USA 2022: Attackers Comment Count

Brian

One vestige of World Cup coverage remains.

THE THOUSAND FOOT VIEW

Welp. The World Cup proceeded without the United States. Sunil Gulati finally got the message and is gone; in his place is Carlos Cordiero, who was nominally Gulati's right-hand man but not the chosen successor. That was Kathy Carter, who does something or other for SUM, the shadowy money machine that's attached to MLS, US Soccer, and the Mexican Federation.

Cordiero and Gulati reportedly had a falling out. I choose to believe that was over Gulati's insane dedication to Klinsmann, for sanity's sake.

The federation hasn't done much since except play some friendlies and hire Earnie Stewart as a "general manager," a vague job title with vague responsibilities and no ability to hire and fire the national team coach. Stewart, at least at first blush, is exactly the right guy for the job. A Dutch dual national with 101 caps, Stewart had a couple years of MLS experience at the tail end of his career and then transitioned into front office roles with a couple of Dutch clubs before becoming the sporting director of the Philadelphia Union. Now just hire a coach who is vaguely competent and things will start moving in the right direction.

Actually: they already have. The MLS 3.0 era has been going on long enough that it's starting to pay off. MLS 1.0 was about survival. MLS 2.0 was about expansion. MLS 3.0 is about development. Most MLS teams now have fully-fledged academies and reserve/youth sides playing in the USL, which is a quantum leap from even five years ago. When MLS first started up, it piggy-backed on the existing soccer infrastructure. The "Super Draft" was really important and most Americans in the league had significant college soccer experience. While college soccer still has a role to play, these days virtually all of the country's top-end prospects skip college in favor of going direct to the pros. MLS is now creating an alternate path that's closer to the way soccer prospects develop worldwide.

The result is an unprecedented wave of young Americans both at home and abroad at major clubs, striving to break through and in an increasing number of cases actually doing so. The US had two teenagers playing major minutes for top-end Bundesliga sides last year and is poised to have a couple more breakthroughs this year. There's now a steady stream of US prospects getting signed by German clubs, in part because they're free—a hole the USSF really has to patch—but in part because the academy structure has created a class of legitimate teenage prospects.

As a result this cycle has far too many young prospects at major Euro clubs to name, and the rate of signings seems to be going up annually. Projecting these guys has a bunch of wild-ass guessing involved, obviously. The edition of this post four years highlighted a certain Dortmund attacker... Junior Flores. In my defense, Christian Pulisic was 15. May there be another 15 year old out there I have no knowledge of.

Anyway, one man's guess at the main contenders for the roster in Qatar. Or, for cynics, the last match in the hex when we run out a 4-1-3-2 in a game we need one point in. All ages are as of the 2022 World Cup. Players are roughly ordered by beautiful perfect son-ness. 

STRIKER

Josh Sargent (22), Werder Bremen. Sargent is the real deal, the only player to score for the U17s, U20s, and main national team in the same calendar year. Sargent's on-field awareness is leagues better than any 18 year old's should be; he seemingly always knows the position of his teammates and how to unbalance a defense. He's not big-huge but he's comfortable with hold-up play and puts himself in excellent positions on the regular. His ability to pull off the line and find pockets of space leapt out at the U20 World Cup, which he played in despite also being eligible for (and playing in) the U17 World Cup:

Sargent signed with Bremen, a mid-table Bundesliga side, afterwards and moved to Germany despite being ineligible to play with the main team—FIFA rules state you have to be 18 to leave your country of origin and Sargent just turned 18 in February. If he does make the breakthrough people expect him to he could end up at the top of the US depth chart almost immediately. Bremen's coach is outright saying they will not bring in a striker because of Sargent and another young player.

[After THE JUMP: less beautiful, less perfect sons]

Bobby Wood (29), Hannover. Wood had a miserable year with a Hamburg team that got relegated for the first time in its history but did secure a loan move to Hannover to stick in the Bundesliga and will remain near the top of the pool unless forcibly displaced by the young guys. Wood is an industrious gent who likes playing off the back shoulder of defenders and has a role, but he's not that useful against teams that want to bunker.

Gyasi Zardes (30), Columbus Crew. Yes, him. Zardes was traded to Columbus this offseason and has thrived as the kind of striker who doesn't touch the ball until it's time to dump it in the net.

He has 10 goals thus far to lead Americans in MLS. As a traditional #9, Zardes's donkey touches are limited; his athleticism and aerial ability come to the forefront. He's able to run the channels and track down long balls to relieve pressure, and after a little hold up play he plays a poacher role well.

It's clear he was miscast by Klinsmann, who used him as a winger, and now that he's a pure 9 he's moved into the weakest part of the player pool. If he continues being the top-scoring American in MLS he'll get another shot. If Columbus's Gregg Berhalter gets the USA job his chances likely increase. How do I feel about this? Middling!

Andrija Novakovich (25), Reading. Novakovich tore up the Dutch second division last year and his new loan bumps him up to a newly-promoted club in the top flight. He'll get plenty of opportunity in the wide-open Eredivise; he's good on the end of set pieces, takes penalties, and is fast enough to get a bunch of through balls in a lower league. This year will announce him as a real prospect or not so much.

Sebastian Soto (21), Real Salt Lake. Soto's apparently on the verge of a move to Germany after training with Borussia Monchengladbach, which I like saying out loud. Try it. It's fun! If so, Soto is in for a limbo year similar to the one Sargent just went through and then has to make the first-team breakthrough that Sargent is apparently about to. Tall order, but Soto promises to be the same kind of multi-dimensional 9 that Sargent could become.

OTHERS: Jozy Altidore (32) will be old-ish and has suffered so many injuries in his career it seems unlikely he'll be World Cup quality in four years. Aron Johannson (31) is the only person in history who regrets defecting from the Iceland national team. His career has been derailed by injury but he's part of Sargent's competition after having recovered. Jordan Morris (27) has fallen off considerably in MLS, been injured a lot, and probably hit his ceiling. Rubio Rubin (25) needs to actually play some soccer. Dom Dwyer (31)... eh? Haji Wright (24) landed at Schalke last year but a loan to the second Bundesliga did not go as well as hoped.

Bonus weird one: Frenchman Theoson Siebatcheu (26) was born in DC and just made a fairly expensive transfer to one of the better French sides after a 17 goal, 6 assist season with Reims in the French second flight. Siebatcheu has a slightly intimidating climb to the French national team that the US could probably sway him from but is also eligible for Cameroon. The US has inquired.

WING INSOFAR AS THE US EVER HAS WINGERS

actually wait there are a fair number of these guys now

Christian Pulisic (24), Dortmund. The lockiest lock on the team sheet at the moment, a 24-year-old Pulisic should be the most high profile Euro star in USMNT history by 2022. He could be a central attacking midfielder or a wing threat; the assumption here is that the US remains more bereft on the outside than up the middle. Also he seems to be settling in as a right winger at Dortmund.

I'd rather play a guy at his club position than elsewhere unless it's absolutely necessary to deviate. The general dearth of central playmakers in the US pool may in fact make it absolutely necessary to deviate. For now, we'll call him a winger.

Kenny Saief (28), Anderlecht. Saief was a mildly touted one-time switch from Israel who got hurt and then had a scary infection almost as soon as he was eligible for the US; his move to Belgian power Anderlecht is good for his playing time, as he got a ton of minutes in the back half of the last season under his old coach at Ghent. Saief is a left-sided player, which helps him in a pool that's got quite a lot of right wingers, and will be dead in the middle of his prime in four years. He's tricky and has passing range...

...and top teams in Belgium are usually USA-quality destinations. (Yes, that is Memo Ochoa.)

Paul Arriola (27), DC United. Arriola is an old school USA player who will run all day and work his ass off on defense, and that should go a fair way towards keeping him in the picture. His offensive upside remains somewhat in doubt; he was DC's record signing a couple years ago and hasn't produced at the level you might expect from a DP/USMNT level player. Also DC is real bad.

Tim Weah (22), PSG. Weah is the sun of legendary George Weah, who's now president of Liberia, and made his PSG debut in their final game last season before getting some full US callups. He's probably not going to unseat Kylian Mbappe—call it a hunch—and should probably get loaned out somewhere he'll play extensively. In his US appearances he's gotten a fair number of opportunities that usually get booted straight at the goalkeeper.

I'll fight you if you say anything bad about my glorious son Josh Sargeant but I'm a bit skeptical about Weah. Hopefully he gets enough playing time and results this season to put some doubters on a one-way train to coldtakesville.

Jonathan Lewis (25), NYCFC. Inexplicably did not play for his club this year until Patrick Viera left and a new guy took over and then instantly became a game-changing super-sub. Produces whenever he's on the field, now maybe put him on it? I'm just sayin'. Right? At 21 needs an MLS breakthough now to stay prospect-ish and should get it.

Jonathan Amon (23), FC Nordsjaelland. Uh...

...let's explore this. Amon piled up a lot of highlights in ten appearances but was limited with the injuries that perpetually strike down promising US wingers abroad. (Remember Josh Gatt? Joe Gyau? No? Well, injuries.) Amon is also a left-sided player, which will help him. 

OTHERS: Julian Green (27) recently made a permanent move to a bottom-half club in the 2nd flight in Germany and is no longer a big-time prospect. Kekuta Manneh (27) is a super fast guy who was recently naturalized but a move to Pachuca was disastrous and now he's in the Swiss league being fast at people. Romain Gall (27) is probably going to move after impressing in the Swedish league, possibly to a big Dutch club or Malmo, the Bayern of Sweden.  Lynden Gooch (26) should have a major role with Sunderland this year, but they've suffered consecutive relegations so it'll be in the third flight. Nick Taitague (22) made another Bundesliga-at-17 move as one of three Americans Schalke picked up. Injuries have held him back but a breakthrough would spring him way up the list here.

Comments

Ron Utah

July 16th, 2018 at 5:30 PM ^

There is no doubt that this is the best generation of attacking players the U.S. has ever had.  It's somewhat crazy that our back four might be more worrisome than our front four.

As for the spine...there are lots of possibilities, but I'm eager to see Brian's write-up on the central midfield.  Just not sure we have the steady hands (feet) there that we need.

Tim

July 16th, 2018 at 7:00 PM ^

Six of the top 11 goal-scorers all-time came up within seven years of each other... and three of them played in the last competitive match for the USMNT (so it's not like they're from ages ago and easily forgotten). I'm really high on this next generation, but that's some pretty significant over-anointing.

Ron Utah

July 16th, 2018 at 9:38 PM ^

Are you serious? Donovan, Dempsey, and Altidore are the only three we have ever had that had even decent success at NT level. After that, there is the overachieving Wynalda and the creaky McBride. The next five are led by Joe Max-Moore. Joe Max-Moore! The only reason the goal totals even look decent is because of the competition we play. 

So yes, give this generation over the previous one. Pulisic is already better than Donovan and Altidore ever were, and the rest of the young talent will more than surpass this group.

Just look at where this generation plays. It’s our first group of top level international talent ever. Some of it will pop. 

Tim

July 17th, 2018 at 8:09 AM ^

Like I said, I'm very high on their potential. They will likely end up a much greater group. But to already say "there's no doubt" when basically zero of these guys but Pulisic are proven at a high level is still a massive overreach. Even he 

Donovan, Dempsey, and Altidore are unquestionably the best trio the MNT has ever had, and they came out in the same generation.

mgobaran

July 17th, 2018 at 2:05 PM ^

I feel really good about our back four. It's goalkeeper I'm worried about. 

John Brooks (25) could conceivably be around 2 more cycles. Defensemen tend to be able to extend their careers longer others. Now if only he can kick the injury bug he picked up the past two years.

Matt Miazga (22) had a great year for club and country. Looks promising.

Cameron Carter-Vickers (20) looked good in his recent US appearances.

Erik Palmer Brown (21) is signed with Manchester City.

And there are decent MLS options for depth if we miss out on those three younger guys.

RB is locked down for at least another cycle under Yedlin. Timmy Chandler is probably the best in form RB we have right now as a back up plan. Shaq Moore played in LaLiga last season, and secured a loan for more playing time in LaLiga2. Darkhorse is Matthew Olsunde who is coming up through Manchester United. In a pinch, Tyler Adams can even play there. 

We suck at producing LB quality, but that seems to be turning around a little. Antonee Robinson (20) booted the incumbent out with his recent performances imo. Danny Acosta should be the next to challenge. Villafana, Chander, Lichaj, Garza all can play that spot. Brandon Vincent is still young enough to have a say. It's not great, but good enough to not be unwatchable like it has been recently. Dest, Gostler, and Lindsay all impressed at the U17 World Cup last year. Hopefully they get a shot sooner rather than later as well. Not sure if they are RB/LB yet, but all three have the ability to play LB. 

stephenrjking

July 16th, 2018 at 6:06 PM ^

One of these years the USA will develop a real top-end player that they can build the rest of their attack around, a guy like a Platini or a Pirlo or a Xavi that changes the gravity of the field and makes everyone around them better. That alone isn't enough to assure a deep run in the World Cup (just ask Lionel Messi--put USA colors on Argentina this season and nothing from their run this year looks out of place at all) but it can be the hinge around which a well-built team can swing to victory. 

Would also have the advantage of attracting real attention to the sport if the player is good enough. 

For now, though, it's all about putting pieces together. But who knows? We may be a few years from our own golden generation that we haven't heard of yet. 

stephenrjking

July 17th, 2018 at 2:36 AM ^

He's good and he's an asset. He scored 4 goals in the Bundesliga and tallied another 4 assists last season. By no means is he finished developing, but he's not a superstar right now, either.

That's fine. He's an excellent player. But getting one or two guys good enough to actually play in top-flight divisions in a big 4 European league isn't quite going to cut it. It's nice, and it is (sadly) progress, but it's just the beginning. I'm looking forward to a player or two emerging not just as a guy with a consistent starting position but a guy that dominates from his position against all comers.

Hasn't happen yet. But it can. I believe it will. 

 

Tim

July 17th, 2018 at 8:21 AM ^

Clint Dempsey and Landon Donovan absolutely both had stretches of their careers where they were that sort of player (for Donovan, mostly international only, though Dempsey got it done for a solid half-dozen years or so in the Premier League). It's less about having the singular talent and more about having depth and quality around them. That's what we've had too infrequently in recent years.

stephenrjking

July 17th, 2018 at 3:10 PM ^

What sort of player? They weren't pursued by Arsenal or AC Milan or PSG as the key to winning a championship. They were good enough to start on a top division (albeit not a top-table) team. That's it.

It's not bad, but there's a big gap there that hasn't yet been bridged.

rci21455

July 16th, 2018 at 10:11 PM ^

Not sure why MGoBlog thinks we should care about American soccer.  You might as well post something about goat herding techniques.  I would care just as much.

funkywolve

July 17th, 2018 at 1:01 AM ^

The least talked aspect of Brian's post is the quality of the talent coming out of the USDA academies affiliated with the MLS clubs.  It's a game changer when it comes to the US and soccer.  

The quality of the youth players the US is producing is increasing every year.  We'll start to see the fruits in 2022 but come 2026 and especially in 2030, I fully expect the US to be a major player in international soccer. 

Tim

July 17th, 2018 at 8:27 AM ^

MLS academies are indeed a game-changer. I think even bigger is the growth of lower-level soccer. Good riddance to NASL, but the more opportunities there are to stay in the country (or to come here from abroad) and play competitive matches - whether USL, USL D3 (soon), NPSL, PDL - the more opportunities there are for guys to avoid slipping through the cracks. There's a lot more soccer, and a lot more good soccer for people at all age groups, and it's a big deal.

Oddly (or perhaps not oddly), some of the MLS sides with the best youth development setups - Real Salt Lake, Houston Dynamo, Sporting KC, and to a lesser extent New York Red Bulls - haven't been as successful on the pitch. When they find a way to bridge that gap (I think it's having a solid vertical progression of DA => PDL => USL => MLS for players to aspire to), things will really take off.

buddhafrog

July 17th, 2018 at 8:11 AM ^

I LOVE this article - haven't really seen this type of thing written elsewhere (I'm sure it is, but I don't dig deep for U.S. soccer). It's great to read. Can't wait!

treetown

July 17th, 2018 at 12:24 PM ^

It will be interesting to see how the US players at European academies fare. Another aspect maybe the level of play in the MLS. If they can lure more mid career players over it might improve the overall quality of play. 

L'Carpetron Do…

July 17th, 2018 at 12:29 PM ^

Here's my barely soccer-literate take on this. I just want USA to play an American brand of soccer. I don't know what that means exactly, but I would just like to see a USA team that plays with an American flare and attitude, similar to the much beloved '94 team. They had colorful characters and a chip on their shoulder and they played hard. This is all of course an intangible and not high on the list of what the program needs but I'd love to see a team I can really root for. I feel like the US models itself on Europe too much and it comes off like we're posers. If the US is ever going to win the World Cup, we're not going to do it trying to imitate the rest of the world. We gotta do it our own way!

BlueInGreenville

July 17th, 2018 at 9:49 PM ^

To me there is an American style of soccer that is underestimated by people who get hypnotized by the beautiful game Europeans play.  The USMNT made it through the group stage in 3 of the previous 4 World Cups so it's not like we're CONCACAF flunkies that were lucky to be there (Panama).  I would define the American soccer style as: 1) superior speed and athleticism, 2) very high work rate, 3) disruptive and creative counter attacking, and 4) Opportunistic finishing on set pieces. I would love to add the kind of skill on the ball that the Europeans have but in the meantime we could at least get back to doing what we've done well in the past.  

Alumnus93

July 18th, 2018 at 1:00 AM ^

Most of our players on our next World Cup team, haven't really surfaced yet... there will be a few of the players you mentioned, but more that you haven't.