Remember That Time I Set That Guy On Fire Man Good Times Good Times Dude Was Totally On Fire Comment Count

Brian

2/24/2018 – Michigan 85, Maryland 61 – 24-7, 13-5 Big Ten, end of regular season

NOW THAT I AM LIMBER MY OPPONENT GOES TIMBER

Michigan used to set people on fire with some frequency. Burke or Stauskas would get off to one of those starts, and it would rain death from above on opponents. Three specific examples jump out: a game at Illinois in 2014 where Michigan scored ten points in two minutes and finished the first half with 52, the official-twitter-shruggie Texas game—specifically the 31-6 run that induced said shruggie, and the Elite Eight game against Florida where the Gators let Stauskas shoot six open threes from the same spot on the floor.

This hasn't happened much since the Godmode guys headed to the NBA—last year's MSU game at Crisler is the pleasant exception—and hadn't really happened this year at all unless you count the ludicrous speed Purdue game. Since the above paragraph focuses on the opponent being on fire, not everything touched or looked upon by either player on either team, we'll exclude it. This was Michigan's first incineration of the season. Don't take it from me, take it from this guy in the background who beheld MAAR's half-closing three and decided that the last place he wanted to be was the Homesure Lending Center.

What a good time to incinerate a decent team on the road, the last game of the regular season. Brings a feeling of zesty confidence headed into the post-season. Dreams of Muhammad Ali Abdur-Rahkman doing that to a one-seed in the Sweet 16, sort of thing.

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[Paul Sherman]

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And of course there is the annual self-abasement for the thoughts that you could not dismiss during the early bit when a 15 point hole against UCLA looked like an NIT bid on the horizon. As per usual we've been poking around Bart Torvik's site to catch the wave, but Torvik made it easy this year:

Two clunkers. One probably due to the compressed schedule, the other that ugly road game against Northwestern's zone. One sketchy game against Minnesota. Otherwise, a lot of pew pew pew and opponents hitting the dirt. Also: Michigan yelling at Purdue that they've been shot and are dead and Purdue going "nuh-uh, I have a forcefield."

This is the way of things. Michigan comes out of the gate slowly because they're trying to get a handle on John Beilein's kaleidoscope offense. You think about the recruits that Michigan missed on and how they would certainly be better than the goons currently in front of your face. Some SEC team with a five star on their roster despite no history of doing anything at all stabs Michigan in the neck. Michigan Basketball Twitter starts discussing successors. Two months later every word from that dark period is memory-holed and we all gather around the fire to talk about subs and super soakers and sing kumbaya.

Sometimes there's a returning core able to avoid that grim early period; sometimes your best player gets injured for the year. Otherwise the script is so familiar by now that JJ Abrams could direct it. The bit at the end where Michigan wins a large number of basketball games in a short period of time is nice.

It's even nicer this year, what with the feds on the case in college basketball. Whatever your opinions about whether the FBI should be looking into this or what college basketball should look like going forward, it is absolutely fantastic to not have your heart skip a beat when Pat Forde tweets.

AGENT IMPLICATES MOST OF COLLEGE BASKETBALL is like, whatever, you know? We're just over here playing five-out and never turning the ball over, like we do. Hope that all works out for you and the FBI.

BULLETS

Stats are kind of eh. Michigan got up so much that the second half was for Chris Farley evaluations and Beilein's patented prevent offense. Things got sloppy, and there was a lot of late clock stuff, and so I'm not sure how seriously to take anything in the box score. Except one thing.

Muhammad takes the wheel! I can't promise you that 41% usage is a career record for MAAR but it sure as hell is. 28 points on 22 shot equivalents, seven assists, two turnovers, and two OREBs as a bonus—never before and probably never again. Unless it's the glasses. But MAAR is the one guy on the team who can both shoot and drive with efficiency and is thus Michigan's best hope for a ball-dominant postseason star.

Michigan, being Michigan, isn't going to have many games where its top usage guy is over 30, let alone 40. It doesn't have to. It does need someone who can be efficient up to 24 or 28. Hopefully this Rahk renaissance lasts through the next month.

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[Paul Sherman]

Matthews scored some points. Okay, maybe two things. The second thing is that Charles Matthews saw the ball go through the basket in the second half. That made for his first non-miserable outing since Wisconsin and only his 5th in the last 16. Perhaps more encouragingly than that was his usage, which dipped to 21% as MAAR took the wheel. Matthews provides excellent defense and solid OREBs so if his tendency to suck up a bunch of possessions without scoring can be minimized he's still a plus player. For that to happen other guys have to take more shots, and etc etc. I've said it before.

Teske alters the shots. Jon Teske didn't score but that might have been his best game of the season? I might be serious about that. His ten minutes saw him contest maybe a dozen shots, several of which looked like easy finishes until he got involved. Teske was able to fall off his defender despite the opposition starting their drive as Teske, back to the basketball, recovered on a pick and roll; he was only hit with one foul; he at one point intimidated Huerter into a bizarre miss.

I've said it before, but if Mo does go Teske is going to be a different but potentially just as effective post presence.

Don't look at it head on yet. 12/16 from the line. Lack of Matthews/Simpson FTAs (just four) a major factor there. Increased time for Poole very helpful; he's up to 82% on the year.

Wee bit fortunate. Michigan gave up too many good looks from the outside for Maryland to only hit three of them. Their two Just A Shooter guys are hitting 40% on the year and combined to go 1/10. Mostly this happened after the game was decided and closeouts came with less urgency.

Bracket glance. Michigan is now appearing on a fair number of five lines at the Bracket Matrix. Large Media Conglomerate Bracketing still has them as a six, but Michigan is now the top six at BM by some distance. I'd guess they stick there even if they go 1-1 at the Big Ten Tournament. Moving up would probably mean making the final with a win over MSU unless the teams directly in front of them (Kentucky, Rhode Island, Gonzaga, OSU) take a tumble. 

Comments

MHWolverine

February 26th, 2018 at 1:50 PM ^

I love this team!! I HATE the 11 day gap between the NCAA touney and the BIG tourney, what a buffoon Jim Delaney is! I'm hoping to be watching Michigan beat someone on St. Patrick's Day that falls on a Saturday this year!! Cheers!

bronxblue

February 26th, 2018 at 1:51 PM ^

This team is going to miss MAAR next year so much. It was weird seeing people say in the early part of the season that he couldn't play at the D1 level. With his improved outside shot and this new assertiveness, he feels like the type of almost-star that teams like Gonzaga, Wichita State, Butler ride to Final Fours every year.

bronxblue

February 26th, 2018 at 3:11 PM ^

Yeah, I think next year's group will have enough options, but it will be a slower go to start the yuear and people will complain, inevitably.

I really do think MAAR is maybe Beilein's greatest development project while at Michigan.  People forget, but he was a no-name 2* who couldn't shoot and couldn't/wouldn't pass.  And he was older that your average freshman, so the assumption was he had a lower ceiling to grow into to begin with.  Even his Hello post was like "he's probably going to be this guy for 4 years, just a little better."

That last bit means MAAR is probably closer to his ceiling than your average incoming freshman, which can be a benefit in the short-term but does add some concern for how much he'll improve over the long haul.

And yet...here we are 4 years later and the guy who had an ORating of 92.5, an assist rate of 610vs a TO rate of 21, and under 30% on 3s with very low usage is now a 120 offensive crackshot with a 17 assist rate vs. 6.7 TO rate and 36% from 3, and a TS% of 54%, really solid considering he's oftentimes tasked with shooting late in the clock.  He probably won't get into the draft or get to an NBA squad, but to see him become an offensive leader for this team plus a pretty good defender should be yelled at every 4* recruit that considers Michigan.  Look at what John Beilein did with THIS guy, now imagine what he could do with you.

umchicago

February 26th, 2018 at 3:03 PM ^

i think people were questioning him as a D1 player when he was recruited.  he proved to me belonged pretty early in his frosh season.

i was begging for him to take the reigns to start his senior year for the same reasons brian pointed out.  the past few weeks, he has definitely done so.

i've said for a couple years now that maar is one of the most underrated players in my lifetime.

that said, i think we will be fine next year with poole taking these minutes, plus the other reinforcements.

Boner Stabone

February 26th, 2018 at 1:58 PM ^

I am liking the future of our program more and more every day.  Next year is going to be just as much fun as this year has been. 

I am also wondering if our friends over at MSU can say the same thing about the future of their program next year?

The Man Down T…

February 26th, 2018 at 4:55 PM ^

"Otherwise the script is so familiar by now that JJ Abrams could direct it."

 

Except that JJ would have not had the ref call that block a foul in 2013..  The good guys usually win in his movies.  Blue would have cut the nets that night in his script!  

Michigan Arrogance

February 26th, 2018 at 5:46 PM ^

you know, I get that today's culture is nothing but I I I I would have done things this way, blah blah blah anti-constructive criticism, but at the end of this trilogy we'll have gotten the feel good SW that we all remember (Ep 7), the crazy different one that no one expected (ep8) and one we have no way of predciting how it will go (9).

Haters gonna hate