Divisional Balance in 2017

Submitted by jimmyshi03 on

The SEC's overall record in bowl games thus far, as well as an interesting Bud Elliott tweet regarding the ACC's likely losses at QB next season, got me thinking about how the B1G will look next season, and specifically the balance between the two divisions.

Now the East was obviously stronger this season, and should be going forward, but next year could just an abomination. Wisconsin, a team that was clearly the west's best this year, but also clearly a step below the best three teams in the East. They seem to be the favorite to land ND transfer Malik Zaire as a fifth year transfer at this point, and even if they didn't would have the returning Alex Hornibrook. However, they will lose their top two running backs as well as a number of good specialists and potentially its best lineman.

But the teams below them all lose long term starters and don't have obvious replacements. Nebraska loses Tommy Armstrong, but probably has the best options, with a pretty highly regarded redshirt freshman competing with a transfer from Tulane who left because he wasn't a fit for the Willie Fritz offense. Iowa loses C.J. Beathard and Minnesota loses Mitch Leidner, and Illinois loses its primary starter, Wes Lunt. The best returning starter in the B1G west will almost certainly be David Blaugh.

Meanwhile, barring a major mistake by JT Barrett, the East will return primary starters at six schools (the only one losing its QB will be Maryland). If we thought their was inbalance before, next year really will take it to a new level, and I'm concerned the conference as a whole will be hamstrung by it. What do you all think?

jmblue

December 30th, 2016 at 2:26 PM ^

It is what it is.  The geographical format keeps pretty much all the rivalries contained within divisions (IU-PU have a protected game).  

From our standpoint this is better than the Leaders/Legends setup, where we had a guaranteed crossover against OSU while other teams' crossovers were against Illinois and such.    

 

Pepper Brooks

December 30th, 2016 at 2:31 PM ^

Is that M and OSU are the big 2; the next tier consists of Wiscy, PSU, MSU, Iowa, and Nebraska; and in the occasional year Northwestern and/or Minnesota show up.  The rest are irrelevant.

 

I think we are reverting back to the natural order.  Next year will be a futher step in that direction.

drzoidburg

December 30th, 2016 at 3:26 PM ^

"Division balance" is so greatly forged by the incredibly *unbalanced* schedules. Even shitty Minnesota was in the running for division, having not played UM or Ohio and, of course, Pedo got to skip Wisconsin and only 4 road games

Look for this to again determine at least one of the teams in the "CCG"

 

JayMo4

December 30th, 2016 at 3:27 PM ^

I think the Big 10 should scrap divisions altogether.  Every team has maybe three protected rivalry games, and cycles through everyone else.  The championship game matches up the top two teams, period.

No worry about geographical imbalance, no worry about the 4th or 5th best team getting into the title game, no worry about not playing a conference opponent for six years at a time.

umfanchris

December 30th, 2016 at 3:41 PM ^

Don't get me wrong, I would prefer to having a Starting QB returning, but just because a team doesn't have a returning qb doesn't mean they are going to be bad or the divisions would be "unbalanced". This year 5 of the top 9 teams in the final college football playoff rankings didn't have a returning starting qb. Again most teams would prefer to have a starting QB returning, but sometime it can actually be a good or neutral thing for a team.

MGoStrength

December 30th, 2016 at 5:31 PM ^

Unless you are a national brand like Notre Dame and can recruit nationally the west division will always have trouble competing with the east in the modern era.  The internet, recruiting websites, etc. has only made the rich richer and made it even harder for schools from less talent-rich states to keep the few stars they have.  Iowa, Nebraska, Wiscy, etc. just don't have a lot of talent and so far these schools haven't done a great job at recruiting 4 and 5-star talent from outside of their home states.  Assuming that trend continues and UM, OSU, ND, and PSU continue to recruit well, there just isn't enough talent to go around.

WestQuad1982

December 30th, 2016 at 4:23 PM ^

Expand to 16. He grabs Oklahoma and Kansas, puts them in the west, pushes Purdue to the east (where they belong), and blows up the Big-12 in the process. Rough parity achieved between our two divisions ... kinda sorta.

Then all the conferences get together and approve an 8-team playoff; and renegiate their broadcast rights. When the dust settles, B1G is the #1 conference in both football and hoops. Then Delaney retires, claiming world domination. Unfortunately this scenario still leaves us with Rutgers. 

M-Dog

December 30th, 2016 at 4:36 PM ^

You want to go back to Dave Brandon's and Jim Delany's "Competitive Balance"??  

Leaders and Legends 2.0??

That's a total fool's errand.

We are better off with the set up we have now.  It ain't broke.

If MSU wants to flee to the West in exchange for Purdue, I could live with that.  But don't expect a crossover game with us every single year, MSU.  We'll get to you when we get to you.

 

wolfman81

December 30th, 2016 at 4:49 PM ^

I feel if Nebraska can return to the Osborne days, they can be a balance to Michigan/OSU in the East. Wisconsin has not really been elite (NC contender) in my lifetime. Same for Iowa. I also think that the best solution is to scrap divisions altogether.

bronxblue

December 30th, 2016 at 6:41 PM ^

The thing with Nebraska going back to the Osbourne years is so much would need to change in football that it is hard to imagine. Maybe they can get back to 9 or 10 wins every couple of years, but that has been the definition of a good-but-not-great program for nearly two decades now.

TheBlueAbides

December 30th, 2016 at 5:37 PM ^

Wisconsin re loads with OL, imo won't matter who their RB is, will be good as a product of the system. I love seeing us get linemen with Wisconsin offers more than any other school sans bama and osu (to keep them away from osu)



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bronxblue

December 30th, 2016 at 6:39 PM ^

It's going to be like this for the foreseeable future. The West has about 2 semi competitive teams a year, three if you think Riley can actually make it work in Nebraska and isn't just a nice guy. The east is going to have something like 4 or 5 teams who can recruit and compete (sorry Rutgers) and just a gauntlet for the year.