How do you think this affects 12-team CFP?

key word is conference.  

i wonder what today does for schools like FSU and conference realignment.  does this speed things up to move to SEC or Big Ten?

I also think conference title games may go away here, because why even play them, just have more big regular season games. more cross conference match ups to sort these conflicts out

Agreed. The only thing that will change is the argument over who will be the 12th team in instead of the 4th.

Out of the 12 teams, 6 are locked in as conference champions. Fsu would be in & hosting a game. Either smu or Boise would be the 6th auto-bid, depending on where the cfp ranks them.

Of the 6 remaining teams in 2023, uga would be the next seed, followed by ohio state. 

That leaves 4 teams scuttling over who should be the visiting teams seeded 9-12.

Let's say oregon, psu would be in, and at least 1 sec team (let's say mizzou). That's 11 fairly 0 debate teams already.

I don't have any idea who's currently seeded 11/12 in the cfp, but if 1 of them were an sec team, are you going to stand on the table for someone else? I would for Jedd Fisch & AZ, but after that I'd personally as soon see lsu's qb as any other team. We didn't even mention Oklahoma, who beat Texas. 

I just don't think limiting conference entries would work, or even be feasible with the teams joining the sec & B10 next year.

I agree with this thought. Further, I think any team beyond a 5 seed would be an absolute unicorn to win it all, so the care about the first team or two out will be like your 5 year old brother being left off the Jr high pickup football game.

The six highest ranked conference champions will get an autobid.  And I think intra-conference W/Ls will place a practical cap on the number of teams from a single conference.  I couldn't find the final committee rankings quickly, so let's use the ap rankings (adjusted for known CFP rankings) for inclusion counts: 

1. Michigan
2. Washington
3. Texas
4. Alabama
5. FSU
6. SMU
7. Georgia
8. Ohio State
9. Oregon
10. Missouri
11. Penn State
12. Ole MIss

In current conference affiliations, that would be

1. SEC (4)
2. B1G (3)
3. Pac12 (2)
4. Big 12 (1)
5. ACC (1)
6. American

In 2024 conference affiliations (but there will be more intraconference Ls):

1. SEC (5)
2. B1G (5)
3. ACC (1)
4. American (1)

B1G would not agree to a team cap. 

SEC would have Texas.  Not sure where Oklahoma is ranked.

The 2024 SEC would also get to count Texas

It won't make the selecting worse. Don't lose more than a game. Otherwise you don't have much to cry about if you're not given a seat at the table.

If it was a 12 team year ... and you use the logic that injuries determine how good a team is (or can be in the CFP) -- who is to say that FSU is even a top 12 team? Is a QB-less FSU definitely better than LSU with a Heisman QB? If we're gambling, I'm taking LSU in that by a wide margin. 

I’m not a fan of having bye teams.

Football is a game of attrition and injuries are real.

People say earn the bye but we will be having the exact same conversations we are now with who deserves it.  It’s not fair.

Of course there will be "controversy" about who gets in and who gets left out, just like there is in the 68 team NCAA tournament.  But the level of importance of that controversy will be greatly reduced.

There's always a bubble controversy for the NCAA tournament that gets discussed right after the selections.  But then everyone forgets about it, as those teams aren't real contenders for the championship.  FSU, on the other hand, had at least a non-astronomical long shot.

2:30 I think I remember hearing.

Correct. This will hasten FSU and Clemson leaving the ACC.

I truly feel for whatever team has to play FSU. They are going to get a pissed off buzzsaw.

Of course there will be arguments.  But they won't matter much BC no. 12 has no chance to win it all.