Over/under Blake Corum's total rushing TDs by season's end: 20

Submitted by Cousin Larry on October 5th, 2022 at 2:48 PM

What's your take?  Does Hassan Haskin's program record fall after only one year?  

Blake is halfway there only five games in, but he's not playing UCONN again.  He's got anywhere from 8 to 10 games left to do it, but there are some tough defensive units in front of him.

trustBlue

October 5th, 2022 at 3:12 PM ^

Even if he starts getting fewer carries overall, Corum is now the goal line back and is still RB1 on a team that scores most of its points by running the ball.

The math on this is pretty easy: 1. Michigan will score more TDs on the ground than through the air (until proven otherwise) 2. Corum is RB1 and will score more TDs than Edwards.

Its hard to imagine ANY game where Michigan scores 3 or more TDs without at least one being run in by Blake Corum. 

JHumich

October 5th, 2022 at 3:46 PM ^

Corum is the assigned goal line back on goal to go, AND he threatens to be the "goal line back" on every carry, regardless of starting field position.

Besides, when JJ gets it going, I think that'll increase overall scoring some too, not just shift things away from Blake as if it's a zero sum equation.

Vasav

October 5th, 2022 at 3:08 PM ^

Over. 11 TDs in 8 games is challenging but seems doable. I wonder if we try to air it out more against some of the upcoming opponents - especially since some of them are stout up front but less so in the back.

But while Haskins has the rushing TD record, Albert Hernstein from the point a minute era has the combined TD (not including passing) record at 26. Can Corum get 16 more in 8 games? Seems unlikely, but any receiving TDs would be included.

gobluem

October 5th, 2022 at 3:26 PM ^

I'm going to go with OVER. Our OL is good, we like to control games on the ground when possible, and Corum is our short yardage back as well as RB1. Even if Edwards/McCarthy eat into his workload he'll still get a lot of run

 

Under Harbaugh we've averaged 2.3 TDs/game on the ground, ranging from a low of 2 (2017, 2018, 2019, 2020) to a high of 3.2 (in 2016)

Currently we have 3.8 on the ground in 2022, that's obviously not sustainable

 

Let's say we do 2.5 TDs/game on the ground the rest of the schedule and Corum gets 60% of those... that's 12 more TDs

 

Seems pretty doable to me!

A Lot of Milk

October 5th, 2022 at 5:11 PM ^

The only way a RB wins the Heisman now is if he's the best player on his national-title team. He could rush for over 2K and 25 TDs and I think he would still get passed over if the team isn't in the playoffs. He needs to keep pace right now and have a Haskins-like performance over OSU in a win to feel confident

M_Born M_Believer

October 5th, 2022 at 4:13 PM ^

I'll take the over.  

 

I fully expect JJ to get better on his deep ball and a healthy Edwards will get his reps, this is BIG TEN country and as the calendar creeps along the weather becomes more conducive to running the ball.

Blake will get his carries and what makes him so special is that he can turn a 10 yard blocked running play to a house call.  His ability to make the last person miss (look at what he did to Campbell, a DPOY candidate).

Most blocking schemes are set up to get the RB in space one on one with a defender (usually a safety but whatever) and it is incumbent for the RB to make that 1 defender miss.  Blake has that talent to make that happen and then the speed to finish the run to the end zone