College Football "Official" Rankings

Submitted by alum96 on

I would probably wait 2 weeks before starting the playoff rankings but I get it from a media hype perspective.  Here is the first week's list:

  1. Miss State
  2. FSU
  3. Auburn
  4. Ole Miss
  5. Oregon
  6. Alabama
  7. TCU 6-1
  8. MSU 7-1
  9. Kansas State 6-1
  10. Notre Dame 6-1
  11. Georgia 6-1
  12. Arizona 6-1
  13. Baylor 6-1
  14. Arizona State 6-1
  15. Nebraska 7-1
  16. Ohio State 6-1
  17. Utah 6-1
  18. Oklahoma 5-2
  19. LSU 7-2
  20. West virginia 6-2
  21. Clemson 6-2
  22. UCLA 6-2
  23. East Carolina 6-1
  24. Dyuke 6-1
  25. Louisville 6-2
  26. Michigan ;) :P

Biggest surprise is ND at #10 with only loss on road to #1/#2ish FSU , in a game they could have won.  MSU got blown out vs Oregon for their loss and is ranked higher than ND - ND also beat Purdue and UM by wider margins than MSU so it tells me games vs common opponents dont matter much to the committee.

Ole Miss in over Bama is interesting - says head to head really matters. OSU so low is fun (and behind Nebraska) - they have a bad loss and have not played anyone in the top 25, so SOS does matter which I like. 

Of course this will all change in a few weeks esp as the SEC west ravages each other.

Former_DC_Buck

October 28th, 2014 at 7:54 PM ^

VT is an anchor dragging us down. And blowing a 17 point lead and turtling against a meh PSU team didn't help. There are still a lot of games to play but having Neb and MSU ahead of us, will help should we beat both of them. Which I am by no means certain of, but even if we do win out and they only lose to us, we still need a ton of help to get to 4. Not impossible, but not likely, either. I bet NDnation will be fun to read.

Muttley

October 29th, 2014 at 1:09 AM ^

are better than the chances of running the table.

In fact, any one-loss Power 5 conference team will have a pretty good shot.

There's a lot of cannibalism involving the PAC-12, which could include Notre Dame with the Irish playing @ASU (& @USC plus home vs Louisville).

In the Big 12, KSU and its opponents will suffer the most cannibalism as it has @TCU and @Baylor on the slate (plus @WVU, @TX),  Baylor plays at home vs KSU (plus @OU), while TCU has perhaps the easiest path at home vs KSU (plus @WVU).

Finally, there's a fairly good chance that the SEC will have less than two one-loss or better teams.  Would a one-loss OSU get in before a two-loss SEC team?  Hmmmn.

 

DealerCamel

October 28th, 2014 at 9:21 PM ^

Progession and regression in a year mean a whole lot.  A team can be much better or much worse at the beginning of the year than they turn out to be in the end; seems to me that weighting the later-season games more heavily was one aspect they got right.

BlueHills

October 28th, 2014 at 8:10 PM ^

Why not just crown the SEC champion the national champion and be done with it, and return to the old bowl system for everyone else?

Oh, and Arizona #12. RR has to be laughing his ass off at Brandon/Hoke/Michigan.

MGoManDown

October 28th, 2014 at 8:26 PM ^

Considering there is a ton of SEC games to still be played (Bama vs LSU, Ole Miss vs Miss St., Bama vs Auburn, etc) I'm not understanding why people are upset about these rankings. They're based on what has happened so far and so far these rankings are about right (talking about the top 4).  I would probably swap Oregon for Ole Miss, but that's it. Teams will move up once SEC teams start to eat each other alive. 

ericcarbs

October 28th, 2014 at 8:34 PM ^

I might be in the minority but if Marshall goes undefeated, they deserve to be in the playoffs to at least have a chance. That's why we went to playoffs to allow the underdog to win (not really but should give them the chance).

ESNY

October 28th, 2014 at 8:43 PM ^

I think they did a pretty good job of not buying the hype/pre-season polls.  Based on my quick look, they balanced "good losses" with "good wins"

Ole Miss is in over Bama not just head to head but because Bama's best win is over a 6-2 WV team and I'm glad to see they didn't reflexively put Bama in at 4. 

Bama, ND and MSU all have similar losses and you could argue that MSU should be over Bama as their best win is over 1-loss and number 15 ranked Nebraska whereas Bama's best win is over 2-loss and 20th ranked WV. 

ND is below them all as their best win is over a 3 loss Stanford team.

ND_Rumpus

October 29th, 2014 at 10:33 PM ^

I guess I don't get why they are using "best win" instead of "strength of schedule".  Mich State's best win is Nebraska, whereas ND's is Stanford, so I guess kudos to State there. But who is their 2nd best win?  Purdue? 

ND's SoS is around #20, Mich State's is around #60.  As for Alabama, it's top 10.

 

 

titanfan11

October 28th, 2014 at 9:11 PM ^

about Herbie "sounding off" on the rankings and that he "was surprised by ND's low ranking."  Then you read the article and  he agrees with a lot of the rankings, and has ND down because of a lack of good wins.  

ESNY

October 28th, 2014 at 9:31 PM ^

Your point being?  You think head-to-head is the sole measuring stick?   Maybe Arizona shouldn't have lost to a bad USC team.  If Arizona was ranked higher due solely to head to head, the ranking would be a joke.

Oregon  - Good out of conference schedule (based on one team but still).  best win 1-loss MSU, 2nd best win 2-loss UCLA.   only loss was to 1-loss Arizona

Arizona - terrible out of conference schedule.  best win at 1-loss Oregon, 2nd best win Cal?  only loss was to 3 -loss USC at home.

Resumes aren't remotely close

Nitro

October 28th, 2014 at 9:54 PM ^

I'd swap TCU for Ole Miss right now. ND should probably be higher, but I hate them, so their low ranking is fine by me.

LSAClassOf2000

October 28th, 2014 at 10:19 PM ^

Certainly an interesting ranking for the top four, but of course I am curious as to how exactly they weight the data they use as well as what data they emphasize. I wouldn't mind for them to be transparent about it, although I don't think they are obligated in anyway to tell us. If it is me, I wouldn't bitch abou t the top four all that much, but the first five or six after that are interesting to me. 

Vasav

October 28th, 2014 at 10:37 PM ^

I'm surprised to see Auburn so high considering their loss was a blowout. Although to a high ranked team.

I know it's early, but I really hope they value conference championships in the final ranking


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alum96

October 29th, 2014 at 5:51 AM ^

Just food for thought - Best wins for each team up thru 1 loss teams.  Based on this I think the ranking is pretty solid.  Explains Bama behind Oregon and Notre Dame so low.   But seems to punish Zona. (that said Zona has not played anyone of value outside of Oregon and USC)  Utah should be ranked higher based on this as well; much better wins that Nebraska and OSU.

  1. Miss State ---- Auburn, LSU
  2. FSU  ----- ND, Clemson
  3. Auburn  ---- Kansas State, LSU
  4. Ole Miss ---- Alabama
  5. Oregon  ---- MSU, UCLA
  6. Alabama  ---- West Virginia
  7. TCU 6-1  ---- Oklahoma
  8. MSU 7-1  ----- Nebraska
  9. Kansas State 6-1 ---  Oklahoma
  10. Notre Dame 6-1  --- Stanford
  11. Georgia 6-1 --- Clemson
  12. Arizona 6-1  --- Oregon
  13. Baylor 6-1  ---  TCU
  14. Arizona State 6-1 -- Stanford, USC
  15. Nebraska 7-1  ----- ummm, Miami FL
  16. Ohio State 6-1 ---- ummm, Navy?
  17. Utah 6-1  --- USC, UCLA

rainking

October 29th, 2014 at 7:33 AM ^

want MSU to beat the Buckeyes in a couple weeks, gotta admit i'll snicker at year's end when assclown Dantonio is left off the final four list.