Michigan #3 in CFP
November 8th, 2022 at 7:20 PM ^
Cowards
November 8th, 2022 at 7:20 PM ^
M should be 2. OSU is paper soft and played like ass against a 1-7 team. ND at 20 is a joke and is only done to prop up Clemson.
November 8th, 2022 at 7:29 PM ^
10 ply soft.
November 8th, 2022 at 7:35 PM ^
They are a bunch of pussies. It's laughable. At the very least, they should have been able to run for 250 against NW. They did not look anywhere close to number 2 on Saturday.
November 8th, 2022 at 7:41 PM ^
Oh, they looked like number 2 all right.
#poopjoke
November 8th, 2022 at 8:31 PM ^
🤣😂
💩 joke!
November 8th, 2022 at 8:41 PM ^
I'll have a tough time wiping that one from my memory
November 9th, 2022 at 2:43 PM ^
WHO DOES NUMBER TWO WORK FOR?!
#poopjoke #austinpowers
November 8th, 2022 at 8:04 PM ^
Alarming that Ohio St was outgained(!!) by a Northwestern team that wasn't in the top 100 of FBS power ratings
Though you know I heard it was full-on hurricane conditions in Evanston. But only when OSU had the ball.
November 8th, 2022 at 8:48 PM ^
wish they weren't so damn awkward bud
November 8th, 2022 at 7:44 PM ^
But OSU didn't play UConn so it doesn't matter. /s
November 8th, 2022 at 7:58 PM ^
It will be settled on the field very soon
November 9th, 2022 at 7:31 AM ^
Wouldn't have it any other way.
November 8th, 2022 at 8:07 PM ^
Kind of props up OSU too… means we have to beat them to get in.
November 8th, 2022 at 8:17 PM ^
Meh I almost prefer it this way. Last time we ranked ahead of OSU prior to The Game we got boatraced.
And frankly they should be ahead at this point. That ND win looks better each week especially compared to our win over…UConn? I guess? The only mark above OSU we have is our win over PSU, and honestly I’m not sure that means much.
November 8th, 2022 at 8:23 PM ^
I disagree that the ND win continues to look better. Yes, they beat Clemson, but Clemson is mediocre this year. They also lost to those juggernauts, Stanford and Marshall, at home.
November 8th, 2022 at 8:44 PM ^
Regardless, Norte Dame is vastly better than our ridiculous non conference schedule. I'm ok with us at 3. I'm VERY ok with OSU at 2 when they appear to have some pretty obvious weaknesses.
November 9th, 2022 at 8:24 AM ^
Playing Illinois and UConn is about the same as playing Notre Dame and Northwestern. OSU gets more credit for playing a name brand in non con but the overall SOS is about the same.
November 9th, 2022 at 9:00 AM ^
We haven't played Illinois yet. Perhaps once that game is over we'll be ranked over OSU. It's clear the committee has major issues, so who knows.
November 9th, 2022 at 11:25 AM ^
Yeah, I should have clarified that I was talking about pundits' projections and talking points, and not the criteria used by the committee at this moment. But imagine if we had been outgained by UConn and only up by a score with 5 minutes left, my god, the narratives
November 9th, 2022 at 12:32 AM ^
You guy's really gotta stop with this two thirds of the season finished d**k measuring contest. It doesn't matter where you are ranked in the top 4. You don't get a special prize for being ranked higher before the playoff other than #1 gets to beat up whoever limped into #4.
November 9th, 2022 at 8:31 AM ^
Except that it does matter. Where you start has lots of relevance. The higher up you are, the less you fall after a loss. If Michigan was at #2 and lost a close game to OSU on the road, they'd have a better chance of still making the playoffs than if they were #3 and lost.
November 9th, 2022 at 7:17 AM ^
I believe penn state would clock Clemson and thoroughly. We control our destiny and that’s all that matters. Beat OSU, get the 2 seed and pray Georgia steps on their ding dongs. Not really wanting to play them in any way this year.
November 8th, 2022 at 7:20 PM ^
Georgia will be 1 if they win out.
This thing is setting up for the final 4 being the SEC, B1G, PAC 12, and Big 12 champs.
November 8th, 2022 at 7:21 PM ^
If Tennessee wins out, they are in. I don't agree with it (i hate it), but we all know the bias.
November 8th, 2022 at 7:22 PM ^
No way a team that wasn’t even in the conference championship game makes the CFP.
November 8th, 2022 at 7:24 PM ^
OSU pulled that off in 2016.
November 8th, 2022 at 7:33 PM ^
But the B1G champion had 2 losses and one by 39 points.
November 8th, 2022 at 7:48 PM ^
Exactly right. The blowout loss to UM killed any chance they had of getting in
November 8th, 2022 at 7:55 PM ^
PSU is in in 2016 if they beat Pitt. Then they are a 1-loss conference champ with a road victory at the team that themselves won at Clemson (who of course made the playoff and won it all).
It's a bit of a narrative here, but PSU's most costly loss (as regards their playoff chances) in 2016 was Pitt. Not Michigan. Beat Pitt, and they're in.
Yes, the Michigan loss was a blow-out ... but there is/was precedent for teams with 1 ugly loss. The year before (2015), both Michigan State and Oklahoma made the playoffs despite having regular season losses to teams that didn't even finish .500! At least U-M was good in 2016: Nebraska and Texas in 2015 (who MSU and OU lost too) weren't even good.
November 8th, 2022 at 8:49 PM ^
I don't think close losses to meh teams (like MSU and OU had) are viewed as unfavorably as massive blowouts, even to good teams. The committee has on numerous occasions cited lopsided losses as reasons teams have been left out (OSU in both 2017 and 2018, with 2018 being especially notable because they were a one loss Big Ten champ and didn't get in).
So I'm not sure PSU would have still gotten in. It wasn't between them and OSU, it was between them and Washington. It would have been close but OSU was in regardless (again, thanks to a close - even fluky - loss, which the committee has been much more forgiving of).
They just don't seem to consider close losses as "ugly" as blowouts, regardless of who the loss was to.
November 8th, 2022 at 8:05 PM ^
I see a certain team at #7 with two losses that will absolutely get in if they win out, yet lost 40-13 to Tennessee. Because #SEC
November 8th, 2022 at 7:25 PM ^
You are assuming the CFP committee will use logic, set aside their bias, and reward the deserving teams. Unfortunately, I doubt that happens. For the Big 12 and Pac 12, there is little value to winning the conference championship and having 1 loss when compared to a 1-loss SEC team. It isn't right, but we've all seen it.
November 8th, 2022 at 7:26 PM ^
2016 Ohio State and 2017 Alabama both made it despite missing their Championship game. There's precedent for it to happen
November 8th, 2022 at 7:31 PM ^
Alabama did it.
November 8th, 2022 at 7:57 PM ^
Have you actually paid attention to the shit the committee pulls?
November 8th, 2022 at 8:40 PM ^
Sure, wont happen… if you ignore the multiple times they’ve already done so
November 8th, 2022 at 7:23 PM ^
If Oregon wins out, they’ll have a top-15 win over Utah and a top-10 win in the final week over UCLA or USC while Tennessee is sitting on their couches.
November 8th, 2022 at 7:25 PM ^
Yeah but TCU has a some games coming up.
November 8th, 2022 at 8:09 PM ^
The assumption that TCU has any real shot at the playoff is way overstated. They are significant underdogs this week and may even be a slight underdog next week. Even Iowa St at home will be stingy, and if they survive all that they will get Texas/Baylor/Kansas St again
And presumably, they will have to beat a 1st string QB at some point. Their luck in that regard is crazy.
At this point I am just assuming TCU will lose and be out
November 8th, 2022 at 7:34 PM ^
And while September is not November, the shit for brains committee isn't going to let UGA blowing out OU go.
They'll put Tenn in ahead of the ducks.
November 8th, 2022 at 7:34 PM ^
Everyone says this, but it depends on what happens in other conferences. If PAC-12 is one loss or less or Big 12 is undefeated, that will not happen.
November 8th, 2022 at 7:37 PM ^
Have you looked at TN's rest of the schedule? That would be a travesty I they are the first 1 loss time considered.
November 8th, 2022 at 7:49 PM ^
Not necessarily. They need some help. Dropping them to 5 means the committee really didn't like the way they looked against UGA.
They don't play any games that will impress the committee the rest of the way so none of those will help them.
Loser of OSU/UM could very well stay ahead of them if The Game is close. So they need that to be lopsided.
If that doesn't open up a spot, they need TCU to lose once, possibly twice.
And even if one of those things goes their way, USC and UCLA would pass them if either wins out. Oregon possibly. So they probably need a two loss Pac12 champ.
November 8th, 2022 at 7:51 PM ^
It's not bias if Tenn. gets in at 4. They earned it.
November 8th, 2022 at 8:19 PM ^
Because they over value Alabama? It is circling the wagon again. Watch LSU demolished by Georgia in the conference championship. An OT win at home against Bama does not impress me. TN wins against other over valued teams like Kentucky and Pitt doesn't impress.
November 8th, 2022 at 9:42 PM ^
Highly doubt it! If Oregon, TCU & Michigan/OSU win out…the Volunteers will be in the Sugar Bowl not the CFP
November 8th, 2022 at 7:40 PM ^
I would bet a lot of money the Big12 champs are not in it, mostly because TCU is likely to lose the title game to a 2 or 3 loss team.
PAC12 probably has to hope USC wins it because it would be tough to put Oregon in with a 46 point loss.
But the path here for Michigan does look possible to make it at 11-1. Saturday was indeed probably the best reasonable scenario with both Tennessee and Clemson losing convincingly, and Bama losing.
If Michigan keeps it close with OSU, can't see enough teams jumping them.
Keeping Illinois where the committee did probably means a loss to Michigan won't drop them out of the top 25 (if they beat Purdue of course).
November 8th, 2022 at 7:50 PM ^
If Michigan loses any games, I don't think they'll make it. OSU, Georgia and Tennessee will for sure make it and TCU if they're undefeated. If Michigan and TCU lose, I can easily see 3 SEC teams making it because none of their losses are ever bad and all of their wins are always amazing.