jmblue

April 18th, 2020 at 3:08 PM ^

This current situation sucks, for sure.  The next 12 months may suck, to varying degrees, as well.  But it is not a "for the rest of time" kind of situation.  We will have treatment and/or a vaccine that reduces the danger of this virus, and then things will be (fully) normal.  It's just a matter of bridging the gap until we get to that point.     

The Geek

April 18th, 2020 at 1:31 PM ^

They opened the beaches in Jacksonville so the wife and I hit the dispensary and to go check things out. We were freaked out. First there were 8 people in front of me and none of them were wearing face protection. Next we went to a local restaurant and the place was packed (no seating) with young people wearing absolutely no PPE. None of the employees were wearing PPE because the owner (it was posted on the door) believes that first responders should get the PPE first. They are all a bunch of young hotties working there, handling credit cards, touching the door handles when delivering to go orders. It was crazy town so we just went right back home. People around here just don’t give a shit, and I expect a spike in cases in the next few days. This is what happens when people listen to politicians and not experts. 

LV Sports Bettor

April 18th, 2020 at 7:31 PM ^

Maybe they are going with the we are all going get it anyways theory.

That said my doctor has me thinking, he claims each wave will likely be more dangerous/stronger so the best time to get it would probably be now.

That said I'm way to scared. The minute they have at home antibody test I'm getting it so maybe already had it but highly doubt it

UP to LA

April 18th, 2020 at 1:13 PM ^

The guy quoted, CT Bergstrom, is well worth following on Twitter. He's uniquely well-suited to understanding both the dynamics of the pandemic and the popular flows of information around the pandemic, and he offers some really insightful and deeply well-informed takes on the various epi models that get popular traction.

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Carl_Bergstrom

True Blue Grit

April 18th, 2020 at 6:18 PM ^

That doesn't make it accurate or the truthful way to represent the facts.   To me the delusion is when the PA announcer claims it's the umpteenth consecutive crowd over 100,000 when that isn't close to being true.  The WSJ article from 3 years ago confirmed the gross discrepancy between announced attendance and actual bodies in the stadium at almost every college football venue in America.  That's my main point. 

Blueisgood

April 18th, 2020 at 1:41 PM ^

Personally, I have a hard time believing theres going to be a season. Winter sports starting on time is best case scenario. A lot can happen between now and August, but thats just my feel towards the thing. The Cherry Festival has already been cancelled, Gaylord has cancelled the Alpinefest. This is going to linger a lot longer then we want it to unfortunately.

I live in the Northern Lower and its fairly quiet up here on the covid front. Buts its a matter of when its going to explode at this point. As soon as they start loosening restrictions and people come up, it's going to get bad up here. 

blueheron

April 18th, 2020 at 2:46 PM ^

Ah, the Cherry Festival, a.k.a. (these days, anyway) the Hillbilly Festival to many residents of that micropolitan area. Its economic benefit to the area is often touted, but ask a downtown merchant how things go that week. I'm sure the chain restaurants and motels clean up.

Anyway, yes, think how many COVID-positive people will invade the area in a few months. No Cherry Festival will be at least one bullet dodged.

True Blue Grit

April 18th, 2020 at 2:00 PM ^

I saw this article and it got me thinking, how many people could they actually fit in the Big House and still keep the 6 foot social distancing.  I don't know the exact number, but the answer is a fraction of the 100,000.  I estimated that in each row, you'd have to have 4 empty seats between each person, assuming no spouses or significant others are allowed.  If you make exceptions so that no more than 2 people can sit next to each other, you can get a few more people in each row.  But, then it would make it hard to have anyone sit in either the row in front or the row behind that row, because it would virtually be impossible to have at least 6 foot separate people from those in front or back of them.  

So, all this means each row would be about 20 - 25% capacity, and they'd have to skip every other row.  So, a minimum estimate would be they could sell at most 10 to 12.5% of the stadium capacity.  Not much of a home field advantage I'd say.  

MichiganStan

April 18th, 2020 at 2:44 PM ^

Michigan starts the season 11-0. 2nd wave hits hard November 25th cancelling the rest of the season. Michigan is declared co-National Champions

LV Sports Bettor

April 18th, 2020 at 10:25 PM ^

100 PCT.... The question is how bad. All we did is slow things down. This is very contagious still my looks of early data but hopefully not as deadly. Most haven't got it yet. 

Inevitably most everyone going get it over the next year. Just need to hope can't you get reinfected for couple years. Cause that happens we are really screwed