Army.
Looking at the bigger map tells a similar story...
As you can see, it's a tale of North vs. South. We control most of the North, but Ohio State keeps taking chunks from the East, and Wisconsin continues to play the role of Anakin to A&M's Palpatine. And in the South....well, you already know. We have made small but vitally important gains on the edges of the Death Star.
Other interesting features on the map:
- Midwest/Mid-Atlantic/Northeast: Large chunks controlled by Ohio State, but Georgia Tech, Tennessee, and ourselves have deprived them of any Region Bonuses.
- Also Mid-Atlantic: Georgia Tech secured the East Applachia Region, giving them over 1,000 adjusted stars tonight. They are punching well above their weight right now.
- California to West Applachia: There's an almost uninterrupted band of smaller teams here, including Oregon, Nebraska, Texas, Iowa State, and Tennessee.
- Caribbean: Mostly under Ohio State's control, but the three smallest teams (LSU, Florida, and Oklahoma) are battling for survival down there after getting pushed out of Mexico by the A&M Empire.
In sum, we've put ourselves into position to make some serious moves tonight, but we need YOU to turn all of this potential into a game changing reality. The most effective way is to join the Michigan Rebel Base on Discord (https://discord.gg/DRQyjp56kP).
However, participation is the most important thing. So if you prefer to be part of the Michigan Rogue Force, just make sure you play every day (and get orders from http://www.whataremyorders.com/).
Steps To Play Every Day
(1) Sign up for a reddit.com account if you don’t have one already
(2) Visit collegefootballrisk.com – Click Sign in with Reddit – Select Michigan as your team
(3) Join the Michigan Risk discord by going to https://discord.gg/DRQyjp56kP (this is now a permanent link, so there should not be problems accessing it) OR (get your orders from http://www.whataremyorders.com/. Don't do both)
(4) Go to the "vetting" channel and type in your MGoBlog username and Reddit username.
(5) Once vetted, get your orders from the "orders" channel.
(6) Return to collegefootballrisk.com – Click on the blinking "target" icon at the bottom of the page (3rd button from the right), and then click on the territory you're attacking or defending.
(7) Talk trash with your fellow Wolverines as we prepare for tonight's roll.
Previous Recaps
Day 0 intro: College Football Risk is BACK - Season 3 is now LIVE!
Day 1 recap: College Risk Again!!! Sign up.... 1st in the books!
Day2 recap: No update
Day 3 recap: No update
Day 4 recap: CFB Risk Day 4: IT BEGINS
Day 5 recap: CFB Risk Day 5 - And THIS is Why They Nerfed Us
Day 6 recap: CFB Risk Day 6 - This Feels a Lot Like Real Life (Sparty Gon' Die)
Day 7 recap: CFB Risk Day 7 - F*cking Sparty (They Still Gon' Die)
Day 8 recap: CFB Risk Day 8 - WE NEED YOU TO AVENGE THE ORANGE BOWL (also, sparty's dead)
Day 9 recap: CFB Risk Day 9 - We Kicked Georgia Out of the North -- Now We Go South
Day 10 recap: CFB Risk Day 10 – The King in the North! (also, sorry about that Penn State)
Day 11 recap: CFB Risk Day 11 – ANN ARBOR HAS BEEN TAKEN!! THIS IS NOT A DRILL!!
Day 12 recap: CFB Risk Day 12 – It’s Groundhog Day…again (also, Notre Dame is finally dead)
Day 13 recap: CFB Risk Day 13 – NOW I HAVE A MACHINE GUN HO-HO-HO
Day 14 recap: CFB Risk Day 14 – EPISODE XIV: THE AGGIE MENACE
Day 15 recap: CFB Risk Day 15 – You Come at the King, You Best Not Miss
Week 2 recap: CFB Risk Week 2 Recap - I'm Back....and I'm Annoyed
Day 16 recap: CFB Risk Day 16 – WELCOME TO THUNDERDOME, WISCONSIN
Day 17 recap: CFB Risk Day 17 – WISCONSIN ON THE RUN
Day 18 recap: CFB Risk Day 18 - No One Likes Us, We Don't Care
Day 19 recap: CFB Risk Day 19 – YO, LISTEN UP HERE’S A STORY ABOUT A LITTLE GUY WHO LIVES IN A BLUE WORLD
Day 20 recap: CFB Risk Day 20 - The Michigan Rogue Force (Read for Orders)
Week 3 recap: CFB Risk Week 3 Recap - Risk Bot! And I'm Seeing Boosted Stars
Day 21 recap: CFB Risk Day 21 – WE’RE GOING IN. WE’RE GOING IN FULL THROTTLE.
Day 22 Recap: CFB Risk Day 22 – Third time’s a charm.
February 15th, 2023 at 3:27 PM ^
Fuck 'em up!
February 15th, 2023 at 4:58 PM ^
Aggies...Aggies everywhere...
For now.
February 15th, 2023 at 3:32 PM ^
Regions controlled are:
Michigan - Great Lakes
Texas A&M - Mexico
GT - East Appalachia
Are Wisconsin and OSU allied? Any hopes of Michigan allying GT?
February 15th, 2023 at 3:34 PM ^
GT hates us as well... make no mistake, we are alone in this endeavor
February 15th, 2023 at 3:35 PM ^
GT has a semi-NAP with osu. No chance of getting them on our side (if you notice in New England, they are pushing to get in striking range of us while keeping a "home base" region nested in osu held lands.
Apparently their team leaders really don't like us also.
February 15th, 2023 at 3:46 PM ^
That's very bizarre they have some personal beef.
If they are both gunning for Michigan they are sort of in each other's way. OSU is going to have to cede the mid atlantic region to GT, to let GT attack through Canada while OSU concetrates on Ohio and tries to come up through Michigan.
Are there any alliances currently?
Could try to coordinate with Alabama and Tennesee to go after OSU/GT.
February 15th, 2023 at 4:01 PM ^
It's all a muddled mess with most of the teams being in different "non-Michigan" alliances. Some are outright against us (osu + wisc... kind of Neb also), some are for themselves (all SEC except Florida & LSU, whom they are trying to kill) and the rest are just out for themselves but not fond of us (Oregon, GT).
At least from what gets posted online. Hard to say since 1) moods change turn to turn and 2) there can only be one winner at the end.
February 15th, 2023 at 5:00 PM ^
I can’t really blame the other teams for banding together against us… if they didn’t we would already full domination of the map based on our comparative power. I like that we’ve branded ourselves as the rebels, but pretty hard to deny that we’re actually the empire to everyone else in the game.
February 15th, 2023 at 5:26 PM ^
A&M would have half the board by now if we hadn't stopped them. Wisc & osu simply want to attack us regardless of our position & strength (note that we did not actively wage war against them until they attacked us). Neither of them seem to care if A&M wins.
February 15th, 2023 at 6:14 PM ^
I mean, that's just how pop culture sees itself anyway, so it shouldn't surprise anyone the biggest Risk team also thinks it's the rebels somehow too.
February 15th, 2023 at 3:44 PM ^
Why does it feel like Wisconsin is at about a 90% success rate in rolls where they have about a 10% chance of succeeding? Are the rolls being conducted at the Trohl Center?
February 15th, 2023 at 4:09 PM ^
Because you're playing Risk. The whole point of the game is to frustratingly lose otherwise sure bets, losing astronomical resources in the process. See also Russia v Ukraine.
February 16th, 2023 at 10:26 AM ^
You may be referring to the real world war happening right now. But the only thing I can think of when someone mentions Ukraine in the context of Risk is Seinfeld.
February 15th, 2023 at 5:48 PM ^
It feels like it, but their success has been well within the bounds of what would be statistically expected on a given turn. They were expected to win ~10 territories last night, and they won 11.
They got kind of lucky with Alberta (9% chance) and Regina (19% chance), but we snagged Corvallis with an 18% chance. The frustrating bit is that we can't control where we get lucky vs. where they get lucky.
Side note: we were underdogs in every Texas territory we contested (3 territories), but A&M only had a 1 in 3 chance of winning them all.
February 16th, 2023 at 12:13 AM ^
Just like in Texas Waco we had a 67 4 advantage and AM qon the roll
February 15th, 2023 at 4:25 PM ^
I'm going to be a 4* one day.... I know i will....
February 15th, 2023 at 4:33 PM ^
here comes michigan!
February 15th, 2023 at 5:16 PM ^
GT getting a region bonus helps us immensely as it makes them a threat to OSU, and they share a ton of borders with OSU, and none with us. It's possible they take a second region tonight, as well. If I'm GT, I defend all my border territories, as well as the two territories they have in the Mid Atlantic to prevent OSU from getting that region bonus, then putting all my attack strength into ousting Florida from their home state and gaining a second region bonus. At that point, they'd be almost as powerful as OSU and can either start being their Wisconsin or moving West...both of which benefit us. Outside of us, the team we're most rooting for to have an awesome RNG night is GT.
February 15th, 2023 at 5:27 PM ^
Problem is that osu and GT aren't really attacking each other - they have a quasi-NAP.
February 15th, 2023 at 7:35 PM ^
I don't view that as a problem. GT can pretty much only go West without attacking OSU, which means they'll run into A&M. Having Bama and Tennessee provide cover for them is what allowed the Aggie Death Star to begin to form in the first place. The more threats they have to that part of the map, the better for us.
February 15th, 2023 at 7:01 PM ^
Ok. You did it. I’m in. I’ll be joining the rogue force tonight.
I didn’t see any vetting, is that just for dischord?
February 15th, 2023 at 7:05 PM ^
Yes - the Discord has strategy discussions and other sensitive information not made public. You do all the "vetting" when you join - fairly simple if you have any mgoblog or reddit posting history.
February 15th, 2023 at 7:13 PM ^
I think just being part of the rogue force fits for me for now. I have my orders and am going in like a long lost youngling raised by Tusken raiders.
February 15th, 2023 at 11:12 PM ^
Got my first MVP after 90 turns!!!
February 15th, 2023 at 11:47 PM ^
So if I’m reading things right, the best chance of winning a territory is to be outnumbered 10:1. Or is that just for teams like Wisconsin?
February 16th, 2023 at 8:40 AM ^
Lost a 90/10 roll to OSU too. I guess it can happen due to the large number of territories, but it happens to us a lot, especially in key areas. I suppose we have had some luck with our A&M incursions.
February 16th, 2023 at 10:41 AM ^
I'm having Reddit problems using Discord suddenly. After working fine, it wants me to verify my e-mail, but then it tells me that e-mail is already registered.
February 16th, 2023 at 11:52 AM ^
I recruited two thugs, I hope they participate, they said they would