Upset alert: Tennessee

Submitted by AFWolverine on November 19th, 2022 at 10:36 PM

Of relevance to Michigan, #5 Tennessee is way behind at South Carolina and no signs of a comeback. 

Football

WayOfTheRoad

November 19th, 2022 at 10:45 PM ^

Yes. If Tennessee and USC lose at any time before the final selections they're out. The only two loss team left with viability is LSU if they win the SEC CG.

Looks like Tennessee is going to lose so there is one so out. USC is starting to pull away but a lot of game left.

Beyond that, a TCU loss likely eliminates them as well.

So, ideally you want Tenn, USC, TCU & LSU to drop another game in these final few. If that happens UM is in no matter what happens vs OSU. That said, UM will get the least amount of respect for a one-loss (maybe less than TCU) so IF Michigan loses next weekend they want it to be close.

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1VaBlue1

November 20th, 2022 at 8:54 AM ^

There'd be no steamrolling either way.  UCLA is not at Michigan's level for either defense or running.  As good as ZC is, DTR is the feature.  And Michigan's would be the best defense either team has seen this year - by two miles.  It would also be the best rushing attack they've seen all year.  Utah put the stops to SC, and I suspect Oregon will slow them up pretty good, too.

It would be a fun game to watch, but I think Michigan would have the upper hand.  Defensively, the teams aren't close.  And Michigan would be able to move the ball pretty well, considering what UCLA did last night.

But now way would it be easy!

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MaizenBlue93

November 19th, 2022 at 11:06 PM ^

I could see TCU losing in the Big 12 Championship...I can't see them losing next week to Iowa State, though anything is possible. When you look around though, if USC loses one more game, LSU loses one more, Clemson loses one more and if TCU goes 12-1 I don't think that's enough to keep them out. Who replaces them? Bama?

 

^ obviously the above is a lot of assumptions and I would guess the stats of everything above happening being a coin flip or lower probability, but think about it...the number of teams competing for a spot are dropping like flies

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1VaBlue1

November 20th, 2022 at 9:14 AM ^

LSU has UGA in the SEC Championship Game - win that and they'd deserve to get solid consideration as the first 2-loss team in playoff history.  (Ugh, makes me vomit in my mouth a little giving Crawdad Kelly that thought...)  Not likely, but they've turned it up the last few weeks - this ain't the team that lost to FSU.

USC has ND next week and then Oregon in the PAC12 CG.  ND can be tough when they come to play.  And they will against long-time crush USC.  Don't think it'll happen, though, ND doesn't have the offense to keep up with SC.  Oregon, though...  Toss the coin up and settle in for that one, it's gonna be a barn-burner!

Clemson has SCar next week at home (I think), but SCar will be coming off the UTenn high and hungover from the moonshine consumed at last night's frat parties.  It's NC that will/can/hopefully does deliver the death blow to the biggest fraud in the Top 10.  Pretty sure they got caught looking ahead like every other top team did last night against GT, except they aren't good enough to get through it unscathed.  But they can absolutely beat Clemson.

TCU will win out.  Another come from behind in the BIG12 CG, but otherwise...  They'll get exposed by whoever they play in the playoffs because defense both for and against.

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4godkingandwol…

November 19th, 2022 at 10:53 PM ^

The SC game plan on defense was exactly like ours should be against OSU. Give them all the underneath stuff. Force them to drive the length of the field. Then ideally get them to kick field goals if you can. But without their big plays (they did get a couple), Tenn struggled to keep up. 

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SF Wolverine

November 19th, 2022 at 10:56 PM ^

they gave up 63; got to drop like a stone.  Shoudl also start to color the reality of the SEC this year.  GA is dominant, but the second tier all have real flaws.  This should not be a two-SEC team playoff year.

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MRunner73

November 20th, 2022 at 8:38 AM ^

It was an upset with the Vol losing 63-38 to the Gamecocks. I never bought into the UT hype because they don't play defense. 247 sports projects them falling to 9th in the AP rankings. They have Michigan slipping to 4th. Well, TCU also won in a squeaker with no time time remaining to kick a FG. USC is projected 5th and they gave to 45 pts to UCLA in their win last night.

The 247 rankings are only a projection.

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