Michigan Favored by 16 Over Purdue; All the Other Odds
November 27th, 2022 at 10:02 PM ^
Michigan is in a mode to break all trends for the last couple of years. Kinnick, at home losing streak to OSU and 9 game losing streak at OSU all ended. Time to put down Purdue.
November 27th, 2022 at 8:26 PM ^
After this coming weekend (please neg me) ,
Michigan
Uga
Osu
Alabama
November 27th, 2022 at 8:29 PM ^
I would definitely prefer chalk, personally.
November 27th, 2022 at 9:00 PM ^
This is a distinct possibility if usc and tcu both lose. Saturday's games will be very interesting/entertaining.
November 27th, 2022 at 9:23 PM ^
I’d love to beat Bama, but they are always dangerous with all of that talent.
So having beat OSU are we officially good now?
November 27th, 2022 at 9:42 PM ^
And it's not like they've been bad this year. Two losses, both to ranked teams, both on the road, both by three points or less (and one in OT).
I love it -- I love when Alabama loses -- but they're a hell of a team, and I would sure like to avoid them if at all possible.
November 28th, 2022 at 12:52 PM ^
Zero great wins though and they also had a couple of close wins against bad teams. They do not deserve it.
November 27th, 2022 at 10:05 PM ^
I think TCU is in regardless. They are not losing in the first place. If they do, not by a lot. I can see Bama and OSU competing for the last spot. We will know tomorrow. Utah lucked out beating USC before. USC is going to trounce them. So, I give your prediction less than 10 percent chance.
November 27th, 2022 at 10:47 PM ^
I just don't see how Alabama can get in. USC and TCU would both have to lose by considerable margins and look completely inept in doing so, which is not going to happen. And fuck all that, this would mean that both Alabama and OSU would be in which nobody outside of Tuscaloosa or Columbus wants to see happen.
November 27th, 2022 at 8:31 PM ^
I don't want a rematch
November 27th, 2022 at 8:32 PM ^
My head says we're better off playing TCU, but my heart wants us to pound USC because I hold grudges for decades.
Doesn't matter though. We're playing for a national championship.
November 27th, 2022 at 8:39 PM ^
We beat both TCU and USC. I believe TCu would be less of a challenge
November 27th, 2022 at 9:26 PM ^
Supposing we win out and win the national championship I would rather beat Bama and Georgia than TCU or USC.
November 27th, 2022 at 10:01 PM ^
I don't care who we beat if we win a championship
November 27th, 2022 at 8:33 PM ^
Maybe OSU will play a team with their 4th and 5th string dbs playing again and the OSU offense will throw for 600 yards, then we will have to hear for the next 11 months about how they have the greatest offense in the history of the world.
November 27th, 2022 at 8:36 PM ^
16 points seems incredibly, incredibly low. Maybe because of injuries?
Purdue is not good. There are arguably 4 teams in their division better than them.
November 27th, 2022 at 9:10 PM ^
I think it’s a case of thinking Michigan will rest players and play a mostly vanilla style trying to just escape and make it to the CFP with their team intact.
November 27th, 2022 at 9:26 PM ^
You think Purdue is the 5th best team in that trash hole?
November 27th, 2022 at 9:35 PM ^
I personally think they're the 4th best, but SP+ has them as the 5th best and #47 in the country.
For reference, Minnesota is #16, Illinois is #17, Iowa is #27, and Wisconsin is #42.
November 27th, 2022 at 8:36 PM ^
I'd take Utah and UNC.
November 27th, 2022 at 9:29 PM ^
If the committee puts OSU in over TCU if they lose it will be absolute robbery. TCU beat every single team in the Big 12, which in a way makes playing an extra game more potential for bad than good.
Every team that is not playing Saturday should be treated as having an additional loss. TCU should not get penalized for losing their first game of the season in a game OSU didn’t make in their own conference. You shouldn’t be rewarded for not making your CCG
November 27th, 2022 at 9:39 PM ^
Pretty sure the only way OSU gets in is if USC gets that second loss. Don’t think they jump TCU with a loss as TCU would be 12-1 which would trump 11-1.
November 27th, 2022 at 10:40 PM ^
I honestly don't think this will happen. It took the committee the better part of a month or more to put TCU into the top four. I don't think the committee respects TCU as a contender and a loss will hammer them. If TCU loses even a close game and USC wins I fully expect to see USC and OSU at #3 and #4.
Now, if TCU and USC both lose close games, and UGA and Michigan win as expected, I think you'll see OSU slotted in at #3 and TCU at #4. Heck, you might even see Alabama take that #4 spot away from TCU which would be complete and utter bullshit but I would not be surprised at all.
November 27th, 2022 at 9:57 PM ^
Utah owns SC
November 27th, 2022 at 9:57 PM ^
USC and TCU have no incentive to playing a championship game... Why risk a loss? OSU can get in for sitting on their ass.
November 27th, 2022 at 10:13 PM ^
Stroud is not likely to play in the RB. If the RB has a true choice, go with PSU vs. Washington. Put Ohio in the Cotton Bowl vs. K State and see what happens.
Meanwhile, I'm confident we will NOT be looking past Purdue. It may be nerve-wracking for 2-3 quarters, but I expect us to put them away late.
Surprised TCU is only 2.5 but maybe their habit of winning late/ugly/close is part of that.
Clemson is the worst major power 2 loss team in America. That QB has laid an egg for 2 years now. 9 for 29 in a game they were favored by 14+ to win.
November 27th, 2022 at 10:42 PM ^
TCU beat KState by 10 at home during the regular season. KState was up 28-17 at the half. It was 31-28 TCU heading into the 4th quarter. Martinez barely played as he got hurt early in the game.
November 27th, 2022 at 10:36 PM ^
My early thoughts, subject to change later in the week:
Michigan -16 (small bet but I am going to stick with this one)
LSU +17 (seems like a lot of points and although inconsistent, LSU has proven to be pretty good when they want to be)
USC -2.5 (small bet because Utah is well coached)
KSU +2.5 (KSU is a tough out)
UNC +8 (I just don't think Clemson is all that great and UNC can win a track meet)
November 28th, 2022 at 1:42 AM ^
Root for USC and TCU!