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01/23/2019 - 10:46am So now the program has a…

So now the program has a mishmash of offensive philosophies on offense with the guy (Hamilton) coaching the most important position on the field different from the guy (Gattis) at least theoretically calling the plays.

There's something to be said for trying to collect as much coaching talent as possible. I certainly respect that idea. But I'd probably take less absolute coaching talent and knowledge for the group of coaches who know their scheme inside and out.

01/22/2019 - 8:49pm The 2016 team averaged 40.3…

The 2016 team averaged 40.3 points per game.

The 2018 team average 35.2 points per game.

You can have a serious debate about whether one group was better than the other, but there is at least ONE statistic that points to the 2016 team having a significantly better offense than the 2018 team.

01/20/2019 - 10:23pm What decided this game was…

What decided this game was Dee Ford being massively offside when Brady threw his 3rd interception of the game.

The difference isn't Brady who is an all-world player. The difference is that the Patriots so rarely rarely beat themselves--this year's Pittsburgh game being a noted exception. KC actually made the one play in the 4th quarter to win it only to have them snatch it from themselves. Why is Berry bouncing inside on 3rd and 10? Is he supposed to do that? Or is he doing his own damn thing? I actually don't know, but my guess is the latter giving Gronk an incredibly easy slant play.

The "Do You Job" mantra sounds easy, but the Patriots are the one NFL team that actually fucking does it consistently. That, along with an all-world QB, excellent schemes, and playing in the division of shit is how you get to 9 Super Bowls in 19 years.

 

01/20/2019 - 7:51pm He's definitely not the…

He's definitely not the player he was even 2 or 3 years ago, but in this type of offense (power running, PAP, short passing game) I think he can be very productive for a few more years.

01/20/2019 - 7:11pm This is Pats ball circa 15…

This is Pats ball circa 15 years ago. Outphysical everyone.

01/20/2019 - 7:06pm There were missed calls…

There were missed calls throughout the game. They let them play in the defensive backfield. 

How about the Saints make an easy execution on the first down play and gain 5? Why isn't that play ever going to be remembered?

It's always the refs. Always the refs. Never anyone's fault. The Saints could have won that football and should have won that football game without needing that call. They didn't. That's on them.

01/20/2019 - 6:43pm As someone cheering for the…

As someone cheering for the Saints, the refs didn't cost them the game. They didn't play well on offense. Brees wasn't good and was frankly terrible in the last quarter and OT. Missed open WRs, balls batted down, etc. 

Apparently New Orleans has never seen boot run before because they got embarrassed on that play all game. Wade Phillips adjusted throughout the game, especially on the RB out of the backfield. I didn't see the NO DC adjust--also they couldn't get pressure very much.

You don't want the refs making the deciding calls, then PLAY THE REFS OUT OF THE GAME. 

01/20/2019 - 6:39pm Melissa Etheridge is still…

Melissa Etheridge is still alive??

01/20/2019 - 6:33pm That first down play was…

That first down play was fine. That's an easy throw.

Brees didn't play well. Period. If he plays well, NO wins going away. Instead Goff made the plays.

01/20/2019 - 6:31pm Goff outplayed Brees which…

Goff outplayed Brees which is something I didn't think I would say . . well ever I guess.

And whoever the DC is for New Orleans--you might want to work on stopping fucking boot. That play ate the Saints up and it's pretty damn base shit.

01/16/2019 - 8:39pm He can't get an NFL job…

He can't get an NFL job because he doesn't know Sean McVay.

01/15/2019 - 2:51pm The national title game can…

The national title game can be summed up by Clemson's WRs are much better than Alabama's DBs.

Clemson got into 3rd and 5+ a boatload of times and converted almost all of them. They couldn't really run it. It didn't matter because they just threw it up on 3rd down and made plays.

01/14/2019 - 7:13pm It is a bad metric. Every…

It is a bad metric. Every staff recruits in different ways and quantifying the one coach who might have "closed" is difficult to measure.

I do appreciate the effort in trying to use data and create a metric to determine the recruiting value a coach brings to the table. Unfortunately this particular metric is useless.

01/14/2019 - 7:02pm They were Big Ten champions…

They were Big Ten champions in 2016 and arguably the best team in the league in 2017. They had two 11 win seasons in those years. I don't know how you can argue he has only had 1 good season.

Even last year he had 3 losses by a combined 8 points!! Michigan blew them out. Fuck, it happens. 

01/14/2019 - 6:56pm Actually there is a school…

Actually there is a school that could "own" it and that would be Rutgers. I'd be curious if they did "own" it during the tail end of the Schiano era when they were winning 8 and 9 games every year.

I think Penn State actually did a great job in the 70s and 80s in the state when Rutgers was a complete non-factor and nobody else was really getting into the state.

01/12/2019 - 10:12pm I'm not sure he can develop…

I'm not sure he can develop into something more. I'm by no means an expert on watching the LA Rams, but he looks bad under pressure and doesn't have the footwork or sense to avoid it.

He really is great for this offense. Play action pass where he can sit back and survey the field.

01/12/2019 - 10:08pm Good is fine when you have…

Good is fine when you have all the talent around him. The best RB in the league, maybe the best troika of WRs in the league (I know Kupp is hurt), and an OL that is embarrassing Dallas right now. Is that enough to win a Super Bowl? I think at some point he'll have to make plays on 3rd and long on the road or in the Super Bowl and that's going to be an issue. But hey Foles won it last year so who knows.

I agree with you 100% about letting him go in 2 years. He's probably not going to be good enough to be a difference maker with less talent around him and at some point he would have to deal with that if he stayed (with his higher contract thereby releasing the talent around him).

 

01/12/2019 - 9:48pm If that. Rams ran 45 plays…

If that. Rams ran 45 plays in that half. That Dallas D is completely gassed and it's only halftime. Rams had 20 first downs in the half!!

Maybe a great QB gets them back in the game, but Dak isn't a great QB. A shame because I think Goff is overrated, but it won't show because he doesn't have to do anything in this one.

01/12/2019 - 9:32pm Dallas defense can't stop…

Dallas defense can't stop the damn run. Bad LB eyes and about as physical as toilet paper.

01/12/2019 - 9:23am Your last point is spot on…

Your last point is spot on. Throwing on first down is more successful at the pro level than running it. According to the chart running it on 3rd down is more successful than throwing it regardless of what happened before. As you said, that is very dependent on what happened previously.

I read earlier this year that statistically one of the biggest differences with what offenses were doing to increase scoring was simply passing more on 1st down. 

01/09/2019 - 10:49pm The ineptitude of the non…

The ineptitude of the non-Patriot teams in the NFC East has been a huge edge for New England. They might not beat any of the AFC playoff teams on a neutral field (although the Texans with O'Brien find ways to underperform), but they get the 2 seed and at least one home game because they get a bunch of freebies against the dregs of the NFC East.

Bill Belichick and company are a very well run organization anyway, but when you add in the comparison factor to the shit around them it's like watching Amazon compete against Sears. 

01/08/2019 - 6:44pm So when Kingsbury has a…

So when Kingsbury has a generational QB playing against bad college defenses, he's a stud. Other than that he's finished 28th, 19th, 25th, and 22nd in S&P+. 

Again, I don't think he'd be a great NFL OC, but I could see going in that direction. But from failed Texas Tech coach to NFL head coach with 0 pro coaching experience? That is pretty uncharted territory.

01/08/2019 - 6:32pm Those guys literally cover…

Those guys literally cover 25 years of Texas Tech football from roughly 1985-2010. What's the modern era to you? Even the coaches in the 60s and 70s when the program was "transitioning" from the old Border Conference to the SWC were roughly .500.

Of the 12 or so coaches who've coached the team since 1960 he probably ranks in the bottom 1/3.

01/08/2019 - 6:29pm If the Air Raid isn't a…

If the Air Raid isn't a gimmick offense, I don't know what is.

01/08/2019 - 5:36pm Then why did all these other…

Then why did all these other hotshot coaches from college fail? Guys that actually WON a lot of games in college: Chip Kelly, Steve Spurrier, Nick Saban, Bobby Petrino, Dennis Erickson, Butch Jones, Mike Riley. Most of these guys are within the last 10 years and most of them are offensive coaches.

He went 13-35 in the Big 12 if you don't include I-AA Kansas.

01/08/2019 - 5:28pm He couldn't field a defense…

He couldn't field a defense because he didn't give a shit about it. When he finally wizened up after 4 years and put more resources into his defense, lo and behold, his offenses started to go downhill.

This belief that Texas Tech was fucking Rice before Kingsbury got there needs to be put to bed. Spike Dykes went 57-40-1 in conference play before Leach appeared. Leach went 47-33. He went 19-35. Texas Tech has been solid football program since the mid-80s and a .500 one in SWC play from 1960 to 1980. The guy that drove the bus back towards the Jerry Moore era (yes, that Jerry Moore) of the early 80s is Kliff Kingsbury with an assist from Tuberville.

01/08/2019 - 3:46pm 19-35 in the Big 12. Without…

19-35 in the Big 12. Without the inevitable Kansas wins, he went 13-35 in the Big 12.

There are no words for this hire. I mean none.

If you want him as an OC to mentor Rosen, I get that. I don't think it's great, but that I understand. But to just hand him the keys to your organization with no NFL coaching experience and an underachieving record (at best) at Texas Tech is just "wow."

"Maybe we should give those two guys who have no experience and no ideas, more money."

 

12/31/2018 - 6:24pm I agree 100% except if you…

I agree 100% except if you weren't going to throw it on 3rd down last series, why would you on this series.

12/31/2018 - 6:21pm Lewerke might qualify as the…

Lewerke might qualify as the most disappointing player in the Big Ten in 2018. I thought he would build upon 2017. Instead he took 3 steps back. You have to throw that ball on the FG fuck up. If it's picked it's picked, but give your team a chance.

12/31/2018 - 6:17pm Maybe he shouldn't be a…

Maybe he shouldn't be a future 1st round draft pick if your own coaching staff doesn't trust you in that situation.

Why every 6-4+ guy with some arm talent automatically gets into the short list of top NFL draftable QBs is beyond me.

12/31/2018 - 9:57am Presumption and perception…

Presumption and perception in both your explanations. I'm not saying you're wrong, but nothing in this guy's resume screams FBS college head coach.

12/31/2018 - 12:41am Why on earth, other than his…

Why on earth, other than his Philly ties, would Temple hire Todd Bowles?  The guy hasn't coached a single DOWN at the FBS level. His last college experience was 20 years ago at Grambling. He didn't exactly cover himself in glory at the Jets either.

I don't understand how administrators and alumni can so vastly underrate the recruiting process and the experience of recruiting. It just takes time to learn and frankly most pro coaches don't want to do it anyway. Those that do don't understand that it's a constant, all the time thing. So they put together a decent first class off name and excitement and then slowly taper off until they are fired leaving the program nowhere.

12/30/2018 - 5:17pm I think Florida has quality…

I think Florida has quality skill players. With Higdon out, Michigan would have taken their RBs and Toney is a pretty special player. The biggest difference, I thought, was Patterson vs. Franks. Franks was demoted a month ago only to have the other guy (Trask I think) get hurt.

Mullens has been able to create a functional offense for a QB with limited ability. The Quads look was a "count the box" feature. Draw if 5, Screen if 6+. They hurt Michigan with that for 2 TDs. All Franks really threw were screens and verts and some moving pocket stuff, other than his one nice throw over the middle on a key 3rd and Long in the 3rd quarter. 

12/30/2018 - 1:13pm He looked better at Ole Miss…

He looked better at Ole Miss in a spread system.

Whether he just needs another year learning in this system to get a lot better or if he just is what he is at this stage, I don't know. He's better than what Michigan had last year, but he's not (playing like) the elite level player that Michigan needs to take the next step.

That first interception was a badly thrown ball that a good QB finds for a TD (or at least forces the CB to make a play).

12/30/2018 - 12:00am I agree with this. The Bama…

I agree with this. The Bama defense is good, but it isn't the BAMA DEFENSE we are so used to seeing. Clemson can score on these guys and they will, you know, actually play defense.

I expect a lower scoring game than the past few national title games these teams have played and like those games I expect a close one.

12/29/2018 - 6:15pm Dabo grew into the job and…

Dabo grew into the job and to Clemson's credit they gave him the time to do that. He made mistakes and learned from them. Built up the entire program and adjusted when things weren't working. Paid huge money for Venables. Picked up Chad Morris. Targeted his recruiting. 

In 2011 he won Clemson's first ACC title in 20 or so years and proceeded to get pasted 70-33 in the Orange Bowl. Lost in 2013 to Jameis Winston's FSU squad in a big way. He just kept improving the program bit by bit and he now has the 2nd best program in the country, bar none. 

 

12/29/2018 - 4:02pm When you lose all-Conference…

When you lose all-Conference players and 1st round draft picks, it's going to hurt. And it showed today. That being said, those guys playing probably doesn't change the end result.

The biggest play defensively was the 3rd and 13 late in the 3rd quarter. Florida up 20-10 and Franks has time to take the snap, brew a cup of coffee, and throw his best pass of the game for a 1st down. A few plays later, it's 27-10 and the writing is on the wall. Michigan rushed 5 I believe and the RB was able to sneak out late (not sure if he chipped). The pass rush was a shell of it's former self the last 2 games of the year and it just killed the entire defense. The DBs aren't good enough to cover good players for that long. 

Offensively to me is the bigger problem. Who punts down 21 with 7 minutes and change left around the 40 yard line? NFL coaches do. And Harbaugh is an NFL coach. Whether he was 10 years ago at Stanford I don't recall, but he coaches like an NFL coach now and that to me is a problem because college football, even Power 5 football, isn't the NFL. My guess is this permeates the entire program from S&C to time management (Andy Reid anyone?) to the offensive scheme and even beyond. I don't think this is a recipe to take a top 15 program to the upper echelon level of Bama, Clemson, Oklahoma, Ohio State (under Meyer), etc.

12/29/2018 - 2:01pm Defense has been…

Defense has been disappointing. Clearly miss Bush in the middle. Franks is as advertised--average at best. He has thrown two RPO slants and a nice deep ball in the 1st quarter and that's about it. 

Load up to stop the run and make that guy beat you throwing it down the field. 

12/29/2018 - 1:33pm If you're going to have 5…

If you're going to have 5 over 4--I don't know why you need to since it's Feleipe Franks throwing--then stunt the middle of the draw.

12/29/2018 - 1:26pm Yeah, it is.

Florida with…

Yeah, it is.

Florida with Patterson and Michigan with Franks and Florida is up 14-3.

12/29/2018 - 12:20pm More importantly Florida has…

More importantly Florida has Michigan's 2017 QB

12/29/2018 - 11:50am Two words: Feleipe Franks…

Two words: Feleipe Franks. He's terrible. Michigan by 2+ scores.

Michigan's offense is actually perfect for these guys. Run the ball which will get better as the game goes on. It will be too close early despite Michigan being in control and then they should pull away in the 2nd half. 

12/29/2018 - 9:04am If it really is playcalling…

If it really is playcalling by committee, I don't think that aspect is going to attract a lot of OCs.

12/28/2018 - 5:34pm Malzahn is man ball. Just…

Malzahn is man ball. Just out of a more spread look. Power and zone. He wants to run the ball for 300+ yards a game and throw it deep with play action.

12/28/2018 - 5:31pm I just don't understand the…

I just don't understand the Frost hype. 3 different coaches have taken UCF to a NY6 bowl game the past 6 years--O'Leary, Frost, and Heupel. He gets kudos for getting them out of the 0-12 2015 debacle, but that was a clear aberration. It's arguably a top 40 job and coaching there is like coaching Florida State in the ACC in the 90s--it's just not hard to be better than everyone else.

He COULD be the real deal, but UCF doesn't prove it to me and the jury is really out after this year at NU. And what does him being the real deal look like? 2 conference titles in 10 years and a playoff berth? Nebraska fans want the next Osborne. The problem is they aren't in an era where even Osborne would have had the success he had.

12/28/2018 - 3:19pm Auburn didn't play this hard…

Auburn didn't play this hard all season. What happened in Nashville this week between these teams?

12/28/2018 - 3:15pm Michigan 28-10. Feleipe…

Michigan 28-10. Feleipe Franks is NOT Dwayne Haskins.

12/28/2018 - 3:01pm I wonder if Brohm pissed in…

I wonder if Brohm pissed in Malzahn's Wheaties during some of the bowl week festivities. They are showing the whole playbook in this one.

12/28/2018 - 2:49pm Ohio State couldn't run the…

Ohio State couldn't run the ball and struggled in the red zone. They did move the ball.

Auburn was a top 5 team for a reason. They have some players.

12/28/2018 - 2:47pm Did I just hear that David…

Did I just hear that David Blough is an NFL prospect?