Michigan win/loss record prediction thread

Submitted by OaklandInPlay on August 31st, 2021 at 8:01 PM

I'm going 4-8 with wins vs Western Michigan, Northern Illinois, Rutgers, and Maryland and losses to everyone else. What say you?

JonathanE

September 3rd, 2021 at 8:34 AM ^

Last season:

4 of 5 brand new starting on the O-Line.

Brand new starting QB

No spring practice

Reduced fall training camp

Yes Covid affected everyone but Michigan was caught in a cycle breaking in a whole bunch of first time starters with having no spring practice and reduced fall camp. 

Do you think with: Ruiz, Bredeson, Onwenu, Runyan on the line and Patterson at QB that Michigan goes 2-4? 

How about also adding Uche, Hudson, Danna, Glasgow, Thomas on defense and People-Jones and Collins on offense? 

2020 may have been a dip regardless because of the cycle of talent which left but shutting everything down hurt Michigan more than other teams because of the number of new starters with the reduced practice.  

 

LostPatrol14

August 31st, 2021 at 9:06 PM ^

Agreed. Last year was not normal at all. The teams that weren't really challenged by it were teams that are already established (i.e: Clemson, Alabama, Ohio State, etc). Michigan is still rebuilding, unfortunately. I know, Year 7, without context, shouldn't be rebuilding, but here we are: A Michigan team that isn't consistently competing for the conference championship, as well as against Ohio State. Not to mention that a lot of starters sat out last year. All of this adds up.

Double-D

August 31st, 2021 at 10:57 PM ^

Michigan had NFL talent sitting out at WR and CB and had an injury riddled OL including a season ender to NFL Mayfield.  McGrone was also injured   

Both QBs were playing injured.

Our safeties coach was in a cocoon.

The only thing last year did was amp up the dogs.

I think the kids respond. Last year was fucked up. 

joeismyname

August 31st, 2021 at 9:05 PM ^

I do think you realize how stupid last year was with Covid uncertainty, basically playing most of the year without our 4 best returning players, lots of other new players, and ultimately the stubbornness of Don Brown to neglect going to a bend-don’t-break defense to mitigate some damage. 
 

This is a good roster with a few questions, much like many other teams in ranked pre-season roughly 12-50. 

blueballsohard

September 1st, 2021 at 12:54 AM ^

Truly amazing how DB gets so little praise for having the sole excellent unit on the football team for his entire tenure. LOL

Downright impressive the way you all keep blaming him instead of any of the failing units. 

I'm anxiously waiting to see who gets the blame this year now that he's gone. It'll probably still be him tho. LMAO

joeismyname

August 31st, 2021 at 9:06 PM ^

I do think you realize how stupid last year was with Covid uncertainty, basically playing most of the year without our 4 best returning players, lots of other new players, and ultimately the stubbornness of Don Brown to neglect going to a bend-don’t-break defense to mitigate some damage. 
 

This is a good roster with a few questions, much like many other teams in ranked pre-season roughly 12-50. 

COLBlue

August 31st, 2021 at 8:09 PM ^

I'm going 7-6.  7-5 through the regular season, and loss in the bowl, because TV tries to match up Michigan against somebody who's 10-2 to beef up TV ratings.

AlbanyBlue

August 31st, 2021 at 8:10 PM ^

Again? 

Most likely regular-season records are 7-5 or 6-6.

Sure wins: Western, NIU

Sure Losses: OSU, at Wisconsin, at PSU

Toss-ups: the other 7 games. Go 4-3 in toss-ups for 6-6.

I realize I am pretty negative toward the Harbaugh regime, so I'll add one and say 7-5 possible as well.

We lose the bowl, because as mentioned, we'll be put up against a better team for TV ratings, and we never beat teams significantly better than we are.

To temper this a bit, I am bullish on the 2022 team, as I think the D will be much better, and the O will be better too. 

ih8losing

August 31st, 2021 at 8:23 PM ^

if we go 6-6 and lose the bowl game, will Harbaugh be back? If not, the 2022 team will be a crapshoot as it's likely to see a mass exodus on staff and roster. 

 

I'm trying to be optimistic and I'll go with 8-4, a timely/lucky/fluky (whatever) win vs. Washington and the team will progress. Honestly, improvement over the season and a bowl win would do just fine for me (yes, low expectations) as we need to show something to build on so Jim can let his new recruiting staff can bring in more top talent. 

AlbanyBlue

August 31st, 2021 at 8:31 PM ^

If you're asking me, then yes, 6-6 will bring Harbaugh back. The only way Harbaugh leaves is to take a NFL job (which he will try to do again), retire completely, or if the wheels completely come off with a 3-9 or 4-8 record. Remember, Warde said "It's up to Jim". Warde's not firing him without Regent intervention (i.e. pressure on HIS job), and I think that only comes with a 3-9 / 4-8 type season. Otherwise, Warde and Harbaugh point to the coaching turnover on defense and Jim gets to try again in 2022. 

In 2022, the team should be significantly better and should return to a 9-3 type level.

joeismyname

August 31st, 2021 at 9:20 PM ^

Why is it always assumed Matt Campbell is the guy? 
 

Remember when Harbaugh was that guy? 
 

if we get him (assuming Harbaugh has losing record) can we assure that he will continue recruiting at a top 10-15 level, and that he will beat lethal Ohio State teams? 
 

ive just witnessed Tennessee and Nebraska the last 10-15 years, as well as what happened to us post Carr for 7 years. I truly think Harbaugh is a Brian Kelly level coach, would hate to swing and miss on the hot name of the day, especially if he says “no”. 

FSUBulldog

August 31st, 2021 at 9:45 PM ^

Matt Campbell is a high ceiling low floor coach. For the gamblers out there this is their choice. We could get a Lincoln Riley or we could get another RichRod. Personally I would rather stay with Harbaugh unless he has a dumpster fire this year. In that case I would rather have Fickell. He knows how the Death Star works and already would have built in hate for OSU after they passed on him.

Perkis-Size Me

August 31st, 2021 at 9:55 PM ^

Fickell played at OSU and coached there for well over a decade. Why in the hell would he ever coach here?

If he’s good enough to get a job at Michigan, he’s good enough to get a job at other places that are just as good, if not better. He’d never come here. Not today, not tomorrow, not five years from now, not ever.

Perkis-Size Me

September 1st, 2021 at 9:52 AM ^

He can be unhappy that they chose Day over him and still decide at the same time that he would never, ever in his right mind come coach Michigan. Those two things are not mutually exclusive. 

He would essentially be turning his back on the last two decades (and counting) of his life by coming here. I honestly just don't see it. 

Phaedrus

August 31st, 2021 at 8:38 PM ^

How are Wisconsin and PSU sure losses? I understand saying you predict losses, but we have the talent to match up with both of those teams. The biggest question is whether we have the coaching staff since the whole thing has been overhauled. If they prove to be semi-competent we would have a good chance against PSU even if you think they have better players.

Personally, I have no predictions for this season. If our cornerbacks play like they did last year, we'll probably suck just as bad. If our coaching staff is actually competent. . .we could get lucky and beat everyone but Ohio State.

People always seem to forget that we bring in as good or better players than every team in the B1G except OSU. We have been playing under our weight for the last five years. I'm not optimistic about this upcoming season, but I'm not pessimistic either. The only results that would surprise me are a win over OSU or a national championship.

mgoblue0970

August 31st, 2021 at 8:55 PM ^

How are Wisconsin and PSU sure losses?

Because those teams are good.

Because Michigan looked like shit last year and we have new/unproven coaches all around.

Because Michigan's back 7 sucks and QB is still an unknown quantity.