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Notre Dame Favored By 4.0

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September 7th, 2009 at 1:51 PM
#1
noshesnot
Joined: 12/09/2008
MGoPoints: 2
Notre Dame Favored By 4.0

Notre Dame is favored by 4.0 in Saturday's matchup with Michigan. With the usual 3 points given to the home team, that means at a neutral site, they expect Notre Dame to win by a touchdown. Is this accurate?

http://www.docsports.com/football-odds.html

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September 7th, 2009 at 1:53 PM | Probably will change through the week (Score:1)
formerlyanonymous
formerlyanonymous's picture
Joined: 06/30/2008
MGoPoints: 13958

I trust odds makers more than my gut. It doesn't seem that outlandish as ND isn't that bad and their passing game could give our secondary problems. It'll probably shit throughout the week.

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September 7th, 2009 at 1:56 PM | I know for sure I will "shit" (Score:1)
gordie bell
gordie bell's picture
Joined: 03/15/2009
MGoPoints: 7962

I know for sure I will "shit" throughout the week.

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September 7th, 2009 at 1:57 PM | Damn lack of squiggly line (Score:1)
formerlyanonymous
formerlyanonymous's picture
Joined: 06/30/2008
MGoPoints: 13958

Damn lack of squiggly line when it's the wrong word but spelled correctly. Firefox should know what I mean, dam it.

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September 7th, 2009 at 2:08 PM | i've already done so (Score:1)
dmblue
Joined: 03/12/2009
MGoPoints: 569

i've already done so

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September 7th, 2009 at 2:37 PM | Don't save it up for game day (Score:1)
victors2000
victors2000's picture
Joined: 03/21/2009
MGoPoints: 2324

and in the excitement, asplode...ewww, nasty...

You have to play this game like somebody just hit your mother with a two-by-four. ~Dan Birdwell

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September 7th, 2009 at 1:55 PM | No (Score:1)
anskyman2001
anskyman2001's picture
Joined: 01/01/2009
MGoPoints: 176

At a neutral site, it would mean Notre Dame would be favored by
1.

Edit: Misunderstood question, mostly due to my phenomenal reading comprehension. High five!

O-H-I-O: Because the "YMCA" wasn't gay enough.

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September 7th, 2009 at 1:57 PM | Michigan is home, so they (Score:1)
noshesnot
Joined: 12/09/2008
MGoPoints: 2

EDIT: Beat me to it.

*High Five*

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September 7th, 2009 at 1:54 PM | Thats the early line. It (Score:1)
PSALM 23 Rod N ...
PSALM 23 Rod N Thy Staff Give me Strength's picture
Joined: 07/05/2009
MGoPoints: 77

Thats the early line. It will be a under a field goal by Kick Off. More likely a 1.5 Spread.

Eff....EL.....EYE....EN...TEE........

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September 7th, 2009 at 2:44 PM | I see it (Score:1)
wigeon
wigeon's picture
Joined: 07/05/2008
MGoPoints: 2745

going the other way (which is fine). ND by 6 1/2.

 

Biz hundert azoi ve tsvantsik

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September 7th, 2009 at 2:01 PM | One possible reason for ND being favored... (Score:1)
ndhillon
ndhillon's picture
Joined: 08/03/2008
MGoPoints: 85

"It's Western Michigan. They were replacing 10 defensive starters. They're a MAC team."

That's from http://www.wewillalwayshavetempe.com/ I really hope that was hyperbole. Anybody know if that quote is accurate?

www.postgameheroes.com

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September 7th, 2009 at 2:07 PM | FYI: (Score:1)
formerlyanonymous
formerlyanonymous's picture
Joined: 06/30/2008
MGoPoints: 13958

Since I noticed your pre-edit, I thought I'd help let you know how to do it.

<blockquote>Quoted Material</blockquote>

Quoted Material

Here's a HTML posting page that used to be a sticky.

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September 7th, 2009 at 2:25 PM | much obliged good sir, much (Score:1)
ndhillon
ndhillon's picture
Joined: 08/03/2008
MGoPoints: 85

much obliged good sir, much obliged

www.postgameheroes.com

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September 7th, 2009 at 2:01 PM | Yeah, that line is about (Score:1)
West Texas Blue
West Texas Blue's picture
Joined: 06/30/2008
MGoPoints: 1661

Yeah, that line is about right. Fine by me though; that's why they play the game on the field.

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September 7th, 2009 at 2:03 PM | 10 replaced starters!!?? (Score:1)
ndhillon
ndhillon's picture
Joined: 08/03/2008
MGoPoints: 85

oh...shit. I mean don't get me wrong, I'm still excited about the win, and I still think ND fields a lot of bad athletes...but that does temper my expectations just a bit.

www.postgameheroes.com

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September 7th, 2009 at 2:51 PM | Wellllll (Score:1)
The King of Belch
The King of Belch's picture
Joined: 07/21/2009
MGoPoints: 6

Just remember that Notre Dame rang up some team called "Nevada" in their first game.

Here's what I looked for while watching UM play Western: Could UM show that Western didn't belong on the same field as them? When Denard fumbled, then stumbled, then rumbled, then scored, I had my amswer.

Right now you have two teams that weren't impressive last year. Nore Dame somehow found something hidden under a rock (kind of like Chalrie finding a cheeseburger under one of his chins) and made a bowl game. UM did not.

They have a veteran QB. UM does not. There's your 4.5 points right there.

Edit: Vegas is rying to sucker UM fans in with that spread, BTW. Don't bite. If it moves toward 6 or 7, which it will after UM fans bet everything they have on the Wolverines, then it might be more enticing. But I wouldn't touch it with a ten-foot pole because both teams are still trying to find their footing.

That being said, it is what it is.

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September 7th, 2009 at 4:02 PM | Clausen... (Score:1)
JustJoshinYa
Joined: 08/25/2009
MGoPoints: 0

Nevada's pass defense was ranked dead last in Division 1 in 2008.

Now, I didn't watch much of the Notre Dame game, but from the highlights I saw, a lot of Notre Dame's passing yardage came on a couple of big pass plays that would've been defended by a moderately competent pass defense...

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September 7th, 2009 at 2:06 PM | we will find out Saturday (Score:1)
gordie bell
gordie bell's picture
Joined: 03/15/2009
MGoPoints: 7962

we will find out Saturday about the line. I will take M and the 4. How many points are we going to have to score to win? 31 again should do it.

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September 7th, 2009 at 2:06 PM | It will be a good one; both (Score:1)
umhannon
umhannon's picture
Joined: 06/30/2008
MGoPoints: 4734

It will be a good one; both are battling for relevancy. A win will carry a lot of momentum for either, hopefully for Michigan. 4.0 versus a ranked team? I'll take that.

----umhannon

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September 7th, 2009 at 2:22 PM | I wouldn't expect ND to be anything but a favorite (Score:1)
Don
Don's picture
Joined: 06/30/2008
MGoPoints: 19211

They were #23 in both polls going into last weekend, and UM had one solitary vote in the USA Today poll. While we acquitted ourselves well, ND did nothing to damage its rankings either.

This is good, since I'd rather be a home dog against ND.


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September 7th, 2009 at 2:34 PM | Hearing our players take on it (Score:1)
Maize_and_Drew
Maize_and_Drew's picture
Joined: 08/11/2009
MGoPoints: 1622

They don't think they're the underdog to anyone this year, but plan on going into every game with that mindset. They have something to prove this year, and you could see that on the field Saturday.

Flush twice - it's a long way to Columbus.

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September 7th, 2009 at 2:43 PM | The biggest concern I have (Score:1)
victors2000
victors2000's picture
Joined: 03/21/2009
MGoPoints: 2324

is the ND front 4/5/6, which have been together for a couple years now. The like to max block and Jimmah was bound to get better sometime.

Dis goin' to be a big game...we win this one and we got two practice games before MSU...beating ND would set the season up for 'Shock the world' quite nicely.

You have to play this game like somebody just hit your mother with a two-by-four. ~Dan Birdwell

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September 7th, 2009 at 3:12 PM | Being favored by a TD or less (Score:1)
jmblue
Joined: 11/07/2008
MGoPoints: 28966

Being favored by a TD or less is practically meaningless. It's not a huge vote of confidence in ND's favor, just a small one. I think it's fine. They're more experienced that we are, and they won last season's game.

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September 7th, 2009 at 3:29 PM | Sounds about right to me (Score:1)
colin
colin's picture
Joined: 07/01/2008
MGoPoints: 1332

I'd probably take ND given those odds. Our front four is going to have to be ridiculous if we want to win this one.

...the Canadians make up for it with their emotion and classic ice-dancing skill.

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September 7th, 2009 at 3:47 PM | Spread (Score:1)
jamiemac
Joined: 06/30/2008
MGoPoints: 7894

When books released a line this summer, it was -2.5 ND. After a couple of weeks of betting it grew to -3.5 ND.

After being pulled from the board Friday (as all future games are every week), it reappears this week at -4.5, before quickly going down to -4.

So, there is the line history.

The underdog is 20-5 ATS and is 12-12-1 SU. Always take the points in this series.

Help My Friend Allison Fight ALS 

MSU/IU at the JCB

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