Three Hot Takes For the Upcoming Season

Submitted by Snazzy_McDazzy on September 1st, 2021 at 1:47 AM

I know there are plenty in this space who are experiencing negative feelings or outright apathy in regards to this upcoming season. But I want to make three positive predications that I am willing to stick my neck out for. Feel free to point out the egg on my face if by the end of the season these predictions do not come to pass. But I'm feeling pretty good about each one of them.

 

#1 - Cade McNamara will be a top 5 Big Ten quarterback this season

REASONING: McNamara got a handful of snaps as the starter last season. He was a redshirt freshman, during a weird Covid season, in which he did not receive starter reps leading up to the season. Players improve, particularly from their freshman to sophomore seasons. I know Brian is down on McNamara because of his limited physical tools but college football history is littered with Heisman contending quarterbacks who had similar or worse tools as McNamara. Gattis has mentioned the high esteem Alabama held McNamara in when he in high school so it wasn't just Michigan who saw something in him. Others have mentioned the correlation between gaudy high school career stats and subsequent college success. He may have hailed from Nevada but he tore the hell out of the competition he faced.

McNamara has the leadership skills you look for in a college quarterback. Yes, your mileage may vary in regards to the usefulness of said leadership skills but it's a nice bonus nonetheless. You may have noticed that Tennessee just named Joe Milton as their starting quarterback. It's true that Tennessee's program is way down compared to the past but it's still Tennessee. Milton being their starter has to say something about something. And McNamara was so clearly ahead of him on the depth chart (and presumably Dylan McCaffrey, had he stayed), that Milton didn't even bother sticking around for the spring. Finally, I too am utterly bewildered that Harbaugh continues to whiff on the quarterbacks he has recruited. But even if you believe the ol' quarterback whisperer has lost his touch, the odds are in his favor that at least one of these guys breaks through. If nothing else, at some point luck tilts in your favor. Harbaugh is due.

 

#2 Josh Gattis does a good job coaching a unified offensive unit that displays coherent and at times creative play calling

REASONING: We know Gattis was a relatively hot commodity prior to accepting the OC position at Michigan. We saw towards the end of his first year that he could put together a great game plan and get his players to execute said game plan. So we can be confident that the ability is within him to accomplish what we as fans would like him to accomplish. But then we were hit with injuries and a quarterback who regressed and a defense that fell apart and was thus putting our offense in bad situations far too much of the time. Assuming better injury luck in 2021, Gattis will have the players and the continuity to execute his game plan, including a quarterback who can hopefully make the proper reads on RPO's. 

 

#3 Our defense will be pretty good during the second half of the season

REASONING: There are reasons aplenty to be scared to death of what our defense will look like during the first half of our schedule. Not only are the players learning a completely new scheme but this scheme is multiple, which inevitably translates to "not easy to master quickly." There might be a lot of mental mistakes and/or vanilla looks until we get our sea legs. And yes, it's true that we shouldn't expect a fully weaponized version of Macdonald's scheme until probably next season. And given that he's a young first time coordinator, there could be plenty of learning pains and hiccups during his first season.

But on the other hand, everyone seems to agree that Macdonald is a bit of a rising star in the coaching ranks and that he's had the opportunity to learn under some great defensive minds. Furthermore, unlike last season, if the players are too slow to pick up on one schematic strategy or if the personnel simply doesn't jive with what the coaches want them to do, we won't have to pivot towards something we didn't really practice during spring and fall practices. That's the advantage of being multiple compared to Don Brown's one-size-fits-all tendencies. Perhaps our players won't be able to master everything being thrown at them but it feels like something should stick.

Finally, our roster is loaded with players who were developmental types that were supposed to be coming into their own right around this time. Sure, the depth chart gets scary in a hurry once you get past the starters but those starters have always held immense promise and have always needed some time to marinate before they were ready to come into their own. And the secondary should be vastly improved across the board compared to last year, for a number of reasons.

 

Am I off my rocker? Feel free to let me know or just post your own hot takes. It's time to get excited for the upcoming season!

Blue Vet

September 1st, 2021 at 5:52 AM ^

Dear Snazzy,

Three days away from the season, I've read a lot (way too much?) about all that might go sour, so I'm ready for some positive vibes. Thanks.

No Razzy

BlueTuesday

September 1st, 2021 at 6:32 AM ^

I just typed around 300 words that got more negative as I went so I deleted all of them. No point in being a negative Nancy this close to the start of the season.

My hot takes?

1. One of our wide receivers has a breakout year.

2. The secondary plays better than expected.

3. Maize and Blue forever and ever.

 

BlueInGreenville

September 1st, 2021 at 6:47 AM ^

My hot takes:

1.  We have less pass interference penalties this year

2.  We have less injuries on our offensive and defensive lines

3.  There's at least one game that is really fun to watch and makes me glad I'm a Michigan fan

smitty1983

September 1st, 2021 at 7:04 AM ^

1) defense struggles due to new scheme and player position 

2) we win an unexpected road game finally, PSU/UW

3) JH is gone after 2021 and we begin another rebuild, If this is even hawt. 

4) Covid is once again a face in the big ten race. 

Panther72

September 1st, 2021 at 7:14 AM ^

Some of my Hot Takes

1. Gattis offense looks good by mid season

2. The OL becomes one of the better units we've seen by years end.

3. Donovan Edwards impresses and gives Michigan fans a yearning to see more.

Broken Brilliance

September 1st, 2021 at 7:23 AM ^

I like how since every basic "basketball school" bitch and their mother has been dooming this team since November a hot take has to be positive

1. The interior DL is just fine with Hinton, Smith, and Jeter since we only play two most of the time anyway. They find a way to incorporate Welschof, Whittley, Speight, and Benny for depth.

2. One of Roman Wilson or AJ Henning finishes third in receiving on the team.

3. We beat Wisconsin because Mertz craters and Chryst does something stupid and we don't spot them a ton of turnovers at the start of the game. Unfortunately we lose to a Sean Clifford-led Penn State team because of a failure to stop the QB run.

BONUS: They get a favorable bowl matchup against a Pac12 or ACC team and break that ugly bowl loss streak because there aren't many people opting out.

Catchafire

September 1st, 2021 at 7:27 AM ^

I don't get why people are so hard on this team based on last year's results:

1. Covid

2. Lack of practice

3. No out of conference play

4. Season in doubt

5. Key players sitting out 

 

We played against teams that were more in tact and had it together.  Don't need to be super crucial and negative and to the team.

MGlobules

September 1st, 2021 at 12:15 PM ^

This is of course true. But what it's reasonable to question--and I know I'm in the wrong place to do it--is grown men feeling resentful of college kids and their coaches f'ing up, flipping their shit when they lose. Of course you're going to tell me Harbs makes bazillions--I get it. That's just more evidence of the whole squalid business being absurdly out of whack. We kvetch because the UM loses to OSU when 99.9 friggin' percent of unis have nothing like the advantages we have. And now you got f**ls here celebrating because it's being thrown wide open for even more--now legal--manipulation. Stupid, stupid, stupid. At some point you need to say--hey, guess what? I'm a grown person. If I'm getting my knickers this twisted I'm probably not working in harmony with the goddamned universe. 

tFerriState

September 1st, 2021 at 7:31 AM ^

I like takes 1 and 3. If Michigan will be any good this year they will have to have Cade be a top 5 QB and have an above average defense. I’m not sold on the Gattis/Harbaugh experiment. 

TomJ

September 1st, 2021 at 8:22 AM ^

Yeah, agree. I'm far from a football savant, but even I can see some problems with Gattis:

(a) they rarely throw the ball to their backs, even when they're wide open, and even after promising to do it all the time

(b) the play-calling is often so predictable that even I can see what's coming. 

(c) they have the worst 2-minute offense in the country, and that includes high school, middle school, and pee-wee leagues

So, yeah, I'm not sold on Gattis. IMO he should have been shown the door with Don Brown.

WestQuad

September 1st, 2021 at 7:58 AM ^

I really miss Michigan football.  I miss knowing we're almost guaranteed to win 75%+ of our games and have a >50% chance of beating OSU even when they are consistently ranked higher.  

My hawt take is that McNamara is a good QB in a Henne/Navarre type of way.  Suprisingly good at the end of the day.   I was out of college, and I think it was pre-MGoBlog, so I wasn't aware of giant hype trains for either guy, but they had some great seasons and were solid.   Best case scenario JJ turns McNamara into Alabama Orange Bowl Tom Brady with Henson-like competition.

HenneManCrush

September 1st, 2021 at 8:51 AM ^

I mean, Chad Henne was the #3 QB in his class and a 5-star recruit. He's also the all-time Michigan leader in passing yards, TDs, and completions. Second in career yards, TDs, and completions is...John Navarre.

John Navarre owns the single-season passing yards record. Henne and Navarre are 1-2 in single season TD record. Navarre and Henne own 4 of the top 5 years in terms of completions.

It was a different time in college football so the numbers (Henne's numbers were ~2400 yards, 22 TD/9 INT per year) don't jump off the page, but I still think it's safe to say that if McNamara turns out to be anything close to Henne or Navarre we'll take it.

And yes, the (very old, literally as old as MGoBlog 1.0) username checks out.

mwolverine1

September 1st, 2021 at 10:13 AM ^

John Navarre finishes in passer efficiency:

  • 2001: #73
  • 2002: #54
  • 2003: #37

Chad Henne finishes in passer efficiency:

  • 2004: #41
  • 2005: #51
  • 2006: #26
  • 2007: #52

Shea Patterson finishes in passer efficiency:

  • 2018: #23
  • 2019: #54

These aren't out of reach numbers in any way (proven by Shea matching them). I don't see Cade being quite as good as the best of those years, but the mediocre marks that comprise the majority of these seasons are more than achievable.