B1G Bubble Watch / Minny-PSU/ Other Tourneys Open Thread
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ON THE BUBBLE |
Locks in Freefall |
| Iowa Lost 62-67 vs #147 KenPom NW ↓↓↓??? |
Last Four Byes |
| Stanford up 7-0 vs ASU Early 1st Half |
| Nebraska vs OSU 3/14 2:00PM |
| Tennessee vs SCar 3/14 3:25PM |
| Xavier Won 68-65 vs Marq today↑, v Cre 3/14 |
Last Four In |
| Saint Joseph's vs Dayton 3/14 2/30PM |
| Dayton vs St Joe 3/14 2/30PM |
| Brigham Young Done as of list publication |
| Arkansas Lost 71-69 to SCar today ↓↓ |
First Four Out |
| California Lost 56-59 to Colo today ↓↓ |
| Providence Won 79-74 v SJU today ↑, v SHall 3/14 |
| Minnesota Won 63-56 v PSU today↑, v Wis 3/14 |
| Florida State Won 69-67 v MD today ↑, v VA 3/14 |
Next Four Out |
| Southern Miss Won 64-56 v UTEP ↑, v TBD 3/14 |
| Missouri Won 91-83 vs TAMU today ↑, vs Fla 3/14 |
| St. John's Lost 74-79 to Prov today ↓↓ |
| Green Bay Done as of list publication |
EDIT 12:22AM π-day
ESPN updated their On-the-Bubble list
ON THE BUBBLE
Last Four Byes
Last Four In
First Four Out
Next Four Out
March 13th, 2014 at 11:02 PM ^
March 13th, 2014 at 10:25 PM ^
Normally I root for the underdog (as most of us do) but I have to keep reminding myself that Iowa winning is the best for Michigan, both for a better chance to beat MSU and for staying in the top-50 of the RPI.
The Hawkeyes don't seem to be getting my memo.
March 13th, 2014 at 10:26 PM ^
March 13th, 2014 at 10:43 PM ^
I don't think they'd put up much resistance to anyone.
On the flip side, MSU hasn't been playing very well either.
It would be the battle of the sinking ships.
March 13th, 2014 at 10:56 PM ^
March 13th, 2014 at 10:36 PM ^
In a five second sequence Mike Gesell shoved Drew Crawford in the stomach twice while attempting to drive into the lane. Both were obvious offensive fouls.
March 13th, 2014 at 10:44 PM ^
Iowa sucks. Hard.
March 13th, 2014 at 10:45 PM ^
LOL. Did Dakich just hit the commercial break with a low, groaning "FLOP"? That was fantastic.
March 13th, 2014 at 10:47 PM ^
March 13th, 2014 at 10:47 PM ^
For a bad team, Northwestern is pretty good at controlling the pace. Iowa is averaging like 83 ppg and you'd never know it.
March 13th, 2014 at 10:48 PM ^
Damn, you don't usually see a team collapse like Iowa absent one guy on the team fucking another guy on the team's girl.
This is rough.
March 13th, 2014 at 10:50 PM ^
March 13th, 2014 at 10:54 PM ^
Seems reasonable. I am really sick of hearing about what this team can be. They are what they are, and they suck.
March 13th, 2014 at 10:57 PM ^
They really remind me of our Amaker teams, especially 2006 and 2007. We thought we were in for sure but kept choking down the stretch and suddenly we were on the outside looking in.
I think the collapse is similar, but I don't know about the teams. The Amaker teams never rose as high as this Iowa team did, and always were short a few pieces, even if they had a few decent ones. But the collapse is definitely reminiscent - although this one involved losing to substantially more overmatched teams, I would think.
March 13th, 2014 at 10:50 PM ^
I wonder if Fran's intensity has cracked this team.
March 13th, 2014 at 10:50 PM ^
Devyn Marble's the one Iowa guy who hasn't folded up shop these last few weeks. I feel bad for him.
March 13th, 2014 at 10:51 PM ^
Definitely. I think he's had a single bad game in this whole stretch.
March 13th, 2014 at 10:55 PM ^
Olesani has been a total beast as well. He doesn't have a ton of points to show for it but he has been a monster on the offensive boards. Woodbury is useless by comparison.
EDIT: My bad, thought you said during just this game. Yeah, Marble is the only guy to be consistent for them all season.
March 13th, 2014 at 10:56 PM ^
Disgusting. I can't fucking believe Staee gets to face NW.
I can't really recall seeing a team fold like Iowa.
March 13th, 2014 at 10:57 PM ^
March 13th, 2014 at 10:59 PM ^
I am legitimately infuriated.
March 13th, 2014 at 11:01 PM ^
March 13th, 2014 at 11:11 PM ^
Maybe if Indiana had won the noon game. But probably not. We annihilated two of the three teams we can play before the championship, and solidly beat the third on the road in a single play.
March 14th, 2014 at 12:22 AM ^
March 13th, 2014 at 10:56 PM ^
March 13th, 2014 at 10:57 PM ^
March 13th, 2014 at 11:00 PM ^
March 13th, 2014 at 11:01 PM ^
I think Fran's intensity may have been too much for this team. They have been playing so tight.
March 13th, 2014 at 11:00 PM ^
March 13th, 2014 at 11:04 PM ^
I will say in fairness that Northwestern has won this game more than Iowa has lost it. NW put together several clutch possessions in a row and has been making its FTs.
March 13th, 2014 at 11:06 PM ^
NW has been nails. Even Sobelewski has hit shots tonight.
You just know there's no way for them to do it two nights in a row.
March 13th, 2014 at 11:12 PM ^
Yep. Tomorrow they probably shoot 30% and lose by a score of like 67-42.
March 13th, 2014 at 11:05 PM ^
Wow. It's over. I can't even imagine being an Iowa fan right now.
Marble deserved so much better than this.
March 13th, 2014 at 11:06 PM ^
I said the other night I would be scared to play them first round of the tourney. Not so sure about that now.
March 13th, 2014 at 11:08 PM ^
McCabe is the embodiment of the disaster. That guy tries to play so outside of his talent and it's a trainwreck.
March 13th, 2014 at 11:09 PM ^
Iowa just Amakered all over the floor. My God, do you people know how much more athletic you are than Northwestern? DO YOU KNOW?
March 13th, 2014 at 11:19 PM ^
I'm going to answer my own question. So much more athletic that you beat Northwestern by 26 this season. Both times you played them.
God, Iowa.
I can't decide if McCaffrey sucks, the leadership sucked, or what.
March 13th, 2014 at 11:24 PM ^
I don't know about McCaffery. He seems like a hothead who struggles to keep his own emotions in check, so how can he provide steady leadership for his players?
March 13th, 2014 at 11:37 PM ^
That's what I was saying above - it doesn't seem crazy to think that McCaffrey's intensity got to this team. They looked like they were not enjoying playing at all. Something went very wrong with that team.
March 13th, 2014 at 11:56 PM ^
Eh. I don't think being emotional and providing leadership are mutual notions. I've gotta think the players in a way respect some of the times he goes ape, I mean, he was sticking up for them. I do see your point and there may be merit to it, I'm just not ready to believe that yet.
Plenty of coaches who freak the fuck out often are/have been known as "good leaders'. Izzo, Pitino, Knight, Boeheim, and I'd add McCaffrey, as his track record suggests so (one doesn't get Sienna a few plays from the Sweet 16, multiple times, without being a leader).
True, but then again, those other coaches seem better able to "turn off" the emotion and go back to the huddle calmly. McCaffery seems to not know when to stop goading the refs and gets T'd up way more than anyone else in the conference.
March 13th, 2014 at 11:11 PM ^
I don't actually know if I can handle reading their scout board. Yeah, I probably can. Still, I have no hate for that team and this has been kind of sickening to watch.
March 13th, 2014 at 11:13 PM ^
19-12 against D1 teams
48 RPI
22 SOS
5-9 against RPI top-50
6-11 against RPI top-100
3-7 last 10 games
lost 6 of last 7
March 13th, 2014 at 11:21 PM ^
Seems iffy at best. Even if they get in, they are going to be a terrible seed now.
March 13th, 2014 at 11:35 PM ^
EDIT: Their RPI is now 54. WarrenNolan.com RPI hadn't updated yet when I posted that.
March 13th, 2014 at 11:43 PM ^
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The Collapse
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Prior to the collapse, Iowa was 19-6 with wins @OSU and at home versus Mich, and had only suffered losses to KenPom Top 26 teams. In fact, prior to the game tonight, Iowa was still ranked 20th by KenPom
Those six losses
| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT/TIME |
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| 19 Dates |
March 14th, 2014 at 10:27 AM ^
March 13th, 2014 at 11:20 PM ^
Fuck it, I gotta admit I'm shook. This free fall, I can't even imagine what that lockerroom must be like.
March 14th, 2014 at 12:13 AM ^
Marquette makes a layup to pull within 67-65 with two seconds left. After a Xavier timeout, Xavier successfully inbounds the ball and Marquette fouls with 0.9 seconds left. In the double bonus, the Xavier free-throw shooter makes the first to put Marquette up three.
OK, it's looking bleak, but if you're Marquette, I think you should look for a way to maximizze the time. Next, Xavier makes the mistake of leaving it's rebounders in the lane. But Marquette doesn't notice. The Xavier free-throw shooter misses the second free throw, the Marquette player grabs the rebound with a Xavier player standing next to him, a tries to muster an arms-only full court shot that comes up about 15 feet short.
IMO, in those situations, your best bet on offense is to stop the clock and move the ball upcourt via the inbounds pass. Otherwise, you're conceding. But Marquette did not have any timeouts left. What to do?
Well, if I were the Marquette rebounder, I would have attempted to grab the rebound and bounce the ball off the Xavier player next to me so that it would have richocheted out of bounds. If that could have been done in 0.5 seconds or left, there would have been time for a full length pass and a catch and shoot three.
I know it's not likely, but it's a pet peeve of mine when teams piss away the clock at the end without thinking about how they could play with the clock stopped to give themselves a fighting chance.