Nik Stauskas to decide on NBA Draft in the "next week or so"
This according to CollegeBasketballTalk on NBC Sports:
While I would love for him to come back and anchor another Final Four run, I suspect he leaves. His dad seems to want him to go, and as a mid-1st round pick, I would not blame him for cashing in. He isn't going to graduate, so there seems limited upside to staying for another year.
On the other hand, this is an exceptionally strong draft. If he stays, he may be a sure fire lottery pick instead of on the border. Is that another to bring him back? Who knows. He also said that you only get to go to college once, but I feel like that reasoning only has so much pull.
Thoughts?
Hmm, if that's an actual quote by GRIII about doing what's best for him after doing what's best for the team, that's very telling. Definitely seems to imply we won't see him stay if he has to play PF again. So we're going to have to hope he believes in Donnal and McGary comes back as well. That will eat up most of the 4 minutes I imagine.
Now if Nik comes back, GRIII leaves since with Nik, Caris and Walton that pushes GRIII to the 4 again. So, Nik coming back means GRIII is gone. If Mitch leaves, GRIII is gone. If Mitch comes back, GRIII may come back. Following this logic, if Nik and Mitch return, GRIII is gone. All 3 will not be back. I think Nik is gone, Mitch needs to stay and prove his back is fine and GRIII is the question mark.
Playing a shitty opponent in front of half-awake crowds late in the season at the end of a long road trip sure beats the hell out of playing MSU or Wisconsin in front of a packed Crisler arena full of frienzed UM fans, that's for sure.
Suppose you are junior at Ross school and a hedge fund, a silicon valley private equity firm, or a large industrial firm wants to hire you right away at a seven figure salary. Will you take it?
You really have to admire those who would turn this offer down for the sake of getting the degree or enjoying college for one more year.
I'm not sure many can relate to that either.
I mean none of us went to college to prepare for NBA, but most people go to college hoping for a dream job. Turning down the dream job down because you have not completed your degree or because you want to experience college for one more year does not seem quite rational.
I've said this other posts, but you seem to be assuming normal college rules, i.e., you can go back if you like. With Stauskas he cannot. He can never be a college athlete again if he takes his dream job. Would you jump out of college early for your dream job if you could never go back to college if it doesn't work out, and thus basically destroy your chances of succeding at your dream job should your first stab not work out? Or would you think more critically about it?
I am not how big that is -- especially for someone who has already done it.
I mean, most of us don't have the info to answer that either. First, am I smart or experienced enough to actually succeed at that hedge fund? Or am I going to flame out after a year because I didn't complete my education or other experiences first? Is staying that extra year at the School going to pay off equally or more in the long run? It's short sighted to look a quick pay day without looking to the future.
it will always be there whenever you need it. I honestly don't believe that you would pass up a 7 figure salary and delay your college education til it's time. You have to be pretty dumb to do so IMO.
In this senario, you can't go back to college to finish your degree at Ross; you have to hope your three years at Ross prepared you for this theoretical job. Perhaps you can go back at get a studio art degree or something, but not the education you left for a seven figure salary. THAT'S the choice Stauskas is facing. Once he goes pro, there's no going back.
from finishing up his degrees at Ross. To deny him and make the headline would not be a good PR for the university.
You aren't getting the analagoy. In this analogy, Nik can't go back to college because it would be illegal for him to go back, not because Michigan wouldn't allow him. You know, just like it would be illegal for him to play NBA basketball and then go back to play college basketball again.
coming back to play college ball. I never said anything about it. I'm talking about him as a student where he can come back and finish his degree.
Assuming your academics were in good standing the school would almost certainly allow you to go work for a year before returning to finish, so it's a moot point. You don't have to tell them it might be permanent. If things go well you don't have to go back but you'd have the option.
But then it's a completely different decision than Stauskas faces regardless if it's the NBA or a hedge fund. The decision Stauskas has is a one way street. He can't go back. So if you want the senarios to mirror each other, then you can't go back to Ross after leaving. Yes, unrealistic, but this is all hypotheticals anyway, so who cares.
A few years in the NBA (worst case scenario for Nik if he's a lottery pick) vs. a few years in a seven figure hedge fund job seem to be two different things. The guy in business will presumably get a lot of experience that he could parlay into other equally good if not better opportunities. But where is a guy in the NBA going to go? Europe? It seems like business has more longevity than basketball, both from a physical standpoint and a money one. Not saying that staying another year will make Nik that much of a better player, but if we're talking a few million, that's not going to last forever, especially if people around him are keen on living the good life alongside him.
Right, that was my point. The two aren't comparable.
The guy is business school is risking pretty much nothing since he can always just go back to school.
duplicate - ignore
The difference is that Nik will be getting his dream job regardless. Your hypothetical job would taken by someone else, and the opportunity would likely be gone all together.
Someone in my class did leave early to go to Facebook though.
I saw software guys leaving school early in the 90's for 75K a year and truck full of stock options. I'd say Nik's decision is a hell of a lot easier than theirs. Sure, he can't come back and play basketball at Michigan again. You guys are acting like getting $2 million GUARANTEED is no big deal or something. I know a lot of athletes blow their money instantly, but if Nik is smart, even if he flames out in the NBA, that money sets him up pretty nicely. And if he comes back to Michigan, there is absolutely no guaratee that he goes 1st round next year.
I don't get the people saying "there is no chance he comes back". If you listened to the interview, there's very clearly a chance he comes back. If anything, it sounds like he WANTS to come back but he's deciding about the risk. Just the fact that he's taken this long to make his decision should give you an idea that he has a legit shot of coming back. IMO, either could happen and I really really hope he comes back. I honestly don't think it hurts his future a ton if he stays, but I understand if he goes.
He was a pretty dominant force who was probably guaranteed a high draft pick unless he had a massive injury. There was very little chance he would underperform on the field. He probably was able to take out a pretty nice insurance policy on himself. Nik is a guy who wasn't even on the draft board before this year and "came out of nowhere". Guys like Nik could potentially regress back out of the 1st round if they had a really bad year when they came back. And there are a lot less spots on NBA teams, so there is even more risk involved.
He WANTS to come back, but he knows that he has to strike while the iron is hot and declare for the draft while his stock is high. Simple logic. He HAS TO GO.
He's been awesome, and has had a great run here at Michigan. Whatever his decision, thanks for the past 2 years, it's been awesome.
The fact that he still hasn't announced yet is a positive sign, IMHO. But I wouldn't blame him for leaving.
i agree. its only a sliver of a chance, but i thought he was decided 3 months ago and would have announced days after michigan's season was over.
i think he will go, and think he should go. but if he came back i wouldn't complain.
the fact that none of the three have declared suggests to me that no one is hell bent on leaving, and probably want to know more about their draft stock. if true, seems like we have a good shot at keeping one or two of them, i'd think.
He's back in Ontario with his family this weekend, which is why he didn't announce earlier.
the last guy in the first round gets guaranteed about $1m per year for 3 years. move up 10 spots or so gets you and add'l $0.5M per year. the higher you go, the worse the team is that you are going to. isn't this a factor too?
However, there is a risk that he has an off year or gets injured. Additionally, if you are guaranteed to be selected in the first round, a player is at least guaranteed to stick around with a NBA team for a few years. That's the case if a player is selected in the second round.
If he stayed I think we would have a very good chance at a final four. If he left I wouldn't blame him though.
I know, I'm dreaming, but...
for everyone saying he is absolutely gone, I remember everyone saying the same thing last year with lewan, and look he pulled a major surprise and came back anything can happen with these kids, but can we please stop assuming he is gone until he says it himself, I like to imagine what the team would be if all of them came back and also for everyone who says he cant improve his draft stock is full of crap as well, right now this is a deep draft and he is a bonafide mid 1st rounder, but if he comes back for one more year and plays at the same level or improves slightly with a week draft class next year could be a top five pick, sounds like improviing your draft stock to me. so lets please stop assuming he is gone until he says it because essentially it is his decision.
Stauskas is not going to be a top 5 pick unless he turns into a 7 footer or grows longer limbs while becoming an explosive athlete.